The All Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Episode One: The forward group
With fantasy football drafts quickly approaching, I had a natural question. What if I could do one for the Oilers? On today’s edition of Lockown Oilers, the forward group for the best players of the Conor McDavid era. You are Locked On Oilers, your daily podcast on the Edmonton Oilers, part of the Locked On podcast network. Your team every day. Hello everyone and welcome to this Monday edition of Locked on Oilers. I am your host Nick Cerrares. This upcoming October will be my fourth season as a host on the Lockdown Podcast Network and I want to thank everyone that is along for the ride even in the dead of summer. Lockdown Oilers is a part of the Lockdown Podcast Network where we’ve got your team covered every day. Today’s show is brought to you by our friends over at Monarch Money. Take control of your finances today with Monarch Money. Use code locked on NHL and you’ll get 50% off your first year subscription at monarchmoney.com. So on today’s edition of Lockdown Oilers, I have a very natural question. Who are the best forwards of the Conor McDavid era in Edmonton? And being that I am a little neurotic and a little competitive, I wanted to make it more challenging than your straightforward fantasy rosters. So, these are the parameters and I’ll break down how the show is going to work for today. So, number one, salary cap ceiling of $71.5 million for the whole roster. We’re going to do forwards today. We’re going to do defense tomorrow. We’re going to do goalies on Wednesday. So, with that parameter, the only other one two parameters, the salary cap is $71.5 million. You can only pick one entry-level contract and you have to pick a specific year of a given player. You can’t just say I want Zack Heyman. You need to pick 2023 2024 Zack Heyman. So, we’re going to start today’s episode, our opening segment by talking about the criteria and the logic of roster building, why we made some of the decisions we did. Our second segment, we’ll break down the top six. And then the third and final segment, we will break down the bottom six. So, I like doing these thought exercises, these roster building challenges. First of all, just cuz they’re fun to do. They’re an interesting way to think about hockey. I I very much come from the FIFA squad builder challenges of the mid2010s that YouTubers used to do against each other where they would rip packs to meet certain criterias where you would need x number of players from different countries, x number of leagues, x number of clubs, etc. to make it challenging because it’s not just enough to put together a dream team. It’s also about putting together a dream team that shows how smart you are. That shows you know how to do the research that shows you understand where value is. And the most important question when it comes to this challenge is where you burn that entry-level contract on. So really straightforward, you had three candidates for entry-level contract that made sense. McDavid, Dry Cidle, Evan Bousard. Now, Bousard obviously in the defense episode tomorrow. So, spoiler alert, we did not use our entry- level contract on Evan Buchard. And I like to think about it in this respect. A forward is always going to be more valuable than a defenseman. A defenseman is always going to be more valuable than a goalie. Now, a great goalie can overcome adverse environmental factors maybe a little bit easier than a superstar defenseman or or forward. and they can carry for a given game or two, if you will. But by and large, the biggest inefficiency we have today in the National Hockey League is how underpaid superstar players are. There was an article a week or two ago, and I believe it was Sprak’s blog where they estimated Conor McDavid’s production was worth $50 million a season. Obviously, that’s a ludicrous number and I don’t understand necessarily the criteria they came to that evaluation with, but that just gives you a understanding of the scale here that in a sport with a better TV deal and just more overall revenue, it wouldn’t be out of the question for McDavid to be making 20, 25, even as much as $30 million per year. And the fun part of doing this was going back and looking through the given seasons. And you might ask yourself, well, Nick, what season of McDavid and dry citles, respectively, was the best? And that wasn’t the first question I asked myself. I asked myself, what is the most costefficient best season one of these guys generated? And really quickly, if you’re listening intently, you’re going to come to the conclusion that we used our entry-level contract on Conor McDavid. I think there’s no reservations really about getting a heart trophy caliber forward at $925,000 per year. And that does create some of the trickle down conditions. You know, if because we’re using our entry-le contract on McDavid, we can’t use it on Dry Cidle. Dry Cidle went from an entry- level contract to the long-term deal that expired at the end of this past season before the new one kicks in. So, we have got the best player in the world, at least a heart trophy candidate at $925,000. We have a twotime heart trophy finalist at $8.5 million. We are already so far ahead of where most teams would be in this environment and we’re doing it in a cost-effective way. Now, the fun question is which seasons did we pick? So, for McDavid, we went with 2016 2017 and for Leon Dryidle, we went with 2018 2019. The other part of understanding this assignment and why I wanted to make it challenging, it needs to make sense. You couldn’t put together this lineup and tell me, “Yeah, Taylor Hall is going to be the fourth line left wing because of the way the rest of the lineup shakes out.” No, that’s not the way we’re going to do this. We are going to make this plausible. We are going to make this cap compliant and we are going to make this a challenge. We are going to make this interesting. you are going to need specialized players and we have a very specialized lineup. Uh it’s going to be a bit of a spoiler here as I tease to set up our second segment where we talk about the top six, but there’s a lot of different types of players throughout this lineup in all s in all phases. You need guys who can distribute, guys who can chase the puck, who can forche, and guys who can score goals. That’s the balance we’re trying to establish here. In an ideal world, you’re going to have a line that has at least one of each of those. Now, some players are so good, they profile as more than one of those. You know, Leon is a distributor and a goal scorer. Zack Hyman is a goal scorer and a for checker. That’s how you want to think about constructing this roster because you want it to be cost effective to meet the salary requirements. You want it to make sense so that you don’t look like you’re just trying to build the best team possible. You want to make the utility and the function the most apparent part. And that’s what we shot for here. I really tried to put together a team that was conceivable, that was feasible. And the last real point I wanted to make before we take our first break of the show, a lot of this talent, unsurprisingly, comes in the last handful of seasons. A lot of the guys we’re going to talk about on today’s episode in the forward group are from the last two or three years. These are guys who have been to conference finals, Stanley Cup finals, and in a lot of cases, and I I’ve talked about this quite a bit this summer, the Oilers have suffered quite a bit of brain drain over the last two years. That is the penance you pay as a Stanley Cup caliber team. When you are consistently good for one, two, three, four years, eventually your guys who are relatively underpaid to what their production is will get caught up. Whether they’re restricted free agents to unrestricted free agency, entry- level contracts to restricted free agents, or just veterans who deserve payraises. You think about the incremental ones guys like Cory Perry, Matias Yanmar, Connor Brown, Adam Henrik all got relative to what they had been paid the year before. Now, those none of those individually set you back a whole lot. But you add up 250 here, 300 there. Really quickly, you’re at a million million and a half. And then you can start, well, a million and a half if for three guys, we could start talking about maybe we do this instead. And that’s what makes these types of exercises a challenge. That’s what makes these types of exercises fun. We are going to take our first break on today’s edition of Locked on Oilers. When we come back, I’m going to tell you who’s lining up alongside Conor McDavid and Leon Dryidle and our fantasy best of the Conor McDavid era team. Coming up next on Locked on Oilers, where we’ve got your team covered every day. Most people can’t name all their financial accounts or even what they’re worth, whether it’s 401ks, properties, or investments. And if you don’t have the full picture, you can leave money on the table. That’s why there’s our friends at Monarch Money. It’s an all-in-one personal finance tool that brings your entire financial life together in one easy to use interface on your laptop or your phone. Monarch does the heavy lifting for you. You can link all of your accounts in minutes, see clear data visuals, and get smart categorization of your spending, and finally feel in control of your money without ever touching a spreadsheet. As somebody who lives in 2025, I have a lot of subscriptions to keep track of. The gym, streamers, so many options, and Monarch helps me keep track of what I am paying for. Do not let financial opportunity slip through the cracks. Use code locked on NHL atmononey.com for half off your first year subscription. One more time, it is that good of a deal. 50% off your first year subscription at monarchmoney.com with code locked on NHL. Thank you to everyone who is hanging out on this Monday edition of Locked On Oilers. This project was fun. I I’m just going to come out and say I I I enjoy these types of exercises that really force you to do research that force you to use your brain. And when you organize this type of project, you use a bunch of different resources. I used Puckedia, I used Hockey Reference, I used Evolving Wild, I used Natural Statrick, I I used Moneypuck, I used Dober Prospects. There are so many resources and databases out there just waiting to be tapped into. You know, there are plenty of free resources. You know, just with natural static, hockey reference, money puck, and dober prospects, you can do a lot of the heavy lifting that I do on a given episode. If you’re curious, you want to learn more, you want to understand more about the game, the tools and the resources for you to become more informed, to develop your own theories, your own philosophies, they’re out there waiting for you to be tapped into. And it is a great opportunity. And most of all, the thing I enjoy about it the most, it helps me understand more. And I talk about this all the time, and the everydayers know this, everybody watches hockey a little bit differently because there’s so much going on in a given sequence. It’s not like football where you’re looking at the receivers, you’re looking at the blocking, and you’re looking at how the quarterback reads the defense. Hockey, each one of those individual matchups, all five guys for five guys, they all manifest very differently. You know, we’re not reading high lows on a crossing route. and just making the read off what the defense is giving us. We’re trying to make a read based off of what our linemates are giving us, off of what the defense and the goalie are giving us if we’re in the offensive zone. And that was really the impetus for putting together this forward group the way I have. So you heard me before say we have McDavid at up front as our first line center on his entry level contract. We have Dry Cidle at 8.5 million as our second line center. So to start out this conversation, we’re going to go right to a line that Oiler fans and everydayers are very familiar with, but a specific version of both guys. So to complement Conor McDavid on the first line as his wingers, we have 2023 2024 Zack Heyman who scored 54 goals at $5.5 million paying only a million dollars per 10 goals. incredible value. And then on the left, Ryan Nent Hopkins at 5.125 million and we were taking the 2022 2023 version of Ryan Nan Hopkins who had over 100 points that season. The logic of course you take the outlier seasons. Were there other guys I considered? Yeah. I looked at Jordan Eberly. I looked at I did look at Kyler Yamamoto and yes, I did look at Jesse Parvey who is on this team by the way. I looked at James Neil. I looked at Milan Luchich. I went through a lot of different avenues. I looked at Zack Cassian. I wanted to try and be objective. I wanted to be fair. I did not want to let my preconceived notions of value and these guys respective talent levels and performances dictate this exercise. I wanted to go by the primary sources. I wanted to go by the data and make my determinations in conjunction with the data. That’s why we picked the two extreme outlier seasons. And look, we all know Zack Heyman’s not a 50 goal guy. 50 goals is a very high threshold. We’re talking about 10 15 players over the last 20 years. You know, Sam Reinhardt, Ovuchetkin did it a couple times. Cory Perry did it once back in the day with Anaheim. But by and large, we are talking about very rarified error. And then you get Ryan Nan Hopkins with that 100point season pretty much out of nowhere, frankly. And I think you have Heyman as your netfront and your puck retriever. You have McDavid as your distributor. You have Ryan Nan Hopkins as your distributor and a little bit more of the defensive responsibility. And I think frankly if we’re playing NG in this role on the first line, we’re we’re asking him to tilt the ice a little bit. We’re asking him to help McDavid and Hyman drive towards offense and we’re going to focus on possession. And of course, we’ll talk about the defensive pairs and how we’d like to roll them out more on on Wednesday’s show. So I excuse me on tomorrow’s show. So, I don’t want to get too ahead of myself, but yeah, we’re going to tilt the ice as aggressively as humanly possible. We are going to live off of Conor McDavid’s zone entries. We’re going to live off of drop passes, and we are going to create chaos in the offensive zone. We want that free flowing state of motion that the Oilers can operate in when they’re at their best. and having McDavid with two complimentary wingers that he has a proven track record of success with on at their best versions, you know, new just 100 points, Heyman’s 50 goals, the extreme outlier seasons which so happened to come along on nice contracts that worked out well. And we talked about this last week. Uh Zack Heyman’s one of the best deals in hockey. You know, even last year on the 26 goal season he had where he was injured, he missed a lot of games. Zack Heyman at five and a half pretty good deal even with the production they did get from him. Sure, he’s getting older. The lingering doom of an age related regression is plausible for sure, but I do think there is the capacity for the Oilers to probably squeeze a little bit more out of there. And in this fantasy exercise, we’re taking the best version of both of these guys. Now, for Leon Dryidle’s wingers, I wanted to go for something a little more interesting. On the left, we have 2015 2016 Taylor Hall, who comes in at $6 million. Crazy to me. Taylor Hall was making more money than Zack Heyman was 5 10 years ago on a restricted free agent. Tell him look Taylor Hall really good player won a heart trophy. He’ll probably end up being one of like three guys ever to win a heart trophy who doesn’t end up in the hockey hall of fame. That season in New Jersey particularly weird that that NHL season at large 2017 2018 was very weird. But when you think about it, you are getting high-end skating. You are getting really strong finishing and you are getting someone who frankly has ha shown a lot of utility over the years. He was putting together a pretty nice run of form in Carolina. He had a really nice season in Boston a couple years ago on that Bruins team that set the record when they won the President’s Trophy for season points. Taylor Hall put together a really solid NHL career even though it’s been very weird. you know, the Oilers trading him for Adam Larson, then him getting traded from New Jersey to Arizona, signing in Buffalo, getting traded to Boston, getting traded to Chicago, getting traded to Carolina. He’s had a very unconventional path to get where he is. And that’s a really good hockey player who’s going to end up getting lost to time where if you’re not in the age cohort that’s going to remember him, you know, in your teens or 20s during the 2010s and 2020s, he’s someone who’s going to get lost to time. You know, they’ll see he won a heart trophy and they’ll go, “Who’s Taylor Hall?” And that’ll be 10, 15 years from now, which will sound crazy, but believe me, we’ll get there where Taylor Hall is the way some people talk about guys like Rouslon Federateno and Vinnie Lavier. You know, there’s going to be a genuine drop off in understanding and knowledge of the history. And then this one might surprise you a little bit. I mentioned him a few minutes ago. I have Jesse Pul Yarvey on the right of Dry Cidle. And this is an area where I genuinely didn’t know what I wanted to do. I opted to go for possession. I opted to go for forchecking in conjunction with what we saw out of Dry Cidle’s functionality last year and playing with Pod Kohl’s and somebody who was a menace on the forche. I think and look, Paul Yarvey has had a lot working against him between injuries, between fit. You know, the Oilers were trying to be competitive. They were trying to win championships during the draft plus one, two, three, four years of P Yarvy. So, they were a lot less inclined to wait on him for him to figure it out. And I think there’s a pretty solid hockey player in there. And at the price point we’re getting him at at only 1.2 2 million. I think as the forch checker, the overqualified grinder, I think he would do a really nice job playing alongside Dry Cidle and Taylor Hall and really kind of operate as a spacing force that with him out there as the forecker as a netfront player, you’re going to give Dry Cidle more opportunities and the counter version of that, the inverse of that because Dryidle is such a dangerous offensive player, he’s going to open up more space for Taylor Hall. He’s going to open up more space for Jesse Pul Yarvey. And most importantly, we’re getting P Yari at a bargain. That was probably the hardest part of putting this together was keeping TAP compliant because you build the team out from your stars down obviously, but you needed to make it make sense and PVY at this price point for this role makes a whole lot of sense. We are going to take our second and final break on today’s edition of Locked on Oilers. When we come back, I’m going to tell you who rounds out the bottom six, why I opted for specialization, and a whole lot more. So, be sure to stick around to this edition of Locked on Oilers, where we’ve got your team covered every day. Thank you to everyone who is hanging out on this Monday edition of Locked on Oilers as we are breaking down the all Conor McDavid team so far. And look, maybe we’re having a different conversation two or three years from now and we’re talking about Ike Howard or Matthew Savvois on their first restricted free agent deals coming off of their ELC’s as being valuable pieces. And that was really the driving force in a lot of the decisions here was because we used McDavid’s entry-level contract, a lot of the interesting younger players over the last handful of seasons. I would have loved to have gotten Dylan Holloway on this team, but he was on an ELC. I I would have liked to have gotten Philip Broberg on the defense. He was on an ELC. We wanted to make this a challenge. So, in the interest of that, rounding out our bottom six, and frankly, one of the more interesting parts of this, and frankly, my big focus was speed because there is a lasting image in my brain of this past Stanley Cup final where Adam Henrik, Connor Brown, Yanmar, they’re trying their absolute best out there against Florida. They are trying to survive. They are trying to grind it out, but they just don’t have the foot speed. And look, Connor Brown and Yanmark, pretty quick skaters. They’re pretty good in a straight line. You know, Yanmark is the human zone entry. It’s just that once he gains the zone, he forgets how to play hockey, which is really a challenge that the Oilers should try and address. But in the interest of speed and interest of functional bottom six play, our third line center is Ryan Mloud, the 2023 2024 version at 2.1 million. I wish there was a world where the Oilers could have kept him at that price point. Frankly, I think there’s an argument to be made that if they had let Adam had walk and tried to make it work with Mloud, they probably would have been better off. Mloud is the type of player that you do need to gamble on. You need to give him a bit more of a responsibility, a bit more of an opportunity to play. That way, he can grow and maybe become a little bit more. On the left of Ryan Mloud, we have a Warren Fogle from 2022 2023 at 2.75 million. And then on the right we have Connor Brown from this past season at a million bucks. Look, Connor Brown in a straight line really good. I think he can give you 10 to 15 goals. I think his value on the penalty kill is pretty reasonable as well. I think you look at that as an upside functionalitybased third line. Now there’s no great goal scoring. There’s no Blake Coleman from the Tampa Bay run. There’s no Brad Marshan. There’s no Anton Lindell. But all three of these guys are pretty good skaters. All three of these guys have above average offensive instincts and you marry those two principles together on a third line where generally other teams are kind of piecing it together. You know, that’s really one of the points of demarcation between a good team and a great team is that a great team, their bottom six, everybody’s very defined in their role. Everybody kind of knows what they need to do. You know that as simple as it is, there’s a reason Bill Bich got as far as he did with do your job as a mantra. Don’t do someone else’s job. Do your job. And frankly, with Mloud, Fogle, and Connor Brown, I feel pretty good about these guys ability to do their jobs, to really grind it out, to cycle the puck and slow the game down with puck control using their foot speed. They can generate zone entries on the raw foot speed. And then because they have above average skating, they can create a little bit more space for themselves than your average NHL third liner. And then to round out the bottom six, Vasili Podcolson on the left from this past year at a million bucks. 2021 2022 Derek Ryan in the middle. And then Cory Perry from 2023 2024 at 775. Now this fourth line not as fast. That third line is maybe overcompensating with the straight line skate speed to make up for the fact that this fourth line Pod Kohl’s and Derek Ryan. Cory Perry’s pretty slow. I think Corey Perry and Derek Ryan in particular, two of the slower players in the NHL, even when they weren’t completely old and really specialized. And Perry at 775 for 10 goals, steal the the baseline I have always used in my evaluations, at least when it comes to forwards, defenseman’s a little bit more tricky because they don’t put up counting stats. And look, this is just a snapshot, but my general rule of thumb has always been you pay a million dollars for every 10 goals a player scores. If they score 10, excuse me, for every 10 points they score and then if the for every 10 goals they score, it’s one and a half million. So getting Cory Perry at 775 for a 10 goal season, steal. And the way you think about this in your head, so if Conor McDavid has 120 points next year, that’s worth 12.5 million. Now you can extrapolate that out a little bit more once you do the conversion of goals for every 10 million and a half, etc. But you get what I’m saying here. Goals are the most valuable thing in hockey. That is what you want to pay for. You want to pay for convertible translatable statistics. As much as I like some of the guys in the NHL, you know, I love Vasili Pod Cole in the player. He was one of the real enjoyable parts of last season was watching him grow into a player who felt good enough about his game that he played well enough to stick in the top six. Even though in Vancouver he could barely crack the lineup. you know, he was an afterthought in Vancouver at the end there. And in Edmonton, he was able to be reborn as a supporting winger on a superstars line, which as we talk about a lot here on Locked on Oilers, and the Everydayers hear me say it a lot. It’s not easy playing with Leon or Connor. You know, yeah, they make you better, but at the same time, the game goes like that when you’re playing with those guys. And if you don’t have that processing, and look, nobody has superstar processing other than superstars. That’s usually one of the real points of demarcation between good and great players is their ability to kind of slow the game down. You know, that’s what makes Tom Brady Tom Brady. That’s what makes Payton Manning Manning in this case. That’s what makes Conor McDavid Conor McDavid. It’s that McDavid’s going 100 million miles per hour, but the game is slow around him and he’s able to think it faster than everyone else. That’s really the key here. So, the main idea for this lineup is that our top six is going to do a lot of the heavy lifting. They’re going to score a lot of the goals. They’re going to have a lot of possession. Our third line, that is our salt the game away. We are dumping the puck 200 feet. We’re letting Fogle, Connor Brown for check, Ryan Mloud for the breakaways. We have Brown for breakaways as well. And then when we need it, we can mix and match and miss and mosh. And if we’re in an end game situation and we need the six on five and we feel we want Cory Perry out there instead of Taylor Hall or if we want Taylor Hall out there on the first power play instead of Ryan Nen Hopkins to get an extra shooter. That’s the interesting part of this team and why frankly I think it would be very fun to assemble and put together. Maybe I’ll try and do this in the EA Sports video game and see what I can do as far as making that happen because I think the skill sets match up very nicely. We are not spending a crazy amount. You know, our most expensive forward is Leyon at eight and a half million. We have Taylor Hall at a very reasonable six and a half7 million dollars per year. You think about that in the context of some of the contracts that are on the team right now, Ryan Nen Hopkins and Zack Heyman, where Taylor Hall, you know, the salary cap when Taylor Hall signed that deal was like $60 million, $50 million. and you’re talking about almost 10% of the salary cap. Whereas now, Zack Heyman at five and a half million against a 955 salary cap, that feels like a steal. And that’s really one of the fun parts of this exercise is trying to get an understanding of how value is changed in hockey and what teams are prioritizing as the cap has gone up. What are teams choosing to use their newfound liquidity on? Are you spending it on goals? Are you spending it on intangibles? But and that’ll do it for part one of the allconed Oilers. Tomorrow we will do the defenseman. Wednesday we will do the goalies and Thursday or Friday depends how jet-lagged I am. I will be back in the states and we will have a more upto-date episode. I will talk to you guys tomorrow. But before we get out of here, subscribe to Locked on Oilers wherever you get your podcast. If you’re on Apple or Spotify, please take a second, give the show that shiny fivestar review. It helps so much more than you think. If you’re watching over on YouTube, hit the subscribe button, hit the alarm bell. I’m going to put the parameters for assembling the team in the description. If you want to get in on the fun, by all means, I’d be more than happy to engage. I I like this exercise. I think it’s a lot of fun. I think you can learn a lot and frankly develop some ideas, which is the fun part about doing this. Be sure to check out locked on NHL and locked on NHL game night where they are breaking down all 32 teams ahead of the 2025 2026 NHL season. I will talk to you guys tomorrow. Until then, let’s go Oilers.
What if you could build the ultimate Edmonton Oilers lineup—but only from players who have shared the ice with Connor McDavid? In this episode, we take on the All Connor McDavid Teammates squad-building challenge. The rules are simple but ruthless: every player must have played with McDavid in Edmonton, the roster must fit under the salary cap, and only one player can be on a rookie contract. From star wingers to unsung depth pieces, we debate every position, make some tough cuts, and see just how dangerous this fantasy Oilers team could be.
Whether you’re a die-hard Oilers fan or just love a good roster-building puzzle, this one’s loaded with hockey talk, cap-crunch math, and plenty of McDavid-era nostalgia.
0:00 Intro: Fantasy draft for Oilers players
5:42 Top players and salary cap considerations
11:18 First line: McDavid, Hyman, and Nugent-Hopkins
16:55 Second line: Draisaitl, Hall, and Puljujärvi
22:02 Third line: Speed and functionality focus
The All Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Episode One: The forward group
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