Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions Today | Best MLB Picks For 9/2/25

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions Today | Best MLB Picks For 9/2/25

It’s time for another Major League Baseball free pick. It’s also $5 Tuesday. Uh so before I get into it, I do have a KBO play up for five bucks, but I also posted a free client playing Major League Baseball on my page. And if you’re looking for the breakdown of that, I gave it out on this morning’s Total Bases show. So I’ve got one game to talk to you guys about today. We’re going to get into Mariners Rays in just a second. But if you’re looking for an hour worth of of free baseball analysis and picks, check out Total Bases. It’s up on the Wager Talk YouTube channel. Um and and we do that show 5 days a week, Monday through Friday, 9:00 a.m. Eastern live and then it’s on demand on the Wager Talk YouTube channel where you will get a 4% play which is normally $25 on the site for free today in Major League Baseball. And then if you want my other play, the only other play I have up right now, another 4enter that’s in KBO and that’s just $5 today as part of the promo for $5 Tuesday. I’m six and two on my last eight KBO selections. Had a very good month of August in the KBO and um that play is up on my page for just five bucks. So that’s that’s two plays that are normally 25 bucks a piece. One’s for free, one is $5 and it’s $5 Tuesday on the website. So check out everyone’s page because everyone’s got a play up for $5. Uh that’s normally full price. Okay, let’s talk Mariners raise. Yesterday we talked about this game and we cashed with the over as a free pick selection. Yesterday we went one and one on our free pick selections. Rays Mariners over got there. Orioles Padres’s over fell just short though. Uh they had six of the eight runs they needed by the fifth inning. So that was unfortunate that that one get didn’t get there. But the Rays and Mariners went over in the end. 10-2 final. The Rays won. Now we’re looking at this game again today. I’m tempted to go the other way in this one and play the Mariners after they got blown out yesterday. So, let’s start. I mean, I’m not even going to go too far into the pitching here because I really feel like you’re splitting hairs trying to sort of like that. That can’t be the way you’re handicapping this game. Both of these pitchers are tremendous. Brian Woo has been phenomenal this year. comes into play with a sub one whip and then you’ve got Drew Rasmmanson who’s right there as well. I mean, when you have two starting pitchers, one’s got a 095 whip and one’s got a 098 whip. Really, really good. And again, they both have like, you know, you could say, okay, Raspersonson’s given up some exit VO. You know, you could say that that Woo maybe, you know, isn’t as good on the road. And I’m just saying that off memory. I I know he he’s tremendous at T-Mobile Park. I guess you could say that about the Mariners in general, but the point is I just don’t think that you’re you’re going to land on a handicap in this game looking at the starting pitching, which I think is is very very even. Um, when you look at at the starting pitching in this game, where I think the Mariners have the edge here is basically everything else. Uh, I I and this goes back to, you know, I maybe I have the RA Mariners rated too high. I don’t think I did. If anything, I was ahead of the curve on this team. I said back in, you know, I was on this team back in April and May when they were in like third or fourth place in the division, uh they in my opinion have have panned out to be what I expected them to be this year. 73 and 65. They’re right in the mix to win the AL Central. They’re three games back of the Astros entering play today. I’m still very very high in this Mariners team and I still I know they’re third I know they’re they’re 32 and 38 on the road. I still think this is a team that profiles better in their road ballpark as they do their home ballpark. So you look at the Mariners record this year, 41 and 27 at home, 32 and 38 on the road, but I think their home edge comes from the fact that teams that’s a tough trip to get out to Seattle. Um almost nothing is close to Seattle either. So very rarely, even if Seattle falls in your road trip, did you not have to travel a long way, whereas the other way around, the Rays being on the East Coast, there’s a lot more teams that are closer to them. So like, you don’t have the Mariners going all the way to Tampa Bay here. Um, you have them coming from Cleveland. That’s not terrible travel. And so I’m not going to like ding them for for sort of having to make a trip because they already came east. They were already in the East Coast time zone. So again, even though they have a losing record on the road, they they they’re an offense that’s very predicated on hitting the ball out of the ballpark. And their home ballpark, T-Mobile Park, is one of the toughest to do it in the league. Yet, they do it particularly well. They’re 41 and 27 at home. Now, not every major league ballpark is home run friendly, is hitter friendly, but Stein Burner Field certainly is. This is a spring training facility. as a major league ballpark. This is one of the smallest parks you’re gonna find in Major League Baseball. This isn’t like playing at Tropicana Field. The ball’s going to get out of this of this ballpark. And the and the the um the Mariners as are a prol in my opinion, they’re a prolific home run hitting team. They have their issues. They have a hard time stringing hits together at times, but one to nine, they can hit the ball out of the ballpark. And that’s not what I really want to bet against. at Stein Brener Field. Now, Drew Rasmmanson doesn’t give up a ton of fly balls. He’s a pretty solid ground ball pitcher, but the one, if I could find one area where I think, you know, maybe he could improve a little bit or where he could be beat potentially, it’s hard hit rate, it’s exit velocity. And, you know, if you can elevate and hit a ball 100 miles an hour. So like his average exit VLOO is 90.5. That’s actually in the bottom 20% of Major League Baseball. So you know if these Mariners hitters who are very good at launch angle and hitting the ball over the the wall, like for lack of a better term, they’re a good home run hitting team. You know, I if they if some of their hard hit has a good launch angle, it’s getting out of this park. And that’s what I’ve been talking about about the Mariners being a team that maybe profiles a little bit better in opposing parks. It’s this is exactly what I’m talking about when I say that. So when you have two elite starting pitchers, Brian Woo, Drew Rasmmanson, and and you’re looking for a way to sort of differentiate these two teams, I’d rather take a chance with Brian Woo, who has again, you’re not going to find many holes in his game either. and I’d rather take a chance with him as opposed to Rasperson because I think Woo can handle this Rays lineup. I’m not sure Raspersonson doesn’t get hit out of the park at some point during this game and and that might be the difference in a game like this. Then you talk about bullpens. Both have very strong bullpens. I still like the Mariners the way that that their bullpen sets up here. I think it’s one of the elite units in the league. So again, I think pitching you’re probably splitting hairs trying to find the difference between these two teams. But the Mariners ability to to hit a home run and maybe have a couple of guys on base when that happens gives them the slightest of edges here. It’s probably not something that’s going to make my client card, but I think it’s enough of an edge where in that minus 105US 110 range, you can at least consider backing the Mariners in this game. So the free pick today is the Mariners. But like I said, I gave my 4% MLB. I just got excited on my way on my Total Basis show today and I just gave it out. I didn’t intend to do that. So, that was a play I intended to sell for full price, but we were talking about it and I decided to lock it in while we were on the show. That’s up on my page right now and you can get the full analysis for that on the total basis show. It is $5 Tuesday. I’ll go in KBO for the $5 play. Six and two in my last eight KBO plays. Three straight winning months. I’m number one on the site since June 1st. So, I’ve had three really good months and I started September off yesterday with a 2 and 0 in Major League Baseball, plus eight units. Mets and Giants both got it done. Appreciate you guys tuning in as always. I’ll be back in the morning. Total bases 9:00 a.m. Eastern. Good luck if you play the free play tonight. Go check out the free 4enter I gave out and uh good luck. Cash all your tickets. We’ll see you guys in the morning.

If you are looking for MLB picks, predictions and best bets for today’s Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays matchup, we have you covered! Our MLB handicapping experts discuss the spread and total from a sports betting perspective, sharing their picks and predictions vs the current odds.

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Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays • September 2, 2025 • MLB Regular Season

⏱ First Pitch & Venue

First Pitch: Tuesday, September 2, 2025 — 7:35 PM ET / 6:35 PM CT

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL — serving as the Rays’ temporary home after Hurricane Milton damaged Tropicana Field earlier this year.

How to Watch

Tampa Bay Market: Local coverage on FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Seattle Market: Regional broadcast on ROOT Sports Northwest, with a blackout-free streaming option via the Root Sports Stream app (available for $19.99/month).

Out-of-Market Streaming: Available on MLB.TV.

Betting Snapshot

Moneyline:

Mariners: –145 (favorites)
Rays: +125 (underdogs)
Total Runs (O/U): 9 runs

Probable Pitchers:

Mariners: Bryan Woo
Rays: Drew Rasmussen

Team Twitter Hashtags

Seattle Mariners: #Mariners, #SeaUsRise
Tampa Bay Rays: #Rays, #RaysUp

Interesting Facts & Context

Playoff Implications on the Line

Seattle holds the third AL Wild Card spot with an 87.1% chance of making the postseason. A win here could solidify their position.

Tampa Bay’s playoff hopes have dipped to below 2%, making every game a must-win.

Ace vs. Ace Clash

This matchup features two pitchers with explosive stuff headlining the evening: Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Drew Rasmussen for the Rays. Both rank high in fastball quality.

Fan Night & Alumni Return

Tuesday’s game is Jewish Heritage Night in Tampa, with autograph sessions—including Randy Arozarena’s return from an injury earlier in the season—expected to drive local fan interest.

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