Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels (7-7-25) MLB Game Predictions, Picks and Best Bets

9:15 916 we’ve got Jacob Deg Gro and the Rangers minus 130. You say Kikuchi Angels plus 118. Total of 7 and a half. Some juice to the under at minus 115. All right, Kenny. I wanted the Deg Grom 8Ks, but it’s just priced me at plus 130. It’s just not worth the squeeze for me. The Angels strike out a ton. It should happen. But based what it brings up before, he’s not necessarily pitching to the strikeout. He’s certainly going to go deep in the game. I’m gonna I would I would say I like the Rangers and he probably gets to that those strikeouts, but I just held off a little bit here. What do we think? The Grom versus Kikuchi Kitty. Yeah, man. I uh you know what? After after watching this man dominate us on Friday, I thought, you know what? I want I want to be more like base winner. Um, and I actually I cooked up my own little my own little base winner parlay today. Uh, and I and the first leg is going to be Rangers money line. Um, I just I want to continue to buy stock in Deg Grom. Um, one of you guys, I forget who earlier made the point that like, you know, the strikeout numbers aren’t as high and I think that’s almost a concentrated effort to like just not to not overthrow um again and try to try to just, you know, be as, you know, increase his longevity as much as possible. But I still think I I like the Rangers lineup more than the Angels and I like the Grom a whole lot more than I like Kikuchi. And maybe I just like truly maybe I just have a blind spot for Kikuchi cuz I feel like this is a guy that I I never have a whole lot of faith in that despite despite the numbers. I mean 7 12 9 10 strikeouts in his last four games. So like clearly the guy is a lot better than than I give him credit for. But I I still think we’re getting a a reasonably fair price uh on a Rangers team with the Grom on the bump. So I’m going Rangers money line first leg of the Dale Jr. parlay. Yeah. Uh there we go. Then I bring back the NASCAR parlay, Joe Everett says. So there we go. Dell Jr. parlay. What do you think, BW? Right. Kikuchi, the strikeout numbers have been high. So I already know the second you jump on that, he’s going to he’s going to have two. And it’s just how this season’s been going. Uh what do you think here Bub between these two? Obviously advantage to Gro, but are we overlooking Kikuchi a little bit? Maybe. Um, the one thing that I will say is that I I do a group of five uh for Sai Young in each league and and Kikuchi was in my group of five as kind of an outside guy. I think he might have been 70 to 80 to1 and he was just awful. That looked like maybe the worst pick in the history of me making Sai Young AL groups of five. And I picked some real turkeys before. So he was looking like the worst turkey in the history of me doing this. But now if you look at his his last three games, he’s got 28 strikeouts and three walks. Well, that’s pretty damn good. I don’t think that the guys that, you know, having said that, liking the guy going into the season, I don’t think he’s that good. You kind of look at his his year-to- date numbers and and they’re poor. They’re actually 15% worse than average. That’s kind of how I have him in the model. you kind of look at his year-to- date base winter er it’s a little I do that a little bit differently he’s below average 4.26 so it’s it’s still pretty close uh to the way I have him in the model Grom 3.25 25 and then all his numbers are really really good. Uh you kind of look at his BBK which is I think the number I think is most important.14 super elite uh stuff plus 93 percentile that’s really good and his straight strikeout rate the kind of the median is actually in the 95th percentile. So that’s that’s all good. Um, and so just thinking about like the the disparity for me in starting pitching, I I think that Deg Grom I think he justifies uh you know laying a minus uh what is it minus 154 right now. I think that would in itself justify the price but then taking a look at like the different components of these teams. Um, I I I think I want to like refer people over to this. I I do this expected standings and and I do it for a reason because it shows what kind of what as a on a team level how these teams what they should have based on their their Saber metrics what their record should be compared to what it actually is. And the Angels are I mean they’re flirting with 500 which is exactly the same as the Diamondbacks. uh they’re 43 and 46 if you look in the standings, but if you look at the sub substandings, the expected wins are closer to 36 and 53. And it makes sense because uh the weighted runs create a plus bottom 10 x minus bottom 10. Uh defensive runs saved second worst in baseball. So you have these really like I look for this team to just regress to they’re at mediocrity right now. I am actually getting worse than mediocrity now. I’m looking for opportunities to bet against the Angels and I think this is a good one. This is going to be the second leg of the base winner parlay, Kyle. Uh Dodgers Texas and I think it pays today. That’s a pretty good payoff. 1.87 uh plus 216 I’m looking at. Look at that. You are getting 30 cents. That’s a little makeup call. That might be a makeup call. I probably did the math wrong actually. Something happened here. Something happened here, but for purposes of the show, we’re locking in second leg of the Basewater parlay. We’ve got the Dodgers Rangers at plus 216 and the first leg of the Dale Jr. parlay locking in the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels MLB game predictions for July 7th, 2025.

Our betting experts preview the MLB game between Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels. They’ll go over the latest MLB betting trends and best value baseball odds available for their betting predictions and will share their MLB expert predictions, picks and best bets.

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