Seahawks vs Cardinals Thursday Night Football Picks | FREE NFL Bets, Predictions, and Player Props!

Seahawks vs Cardinals Thursday Night Football Picks | FREE NFL Bets, Predictions, and Player Props!

All right, YouTube. How you doing? Welcome back to the channel and welcome to week number four, Thursday Night Football. We got the Cardinals taking on the Seahawks. In this video, I’m going to dive into this game. I’m going to break it down. I’ll give you my prediction on the side. I’ll give you my prediction on the total. We’ll talk about any other plays like player props. And we do have a handful of them that we like within the game as well. But as always guys, keep an eye down on the pinned comment of this video. That’ll take you to all of my final plays. I’m actually rolling with myself if that does interest if you do want to fade me. All of that absolutely free down in the pinned comment. All right, YouTube. How you doing? Welcome back to the channel. I tell you guys I’m a dummy all the time. They don’t suck. They’ve just been sucking. Get them down to minus three for more juice than Jose can take on his prime. Tell me you’re new without telling me you’re new. So don’t go jumping down my throat in the comments. Right. If you want to fade me or if you do want to ride me, this still leaves bad taste to my mouth. Right. And remember, more chins, more wins. Now, in terms of how we did in week number three, we started off with a banger of a night in Thursday Night Football. We go five and one. We gave a decent amount of back right on Sunday going two and five. Luckily, and I guess it was luckily, we end up slightly profitable on Monday Night Football. So, yeah, that week was kind of up and down. And when I say kind of, it literally was up and down. Up, down, up slightly. We end up leaving the week three at up49 units, which I’ll take up a half unit just about. Sure. But man oh man, does that Sunday leave a bad taste in my mouth. We cash two plus money plays at the very least. But still, we’re definitely owed that wampwamp that I dropped. And the guppies, the haters were out and about in the comments there. But you know what that means? You’re doing something right, right? They don’t boo nobodyies. But that was last week. We are here to talk about this week. And we’re starting it off with the Seahawks and Cardinals game here. Before we do dive into it, guys, hit that like button, hit that subscribe button. You guys have absolutely been crushing crushing in terms of support so far to start the NFL season, and I sincerely thank you. Go ahead and let me know your favorite plays down in the comments as well. I’m eager to jump on board and take a peek at some of the plays you guys are rolling with and maybe I’ll jump aboard and ride with. But even still, I tell you all the time, you’re not just letting me know your favorite plays. You’re letting a ton of other people that are looking for plays in the comments. you’re letting them know the plays and good angles to come from as well. So, go ahead and drop your favorite plays down in the comments, but let’s talk about this one. I had mentioned we have the Cardinals and the Seahawks playing. Now, I think a lot of people are sitting there being like, I don’t know about this game, or this is one of the worst prime time matchups, I guess, that we’ve seen so far this year. And while I get where you’re coming from, I think this will actually be a really good game. And I think I like a lot of the spots that we’re going to focus on in today’s video. So, that’s the good news, right? Right now, we got the Cardinals at one and a half points in terms of being favored at home. That total’s at 43 and a half. We have the Cardinals coming in at 2- one, as are the Seahawks. Though, the two wins for the Cardinals, I don’t know if I’d say are as great of quality as the Seahawks, but at the same time, they have two mutual opponents, right? They both crushed the Saints and they both lost close to the San Francisco 49ers. The thing that differs them in terms of their strength of schedule. So far, I guess I would say Pittsburgh was the Seahawks win and then the other win for the Cardinals was the Panthers. So that might be neither here nor there, but figured it would be worth mentioning. We do have some crucial injuries in this one. Most notably, James Connor is out for the Cardinals. They definitely have some banged up offensive linemen as well. You know, Paris Johnson, Evan Brown, and a ton of guys that are questionable on the defense, including Will Johnson. Seattle, they also have some injuries, too. I mean, a few different offensive linemen are questionable here in terms of their defense. Leonard Williams and uh Witherspoon, like some big names. So, we want to do our own due diligence throughout the week. If you’re watching this now, keep an eye on that injury report and if anything kind of impacts the spots that you’re looking at, just make sure to do your due diligence. Let’s go ahead and start with the Arizona offense against the Seattle defense, shall we? So, Kyler Murray is going to see a pretty fair share in terms of mixed man verse zone coverage, which is really important to note because over on our guy Boston Sports dashboard, which I’ll explain how to get in just a little bit if you do like the look of it, you can see here if he gets a split of zone and man, that’s pretty important because he’s really good against zone and these are this year’s numbers now and he really does struggle against man. Now, you might be thinking, okay, that’s only three weeks. What does that have to tell? This pretty much mirrors what, you know, Kyler Murray has done, you know, definitely last year and throughout his career as well. So really important to note that yeah, if he sees some zone looks that may be the opportunistic times to for him to be able to capitalize, but I have a feeling Seattle knowing that they can play man might toss a bunch at him. The biggest thing I do want to note is the pressure and blitz for Kyler Murray. If we scroll down here and take a peek at the pressure and blitz rate for Seattle, you’ll see they’re sixth in terms of frequency. So they are pressuring the quarterback at the sixth highest rate in the NFL right now. No bueno for Kyler Murray, right? 53.3 uh 53.8% 8% completion percentage. His interception goes up to interception rate goes up to nearly eight minus 10.6 when it comes to his uh EPA expected points added. So that ain’t all that great for Kyler Murray, right? On top of that, they are fourth in terms of quarterback hit percentage, top 10 in clean pocket verse percentage, uh seventh highest in checkdown percentage. So yeah, Kyler Murray may not be in the best of situations. Uh that being said, if I want to give them a little bit of credit now, this could be because their opponents, but they’re fifth in terms of uh fewest pressures to the quarterback offensively. So offensive line may be holding up. I might want to chalk that up to the fact that their schedule so far hasn’t really seen a Seattle, you know, defense or anything like that, but just wanted to know. Now, if we look at them on the ground, right? So again, just to kind of recap the the passing game, Kyler Murray, if you see some zone looks, I think he’ll be okay. But more often than not, I think he’s going to get pressured and I don’t think it’s the best spot for him on the ground. How’s that going to look? Because now we don’t have James Connor, who is supposed to be, you know, the the Bellcow type running back here. Really hasn’t been all that great this year, and nor has this running attack from Arizona in general. Now Trey Benson gets the workload. He’s more of like a passcatching back, I would say. But to me, this is a spot in which Seattle might just eat them up. I don’t see how Arizona runs the ball too too well against this squad. Uh they have the fifth worst success rate in terms of offensive uh run success rate, third worst yards before contact, bottom 10 in explosive run percentage, middle of the pack in EPA yards per carry in DVOA. But Seattle third best in terms of defensive yards per carry against the run, second best EPA, seventh in terms of DVOA, sixth in success rate, ninth in yards before contact, and they hold the lowest explosive run rate percentage in the entire league through three weeks. So, yeah, I can’t exactly see Trey Benson in this run attack doing too too much. So, we’ll talk a little bit more about the Cardinals offense when we get to the player props cuz I’m kind of scheming around that. But overall, if they’re going to move the ball and if they want to keep this game close and again, they’re favored in this game. This is going to come down to Kyler Murray and whether it’s his legs or his arm. I think that that’s going to be where the focus is for this Cardinals offense in general because I don’t necessarily see a lot of action coming from them on the ground. Real quick guys, before we do Boom. Real quick, guys, before we do move on with the rest of the video, I wanted to talk to you about Chalkboard. They are still offering, and I don’t know how long they’re going to offer it for, but they are still offering a free $20 to anyone that signs up. Yes, you do not even need to deposit. You sign up using the link down in the description as well as the pin comment. Make sure promo code Guy Boston is plugged in and you get a free $20. Now, you’re going to want to deposit cuz Chalkboard is, for a lack of a better term, awesome. And they’re hooking it up with a Kyler Murray 0.5 passing yard square as well as a deposit match when going depositing. But again, that 20 bucks, you don’t even need the deposit. I’m just saying you probably should to get the deposit match. So, go check it out, guys. They’ve also introduced game picks as well, so you can pick who’s going to win or lose the game. the over and under. Absolutely awesome. If it is available in your state and you can see the state map here on the right side of your screen, go ahead and check it out. That link again will be in the description as well as the pinned comment co-signup with chalkboard and use code Guy Boston. Now, let’s get back to the game. All right, now let’s talk Seattle offense versus this Cardinals defense. Now, Arizona has played a ton of zone to start the season, and that’s something that we should expect. They did that a year ago as well, which that’s honestly a pretty damn good situation for Sam Darnold. It’s night and day. Even at least Kyler Murray, you could say, “Oh, he throws more picks against zone, you know, verse man, right?” But through three weeks, every single thing that we look at here, Sam Darnold is better against zone than he is man, which is kind of the norm with quarterbacks, right? Um, and if you take a peek again, more zone and then no pressure or blitz from the Arizona defense, which is very good because that is where we see some of these numbers go down for Sam Darnold. But we shouldn’t expect that, right? We should just see zone defense with not much pressure, which so far has led to a Sam Darnold over 80% completion percentage overall. So, this is good news. If you like the Seahawks, if you like Sam Darnold to move the ball here, the question comes in with the running game. This has not been a very good Seattle run game to start the season, right? Fourth lowest yards per carry, bottom 10 in terms of EPA, ninth worst success rate, seventh lowest yards before contact, and bottom 10 in terms of explosive runs. Now, they’ve obviously been going up against, you know, a couple good defenses, San Francisco, Pittsburgh, but they did play New Orleans. Didn’t really run all that well against them. I’m not willing to sit here and be like, “Oh, it’s the it’s the competition they’ve played.” No, this Seattle run attack has some issues. And maybe it’s due to the offensive line, maybe it’s due to them not exactly knowing if it’s the Charbanet show or the Kenneth Walker show, that type of thing. But either way, let’s take a peek at Arizona’s run defense. And it has been pretty good, right? I mean, right here, you could see rushing yards per game, 76.3. Now, they’ve been run on the fewest to start the season, and that makes sense, right? Winning against the the Panthers, winning against the Saints. Obviously, this is going to impact that, but nonetheless, still a decent look for them. Now, when it comes to Seattle, they’ve rushed the ball plenty, third most in the entire league. Did you hear those numbers that I talked about in terms of where they rank in yards per carry and whatnot? The fact that they’re giving a lot of volume to the run game and getting none out of it is tough to see. And this is a Arizona run defense from advanced metrics here. 10th best yards per carry, eighth in EPA, 11th in DVO, 10th in success rate. So obviously very very good. Now one thing to note, I guess two things to note. This Seattle team has run a ton of man looks from the run scheme and a ton of outside zone which differs a little bit from last year. They actually ran a ton of inside zone and man looks last year. This year it’s been outside and man. Both the inside and outside zone looks Arizona this season through three weeks. And again, we have to keep saying I’m a broken record. It might be the teams that they’ve played in the competition. I get it. But both of those spots they’ve been pretty sound and pretty damn good against. man looks 22nd in yards per carry, 20th in DVOA, 12th in success rate, 20th in yards before contact, and 22nd in explosive run rate. If this Seattle team has ever looked for a defense to go up against schematically to be able to get the run game going, it might be right here, right now in the man/duo concept looks right. So yeah, I will say everything that we’ve talked about, I am going to lean towards Seattle minus the points or excuse me, Seattle plus the points. Also, considering them on the money line, this line doesn’t make all that much sense to me. But in terms of how we’ve seen the line movement, it does make a little bit of sense, right? This came in at plus 2 and a half for Seattle. We saw it move all the way down um you know, and that’s a big point, I guess you could say, to one and a half. We also saw a ton of money come in on Seattle money line early. that has now moved this to essentially a pick them when it comes to the money line. So, I think we might be on the right side of that one. Again, keep an eye on the final plays to see if we roll with it. But, I do like Seattle in this spot, whether it’s taking the points or them on the money line. I just think that their offense should be able to move the ball a little bit better. And the biggest thing to note here, I think that they have like the crown jewel in this game, the better defense. Now, when it comes to the total, I feel like we’ve missed the number because this thing opened up at 46 and a half. Um, then it moved to 47 and a half, you know, a couple days ago. Uh, excuse me, 44 and a half. And I saw it at 46 and a half. Was kind of waiting to see if people would jump to the over in a sense. They didn’t. It moved all the way down to 44. Now it’s at 43 and 1/2. I like the under in this spot simply because again, I’m not like the biggest believer in the Seattle run game getting going and nothing I talked about on the Arizona side of things would lead us to think that they’re going to have this offensive success whatsoever. Right. And throw in the fact that through three weeks here, seconds per snap, Arizona’s the slowest team in the league. No huddle percentage, they’re also very very um slow to or not slow in terms of I guess they just don’t use no huddle. That’s a good way of putting it. Seattle in the same boat. Pass percentage-wise. Yeah, this is an Arizona team that obviously I expect to pass the ball a little bit more in here, but maybe not efficiently. So, the under looks good. I just feel like the boat may have sailed in terms of missing that really good line. 43 and a half compared to what I was hoping at 47, but what we saw at 46 does kind of stink to some degree, right? But nonetheless, Seattle and the under is what I’m looking at here. Now, let’s go ahead and dive into some player props. The tool you’re going to see me be using here, the tool you’re going to see me be using, The tool you’re going to see me using here is going to be Outlier. Guys, scan that QR code on your screen right now or use the link down in the description as well as the pin comment. You’re going to get a 7day free trial. You don’t need a code or anything. the code, the the link will trigger that. So, a 7-day free trial. After that 7 days, you’re probably thinking, “Oh, what’s what are they going to do? Get me with a huge bill. $19.99 per month. After that, you hit some plays with Outlier, it will pay for itself.” So, go ahead and check out Outlier. Let’s jump into it and look at some player props here. So, the first one that we like is going to be Kyler Murray over his pass completions. Right now, you can get this over on DK at minus 127. I also don’t mind his pass attempts. We’ll talk about that that in a second. But let’s take a peek at his last 10 games here. Averaging 24.1. So that would definitely do the trick. We’re only looking for 21 here in terms of against Seattle. You could see they rank bottom five in terms of pass attempts against. In this case, top five for us. And then same thing, bottom third of the league for pass completion. I like the spot here because I’d already mentioned how Seattle’s going to cause a lot of checkdown. they um have plenty of, you know, in terms of what we’re going to expect from Kyler Murray, I do expect them to try and extend some plays and get some of these short yardage, little easy conversions, especially when he sees those zone looks. But from the perspective of, you know, designed plays and everything like that, if he gets pressure in his face, he’s going to look for the checkown receiver. He’s not going to have tons of time to let Marvin Harrison develop his route and that type of thing. So, I expect Kaler Murray to get some easy completions here early and often. So, I don’t mind the idea of his pass completions here over 21 uh 20 and a half. We just need 20. I had talked about his attempts. This is something that I feel is in the same exact boat, right? Uh I like the idea of him throwing the ball a decent amount. I think that’s the only way they stay in this game. If I’m dead wrong and Trey Benson becomes, you know, Derk Henry overnight, then sure, we’re probably going to lose this. But I just can’t see it going like that. You can even see head-to-head, they played twice last year, 37 and 38 pass attempts there. Um, I like this spot and honestly it’s moving up. So if he can still snag it at 30 and a half, I think this is a good look. Do I mind it at 31 and a half? No, not at all. Who’s he going to throw to? I think Trey McBride could be a really good look here. Um, highly targeted when it comes to zone, but also when he gets pressured and in some short yarded situations. In terms of short throw frequency, he has like a 30% target share. So, if we’re drawing up schemes midame and everything like that, because the Seattle team’s applying so much pressure, I don’t mind Trey McBride grabbing some balls, pause, and getting 60 yards. Now, a lot of his line here is around like the one the 62 and a half line and stuff. The fact that we snagged and are able to snag over on DK at 59 and a half, I think is huge. He’s done this in two of his three games. And check this out. Last two games against Seattle, 133 and 70. They also allow plenty of receptions to the tight end and receiving yards to the tight end. One thing to note here too and I think that this is very valuable to note right. So if we look at his receptions line over five and a half is at minus 170 heavily juiced – 200 on some books. His normal in terms of this year and then we’ll look at obviously you know what he did last year and stuff like that as well. Right last year against or let’s just look at this year first. In terms of his yards per reception he’s at 10.6. So, if we expect him to catch six balls, he’s going to hit that over 59 and a half as long as that yards per catch kind of sticks around, right? Against the Seahawks, he averaging 10 10.6 yards perception as well. Last year, 10.3. So, everything checks out as long as we do see six balls come his way. Now, that’s not to say he can’t rip off a big one or anything like that, but I’m just saying the math is math in here, right? So, I like Trey McBride in this spot as well. Now, I also want to take a peek at another Trey, and we already mentioned him a couple times, but Trey Benson on Arizona. I like his receiving yards. Right now, you can still snag it at uh 19 and a half. You’re paying a lot of juice for it, but I still do think that this is probably where I’d look. If you want to go 20 and a half for, you know, better odds, then sure, but I expect him to be the checkown sort of merchant here. Now, through two games, uh, through three games, excuse me, he only has hit this once. last week. Obviously, this is a spot in which um or this week, we expect him to actually play more snaps and be more involved, but innately he’s still a passcatching back. So, I like him to be able to to take some off. If we look back to last year, yeah, not exactly the best, but again, let’s take a peek at, you know, his his targets and whatnot. Zero targets, one target. This is a guy that so far this year is at least getting some targets, 10 targets over the last two weeks. So, I like Trey Benson as well. So, that’s the the Cardinal side of things, right? Kyler and the two trays. I like them. If we move on, Sam Darnold as well as Jackson Smith and Njigba. I’m really trying to get something between them. Maybe some sort of a same game parlay. There’s a decent look over on Caesars for him to have 60 receiving yards, which obviously is heavily juiced, and Sam Darnold to also throw one touchdown pass. I do like the look of that, but ultimately I really just want to kind of fit these guys in some way, shape, or form. Smithba, I think, may be one of the best spots overall. This is a guy that has just absolutely crushed zone so far this year. And I’ve already talked about Arizona playing a ton of zone when he played, you know, Arizona last year, 77 and 82. And that was without Sam Darnold. So, I think we have a big play at some point here. In fact, what is his long reception? His long reception line might be something to worth looking at as well. 20 Oh, that is pretty dang high. But, he’s had a 40, 43, and 45 all year so far. There’s something to be worked out there. I will say that. So keep an eye on the final plays, guys, cuz as we go through those player props, I do think that we can put together some sort of a same game parlay or something like that with sort of the scheme of the game that we are thinking about and that we like. So keep an eye on the final plays, but just to give you a little summary, I do like the Seahawks side of things. I like an under, maybe a Cardinals team total under Kyler Murray, Trey Benson, Trey McBride, and then a Darnold and Jackson Smith and Nigba. I do like uh JSN’s normal line. It’s at like 78 and a half right now. it is really high. But if you can get him in some sort of same game parlays for 50 60 yards, I think that might be a hammer spot. So yeah, who knows? Maybe this will be a week in which we like the scheme and the play script that we’ve kind of drawn up. We put together some same game parlays that obviously are alt lines to kind of fit in all the the square pegs into round holes, whatever the saying is. But guys, that is going to wrap it up for today’s show. Hopefully you guys did enjoy. If you did, you know exactly what to do. Go ahead and hit that like button, hit that subscribe button down below. So, let me know your favorite plays down in the comments and we’ll catch you guys in the next one. All right, peace out.

💰 Sign up for *Chalkboard* and use code *GUYBOSTON* : https://go.chalkboard.io/websignup-v1-tt?utm_source=promo&offer=guyboston

📊 For the ABSOLUTE BEST Sports Research Tool, check out *Outlier* : https://outlier.bet/GuyBoston

Thursday Night Football Bets Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals Week 4 2025! In today’s video, I break down my favorite NFL TNF bets for week 4 of the 2025 season. Make sure to keep an eye on the *pinned comment for my final plays*

Leave a like and drop your favorite plays in the comments!

📊 Access to the Dashboard! Become a Guy Boston Member: https://guybostonsports.com/members-only-content/

🔥 Sign up for EPICK Fantasy and use code GUYBOSTON : https://epick-web.prod.epickfantasy.com/signup?promo_code=GUYBOSTON

💰 Sign up for *NoVig* and use code *GUYBOSTON* : https://www.vaultsportshq.com/novig-affiliate-links/guy-boston-sports

💰 Sign up for *Underdog* and use code *GUYBOSTON* : https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-guybostonsports

💷 Join the *Discord* : https://discord.gg/w67WWt7Awf

💰 Sign up for *Sleeper* and use code *GUYBOSTON* : https://sleeper.com/promo/GUYBOSTON

🔥 Sign up for *PrizePicks* and use code *GUYBOSTON* : https://prizepicks.onelink.me/ivHR/GuyBoston

🔥Pick up some *merch* for the NFL Season! https://www.fademe.store/collections/fade-me-collection-shop-all

💰 My Preferred *sportsbooks* and the best/exclusive sign up offers, promos, and bonuses: https://www.vaultsportshq.com/preferred-books/guybostonsports

Must be 21+, if you have a gambling problem call 1-800-GAMBLER

👉 For all of my links/promos: https://hoo.be/evpickz

NFL Picks: Free NFL Bets, Picks, Predictions, and Player Props

#nflpicks #nflpredictions #sportsbetting

—————————————————————————————————-

🔴 Subscribe for more DAILY sports content: https://www.youtube.com/c/GuyBostonSports?sub_confirmation=1

Follow Ev on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@evpickzz
Follow Ev on Twitter: https://twitter.com/EvGuyBoston
Follow Guy Boston Sports on Twitter: https://twitter.com/GuyBostonSports
Follow Ev on Instagram: https://instagram.com/evpickz
Follow Ev on Facebook: https://facebook.com/evpickz
—————————————————————————————————-

NFL picks, NFL predictions, NFL picks, NFL pick, NFL picks today, NFL predictions, NFL prediction, NFL prediction today, 2025 NFL, 2025 NFL, 2025 NFL picks, 2025 NFL picks, 2025 NFL predictions, 2025 NFL predictions, NFL predictions 2025, NFL predictions 2025, NFL picks 2025, NFL picks 2025, NFL bets, NFL bets today, free NFL bets, free NFL betting picks, free NFL picks, free NFL predictions, best NFL bets, NFL best bets, NFL player props, NFL prop bets, NFL betting tips, how to bet NFL, how to bet on NFL, how to win NFL bets, how to win every NFL bets, NFL player prop bets, NFL player prop bets today, NFL prop bets today, NFL prop bets tonight, NFL prop picks, NFL player props today, NFL parlay, NFL parlays, NFL parlays today, NFL parlay today, NFL parlay picks, NFL parlay picks today, NFL picks and parlays, NFL picks and parlays today, NFL picks and parlays tonight, Free NFL parlay, Free NFL parlay picks, Free NFL parlay picks today, Free NFL parlay today, Free NFL parlay bets, best NFL parlay, NFL picks and parlays tonight, Free NFL pick, Free NFL bets, NFL pick, Free bets, Free bets today, NFL bets, NFL bets today, NFL bets tonight, Best NFL bets today, Best NFL bets tonight, NFL bet, NFL betting tips, NFL betting advice, NFL betting strategy, NFL betting parlays, NFL betting predictions, NFL bet predictions, NFL betting picks today, NFL betting picks tonight, top NFL picks today, NFL betting tips, NFL betting preview, NFL betting advice