San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Predictions Today | Best MLB Picks For 8/11/25
Why do you think I I couldn’t quite get there on the Giants over three and a half team total? Why could I not get there as a client play? Wow, what a uh awkward return to the program here, Andy, after a week off. I’m very happy to be back last week because I think uh not being able to make the spot last week gave me some negative juju. I’ll talk about that in a little bit. But, uh why I’m guessing you did not want to make it uh the Giants team total over three and a half. uh part of your official client card is well the Giants offense at home typically is not very good. Now we all know historically Or has been friendly to the pitchers, right? It is what we call a pitcher park. Uh this year it’s been kind of even more pitcher friendly than normal and no team knows that better than the Giants themselves. Second lowest scoring home team in all of baseball this season, Andy. Just 3.63 runs per game. Now that is 3.63. You don’t need to be a math major uh to know that it’s higher than 3.5. So, look, there’s a chance Andy’s team total could be right, and what I’m about to give you uh could be right as well. You mentioned the bad offense for the Giants over the weekend. Sunday, they were shut out by the Nationals. And this is really damning here. They were shut out by a Nationals team that is the highest bullpen erra in all of baseball, 5.88, and is starting was starting Mackenzie Gore. Mackenzie Gore came into that game in horrible form. This is an even tougher matchup against the Padres’s, which I’m sure you had to note there, Andy. They have the number one bullpen RRA in all of baseball. I agree. Darvish isn’t great, although he has allowed just five hits in his last two starts. Uh the silver lining for San Francisco, and perhaps this is why maybe Andy’s team total and the full game under, which is what I am endorsing here, in case you haven’t figured that out, may both hit. Logan Webb starting for the Giants tonight. And they talk about bullpens. I mentioned Padres’s number one in bullpen. Well, the Giants are number two. So, we’ve got the two top bullpens in all of baseball. You handicapping bullpens, as you know, Andy, has become more and more important each and every year in Major League Baseball. Uh, Web, he’s pitched traditionally much better at home. Comes off backto-back dominant starts against the Pirates, who I know you noted a few moments ago, um, are the weakest lineup in baseball. But, uh, Webb, 21 strikeouts in 11 and two/3 innings pitched in those two starts against the Pirates. I like it. He allowed just two runs. San Diego only 23rd in runs per game overall, guys. And they average fewer than four on the road. To sum it all up, all signs points to the under seven on this one. I think that is in line, correct me if I’m wrong, Andy, I was just joining as mentioning it with Giani that uh Sharps jumped on the under. I put the free play under seven and a half on my page. People could check that out, wt.B. But I would still play it at seven just for a smaller amount. Yeah, just so we’re clear, uh, Brian got assigned the Padres’s and the Giants, and I thought that was a good segue. So, yeah, you like the under, and yeah, you’re 100% right. I had a bunch of things like going in my favor that I liked it, and I was like, I can’t play this Giants team at home. They go over on the road every time, then they come home and it’s like they’re holding the bats the opposite way. Like look on the power five barrels on the power five yesterday Andy I endorsed the full game over with them in the nationals thinking hey because the Nats are a top 10 team and scoring on the road and I was like well they’re facing Gore and this hideous bullpen. All we needed was one run to send that game over instead it was a push at eight. Uh the Nats scored all if you would have told me going into that game are going to score eight runs BP I’d say well we’re going to be dancing in the streets with an easy over I do believe. Well, guess what? We were not because the Giants forgot to score. But hey, just because maybe we’re a little look at things a little differently doesn’t mean Andy and I can’t both be right on this game, folks. Giants could win it 4 to2 and we’re both winners. Easing. All right, Brian Power, tell everyone what you have up for clients on this Monday. Yeah. So, uh, you have until tomorrow to get on board this special offer. We’re doing 30 days for $199. Uh, I think it’s a great deal. We have not had a losing record in any month this year. Andy, now August, I alluded to this earlier. August is off to um not the start that I was hoping for. It was actually just a bad weekend uh culminating yesterday. Uh still a little I’m in kind of a bad mood, Andy. I I may not have shown it. I always try to put a smile on my face when I come on the program, but in a little bit of a bad mood from yesterday. I had the Mets as a 4% play. Uh they were up five nothing on the Brewers. Mets did not win that game. They lost in walk-off fashion. I don’t know what voodoo the Brewers have under their caps, but uh tip tip your cap to them. They’re doing well. But despite anyway, despite uh the kind of rough weekend here, have not had a losing record any month this year. And we’re going to try to That means it’s great time to get on board because I’ve lost a couple days. Uh I’m just one and four the last three days. So, great time to get on board. We bounce back 30 days for $199. Not only does that get you baseball, it’s not just baseball. Get you the start of college football. The Blitz, by the way, coming up in oh 10 days, the Blitz will be making its debut here on Wager Talk TV live every Thursday at 1 PM. So, you’re gonna get all my college football uh to start the season, all my NF the first week of NFL, regular seasons included. And European soccer starts this week. And I know you were talking a little bit soccer a few moments ago. La Liga and the EPL get going this weekend. Very excited about that. Nobody’s been more profitable betting soccer than me going back to April of 2024. Up 61.6 Six units on the pitch.
If you are looking for MLB picks, predictions and best bets for today’s San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants matchup, we have you covered! Our MLB handicapping experts discuss the spread and total from a sports betting perspective, sharing their picks and predictions vs the current odds.
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Game Details
Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025 — 9:45 PM ET / 6:45 PM PT
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA — home of the #Giants (lineups and streaming via Baseball‑Reference preview)
How to Watch
TV Coverage:
San Francisco viewers: NBC Sports Bay Area
San Diego viewers: SDPA (regional RSN)
Streaming: Available via MLB.TV, authenticated RSN apps, and major national platforms
Team Twitter Hashtags
#Padres | #SFGiants
Betting Odds & Game Lines
Moneyline: Padres –160 | Giants +132
Total Runs (O/U): Set at 9 runs
Rivalry Highlights & Team Notes
San Diego Padres
Recent boost: Following a series of deadline acquisitions—including All-Star closer Mason Miller—the Padres now hold a 95% playoff probability, with a surging record of 27–21 post-trade deadline
Core strengths: Top-tier pitching depth (fourth in MLB fWAR) and clutch finishes; offense ranks mid-pack in power despite star names
San Francisco Giants
A franchise of history and grit, this marks their 143rd MLB season and second under manager Bob Melvin
Relief anchor: All-Star reliever Randy Rodríguez, promoted early in 2025, now serves as the closer after Doval’s trade—making Giants history as the first non-closer reliever selected as an All-Star
Series & Season Context
This matchup kicks off a crucial three-game NL West showdown, pivotal for playoff positioning for both teams
Giants are battling to regain footing, while the Padres have maintained momentum and depth heading into this stretch
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4 comments
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🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for MLB today? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Yu Darvish is going to have a good game.
Liking SDP tonight on their ml
He needs to win two straight, he's doing his best to get into good form
Appreciate the video
Padres +118
Thanks for watching everyone and GL tonight with your bets!