Now I’m questioning this validity of these reports. I watched the game and saw how crucial some of those missed calls were for the Angels. It’s hard to believe those missed calls produced an overall favorable of +.38 for CLE!
A lot of missed calls turned into extra base runners for the guardians and then for us it was strike outs on the most obvious balls you’ve ever seen. Kwan was walked because of two missed strike calls and then Ramirez hits a HR. This graphic is just data that isn’t even reflecting the outcome of missed calls
Felt worse than that. It must not be considering what happened after the calls and only the individual calls themselves. Soriano twice was about to end an inning but a bad call kept it alive and they scored after.
I don’t believe that overall runs change and not just for this game. Idk how they calculate that, but it seems to generally underestimate the impact of the missed calls.
The run change stuff is a standard run expectancy calculation that does not take into account what happened after the call. Basically just “in the situation where the call was correct, teams score on average X number of runs until the end of the inning, and in the situation where the call is what it was, teams score on average Y number of runs until the end of the inning” , and the effect is Y-X.
This is the better approach for evaluating an umpire than by taking context into account, because we /definitely do not want/ umpires making calls by taking context into account.
So it is going to be a small number in general.
There were WAY more misses than that
If I were to create a score card for the team that made this score card , I’d give them an F
Forgot the Soriono missed strike that was called ball in the 5th inning
Impactful missed calls doesn’t even have Soriano leading to a 2-run HR? Who generated this report? The ump?
I normally don’t have a way to judge these score cards, but after watching last night’s game I can tell this is a load of crap. Only +0.38 for the Guardians? Bullshit. There were several missed calls against Soriano that led to the inning being extended and basically gifted the Guardians runs.
I was expecting like 70% accuracy after the amount of egregious calls we saw last night.
Schanuel’s was definitely the worst but felt like we overall got way more fucked
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Is 92% accuracy good?
Now I’m questioning this validity of these reports. I watched the game and saw how crucial some of those missed calls were for the Angels. It’s hard to believe those missed calls produced an overall favorable of +.38 for CLE!
A lot of missed calls turned into extra base runners for the guardians and then for us it was strike outs on the most obvious balls you’ve ever seen. Kwan was walked because of two missed strike calls and then Ramirez hits a HR. This graphic is just data that isn’t even reflecting the outcome of missed calls
Felt worse than that. It must not be considering what happened after the calls and only the individual calls themselves. Soriano twice was about to end an inning but a bad call kept it alive and they scored after.
I don’t believe that overall runs change and not just for this game. Idk how they calculate that, but it seems to generally underestimate the impact of the missed calls.
The run change stuff is a standard run expectancy calculation that does not take into account what happened after the call. Basically just “in the situation where the call was correct, teams score on average X number of runs until the end of the inning, and in the situation where the call is what it was, teams score on average Y number of runs until the end of the inning” , and the effect is Y-X.
This is the better approach for evaluating an umpire than by taking context into account, because we /definitely do not want/ umpires making calls by taking context into account.
So it is going to be a small number in general.
There were WAY more misses than that
If I were to create a score card for the team that made this score card , I’d give them an F
Forgot the Soriono missed strike that was called ball in the 5th inning
Impactful missed calls doesn’t even have Soriano leading to a 2-run HR? Who generated this report? The ump?
I normally don’t have a way to judge these score cards, but after watching last night’s game I can tell this is a load of crap. Only +0.38 for the Guardians? Bullshit. There were several missed calls against Soriano that led to the inning being extended and basically gifted the Guardians runs.
I was expecting like 70% accuracy after the amount of egregious calls we saw last night.
Schanuel’s was definitely the worst but felt like we overall got way more fucked
I thought Angel Hernandez got fired…