The Detroit Tigers Meltdown Is Insane

If they miss the playoffs after holding a 14game lead, it will be the largest blown lead by a team that did not win its division or league in modern ALNL history. An all-time collapse. Got to keep it here. Ground ball through the right side. Kim’s coming around third. Throw to the plate is off target and Atlanta has scored two of the night to grab the lead and stun 35,000 in Detroit. I’ve never seen anything like it. I don’t really know how to describe it. I don’t have a lot else to say. Picture this. You’re sitting pretty with a 15 and a half game lead in your division. You’re being called the best team in baseball. Writers are already penciling you in for October. And then in the span of just over a month, you watch it all crumble to dust before your very eyes. That’s exactly what’s happening to the Detroit Tigers right now. And folks, we’re witnessing what could become one of the most shocking collapses in baseball history. Now, before we get into it, if you haven’t already, please subscribe, like, and turn on the notifications to this channel. I see a lot of my viewers are not currently subscribed, and it really does support the channel if you do enjoy the content to just click that button for me. Now that we got that out of the way, let’s get right into this. So, to understand just how insane this meltdown truly is, we need to go back to where it all began. The 2025 Detroit Tigers weren’t supposed to be in this position to begin with. After their magical playoff run in 2024, where they snuck into the wild card and made some noise in the postseason, expectations for this year were moderate. But what happened early in 2025 was nothing short of spectacular. From the season’s opening weeks, these Tigers looked different. They were playing with house money, and everything was clicking. Trick Scooball was dealing like a man possessed on his way to what should be a second straight sion award. The young core that had cut their teeth in 2024, guys like Riley Green, Colt Keith, and Spencer Tolson were playing with newfound confidence. Even Javier Bayz, a player many thought was a lost cause, was playing well. So well that he was the American League starting center fielder in the All-Star game. But most people don’t realize the Tigers had been the best team in baseball for a 100 games dating back to August 11th, 2024. This wasn’t just some fluky hot start. By July, the Tigers had a commanding lead in the AL Central. On July 8th, they led the division by 14 games over the Twins and Royals and had a mind-boggling 15 1/2 game lead over the Cleveland Guardians. Think about that number for a second. 15 1/2 games. Fan graphs had Detroit’s chances of winning the division at 99.9%. The Tigers looked unstoppable. They had everything you want in a championship team. Elite pitching anchored by Scooball, timely hitting from unexpected sources, and that undeniable quality that separates good teams from great ones, chemistry. But then came the trade deadline, and this is where our story takes its first dark turn. With a massive lead and one of the best records in baseball, you’d expect the Tigers to go allin, right? Add that final piece or two to put them over the top. I mean, they even tried to add Alex Bregman in the off season before Boston swooped in and offered him $40 million a year. So, Detroit obviously has to capitalize on this opportunity. Well, unfortunately for Tigers fans, Tigers president of baseball operations Scott Harris took a decidingly conservative approach at the July 31st deadline. While other contenders around the league were making splashes, Detroit didn’t really make that much noise. Here’s what they actually did. They acquired Kyle Finnegan from Washington, Charlie Morin from Atlanta, Chris Paddock from Minnesota, and a handful of other depth pieces. The Tigers deadline deals cost them no prospects, ranked better than 14th on MLB Pipelines list. Harris defended the approach, saying when it came to the actual prices, I will say that a lot of the moves we passed on felt like moves that were going to haunt us for many years to come. Basically, he talked about protecting their farm system instead of capitalizing on their best chance to win in years. But here’s the problem with that logic. You can’t assume you’ll be back in this position again. Championship windows close quickly. And when you have Ter Scoo in his prime and a young core clicking, that’s when you push your chips to the center of the table. Critics immediately panned the approach with many feeling the Tigers got quantity over quality when what they needed was impact. ESPN’s trade deadline coverage labeled Detroit as one of the losers. even noting that in a season in which the AL is so wide open, it was a disappointingly conservative approach to the trade deadline, especially because Detroit has one of the top farm systems in the majors. The real gut punch, one analyst wrote that the deadline went over like a lead balloon. With fans hoping for roster upgrades, they got salary dumps instead. Now, at first, it looked like maybe Harris was right. The Tigers continued playing well into August. On August 24th, they were being called the best team in the American League, having just embarrassed Houston and clinched a series over Kansas City. They led the AL Central by 10 and a half games and were 12 and a half up on Cleveland. But sometimes in baseball, confidence can flip to doubt in the span of a single pitch. And for the Tigers, that flip was coming faster than anyone could have imagined. The warning signs were subtle at first. A blown lead here, a tough loss there. Nothing that screamed panic button to the casual observer. But if you looked closely, you could see the foundation starting to crack. Getting swept by the A’s, brush it off. Losing consecutive serieses to the Mets and White Socks. Now that’s an issue. The bullpen, which had been reliable all season, started showing wear. Will Vest, who had been one of their most dependable relievers, began to falter at the worst possible times. The offense, while still productive, started pressing in clutch situations. Meanwhile, 450 mi east in Cleveland, something magical was happening. Let’s talk about Cleveland for a moment, because you can’t tell the story of Detroit’s collapse without understanding the Guardians incredible resurgence. Remember, this is the same Cleveland team that was 12 and a half games behind Detroit on August 25th. The same team that had endured a 10-game losing streak earlier in the season. The same team that actually sold at the trade deadline, moving Shane Bieber and other pieces. But here’s what most people don’t realize about championship level teams. They don’t stay down long. Cleveland had the infrastructure, the pitching development, and most importantly, the organizational belief that they could turn things around. And so, the Guardians posted a 23-9 burst from July 7th through August 14th, showing flashes of their potential. Now, they did cool off heavy after that, going just 1-9 from August 15th to August 25th, which probably made Tigers fans feel even more secure. But then the unthinkable happened. Cleveland caught fire at the exact moment Detroit started to stumble. The real story goes deeper than just a few bad games. What we’re witnessing is a breakdown of everything that made the Tigers special earlier this year. Detroit is 21 games over 500 in the first half of the season, but six games under in the second half. That’s not just regression. That’s a fundamental shift in team performance. The collapse accelerated dramatically in September, too. The Tigers are only 5-2 in September and have lost five straight games as of September 20th. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 16-4 this month and has won 15 of their last 16 games. But here’s the moment that perfectly encapsulates this entire collapse. September 20th, 2025. Bottom of the ninth inning in Kria Park. Will vest on the mound just needing three outs to stop the bleeding. Azie Albz and Hassan Kim started the inning with singles, but Vest then rebounds and strikes out the next two batters. The Tigers are just one out away from ending this losing streak. Then Nacho Alvarez Jr., who had already hit his first two career home runs earlier in the game, lined a game-tying single to right field. Right after that, Juricken Profar followed with the go-ahead hit. Just like that, another lead gone. Tigers manager AJ Hinch captured the mood perfectly after the game saying difficult to accept, difficult to explain. It’s hard trying to put into words what is going on. Some big emotional swings and an absolute punch right to the face. That loss dropped Detroit’s AL Central lead to just one and a half games. What had been a 15 1/2 game cushion in July was now hanging on by a thread. To understand just how unprecedented this collapse is, we need to put it into historical perspective. The largest division comeback in MLB history belongs to the 1978 Yankees, who overcame a 14game deficit to catch the Red Sox. The Guardians were 15 1/2 games back at their lowest point. If they complete this comeback, it would break every record for division comebacks in the modern era. Consider this unexpected connection. One historical parallel is the 1951 Brooklyn Dodgers who held a 13game lead over the New York Giants on August 11th only to watch the Giants go 39 and8 down the stretch to steal the pennant. And Detroit Tigers fans themselves don’t need to be reminded of their own collapses. The 2009 Tigers led the AL Central by seven games on September 6th, then finished 11 and 15, while the Twins won 18 of 26, forcing a game 163. Even the beloved 2006 Tigers fell apart at the end, losing the division to Minnesota in the final week. But this this would top them all. So, what exactly happened? How does a team go from 99.9% playoff odds to fighting for their playoff lives? Let’s start with the most obvious culprit, the bullpen. Detroit’s relievers have a 4.10 ERA as a group, which ranks in the bottom half of baseball. Even worse, they have a 4.43 43 RA since the All-Star break, which places them outside the top 20 in that period. The closure situation has been particularly problematic for them. Jason Foley, who led the team with 28 saves in 2024, was sent down to Triple A to begin this season after struggling in spring training. Well, he’s now out for the season after shoulder surgery. And as we know, Will Vest has taken over closing duties. But his recent struggles epitomize the team’s larger issues. The bullpen has converted just 60% of save chances and has allowed 39.2% of inherited runners to score. That’s among the worst race in all of baseball. Now, while the Tigers still rank ninth in MLB in runs scored, they’ve struggled mightily with runners in scoring position during the collapse. The young hitters who look so promising early in the year have pressed under the weight of expectations. Perhaps most frustratingly for Tigers fans, some of the team’s deadline decisions are coming back to haunt them. When Detroit acquired Charlie Morton from Atlanta, they had to clear a roster spot. And so they designated reliever PJ Puland for assignment. Now Puland was claimed by Washington and has been stellar for the Nationals, posting a 2.78 ERA over 25 appearances and even earning his first career save. Meanwhile, Morton has struggled with a 7.09 ERA in nine starts for Detroit. It’s exactly the kind of move that looks insignificant at the time but becomes magnified during a collapse. And while Detroit was crumbling, Cleveland was building something special. But the Guardians don’t actually look like a powerhouse on paper. They have the lowest team batting average in baseball. And their lineup has been described as Jose Ramirez and Ada Possums found in a dumpster behind the Donados. Yet, they’re on the verge of completing one of the most improbable comebacks in sports history. how they’re just playing classic Cleveland Guardians baseball. Solid defense and red-hot starting pitching, which has allowed just 15 earned runs over their last 16 starts. The Guardians have won 15 of their last 16 games as of September 20th. And here’s the beautiful thing. It all leads up to the Tigers and Guardians playing a three-game series at Progressive Field this week starting Tuesday, September 24th. Think about that, guys. Detroit, the team that was supposed to cruise to a division title, now has to travel to the home of their Tormentors for what amounts to basically being a playoff series before the playoffs. Now, the Tigers can still win the division with a sweep, which would give them the tiebreaker against the Guardians at 7 to6, but anything less and they’re in serious trouble. The pressure is entirely on Detroit. Now, what makes this collapse even more devastating is how it’s changed Detroit’s entire outlook for October, if they even make it there. Earlier in the season, the Tigers were in position for a first round buy and were being discussed as legitimate World Series contenders. Now, the late season collapse hasn’t only compromised Detroit’s chances of reaching the postseason. It’s also made the road to the World Series exceptionally more difficult if they do manage to hold on. You see, Toronto has won the head-to-head season series against the Tigers, which means if the two teams finish tied, Toronto gets the better seed. The Tigers are essentially four games back of the Blue Jays with the tiebreaker disadvantage. So, even if Detroit somehow limps into the playoffs, they’ve gone from a team with legitimate championship aspirations to one that’s just hoping to survive the wildcard round. Now, when a collapse this historic happens, everyone looks for someone to blame. and there’s plenty to go around. The most obvious target is Harris and his conservative trade deadline approach. Multiple analysts have written about how the deadline decisions are coming back to haunt the Tigers during the stretch run. The criticism isn’t that Harris should have mortgaged the future, but that he failed to add the impact pieces a contending team needs. While other AL contenders like Houston and Baltimore were adding proven veterans, Detroit was content with depth pieces. Then there’s AJ Hinch who has generally been praised for his leadership, but some of the late inning management decisions during this collapse have been questionable. The Will Vest situation in particular raises questions about bullpen usage and trust. And at some point, the players have to execute. Veteran leadership should emerge during tough times. But here’s what most people don’t realize about collapses like this. They become self-perpetuated. Every blown lead becomes magnified. Every clutch situation carries extra weight. Players start pressing which leads to more failures which leads to more pressing. Manager AJ Hinch alluded to this psychological aspect after Saturday’s devastating loss, saying some big emotional swings and an absolute punch right to the face. That’s not just about one game. That’s about the cumulative effort of watching a sure thing slip away. The mental side of baseball is often overlooked, but it’s crucial during moments like this. Confidence can be fragile, especially for a young team that’s never been through the pressure cooker of a pennant race. Now, the comforting news for Tigers fans is that even historically bad September collapses don’t necessarily doom a team’s championship hopes. A Twitter post reminded fans that the 2006 Tigers went 25 and 32 in their final two months and lost the division in the final week, but still ended up going to the World Series that year. So, it’s not all gone. And the 2025 Tigers still have elite talent. School is one of the best pitchers in baseball. Riley Green and Spencer Tolson can still change a game with one swing. If they make the playoffs, their pitching staff is built more for a short playoff series than it is for the long regular season, which could work in their favor. But first, they have to get there. As I’m recording this, we’re heading into the most crucial week of the season. The Tigers have three games in Cleveland against the Guardians before finishing with three games in Boston, a Boston team that will likely be fighting for their own playoff lives when Detroit arrives at Fenway. That’s a pretty tough schedule to end the season for Detroit. Cleveland, meanwhile, has a favorable schedule with games against the terrible Twins and then a Texas team that will likely be eliminated by then. So, the math is simple. If Cleveland wins the remaining seven games, they win the AL Central. Detroit’s destiny is no longer entirely in their own hands. The Tigers are learning the hard way that you can’t assume you’ll be back in this position again. When you have a chance to go allin, sometimes you have to take that chance. Whether the Tigers ultimately hold on to win the division or complete one of the most shocking collapses in baseball, this month will be remembered for years to come. And I’m speaking of massive meltdowns. And speaking of massive meltdowns, I made another video on the Mets’s absolute collapse. Many of you guys commented saying that I was crazy. The Mets are totally fine. I’m overreacting. Well, they just got swept by the Washington Nationals and as of today are actually out of the playoffs to the Cincinnati Reds. I’ll leave a link to that video here so you guys can revisit it and just apologize. But anyways, if Detroit blows a 15 12ame lead, it would rank among one of the worst collapses ever. Right up there with the 78 Red Sox, 2011 Braves, 2007 Mets. It’s just bad. On the other hand, if Cleveland completes this comeback, it would be one of the greatest stories in baseball history. A testament to culture, player development, and the beautiful unpredictability of the game we love. For Detroit fans, this has been excruciating to watch. From being the best team in the American League just a month ago to clinging to a oneame division lead, it’s been a masterclass in how quickly things can change in baseball. So, as we head into the final week of the regular season, everything is on the line. Detroit season and potentially their championship window hangs in the balance. This is a mustwatch series, not just for Detroit and Cleveland fans, but for all baseball fans. This is exciting stuff. The stage is set for such an amazing finish, not just for this series and for this race, but also for the NL wild card race. But will the Tigers find a way to stop the bleeding and capture their first division title since 2014? or will the Guardians complete this historic comeback? Either way, it’s going to be crazy to watch. I’m so excited. I hope you guys are as well. What do you guys think though? Let me know in the comments. Were the Tigers frauds all along and everything is just going back to normal now? Are the Guardians just the luckiest team in baseball and we just overlook them every year? Or is there something I’m missing here? And if you appreciated the video, please subscribe. That’s all for today. I’ll see you guys on the next

Today we are breaking down one of the biggest team collapses of all time. I’m dedicated to bringing you Documentary style MLB deep dives as well as the latest in MLB news, rumors, and analysis. Let’s get to 50k Subs together!

31 comments
  1. Comment Section Discussion —

    The Mets came into the season with world series expectations, on top of this they have one of the highest payrolls in the entire league! So to me, when you are a team that spends THAT MUCH MONEY and everyone already also expects you to make a deep playoff run…having this level of disappointing performances and possibly not making the playoffs at all is an insane collapse…for the expectation level, the amount of money spent on this team…its the greatest missed expectation and collapse.

    As for the Tigers – NOBODY expected them to repeat the performance they had last year, especially in the playoffs. this team never was expected to lead the AL or be this good, so the inevitable collapse is more of an overdue and expected correction then the greatest collapse. NOW, if they do lose the division, it WILL statistically be the biggest lead loss of all time. which is of course an insane meltdown. but to me, the mets collapse is worse BECAUSE of the money spent on that team and the expectations.

    What do you guys think?

  2. “Their lineup has been described as ‘Jose Ramirez and eight opossums found in a dumpster behind a Donato’s’.”

    Hey, Kwan and Manzardo are at least raccoons 😂

  3. People are saying the gm made a mistake and was wrong for not trading top prospects for an impact player and I’m thinking maybe dude was right and saw what others didn’t about his own team. Maybe he saw that this team isn’t quite ready yet and the record at the time mirage and decided to save prospects. It’s not like Skubal is just going to fall apart next year. Hes still relatively young.

    I think the tigers did the right thing protecting their assets and perhaps this offseason is the time to really assess and make those moves.

  4. There’s another noteworthy historic meltdown that is eerily familiar to this: The Phold of ‘64.

    Old school Phillies fans know what I’m talking about.

  5. Tigers can't beat anybody. At all. Another 1989–2005 spell being a single-A team is upon us. Zero championships for Detroit's four teams in 17 years now. And it's gonna be 134 years for sure.

  6. The Tigers and their refusal to spend money is gonna cost them the season and Skubal when its said and done. Horrible ownership, cant rely on a bunch of spotty hitters who have notoriously went on month long slumps every season. Now they are all slumping at the same time + pitching including Skubal has been mid.

  7. As someone who lives in Michigan this has been hilarious to watch. Everyone was so convinced they were going to win the World Series when the season started. Followed by the wild grasping at straws and insane coping mechanisms when they started not doing so well further along the way. Sorry, but I love it 😂

  8. The 2006 tigers had a collapse too. They were winning division, lost nearly every game down the stretch and lost the division to the twins and lost it by 1 game, still good enough for the wildcard at the time.

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