Final Buffalo Sabres 2025-26 season predictions

Final Buffalo Sabres 2025-26 season predictions

A day out from the start of the season. Time for my final season predictions on the Buffalo Sabres. Coming up here on the Lockdown Sabres podcast. [Music] Your Locked On Sabres, your daily podcast on the Buffalo Sabres, part of the Locked On podcast network, your team every day. What is up everybody and welcome in to this Wednesday edition of the Locked on Sabers podcast and thanks for making us your first listen every day. We are free and available wherever you get your podcast. You can check us out on our YouTube channel. Be sure to check us out there. You can hit the like and subscribe button if you do and you enjoy it. You also can be a part of our Lockdown Sabers text club as we get rolling into the start of the season. Perfect time to do that. practice updates, line combinations, game talk, back and forth. You got questions, if I’ve got a comment, uh we’ll have all that coming up here in our text club. And if you’re not already in that and you want to sign up for it, you head over to joinsubtex.com/lockdon sabers. That’s the place to sign up and then we’ll have our fun from there. Sneaky Jody Bioi here on a Wednesday, one day out from the start of the Buffalo Sabres season. The NHL has already begun only three games in as we saw opening night with the Florida Panthers beating the Chicago Blackhawks. Maybe not looking ultra impressive while doing it, but they did get the win. Obviously, they’re missing key pieces. Um, you saw I thought a really cool thing the LA Kings did, which if you didn’t see that was unveiling their new third jerseys by surprise. They came out in warm-ups wearing their normal home uniforms. They changed into a surprise third jersey that they then showed up to the game in. I thought that was pretty cool. You always see it done unveiled now via social media or um whatever, but this was I thought a very cool way the Kings did it. And the other thing that happened was uh the Penguins won a game went their goalie just went crazy three to nothing over the New York Rangers. The team the Sabres are about to play. The Rangers no ability to score goals in this one. Although they did have their chances. Um if you did a little pre-couting on that game, the Rangers looked to me like the better team. It was pretty even. Um, neither of these teams are expected to be amazing, but the Rangers definitely higher expectations than the Penguins. And you got a shut out there from Arur Silvos of the Penguins, who got the start over Tristan Jarry. Even that was a surprise. And he rolls out a 25 safe shut out. So Penguins are on the board with a win. The uh Panthers are on the board with a win as well. And then if you were staying up to watch the late game and you saw uh Nathan McKinnon show out uh you saw the Avalanche win four to one very very late last night. More on the Rangers tomorrow, what we saw in their first game, the matchup itself, lineups. Will we see Igor Shurken? I think we probably will. Um what will we see from the Sabres? All that when we get a little more information on tomorrow’s show. So stay tuned for that. Today we’re going to get into predictions and we’ll also get into the final roster which was set after the Sabres made a move in goal. Get to that a little bit later on. Um final projections though today. I had my projections a little bit earlier on in the off season and now that we’re on the eve of the regular season, I want to reassess what I’ve learned, what I’ve seen out there about the Sabres and how my mindset has changed a little bit about the Sabres expectations this year. or maybe yours have too. Um, of course you could always hit us up on how that’s how your thoughts are on all this as well. Um, I’ll have my I I wrote down point totals for every team in the Atlantic Division and I want to go through those one by one, but I just kind of want to start off by laying out that I believe that right now the division is the greatest source for optimism this season. The Sabers season lies I think a lot in this is I think in the entirety of the Atlantic division’s history. I don’t think this is hyperbolic. I don’t think this is an overreaction. I believe that going all the way back to the 20134 season which is when the the league realigned and the divisions came into what they are today. Boston, Tampa, Montreal, Detroit, Ottawa, Toronto, Florida, and Buffalo. those eight teams in all of these seasons in this 12-year stretch here. I think it is almost inarguable that this is the easiest the division has ever looked. I think that the division has its weakest season since its inception. If you go back in time, you can find a couple of years early on there. The 201516 season, the 201617 season. Those would be the two that are very comparable where those two years, the division winner had 103 points. Florida and Montreal by comparison, I mean, Tampa’s had a year with 128. Boston had a year with 135 points. 135 points, right? That was only two years ago. How about that? By the way, Boston was 135 points two years ago and they might only get half of that this year. Florida had 122 points season. 103 103 backto back. Not a very high number. And the top three, the two and the three seed didn’t crack 100. Tampa and Ottawa in back-to-back years went 97 and 98 points in the second spot. The third spot 93 and 95 points for Detroit and Boston. Not high totals. that I think is what we’re more in line for this season, which is very different. I mean, many of these years, you’ve had three 100 point seasons. Um, almost every year in recent in recent times, it’s been three teams in the Atlantic with 100 points, and this year we might only be looking at one. So, let’s dive right into it. I’ll get to that. The Sabres as a part of this, of course. Um, I I want to lay out their why I’m optimistic about them first though before I get to the division. And the best argument I think you have right now about the Sabres and their chances is the blue line is going to be great. That first pair through third pair, they are deep. They are top. They have the top stars at at the at the front of it with Dene and Power. They have puck movers. They have size, right? They maybe aren’t the most physical defense core in the league, but Dalene, of course, can push people around and will push people around. He will throw his body around. You’ve got some physicality up there in the blue line. I think you are seeing some improvement with Michael Kessler being a part of that. Connor Timonss to a lesser extent. Again, Samuelson, Timmans, Kessle Ring, Power. These guys are big. Maybe they’re not the most aggressive. Maybe they’re not the most physical. You’d hope they’re not going to be pushed around though, and that you could clean up the front of your net with size like that. The forward group is where I’m growing in optimism with Benson maybe having a big year. I think Yuri Koulik is a pretty easy bet to progress from last year to this year. And maybe that’s the easiest of the bets. I’ve never been a big fan of betting on Jack Quinn to do that, but Yuri Koulik and Josh Norris, it’s going to be key, right? Your number one and number two centerman last season were a rookie and an injured guy. So last season, that’s a terrible result if you get those two seasons from those two guys this year. But between Norris and Koulique, I’m I’m thinking 50 goals between the two of them is a minimum expectation from the two. Now, that’s going to have to come with Norris staying healthy, but we actually talked to Josh Norris this morning on WGR Sports Radio 550, and he sounded more hopeful and optimistic that this year he is going to stay healthy than any other season. that every year the last three, four years, he has come into the year with something nagging. He just couldn’t get that shoulder right. He couldn’t get it right. And that this year had a hard summer, trained all summer. He had a um he had the the Sabres new uh strength and conditioning coach. One of them was along with him who he had previous experience with uh when he went home to Michigan during the off season. So Norris sounds like he’s in a very good place. And maybe your best sign of that would be Lindy Ruff had a really hard training camp. Really hard training camp. And while camp wasn’t necessarily where all these guys got injured, Samuelson got injured in the preseason. You had Lucin and got reinjured in the preseason. That’s goalie anyway. But the fact that they had a really hard camp and Norris went through that, played a good amount in the preseason and he has nothing right now and a lot of guys do, right? Benson has an injury. Koulique had something as we went along here. A lot of the defenseman, Kessle Ring of course, at the top of that list right now. Powerard had been dealing with something. A lot of players had been dealing with stuff throughout this training camp that Lindy pushed them hard in. And who’s one of the guys that came through healthy? Josh Norris. So between him and Koulique taking steps for this team, um that that might be the most that I need at forward. It’s just give me those two and the rest of it. There’s enough. There’s enough with the rest of it. So, I like that part of this internally. Where I’ve arrived is the roster is good enough to make the playoffs. The roster is good enough to make the playoffs. And I was not there a couple of weeks ago. I certainly was not there in July. But see, I I I’ve convinced myself. I’ve talked myself into it. um the the health of the players right now. You can see it like the pick it is there that this team making it is there. However, I’ve kind of gone the other way on goalending as the days have passed. I liked the Alex Lion signing. I still do. I liked him taking the job from Ukapeka Lucin. I still do if both are healthy. But when he’s kind of on his own here, which is a bit of how it feels because of the Lucanin injury, which is so up in the air and no idea what that’s going to look like, I’m just petrified that a team that otherwise might be good enough to make the playoffs is once again going to get killed by its goalending. And it’s a lot to put on Alex Lion shoulders. I think he’s a good signing. He was the best available, but it’s all to all be on his shoulders. A guy that has still only started 100 games in the National Hockey League. That’s not a lot. He is 32 years old, but 100 starts, 43 the careerhigh, a lot of that coming in the last three years. I’ve gone through why I like the signing because a lot of the good numbers do come in the last three years. The plan B right now being a guy that I liked over Alex Georgie Evan the last week, Colton Ellis. But I guess here’s the exercise you want. Step back, put yourself in the shoes of a fan of another team. Look at the Buffalo Sabres and even give yourself I really like that. The defense core is awesome. And yeah, I think their forward group is enough. Uh what’s their goalie situation? The guy from Detroit that the Red Wings wanted to get better from better off from. And who who’s Colton Ellis? never played in the NHL, that’s your goalie tandem lion and a guy who’s never played before. Yeah, that’s not going to work. If you put yourself in the shoes of another market, that’s how you would look at the Buffalo Sabres and you would say, “Oh, they’re not going to make the playoffs because of goalies.” One thing I want to add on that before we get to I got I want to get to my projections on the division. I wonder if if Kevin Adams will act any differently than he did three seasons ago now, right? 2223 where they missed the playoffs by one point. During that year, for months, the Sabres needed to add a goalender and they didn’t. They stayed patient, too patient. They cost themselves a playoff spot because they didn’t want to go address goalie because they were afraid that Deon Levi was going to leave or not sign with them. What happens this go round? What happens if we get a month into the year, two months into the year, we get to December and it’s clear, hey, the team is good. They’re not giving up a lot of chances. They are scoring goals, but their goalenders can’t stop anything. And Lucinin is either banged up or not having the year you want. Maybe he’s not even available to you. What do they do then? Because a couple years ago, they preached patience. No, we don’t need to do anything. And so many times throughout the playoff drought, there has been no action in the middle of years where clearly there needed to be. What happens this time? Kevin Adams is in a different stage as general manager. He’s on the 18th hole. You got to and you need a birdie. You got to birdie this hole. He was on 12 maybe with a with a with a you know one shot back um a couple of seasons ago. You act differently, right? this time. Hey, bring out the 3-wood. You got to go for the green. So, will he make a move if it doesn’t go well? He’s already made some moves. He’s made the smallest of moves you could make. Georgiev on a vet minimum contract essentially. Colton Ellis, a goalie who’s never played in the NHL, as a waiver claim. Um, I like that he’s doing something, but these are not like the type of moves that I’m talking about. I’m talking about you trade your first round pick for an established goalender that you can get your hands on. I’m talking you trade a star prospect. You trade Noah, you’re willing to trade Noah Osland in the name of I need a goalie. I need to make the playoffs. It’s the final piece of the puzzle. I’m doing it and I’m just I’m doing it. Whatever. And and maybe a guy like that doesn’t become available. Lena Salmark was that idea a couple years ago for Ottawa and that’s worked out wonders for them. It’s an amazing trade that has put that whole team together and it cost them a first round pick, but it absolutely worked out. Can you find a goalie available in the next two months that is of that caliber if this tandem doesn’t work out? Lion and Ellis and Lukin’s injuries um continue. We’ll see how that goes. But that’s my biggest concern right now. And that’s the biggest reason I would keep them out of the playoffs is that I think goalending might get them killed when we come back. One through eight in the division. Got my Sabres projection for you. It’s a little higher than I’ve had for them in the past. That’s coming up here in the Lockdown Sabres podcast. Today’s episode of the Lockdown Sabres podcast presented by FanDuel Sportsbook. The NFL season is here and FanDuel has an offer that you don’t want to miss and you could use this for hockey. You got hockey. tomorrow. Buffalo and New York. Check it out. Sabres are a small underdog in the game. They’re at home. The team they just played got shut out in game number one. Maybe you like the idea of that. So, you go over to FanDuel. You can either go to the website fanduel.com or you could download the app. That’s the way that I do it. That’s the easiest way I think. Right now, new customers can bet just $5. So, you throw your $5 bet in and if you win, you get $300 in bonus bets. You could look at you, you could let that ride on a future. Put that on, you know, the you want to go crazy Sabres to win the division and, you know, you might not get paid out for a long time, but you get something to root for the entirety of the year. Um, adds a little bit more juice. Or maybe you want to do that with another team in the Western Conference, maybe do that in football. Um, but again, first $5 bet if you’re a new customer and if you win it, you get $300 in bonus bets um to use all across the app on anything that you’re looking for. So, what are you waiting for? Visit fanuel.com, download the FanDuel app today and get started with FanDuel Sportsbook. Sneaky Jody Biosi back here on the Lockdown Sabres podcast. One day away from Sabres and Rangers. All right, Atlantic Division preview or projections. My final projections. I wrote down point totals um to put it on paper. what I think is going to happen this year in this division. And I’m going to put my money where my mouth is. I am absolutely projecting that the division is coming down. I’ll start with a bold prediction. I actually bet this team to win the division at a plus 800 bet. Plus 800. I am going with the Ottawa Senators to win the Atlantic divisions here. Gasp. Right. Ottawa. They are not the favorite. They are very rarely being picked to win the division. But let me make my case for you. A lot of it has to do with the other teams. We’ve talked about it a lot. Right. Florida coming back down to earth because they have two big injuries and you know Tampa is I’ll get to them in a second with this, but they they are older and they’ve been on cruise control in past years. I think Ottawa is ready to do it. I think Ottawa is the most complete team in the Atlantic division. They took the step that they needed last year by getting into the playoffs and getting that little taste of playoff hockey. But I love the players at the top of their lineup. I love Tim Stutla. Love Brady Kachchuck. Obviously wish the Sabres could get their hands on Brady Kachchuck, but obviously he’s staying put for now. But the line the lineup is deep, right? Like all the way through, you know, one I I think Josh Norris is a better player than Dylan Cousins. I absolutely think the Sabres are going to win that trade if Norris stays healthy and that’s kind of what it comes down to, right? But I think Norris is the better player. But it shows you where the two teams are that most viewed it as a semi as a as a hockey trade, right? It’s a change of scenery trade. It’s they’re even if I think Norris a better player, you might not think they’re that far off in terms of value. Look where the two players are pegged in their lineups. Josh Norris is being entrusted to be what for the Buffalo Sabres? the number one center. Number one center with Tage Thompson and playing on the number one power play unit. Where’s Dylan Cousins playing at the beginning of the year for Ottawa? Third line center. First line for Buffalo, third line for Ottawa for players that maybe aren’t total super super far apart. That shows where Ottawa is compared to Buffalo. Shane Pinto, Tim Stutzla, those guys are gonna be expected to play a little bit more minutes-wise than Cousins. I mean, Stutla obviously, but it shows the depth. They’ve got it up front. David Pon, a good solid veteran on their third pair. Claude Geru, a good solid veteran on their second line. Just all the way through, they’re going to have goalc scoring. And that blue line with Jake Sanderson and Thomas Shabbat, it’s a good blue line. I even like Nick Jensen as a as a bottom four uh defense guy. Um I think the blue line is good enough. I don’t think it’s as good as the Sabres, but um the biggest reason that I’ve got Ottawa number one here is I think they’re deep. I like their star players and they have a goalie. That’s the combination. Deep goalie stars. Not any I don’t think there’s another team in the league that can say that today about this season. I got Ottawa number one at 105 points. That is my projection. I’ve got them winning the division. Number two, I’m going to go with the Tampa Bay Lightning 99 points. Part of this is kind of how they’ve treated past seasons. There have been actually like two of the last three years Tampa has really not had their foot all the way down on the pedal to begin the year because they know they just got to get in. They just got to get in. They’ve done the song and dance before. They know that the Atlantic winning the division doesn’t even really sometimes give you an advantage. You might get a tougher matchup in round one if you get that. So, I don’t know how much they’re really pushing for it and they care about it. I think you could see a slow start for them because that’s kind of what’s happened. They’re an older team. They’re a championship level team and they know when to flip that switch. And they don’t have one thing that Ottawa has. They are not as deep as the Ottawa Senators are. So, I got Tampa coming in at number two with 99 points. Florida I still have in the top three. Some you’re seeing with a Buffalo in the top three, Montreal in the top three. Um, a surprise team up there. Um, I’m going to go with Florida though, still they win last night. I still think they’re a deep enough unit. I They don’t have the star talent for especially the first three months of the year with both Kachchuck and Barov out. Barov out all year. I think though they’re deep enough to overcome those injuries. So, I’ve got them at 95 points. I think Anton Lundell is a baby Bararkov. Not as good, but he could play that role. They they had a guy in Lundell ready to step in for Bararkov. I mean, there’s no other team in the league, I think, that has a secondary player that plays the exact same style as the number one center ready to go like the Panthers did. So, he’s not as good. Star talent is takes a knock, but I think Florida still finds their way to a 95 point season and in the top three. my number four seed in the Atlantic for this year. I’m gonna go with Montreal. Everything to me in Montreal just a little bit better than what we currently have here in Buffalo. So, I’ve been a little bullish on Montreal in the last couple of weeks. Um, love the Noah Dobson trade in the offseason for them. And while I’m not super optimistic about their goalending, like that’s one area I’d give them above the Savers. I think it’s more likely Sam Montenbo is able to provide good level goalie goalending for them than uh than Alex Lion is. Number five, Toronto been consistent in this, been on the record and Toronto takes a step back this year. Bad analytical numbers last year. They were a very goalender reliant season last year, which for a team that doesn’t have a star goalie, I think that could be tough. They lose their second best player, Mitch Mner. They don’t really replace him. I still got Toronto squeaking into the playoffs, but I think it’s going to come down to the last couple games of the season. I got them at 93 points. That is going to be I think the final wildcard position. I think Toronto just squeaks in at the very end. Then I have the Sabres. So, yes, go ahead, yell at me. I do have the Buffalo Sabres playoff drought extending to a 15th season. I have them being close. I think it will come down to the final week. I’ve got them at 90 and 90 to 95 is about the range that you’re currently seeing for them almost everywhere projected. And what does 90 points mean to me? It means you have like a 40 to 45% chance to make the playoffs. And right now, I don’t think that’s that’s crazy. It 40 to 45 I take that right now. Like that gives me a real chance. So, 90 points for all the reasons we’ve talked about throughout the summer. Um, and or in the first segment of today’s show, I got the Sabres being close but just out. Detroit I have as the seven spot in the Atlantic at 87 points. Um, I think they could fall apart a little bit this year. And the more I the more I look at John Gibson, the more I think I’d rather have him than Alex Lion, don’t get me wrong. Um, but I wonder how that’s going to go for them in Detroit. And then finally, Boston’s going to be terrible. 72 points. Far well below everybody else. Like that’s the worst team in the division. And I don’t even think it’s part I don’t think it’s particularly close. I think Boston’s really really bad. So Ottawa at number one, Tampa number two, Florida at number three, Montreal four, Toronto 5, Buffalo 6, Detroit 7, Boston 8, and really everybody being in the playoff mix except for the Bruins and probably it coming down to Sabres, Leafs, and Canadians in the final week. I think those three teams are all fighting uh in the final games of the season and um hey maybe the Sabres get lucky and they’re one of those teams that gets in. That’s where I’m at. All right, when we come back, quick thought on Alex Gorggv being waved, what it means, where he’s going, the goalie setup, um and some new jersey numbers I want to talk about coming up here on the Lockdown Sabres podcast. Today’s episode of Lockdown Sabers is presented by Indeed. You just realized that your business needed to hire somebody yesterday. Well, how can you find amazing candidates fast? Easy. Just use Indeed. When it comes to hiring, Indeed’s all you need. Stop struggling to get your job post seen on other sites. 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Um, not that he didn’t play preseason games in St. Louis, just uh think you might want to get him more acclimated before you throw him in. The question might be when does he play? because right now he’s the number two. Alex Gorgiev placed on waiverss. He is being sent to Rochester. Um at least that’s the expectation. I wonder if he will report to Rochester. I think he probably will, but you guys I guess you never know. Guy that’s been in the NHL for this long now consistently. What does he want to do? Um he could maybe try to get his contract terminated so he can go to Europe. Like I don’t know. I don’t know what’s going to happen with him, but most likely he’s going to go to Rochester and split time with Deon Levi. Where could Carter Ellis or Colton Ellis come in and play? Um, they don’t have a back-to back for weeks. In fact, that would be the eighth, ninth game of the year, the Friday, Saturday home and home with Toronto. So, would you get him a start before then? I think you probably would want to. So, it’ll be interesting. They go Thursday, Saturday, Monday in the next um week here. Thursday against New York, Saturday against Boston, Monday against Colorado. I I think you don’t want to really mess around though. Like I think you play Lion in the opening game and you see how it goes. If it goes well, you play him again. If it goes well, you play him again. And you just you you just do that. You do that until until it stops. You see, if Lion earns playing the first eight games of the year, well, then you do that. You start Alex Lion for the first eight games of the season. And you don’t force Ellis in. That’s what I would do at least. Um, and if he has an off night, all right, then you go to then you go to Colton Ellis and you throw him in there. Um, and of course that’s all assuming that Lucin doesn’t get back by then, but you have we have no idea. So, Gorgiev on waiverss. Just want to say really quick, I I don’t think anything they did with Gorgiev was a was a misstep or a failure. They took a shot, they took a swing, it’s going to cost them nothing against the Cap. Um he just goes to Rochester and if that was always the downside, I I think you’re perfectly you’re perfectly fine to do that. Um so I’m glad they signed him still. They got him into a couple of preseason games. You get a look at a guy who’s been in the NHL for a long time, has had some good years, see if he can take a step back to what he used to be, and okay, he didn’t. So, what was really the downside of doing that in the first place? Nothing. Which is why I’m glad they uh glad they took the swing. And very lastly here on the show, because this actually just happened while we were um doing the podcast, uh Jack Eel signed an extension in Vegas, eight years, $13.5 million with the Golden Knights. I think he did a terrible job on that contract. Eight years, $1,3.5 million. He is going to be grossly underpaid within a couple of years. Um, the cap’s going up and he just signed a contract like the cap isn’t going up. I think McDavid really did some damage to players uh by doing what he did. Uh, or just NHL players just business-wise are nowhere near as good at this as NFL players are, baseball players are, NBA players are. It’s just it’s the one sport where the players just for some reason they don’t they don’t push for what they’re worth. Um, and I guess you could say that’s good for their teams and you could always frame it that way, but I always have a hard time not thinking about how billionaire owners are the ones that are getting the payoff on that and not, you know, not the players. Anyways, that’s gonna do it for us today here on the Locked On Sabres podcast. This was our this was our our last show of the offseason. I mean tomorrow uh we are going to be talking to you on a game day. So that’s fun. Thanks for listening throughout the off season. Um I know there could be some dog days this summer and if you stick with us all the way through it. Always appreciate our listeners and um getting us through the start of the year. So let’s have some fun and let’s make the playoff. Let’s do this show and do it when there we’re in a playoff game. That’s the goal for the year. All right, talk to you tomorrow in the Lockdown Sabers podcast, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network. Your team every day. [Music]

There’s more and more optimism surrounding the Buffalo Sabres as we approach the regular season opener against the New York Rangers. Sneaky Joe DiBiase has his final projections on where the Sabres will finish based on what looks like an improved defensive roster, confidence in Josh Norris and Jiri Kulich, and a massive season from Rasmus Dahlin. However, how worried should we really be about a goalie situation entering the year of Alex Lyon and a guy who’s never played in the NHL in Colten Ellis?

Plus, why Joe believes Ottawa is about to have a huge year in the Atlantic Division, but everyone else might take a big step back. A big reason for Sabres optimism is definitely a weaker looking Atlantic, maybe the weakest we’ve ever seen.

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