A VERY Different Winnipeg Jets Team May Be On The Horizon (And Sooner Than You Think)
The Winnipeg Jets have quite a few upcoming free agents over the next few years. What does that picture look like for the Jets and how will it impact their pipeline? Find out on tonight’s episode of Locked On Winnipeg Jets. You’re Locked On Jets, your daily podcast on the Winnipeg Jets, part of the Locked On Network, your team every day. Hi friends and welcome to tonight’s episode of Locked On Winnipeg Jets part of the Locked On podcast network. Your team every day. I’m your host Terrison Lee, an avid Winnipeg Jets fan and an online blogger. You can follow me on Twitter at chill living loco and at l winnipeg jets. Thanks for making Locked on Jets your first listen of the day every day. If you like what you’re hearing, be sure to like, follow, and subscribe on all of your favorite podcasting platforms and YouTube. Doing so, of course, is always free of charge and ensures you never miss another episode. Most of all, though, we just love and appreciate your support. Tonight’s episode, we are going to walk through uh some future casting and talking a little bit about the upcoming uh few years of Jets hockey because after this season, Winnipeg has a lot of free agents. Uh this is a big upcoming year. Um obviously, one of the biggest players in Jets franchise history is up for renewal. That is going to be an interesting negotiation and you know a lot of other pieces in the Jets depth department might be changing over. So I want to walk through that talk about which prospects in the pipeline might be the most likely to start filling in for players here uh over the next couple of seasons. And you know ultimately this Jets team right now as is is on the older side. And I had a bit of a debate online with some folks about you know age and speed being factors. And people said, you know, what what about the Panthers really aligns with the idea that you need to be younger and faster? And I want to chat about why I think the Jets have to maybe approach this model differently um and how they can with what they’ve recently been trying to build uh both internally and externally. But before we dive into all of that, did want to let you know that today’s episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Download the FanDuel app now by visiting fanduel.com and you could win $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. Now, let’s talk about the free agent picture for the Jets. Right, Winnipeg’s got uh more than a few free agents coming up over the next couple of years. After this uh summer, they’re going to have three defensemen and about five or six forwards coming up uh for contract extension, plus a couple of RFAS, right? So, the the six forwards I was referring to are UFAS, and then the uh two RFAs make it eight total forwards. uh three defenders, 11 total skaters, and you know, not not a ton uh locked up after that. You’ve also got Eric Comry up for extension, which is kind of an interesting question. Uh do you bring him back? Is he a player that you want to resign or do you try to go internally for some of your goalending assistants? Right. And you know, looking at this free agent list already, there’s a couple of guys that you know are going to be coming back. The first one I feel pretty strongly returns is Kyle Connor. Now, his situation’s a little more tricky, right? We’ve talked about it the past couple of weeks, there is still a lot of radio silence about it. Um, and until either Capriovv or McDavid announce their contracts, I think his camp is inclined to just sit and wait. I saw some of you commenting that, you know, KFC is not worth more than 9.5 million or he’s not getting more than 11 million. And while I may in theory agree with how you assess, you know, the player value and and certainly uh you compare it to Shifley and Halibu’s contracts and he’d be getting more than that and that doesn’t make a lot of logical sense. The way that the league is moving, how his agent’s going to look at this and what Connor’s ask is going to be, I would say prepare for sticker shock. I think you’re going to be surprised by just how much money he’s going to get paid. Um, I know it sounds crazy and I know you’re probably thinking it’s not possible, but we’ve already heard either Freriedman or uh folks from the Athletic float out the fact that they’re talking about a $12 million price tag. Uh, I continue to think that that’s really in the range that we’re looking. Um, if it goes a little over that, that would be not ideal for the Jets, but uh, you know, the hope is that the cap continues to go up and that you can sort of absorb some of that cost. But I can tell you right off the bat, prepare yourself for sticker shock. It’s coming. I think we’re going to see some contracts that frankly a lot of folks um aren’t quite prepared to to sort of wrap their minds around and it’s going to be weird. This is a new era of the NHL and it’s partly why I’ve been telling you, you know, the past couple of seasons, it was really important to make the most of this window. Um particularly last year, um as the revenue and cap continue to go up, this is not going to favor the Jets so much, at least traditionally with how the Jets spend. Maybe they adapt to the times and maybe they change their processes and and how they think about things, but you know, free agency is going to be a bit of a pain point for Winnipeg going forward. There’s going to be more money spent than I think they’re used to. Uh other free agents include Adam Lowry. Uh Lowry, I think, is is probably getting a three to fouryear deal, I would think. You know, maybe four four and a half million. Um I don’t know if he’s going to get a lot more beyond that. I would probably not want to pay a ton more even though he is the captain. I think in terms of his on ice impact, you know, that 4 a.5 million range kind of feels like a relative sweet spot for a few years. Um especially, you know, if he does start to age out here over the next couple of seasons. You’ve also got Nyquist, Taves, uh Pearson, and Kepka. Um of those guys, I I would say Taves is probably the only one that has any shot of coming back beyond this year. And I wouldn’t imagine it to be more than one season, but uh we’ll just have to wait and see, right? This year’s kind of like what you might call the beta test for Taves and to see how his performances upon return to the NHL. He hasn’t played in a couple of years. We don’t really know his game state or his fitness levels beyond camp and practice. So huge mystery box. Uh hopefully, you know, the Jets can make it work and find a way to get him back up to speed relatively quickly. You’ve also got uh a couple of RFAS here and Perfetti and Gustoson, you know, for me there’s only one that I think the Jets really intend to bring back. Gus may come back, you know, as sort of a qualifier sort of thing. Um but Perfetti, you know, his next deal probably looks to be in the 5 1/2 to 6 and 1/2 range. It’s a pretty wide gap and I think it’s really going to depend on what happens this season. His track record is is pretty solid. I think right now his track record kind of has him in the five and a half by four to five range. Um, but if he has a really big breakout season, you might start thinking about him entering the 6 and 12 to 7 million by sixyear range. Uh, for me, I I hope that he does enough to earn a long-term spot. I think a long-term deal for the Jets would be ideal. You know, you get him locked up, he performs well, he continues to be a key part of this core. that would, you know, solve a lot of questions and, you know, you start to have a little bit more picture clarity for your upcoming uh salary considerations. Gustoson, you know, if he’s cheap and they qualify him and he he takes it, yeah, sure, he’ll come back. Um, I’d like to get him signed for a couple of seasons, but I I know that Arneal doesn’t seem to be that fond of him for some reason, which I suppose I don’t quite understand, but it is what it is. On the defensive side, you’ve got Shen Miller and Stanley. The only guy that I could see the Jets bringing back is is maybe Stanley. Um they may already trade one of these guys at some point this season. Stanley uh would probably come back on a very similar deal, 1.25, maybe one or even one and a half million. Um not cheap, mind you, but uh they seem to love him. They play him a lot. So yeah, wouldn’t be shocked if Logan is the one who returns. Uh, but they do need to open up some roster spots for some of these young players like Salammonson because like at some point, you know, the Jets can’t have 30,000 defenders on the team and no spots for rookies. It’s just not going to be a great conducive environment to getting your kids uh up to NHL speed. Comry might be one of the last interesting uh free agents to figure out. I think you probably look at him uh more as maybe somebody who’s let go after the season. If you do bring him back, it’s only for one more year. Uh but beyond this, I think you want one of Militch or Devincentes to really take that role and become your your future player uh as as Hel’s backup. Beyond this, you know, most players have at least another season or so of term. You know, Nita Ryder will expire in about two years. You’ve got Ayafalo who just resigned. Um Nesnikov’s got another year after this. Baron does too. Uh Baron just resigning. Um the next real big I guess free agent period is probably uh the summer after you know the 2728 season. You’ll have some bigger questions to answer as Morrisy Samberg and Dlo are now up for renewal but you know it’s a couple of years away. So uh we’ll we’ll think about that when the time rolls around. You know let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. We’ve still got plenty of work to do in the upcoming season. Now, as far as the future is concerned, which Jets prospects are likely to start filling in and actually helping out in the uh the next season or two, and when can we expect some of the longerterm prospects? We’ll find out coming right up in just a brief moment. But before we do, did want to let you know about our friends and partners at Monarch Money. Most people can’t name all their financial accounts or even what they’re worth. Whether it’s 401ks, properties, or investments, if you don’t have the full picture, you can end up leaving money on the table. 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Don’t let financial opportunity slip through the cracks. Use code lockdown nhl atmononey.com in your browser for half off your first year. That’s 50% off your first year at monarchmoney.com with code locked on nho. Hey friends and welcome back to this episode of Locked on Winnipeg Jets part of the locked on podcast network your team every day. everyday. Thank you so much for rejoining us in tonight’s episode as we are just chatting a little bit about, you know, some of the Jets prospects when we can expect to see them actually make an NHL impact and, you know, what the timeline is for sort of turning over this Jets core. Winnipeg is kind of approaching a point here where u you know, they have a lot of free agents after the next two seasons and that leaves opportunities for Winnipeg to bring in some young talent. It also leaves the Jets a little vulnerable in some in some stages as they try to uh navigate this uh this potential moment where they’ve got a lot of roster spaces and maybe not a clear picture of some of these prospects. Uh but of course you know the easy names to kind of circle for the next season um partly this year probably more like next year Lambert uh obviously Chipperov and probably Salammonson. I think Solommonson will get some ice time next season. Uh, will it be a lot? Probably not. I think Lambert and Cherov are are likely to get a fair bit of time, assuming both are still here um and haven’t been traded. I would think next year’s probably uh the timeline for both of them to see significant NHL action. When it comes to uh maybe like a Braden Joerger or Barlo, I would say maybe the season after that, probably two years down the road, uh Barlo I think will have some development work to do with the Moose for a year or two before I would say you’d really start to see him. And again, this is uh assuming that the Jets don’t trade him, he might be a prospect that Winnipeg feels somewhat comfortable letting go. I don’t think Barlo is is super highly uh thought of in the org as like an untouchable player. I think he’s wellliked and I think they enjoy his development track. Um but I think compared to maybe like the Salammonson’s who are almost untouchable, you know, Barlo might be a player that is thought to help bring in some more immediate assistance. You know, you think about a Joerger. Joerger has probably the most potential to jump in faster uh over like a Barlo. I think Braden already has some NHL talent and and certainly in terms of the way that he thinks the game, how he approaches his work ethic, uh the two-way commitment, the defensive work, all that stuff to me is more pro ready than maybe some of his peers. Uh but of course, you know, the Jets will probably, you know, slowplay this a little bit. They’ll give him a year with the moose. They’ll see how he does. if he really really impresses and just knocks the lights off of uh everything, you might see him in the NHL a little bit sooner. Uh I’ve said he’ll probably get an NHL debut of some sort uh either this season or early next. Uh I think it’s coming soon, but I just don’t know how quickly Winnipeg feels comfortable with Joerger’s progress. Again, I think he’s he’s further along in some ways. Um, but the offensive production and stuff I think you want to see maybe hit that next level. Fabian Wagner, I think Wagner could be an interesting one in about two seasons. He still seems a little bit raw. Um, you know, he’s not the flashiest, high-end, most elite player, but what I think he will bring is some real spark to your bottom six, and I think he could do that for several years for the Jets. Uh, but I think Winnipeg will probably want to see what he does this season because this past year he kind of had, you know, a really quiet season, not much action, not much production, and then for a couple of weeks he started shooting the lights out. And I think the Jets will want to see how real is this offensive production. Towards the end of the season, it looked like he was still putting up a decent number of points, but it wasn’t like crazy highle elite elite production. So, they might be pumping the brakes just a bit and waiting to see uh how all of this goes. If there’s one guy that I’ve also kind of got maybe as a sleeper for your fourth line, um I’m kind of thinking about Jacob Julian. Julian has sort of floated around as a player I’ve talked about uh whose stock has definitely taken a dip with the Jets. Um I think Julian will probably be about two years away is my guess. Uh, but I think he already has in some ways some pro ready habits in terms of the defensive aspect. Uh, I thought it showed up in preseason and camp last year. U, we’ll have to see how he does this year. Uh, obviously the offensive numbers with uh, London really didn’t jump off the page this season, but that’s not the only way that he can contribute. So, I wouldn’t really write him off yet. U, I think he’s probably a little bit of a longer shot to be, you know, a higher impact NHL. I think, you know, yes, he had a big season a couple years ago. Things fell off last season and there’s question about his ceiling and what he can actually do, but I think we’ve seen some stuff at the pro camps where I’m like, yeah, he’s projectable. I I think he does fit what the Jets will want. The defensive picture is a little bit more complicated. Uh for Winnipeg, there’s only one guy that’s really imminent, and that’s that’s Salammonson. I’d say he’s probably a year away from from more routine duty. Uh, everyone else you look at like an Alons Frey. Um, you know, I think some people really like Tyrell Bower. Uh, there’s Sasha Bouian. Uh, so Bower I would say is is not likely to get NHL duty at all. I think he’s a really good enforcer for the Moose and can kind of protect some of the kids. Uh, but unfortunately some of the skating and stuff doesn’t translate necessarily to more NHL duty. I think some folks were kind of hoping that he could kind of have maybe a Logan Stanley curve. Um, I think with Bower, you know, his game is a bit more limited. He’s a very physical presence and he’ll drop the gloves and and protect uh some of the youth. And so I think in that respect, you know, his value might really be with Manitoba. Uh for the other guys, Boumedian and Frey, Frey is going to be probably two to three years away. Uh Boumedian’s probably in a similar camp, two to three seasons away, maybe a little bit longer. Uh you also kind of have to account for how his college career goes and what he decides to do along the way. So, um you know, I think that the Jets blue line doesn’t have a lot of imminent help. Uh not that they necessarily need a ton right now. I I think that they’re actually almost flush with uh prode defenders with a big club, but for the pipeline, you know, you look at it and there’s not as much there that I think projects to be uh NHL ready talent anytime soon. Betty might, you know, adapt to the pro leagues very fast after he leaves college. Uh that could be a really big boost to the Jets. Frey might be a really fun puck mover, but again, you know, these guys are probably not within the next couple of years. a bit further out. And so I’m just not expecting them to be uh playing much of a role with the core uh until, you know, maybe we start to see a little more turnover in a few years. Uh elsewhere you’ve got some other prospects who are going to be floating around. Uh Kevin, he’s probably two to three years away. Um I think he, you know, after this season with Niagara, he’ll turn pro, he’ll come over. Um I would expect the Jets to try and and get him into the NHL uh sooner than later. I think that they think, you know, suspect his his pro ready habits, his uh offensive motor and sort of the leadership to be really valuable and, you know, maybe he’ll spend a year or two with the Moose, but I think Winnipeg would love for him to start uh really ramping up quickly in the pros, doing well, finding early success and earning a quick callup. Um, again, probably twoish years away. Uh but he could be somebody that you know as the Jets hopefully start to to phase more kids in and you know develop this core uh built around a really strong foundation of veterans like Shley and Hellabuk that they can add at the perimeter some of these guys who you know maybe are not ready for like top six minutes yet but could start to chip away uh with some depth deployments. So there’s some real exciting stuff there. Um I do have some time for guys like you know Garrett Brown and Parker Ford. Uh Brown I think is really a real sleeper in the system and um I didn’t mention him in on yesterday’s episode sort of talking about prospects to watch. Uh I think Brown could be a really intriguing one uh in about two years for the Jets. He’s, you know, a strong puck mover. He’s defensively very responsible. Uh Denver trusts him a good bit. So keep an eye out for him. Ford obviously has done really well in limited minutes uh with the Jets and he’s been, you know, impressive with the Moose. He could also be fighting for a fourth line spot uh as early as this coming season. Uh maybe next year. I think he’ll probably be one of those guys that’s sort of in the Axel Jansson Felby category of being like a tweener. Uh but personally, I think he’s got some prolevel talent. I think he should be with the Jets. I think he could, you know, be really fun on the fourth line, but as of right now, you know, there’s a lot of competition, a lot of veterans vying for spots, so you may not see him uh this year. But, you know, next year maybe as some of these free agents uh head out, you know, maybe Winnipeg starts welcoming welcoming in more kids like this, not only to save some money, but also get the Jets faster, a little bit younger, and a little bit more exciting. Speaking of younger and faster, I want to chat about the implications of of why this is probably more important for the Jets than it is other teams and why teams like say, you know, the Florida Panthers don’t necessarily have to follow the young and fast model. We’ll chat about that coming right up. But before we do, wanted to shout out our friends and partners at FanDuel. The NFL season is here and FanDuel is making sure you’re ready with kickoff with a can’t miss offer. Right now, new customers can bet just $5. And if your bet wins, you’ll get $300 in bonus bets to use across the app. Maybe you were inspired by this weekend of NFL action. Lots of big comebacks. Whether you’re a Bills or a Vikings fan, you saw some crazy stuff the past couple of days. Uh, for me as a Ravens fan, I prefer to pretend football doesn’t exist. But you know what? Maybe you think you know who’s going to win this upcoming weekend. Maybe you want to put some money down on Minnesota continuing its uh comeback form with JJ McCarthy. Or you think that maybe the Chiefs are going to have a big season. Whatever it is, the only way to get on the action is to download the FanDuel app now by visiting fandal.com to get started. That’s fal.com to place your first $5 bet. And if that $5 bet wins, you’ll get $300 in bonus bets to keep your winning streaks alive. Hey friends, and welcome back to this episode of Locked On Winnipeg Jets, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. Everydayers, thank you so much for joining us in tonight’s episode as we’re just chatting a little bit about the importance of the Jets uh maybe starting to get younger and faster over the next couple of years. Uh I got into some debates on on social media uh yesterday about kind of Winnipeg being, you know, older and slower this season. And the natural push back that I get is, well, Winnipeg’s, you know, been first and fourth in the past couple of seasons. They had a, you know, a much better playoff run this past year. Their roster looks relatively similar on paper to what it was, uh, you know, under the first real Arnneal season. you know, why are we suggesting that this this team is too slow, too old now? And and why is it a problem? Right? Look at the Florida Panthers. How does older and slower really apply? Uh, you know, in comparison because that team is not exactly young and they don’t have like loads and loads of speed. And I I get some of that sentiment and and where I think, you know, the argument doesn’t really hold a lot of water for me is just look at the kinds of talent a team like Florida has. Barov, Reinhardt, Lindell, Marshand, uh, Lustran, they’ve got tons of players up and down that team that, you know, don’t have to be the world’s speediest players, but up here they’re brilliant. You have high IQ players who are very productive in limited minutes, uh, or in some cases very big minutes, and they have tons of them. Right? That top nine is like one of the most elite top nines in the whole league. Maybe the most top elite top nine in the league. their defense doesn’t have uh tons of like incredible incredible talent, but you’ve got a couple of key uh top end puck movers and guys like, you know, Gustaf Forsling and then you have solid depth and players like Kulakov, you know, decent contributors. And where I think a team like the Jets have to approach things differently is for Winnipeg, you know, they are so much slower than some of their opponents that for them it’d be more just coming up to where a lot of the league is. Speed is not the only thing. Age is not the only thing. You can be older and slower and still be really gifted and and productive. Just look at an Kopitar. But I think for the Jets, you know, the biggest reason that I stress younger and faster is it can help you maybe compensate a little bit for some of the skill, right? You know, the Jets don’t have the deepest roster when it comes to a lot of elite offensive talent. They they just don’t. And so the only way that you can really sort of work around that is to try and and build uh you know four lines that are are mobile that are quick and that can pressure and overwhelm you in ways that maybe you can sort of paper over the lack of elite individual skill. You’ve got a couple of guys who super lead the way like Shley, you’ve got Connor. Um you’ve got Hella Buck and Morsey. Of course, uh, Samberg’s fantastic, but, you know, with Delard 2 just recently joining, but, you know, beyond that, you look at the team and there’s not as much immediate offensive high-end talent up and down the team. And, you know, that’s not necessarily an indictment of the roster, but I think it’s just a reality that the Jets are kind of dealing with right now. And as opponents in the playoffs continue to uh, you know, change their own rosters, many of them add good skating skill, many of them add elite offensive tools, the Jets are going to have to find ways to try and work around that encounter. And that’s where I think a lot of their prospect development and drafting has improved, at least on paper. You know, you look at who they’re drafting, you look at what they’re drafting, and these guys are all pretty gifted skaters. they at least have NHL caliber uh higherend speed which again it’s not the only thing but they pair that with industrious motors that the Jets are looking for guys who um constantly create on and off the puck. I think that that’s a very conscious decision because the Jets know that they might not have, you know, the McDavids or the Matthews or whatever of the world, but what they can have is a a four-line team that pressures you, that harasses you, that forces you into mistakes, and that can win more as a a stronger hole than individual units. Uh, I think that, you know, the Jets have kind of had to do things differently than a lot of other teams. And sometimes I think they also self-inflict maybe a few wounds. You know, I think the past trade deadline felt like Winnipeg really put its eggs in the Nelson basket and when that didn’t work, you know, they they sort of ran out of options and tried to do some stop gap stuff. But I think if you look internally, uh, you’ve got some real interesting options for the coming years that can help turn this team over and make it not only younger and faster, but also kind of alleviate some of the pressure on the top six to be, you know, the absolute breadwinners. Uh sometimes I think Winnipeg is still a little bit stuck in terms of their matchup mindset and and I think you know having more flexibility, having more uh speed and skill uh that can make faster decisions that can be you know relentless around the goal mouth. I think that stuff could make a really positive impact on how this team creates offense, how productive they are and how likely they are to go deeper in the playoffs. That’s really what it’s all about, you know, is raising this playoff ceiling, getting this team to uh be in a more competitive state because we know that they’re masters of the regular season, but it’s the playoffs where this team has had issues. Um, you know, when the Blues almost stonewalled Winnipeg and made life really hard uh when the Jets were on the road, Winnipeg didn’t have as many easy answers. And maybe some of these kids, uh, you know, should that series have happened in the future, maybe those prospects who hopefully become NHLers by then would have, you know, tipped that balance. Maybe it would have moved the scale a little a little bit more. Maybe it would have made life easier instead of forcing, you know, all the way to a a game seven. So, it’s an interesting conversation for the Jets. You know, this is going to be a couple of years where I don’t know that the Jets really want to transition, but they might be forced into it. Maybe they try and prolong the score as long as humanly possible. Uh, you know, they they really hate the idea of losing revenue. So, any sort of loss of cash and is not really going to be acceptable to the team. But hey, you know, we’re entering new eras of the league, new eras of the Jets, and I’m hoping that, you know, maybe they’ve taken a few lessons from what’s happened before and they can try and improve from there. But curious to know your thoughts there. Drop your your suggestions and comments below or at my social medias at hliving loco and at l winnipeg jets for tonight’s episode though. That’s going to be all the time that we have. Thank you so much for listening. As we head into the final couple of days before the prospect showdown, we’ll chat a little bit about, you know, maybe some hopes for that. Uh what I’m looking for with some of these kids and all of the exciting prospect talk about maybe some of the bigger players in this pool heading into this upcoming season. But for tonight’s show, that’s all the time that we have. Thanks for listening. Have a great night and as always, go Jet Scope.
Over the next two seasons, the Winnipeg Jets roster might be primed for significant turnover. A number of the key pieces are still locked up, but what will happen to the middle and bottom-6 units? Might we begin to see the Jets finally graduate more prospects to the NHL? When might some of the biggest names in the pool be ready for big club duty? How far out are some of the newest arrivals to the prospect system? Are the Winnipeg Jets too old and slow, or is there a way to make it work for the playoffs?
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