[@EvolvingHockey] 25-26 NHL Team Projections

20 comments
  1. Evolving Hockey’s model thought the Sabres would make the playoffs last season as well, though they were the only model that thought so iirc. This year three (EH, HockeyViz, and Jfresh) of the four (Dom’s) major public models think the Sabres will make the playoffs (though for what it’s worth Vegas, which is supposed to be the smart money, doesn’t think they will). The real saving grace for the Sabres is how ass the five through eight teams are likely to be plus Florida missing Barkov and Tkachuk for a significant amount of time.

  2. The rest of the chart is at least believable.

    The hidden Sabres math must be absolute voodoo to get those numbers.

    How does a team miss the playoffs for 14 years, make minimal roster changes, and create an 85% success prediction? That’s ignoring the improvements, or retention, in other divisional rosters and the metaphor that the roof to the arena itself couldn’t hold water.

    It’s the hope that kills you.

  3. Is this serious? The 8th best team in the league? A huge argument that advance stats can only take you so far.

  4. Hahahaha oh this made me laugh. I don’t think their model incorporated franchise dysfunction

  5. I’m not believing it until 2026 rolls around. November and December are not kind to the Sabres.

  6. Everyone around here keeps saying we “made no changes to the roster” but I like the guys we brought in and when I say so these people say “no I meant no *meaningful* changes, those guys don’t count” so idk what to tell them. It’s a very different roster this year. 

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