The ONE NHL Team The Montreal Canadiens Can REALLY Mess With!

The ONE NHL Team The Montreal Canadiens Can REALLY Mess With!

Uh that’s Marco Demo. Follow him at M and Demo uh with RG Media as we cover the NHL draft. Betonline.ag proud sponsor of the show. You can support us by supporting our sponsors with the best cash out options in the business and wagering possibilities on everything from politics to celebrities to future bets on the Stanley Cup. And of course with golf season now on in full effect and the PGA Championship now being settled, you’ve got the other two major championships and all the odds at betonline.ag trusted space in the online gaming community for almost 30 years. Let’s get into some offer sheets. You know, we’ve been pouring over the details as it relates to trades, as it relates to drafts, mock drafts, uh targets in the draft. We’ve been hearing for a while um and general managers have been very vocal about the possibility with the salary cap on the rise now. Understand this. Marco has been telling us for months about the salary cap where it where it’s going to go next year and in the years to come. But here’s the magic. Every team has an internal salary cap. Not every team is a fat cat, Leafs, Habs, Rangers. Some teams are the poppers of the NHL and they have internal salary caps. Now, you need to get to the floor and if you go above the ceiling, there’s a luxury tax to be paid for that. So, when it comes to or it’s a hard cap league, obviously, but when it comes to um offer sheets, is there a team today that you look at that the Montreal Canadians can kind of schoolard bully push around and actually go from talking about offer sheets to doing an offer sheet that works this time. Yeah. So, I know a lot of fans have been asking about potentially offer sheeting a guy like Mason McTavish. That’s not going to happen. The Anaheim Ducks have like $40 million. In fact, they need to spend money. So, okay, you have a guy like Mason McTavish, they’re going to lock that guy up six, seven, eight years. Um, you know, the Montreal Canadians would need to It would have to be stupid money. You’d have to offer him like $10 million, which makes no sense. Like, that’s just doing stuff to do it. It would cost you two firsts, a second, and a third, which is I guess No, no. But I mean all all like two se Yeah. But the the acquisition cost actually isn’t that bad, right? But it’s then you have to pay him $10 million, right? And what happens if he’s just a 60 point center even if he’s playing with a guy like like like Demidov, right? Like you don’t really know. And what if that’s not enough to not make you miss the playoffs next year and then you offer a pot? Like we just saw two teams go from what was it 10 or sorry 11 and 14 to number one and number four in the draft lottery. What happens if that happens again next year? Because those offer sheet picks are unprotected. So you need to be sure of your shot. So this is why I always say I think the Canadians would only do an offer sheet if they’ve already settled up some part of some other part of their lineup through trade. My two cents. So, for example, if they get a second line center through trade, like say they trade, you know, top prospect, first round pick, roster player, and they go and get a second line center and they get to July 1st, the team I think they’re going to be looking to bully is the New York Rangers, right? And there’s so many reasons why that would happen. Yeah, I bet. But the first is the animosity between the two. those two teams. Unless Jeff Gordon put a put a gun to Chris Jury’s head, I don’t think it’s happening. But offer sheet, the New York Rangers have $8 million in cap space, even with the cap going up next season, right? They have to sign Andre Miller and Will Coulie to new contracts. There’s no way those two sign for for a combined $8 million. So, they’re going to have to try to move somebody up. The guy they’ve been trying to move out is Chris Krider, but he’s got a no trade clause. And honestly, I don’t see anybody helping out the Rangers unless they’re getting another piece back with that. Right. So, correct. 34y old Chris Crider, no one’s doing them any favors. Correct. So, like, why would you want to get stuck with that contract? A, but B, and this is the key thing, if you look at the Rangers um like death chart, the left side or the defense, like first of all, keep in mind Miller is injured and won’t be ready until the very start of the season. So, he’s already going to have to hit the ground running without any preseason action and he’s going to have to start the regular season. So, and we don’t even know there’s a chance that he may not be ready for the opening game. Sure. So you then look at who’s left on that lineup. It’s not pretty. Their defense is exposed if Miller is out, right? Carson steps up. Pardon me. Carson Susi steps up to play the left side there. I don’t I don’t necessarily see that going down, but like the idea is you need to improve that. So via trade is one thing, but if they already need to acquire another player to make that happen, then they’re going to have to find some way to to to work it out. But if they get to July 1st and those players aren’t signed, I could see teams trying to do the exact same thing that happened to Edmonton to them here and now. And the way that that would happen and I like this is this is the poetic justice of it is signing a guy like Will Culie. Yeah. You know you can go two ways. You can do the cockyami route where you sign him to, you know, higher money one year, right? Because an offer sheet is based on the value at a maximum of five years. If you offer sheet of players six or seven years, then it actually ends up costing you like the the the payout that you would have to bid the the picks the the the threshold drops not in your favor, right? Because it’s the total value of the contract over a fiveyear period. If you go six or seven, so say $5 million six years is 30 is 30 million. You it in actual fact the payout would be six million because they cap it at five. Okay. Right. Even though it’s a six-year. So they take the whole value but they correct divide it by five. So if you were to give Will Culie one year $6.3 million that would end up costing you uh if I’m not mistaken a first and a third at 6.5 million. A first and a third. 23 year old forward. How that Yeah. That almost hit 50 points, right? Like what’s he and he’s bruising. He’s looking good for team Canada. But the thing is, can the Rangers match that and then still fill out the rest of the roster? Well, let me ask you this because uh our Timmy Paneran’s going into a contract year. His he’s on he’s next season will be the last year of his 11.5 million deal. How much of that factors into what the New York Rangers are likely to do? Like they this they’re not going to tear it down. They’re going to try to retool on the fly and get back to where they were two seasons ago. Right. So, are Tammy P part of the now and part of the future? I I would be shocked. Well, now obviously with what happened, we’ll see what happens, but I would be shocked personally that they would just get rid of Panaran in their centennial season. Well, that’s what I think makes your your argument, your take so money because they’re not going to let him go for nothing. It’s like you just said, milestone year. And can they can can New York have it all? And I don’t think they can. I don’t. No. And they backed themselves into their corner, you know, in my honest opinion when they went and signed Lafrener to that contract. Yeah. Right. I think, you know, they saw some pretty good production and they jumped on it a little bit like the Canadians with Slowovski, but the difference is like SKovski brings other elements, right? And in the playoffs actually like it looked really good. Lafrener did look good two years ago and I think that’s what you know really fed into the to giving him that contract. But now the thing is is you have Panaran at 11 million 11.6 Mika Ziniad full no movement clause 8.5 million JT Miller who they just acquired no movement clause as well move clause 8 mil Chris Krider no trade clause 6.5 Vincent Troche absolute stud of a deal 5.7 and then you have at 7.45 four, five. Yeah. And then it’s just guys making minimum wage. All right. Because that’s all they could afford. And then on defense for next season, they have Adam Fox, Carson Susi, William Borggan, and Braden Schneider with Ero Vanin. Yeah, there is one top four left shot defenseman on that team, and he’s not even signed for next year. You cannot run it back with that same defense. Wild. The right side of their defense looks good. I could see them potentially dangling a guy like Braden Schneider to try and see if they can bring in some help at forward. Maybe maybe get a left shot D instead. But man, the Rangers are in tight very very tight situation. So, if I’m the Montreal Canadians and you want to get bigger on the wings and you you focus your efforts potentially at improving at center and right shot defense through the draft, that’s a guy I would look at. But again, I re I I state this again, you could threaten an offer sheet to then potentially get you to a trade. Yeah. Right. Right. So the Canadians could try to say, “Listen, we’ll give you 16th overall and a third round pick and and an other asset instead of going the offer sheet route because if I’m the Montreal Canadians, it’s still too early to do an offer sheet unless they’ve truly improved the roster, right? Like how do you what do you think the order is?” Uh obviously the draft, but then is it explore trade? If trade doesn’t work, then offer sheet steps up or Yeah. So, uh, I’ll give you I can give you an example, right? So, like if you get to a point where you’re at the draft, still unsigned, you’re speaking to the agent. Agent’s not sure they’re going to be able to get something done. Player wants out or player would like to get paid. No, it’s not going to the opportunity is not going to come in New York. Um, you know, they just signed Lafrener. Like, where does that leave you? You’re going to be perpetually stuck on that third line. And then, you know, you start having a conversation with Montreal and you’re like, you know, would you would you consider it? Maybe. Montreal turns around and goes to the Rangers. And, you know, some people will say that’s tampering. It’s engaging with agents is not tampering. Telling them to come is tampering. So, what ends up happening is you end up going to the New York Rangers and you say, “Listen, he doesn’t want to play for you. We know it. You know it. we would like to send you an offer sheet uh in June uh which I believe would suck. Let’s get let’s try to work out a deal now so that we can get you assets now and then you can use those assets to maybe improve your team elsewhere, you know, like let’s make let’s just make a deal. I don’t think that’s going to happen because the two sides don’t really like each other. But that would be how it would work at the draft around the draft to avoid getting caught in offer sheet land. But then if they decide to play hard ball, you can negotiate still between now and then and try to trade a like for example a 2026 top 10 protected pick for example, right? If the draft already happens and you end up picking instead. But if you get to a point where you have to give an offer sheet, like I said at the top of the hour, you really have to make sure that the the the roster is improved to the point where you’re not putting yourself at risk of giving them a very good pick. because we’ve seen it in the past where teams traded picks way in advance. I’m looking at you Ottawa. I’m looking at you Colorado. And I’m definitely looking at you Boston. Uh, sorry, not Boston, Toronto, where you where you or San Jose where you give a team that first round pick and then poof, ends up being a top five pick. You know, you don’t want to be that team because then that haunts you forever. So, the way that I see it is you have to make sure that that roster is improved. So you look at a team like them, definitely an offici candidate. Not necessarily for the Montreal Canadians this next team, but watch out for the Edmonton Oilers. The Edmonton Oilers. True, true situation. Think they’re going to go after Matt Rebe. I’m kidding. I’m kidding. I’m kidding. But you know, a team a guy like Bard, Evan Bousard. Yes. Being unsigned, be careful with that one. That’s a team that could potentially line up the offer sheet uh and get stuck because they’re going to need to save that money for McDavid this the summer after. Do you think it’s going to be a wild west summer here? Not just I’m just talking in general. I think you’re going to see a lot of threats for offer sheet. But I think there’s too many teams in the in the middle of the standings right now that unless they significantly improve their roster before doing an offer sheet would find it too risky to do so. Yeah. Yeah. What I would like to see and what I think would be really cool is to sign some of these these younger guys, these middle guys, like for example a Maverick Bourc, signing him to a $2 million contract because Dallas cannot afford to pay him two to 2.5 mil and that only ends up costing you like a second or a third or a second round pick. That’s a worthwhile endeavor in my opinion, especially if you’re the Montreal Canadians who have two second round picks already for next season. Like that could make sense. I’m not saying they’re going to do it. I’m not saying that that’s necessarily the guy they’d have to go and get, but right, you know, the cost acquisition, he’s worth more than a second right now. Like he elite AHL player that’s just looking for a shot in the NHL. Like that kind of a guy. So it’s not necessarily the star players like everyone’s going to be like, let’s offer sheet Matthew N. That does make sense. Absolutely makes sense. Would be a great target. The entire league is going to be looking at it. And one of the What’s it going to cost you? Is it going to be a nine nine and a half million dollar player this guy? Well, a $9.2 million offer sheet is a first, a second, and a third over five years. I would do it for Matthew N. I would Everybody would do it, right? But the only way Toronto is going to get into that hole is if they sign Martner and then sign Tavvarz, I think. Yeah, I I I don’t see both happening. I don’t. We’ll see. I mean, it’s hard it’s hard to guess. It could if they decide to move out other pieces, right? like a campf um you know definitely a guy that they can move out especially when you have Max Dome in the lineup you could yeah you know your three centers are there um there’s a couple of guys on the Leafs that could be expendable you know if you look at the at the way that they play Jarren Croak is another one that could be expendable especially when you have an East Cowan joining the roster next year so Toronto can play Toronto can definitely play but if a team gets aggressive and offers nice like 10 mil. Yeah. Two two firsts, a second, and a third. Some teams may find that still worth it. And Toronto at that point cannot play ball. Could be right. You know, they got Scott Lton. He’s got one year left on his deal, right? Um that’s a sweetheart deal. But they have 26.8 million. Interesting. Interesting to see. I think so. But the one thing I will remind everybody when you are you can offer sheep multiple multiple players at once only if the picks used to try and get them and they have to be your picks. You cannot offer sheet two players at $9 million. But you can definitely do what for example St. Lewis did and offer sheet one guy like like like Holloway who ended up costing you a third and then offer sheet a guy like Broberg who ended up costing you a second because it’s separate picks. But if you offer sheet a guy for a first and a third at 9.2 mil, the only thing you can do after that is offer sheet a guy for a second round pick if you want to do two things at once. Correct. Yeah. Can’t you can’t offer sheet with imaginary picks or possible picks. Once you do an offer sheet at time, your salary and the picks are locked in. They belong to the other team pro provisionally. So you can’t then turn around and do something else. It’s locked in. You got to wait for that to fall through before you can do something else. Not surprising. I’ve met a few NHL capologists in my time and uh they’re generally some of the smartest people I’ve been around and when I listen to you break it down I have a clearer understanding of why these capologists are pretty smart individuals. Marco Demo at M and Demo online and through RG media in season, offseason, all season. Marco, great stuff as always. I hope you all enjoyed this. Thank you so much for being a loyal supporter. Like, subscribe, support us by supporting our sponsors at bedonline.ag, AG, a trusted space in the online gaming community for the better part of 30 years. Marco, thank you so much and looking forward to what’s on tap when we reconvene in a week’s time with a whole new batch of stuff because there is no offseason. Marco, thank you, sir. Always a pleasure, guys. Enjoy.

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Let’s offer sheets! Shaun Starr and Marco D’amico tackle the rising NHL salary cap and if there’s a team that the Montreal Canadiens can take advantage of

0:00 Intro
1:58 Anaheim Ducks RFA
3:30 Team Habs can bully
7:20 The New York Rangers won’t tear it down
12:10 NHL teams haunted by offer sheets
12:55 Edmonton Oilers
13:10 A lot of threats of offer sheets

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#montrealcanadiens #nhl #sports #shaunstarr