My opinion:

tl;dr: right now, Daniels is about four points per game away from USD $30-32M per over four years.

4 comments
  1. I feel like the real debate is the player option on the last year. If I’m repping DD I would demand one or the other. 30 mill a year or a 4 year at a discount with the PO.

    $104/4 years with a PO and some DPOY, championship, and shooting incentives.

  2. It’s a gamble. Does his offense improve to the point teams don’t just keep putting their worst defender on him, or completely sag off as I’ve noticed plenty of times.

    For a team that’s hoping to contend, in the playoffs it’s very difficult to have a guy on court in late game situations that essentially puts his team at a 4v5 disadvantage in half court offense. Does his historically poor(for a guard) free throw shooting improve or do what it has done over the last 3 years and stagnate?

    I think there’s some reasons to be optimistic regarding his growth as a player, given his age and his work ethic, if his deficiencies are improved he’s an absolute weapon for any team, 2 way wings are the most prized asset a team can have. However if the offense doesn’t come along as we all hope, it’s very hard to justify $30m for a purely defensive stopper, when you can pick up guys like NAW that do both at half the cost.

  3. I haven’t had the chance to read this but I kind of disagree with the TLDR. I think he’s very close to 30m right now, but if he scored 4 more points and put up 18/6/4 this season he will be getting significantly more than 30-32, he’ll be asking for like 40 and will probably settle between 34-40m aav(depending on contract length, incentives, and player/team options). Like 18/6/4 with elite defence puts him around OG/Mikal territory, and both of those guys got 40m(Mikals contract was an overpay imo but he’s much worse defensively than Dyson, OGs contract is pretty fair value).

    Dyson is like 10-15% FT and another decent 3p shooting year from 32m. He’s 4ppg away from like 36/40m.

  4. Well considering Suggs signed 5/$150 I would say that’s a decent comp. Suggs is nowhere near the defender Dyson is. 

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