San Diego Padres Rumors and Targets Ahead of the MLB Trade Deadline

San Diego Padres Rumors and Targets Ahead of the MLB Trade Deadline

Kyle, give us your best stuff on what the Padres’s are going to do over the next 24 hours. How you doing? Doing all right, guys. Look, AJ Prowler is always aggressive at the deadline. The Potters are having conversations with multiple teams about multiple different combinations. When you talk about AJ Prowler and this Potter’s front office, nothing is off the table. Big aggressive moves are their MO. That’s what they like to do. There are some limiting factors this year just in terms of they’re right around the second luxury tax threshold. They don’t have a lot of room to add payroll. and their farm system. It’s not terrible, but it’s not great. They have limited players they can deal from there, too. So, there are some limiting factors, but the Poders are always going to be exploring big aggressive moves, and they’re at least having those conversations again this year. Okay, so let’s dive into details. What do they need, and are there any particular names that you think that they’re looking for? Yeah, so the Padres’s really have multiple areas they need to upgrade in the lineup. They are bottom two in the majors by OPS at catcher, left field, and DH. Three different lineup spots. They’re bottom two in the majors. So, acquiring bats is priority number one. Look, we’ve seen some of the names out there. Jiren Durant, who realistically likely isn’t getting traded, and the Padres’s don’t have what it would take to acquire him. We’ve seen Steven Quan’s name. Realistically, in order for the Padres’s to get any sort of player with multiple years of control and somewhat of a salary commitment, they’re going to have to move salary off their books. And that’s where you’re starting to see discussions about maybe trading Dylan C somewhere and then using that payroll savings to go get two or three bats because again they’re not one bat away. They need multiple bats and that’s tricky to do with the limited payroll room they currently have right now. Is there is there a move is there a move that gets you that baseball trade for CE or Robert Suarez? I I I get it. You know they the Red Sox might not want Robert Suarez for Durant. you know, is there a move that you see out there that takes care of their need and also possibly could move Suarez or CE? Nothing that is an easy fit. I think realistically if the Padres’s chose to clear some payroll space and move Dylan Cece, Robert Suarez, as you mentioned, has a player option after this year. He’s likely going to opt out. So, if they chose to move them, it would likely be for prospects and they create payroll savings and then use that savings and maybe some of the prospects they acquired to go acquire a big impact bat or two because in order to get the quality of hitters they need, they need the payroll space, but they also need some more prospects to deal as well. Give me the update on Michael King. It sounds like he could be back soon and we all know how good he can be if he’s feeling 100%. And I mean, he can be a number one starter and a dude in the playoffs for them. And maybe that’s why they’re feeling a little bit better about potentially trading away cease and having him at the top of the rotation. Michael King, the last update was the Padres’s expect him to be back sometime in August. Now, I will caution the Padres’s are an organization that tends to say one thing on a timeline and it almost always takes longer. So, we’ll see exactly when he returns. But realistically, part of the reason the Potters are comfortable trading Dylan CE, he just hasn’t been very good this year. Um, you look at some of the peripherals, you like that, but his RA is 4.79. There’s been a lot of outings where he’s laboring. We just saw him throw 102 pitches to get through four and two/3 innings. There’s been a lot of 95 pitches for five innings, 103 pitches to get through six. And some of the people who look at the peripherals keep saying, “Oh, it’s going to get better. It’s going to get better. It’s just bad luck.” It’s actually getting worse. still in season has one quality start in the last six weeks and over those six weeks he has a 5.70 erra his fib for people who like underlying statistics is in the mid to high fours as well he’s giving up a lot of hard contact this year and a lot of hard contact in the air his command has not been very good all year and it’s not getting better so from the potter’s perspective you look at it and say despite the fact that Udarish has been hurt most the year Joe Musgrow’s out for the year after having TJ Dylan CE hasn’t been very effective and Michael King is hurt despite that the Potters are top five in majors in erra whip and opponent’s batting average. They feel like they have enough starting pitching to pick up the slack if they trade Dylan CE not just from Michael King but from some of the other arms in the rotation that have really stepped up and quietly had really good years like Ryan Ber Randy Vasquez and a couple guys at the back. Have there been conversations or questions asked of the Padres’s is Dylan CE healthy? Because you see you see free agent seasons where pitchers are like players are like no no no I’m playing through this and some of the peripherals just don’t work out. Yeah, he is healthy. The issue has been command again. He is his velocity is fine. He actually leads the majors in strikeouts per nine. I think a lot of people are missing that. And his command issues, they’re not manifesting in the walks. He’s not walking a lot of batters. What’s happening is he’s getting into a lot of deep counts. He’s falling behind in counts a lot. And then he’s also just missing over the plate a lot. Look, every pitcher is going to have a mistake pitch or two or three when you throw a 100 pitches a game. Dylan Ciss’s problem has been he’s making eight or nine mistake pitches a game. He’s averaging he’s allowing about a hit an inning over the last six weeks. Again, you look at all the baseball savant metrics, you know, hard hit rate, barrel rate. He’s in the bottom half of the league. So, his stuff is good enough to miss bats when he’s hitting his spots, but there’s been too many times over the course of games he’s not hitting his spots. And again, it has been one or two mistakes a game. has been eight or nine and he’s given up a lot of hard contact. As someone who loves Dylan CE, it hurts me to say he’s not having a good year because I wanted him to win the Sai Young this year because just I love Dylan C. So, but more importantly to me is is we keep hearing Suarez. Is he the only guy in the bullpen they’re willing to move or what about a Matsui or or anybody else out in that bullpen, Amory Hon or anybody they would be willing to talk about or is it just Suarez or Bust? And why I don’t even understand why they would trade Suarez. It’s not like he’s super expensive and he’s been really effective for him. The Padres’s bullpen is absolutely their strength and if they don’t have to trade from it, they certainly don’t want to. But when you talk about again the Padres’s having all the needs they do offensively and the lack of payroll space, they’re going to look at all potential options. And the argument for trading Suarez is he’s likely going to opt out at the end of the year. And the Padres’s can withstand his loss better than they could withstand a loss some other parts of their team. You have Jason Adam, you have Audrey Morone, you have Jeremiah Estrada. That would be a pretty good 789. So again, it’s just going to come down to the right package, the right player. Talk about other guys they could trade. Yuki Matsui, they would love to shed that salary, but his RA has been the high fours, low fives. He just has not been very effective. I can’t see many teams taking him on with $20 million left on his contract over multiple years. Wandy Peralta is a fine lefty. Um, but he has two player options after this year that you really don’t want him to pick up if you’re an acquiring team. So, it’s a little bit tricky. You know, Estrada, Adam, they’re all cheaper, but because they’re cheaper is why the Padres’s would want to keep them. We’ll see what happens. But if they’re going to trade someone, considering they need to move money, Suarez is the most logical candidate. CRTs. 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Let’s actually talk about the team now. They’re playing well. They’re playing really well right now. They’re swinging the bat. Bogards is is kind of turned a corner a little bit. What’s changed? What’s changed for these Padres’s? Their best hitters are all actually hitting at the same time, which is something they haven’t had this season. Xander Bogarts was one of the worst hitters in baseball for the first two and a half months. He was bottom 10 among all qualified hairs in OPS. Over the last month and a half, he’s hitting well over 300 with an OPS over 930. Frantise Jr. over his last 20 games, he’s hitting over 300 with an OPS in the 940s. Jackson Merrill was slumping. He had a two home run game against the Phillies, he’s on a nine-game hitting streak. You know, Manny Machado and Lisa Rise have been pretty consistent all year. So now that the Poders are getting all of their key hitters swinging the bat at the same time, we’re seeing them reach levels of offense. They haven’t for a while. The Potters have scored seven plus runs in half of their game since the All-Star break. They didn’t score seven runs in a game for a full month before that. So, the key guys hitting is a big big reason why. At the same time, guys are going to have ups and downs. They’re going to have highs and lows as we’ve seen from all these guys this year. So, the Padres’s can’t just count on all these guys being hot at the exact same time for two months straight. Really, three months straight. They need to get some other hitters to supplement to be able to pick up the slack when one of those guys gets hurt or goes through a slump as they inevitably will because we’re talking about baseball. It happens. Baseball’s hard, Kyle. Just remember, hitting is really hard to do. So, it does go like this. Okay. And the best ones keep the lows high and the highs higher. All right. But what about the starting pitcher for tonight? You Darvish 0 and3 with over a nine RA. Lot of wh high whip. Hasn’t been able to go deep. Hasn’t been able to miss a lot of bats. He’s over 40 years old now. Like what are we looking at here with Ud Darvish? I know he signed right for a couple more years too. Yeah, the Potters gave gave him an extension. He signed through age 42. Ud Darvish is still in a lot of ways building up from his elbow inflammation that kept him out for most of the season. You have to remember he only made one rehab start. Came out of that with some elbow tightness and after that was just throwing simulated games, was throwing some sides, some bullpen sessions. He didn’t really have much of a buildup in terms of two or three rehab starts to get used to the adrenaline, the feel of pitching an actual game. That’s what these last three starts have been. They’ve almost been part of his rehab process. But Padres’s hope is now as we move into start four, five, six, we start to see some improvements and get back to the old Udarish. They’re not too worried about his last three starts just because the way his rehab went. But if this continues, yeah, it’s going to be a concern. back if he had elbow tightness. Like I don’t I mean I like you need you can’t afford if you’re the Padres’s, you can’t afford to give away games. And again, they they they gave him a little bit of time off after that elbow tightness and they decided the best rehab continuation from that elbow tightness was to just keep him throwing simulated games and off to the side. So whether that was wise or not is obviously up for debate, but that was the decision they made. He hadn’t pitched for most of the season. I know that, but you would think you need to rehab to build up. I mean, this isn’t this isn’t Otani where you get an extra roster spot to build a guy up in the middle of the season. Yeah. This is like games the Padres’s need. Padres’s are in the thick of it. That’s why I don’t know. That’s why it’s surprising to hear and and listen, I played with you. I’ve known you for a long time. So, I mean, he if anyone could do it, it would be U Darvish. But man, the Padres’s these are important games for the Padres’s. No question about it. And look, the Padres’s, part of the reason they’re in position to be aggressive buyers at the deadline is they have been playing well. They had a losing record in June, their first losing month. July got off to an uneven start, but they’ve won four straight, taking, you know, the last two against the Cardinals in St. Louis, which is always tough, taking the first two of a series against the Mets. They won a series against the Phillies. The Poders are 59 and 49. They’ve actually created some breathing room between them and the rest of the wildard field. They’re three games up on the Reds, who are the first team out. The Padres’s the last team in right now. There was a point earlier this month, the Padres’s had fallen out of playoff position and their record was creeping closer and closer to 500. To their credit, in large part because of how good the offense has been recently and again the bullpen being lights out, the Potters are playing really well and that is what has put them in position to be aggressive and make some of these potentially big aggressive type of moves. Three weeks ago, it wasn’t clear they were going to be in position to do this. And to the team’s credit, they have put themselves in position. Yeah. Yeah. And if there’s two or three more of these starts for Darvish, he’ll probably go back on the IIO. Yeah, I know. But they’re trying to see if he can two or three or, you know, it comes down to it, which at one point it would look like it was, that could be the difference between getting it and not getting it, but you know, they have created some distance because some other teams have kind of fallen apart. Gosh, the Giants. Yeah, the Giants are one of them. Yeah, the Giants really fell apart. Let’s finish with that, Kyle. The NL West was looked at at this super division for the first couple months of the year. What happened? The Giants and Diamondbacks fell off. The Diamondbacks got didn’t get off to a great start, but there was a point where they were starting to pick it up. You saw this explosive offense, but the pitching just combination didn’t stay healthy or effective enough. So, they obviously have fallen off. Now, they’re clear sellers. And look, the Giants offense has been one of the worst in baseball for the better part of 3 months now. It started on May 15th and hasn’t really gotten better. They were still able to scratch out some games. They acquired Rafael Devers. You say, “Hey, they’re in position to take off. Instead, they have the worst record in baseball since June 15th when they acquired Devers.” And Devers has not been great, but it’s not like it’s been his fault. The entire offense has just not been producing. A lot of guys are not performing to the levels they should. And this has kind of been a problem for the Giants year in and year out finding the right offensive mix. And once again, it just isn’t happening. And to the Padres’s credit, they have taken advantage. Their offense was almost as bad as the Giants for the same stretch, but they did a better job staying afloat. And then once their guys started finding their rhythm again, they’ve been able to create some separation. Kyle, great stuff. I’m sure we’ll be chatting and we’ll be hearing from you on Frier territory when AJ Prowler does his thing, and we know he will, right? Absolutely. We’ll have a full uh wrap-up show. We’ve got Heath Bell, we’ve got Mike Cameron, we’ve got all sorts of guests. We will have you covered top to bottom for whatever the Padres’s do. Thank you, Kyle. We’ll talk to you soon. Subscribe to Frier Territory, too. That’s what I wanted to say. Yeah, absolutely. There it is. There’s Kyle and Heath. They’ll be breaking down trades for you. So, head over to Frier Territory. Uh they’re looking for their thousand subs. They’re in the mid8s, so give them a little love right now. Kyle’s one of the best and nicest in the biz.

Kyle Glaser from Friar Territory joins the show to break down what the Padres could do at the MLB Trade Deadline. From Dylan Cease rumors to potential Robert Suarez deals and how Michael King’s return could impact everything, Kyle gives us the latest intel on San Diego’s buying strategy. Can A.J. Preller pull off another blockbuster?

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Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/live/6FujmVERj9Y?feature=shared

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