This is EXACTLY what the Padres NEED to do…
This is exactly what the Padres’s need to do. With the off season looming very quickly, these moves will keep the team together. What does that mean for us? Let’s talk about it. Hi, welcome back to another episode of Padres’s Digest with your host Andrew. We are in the off season for us. Uh, and I it it’s hard to make videos when there’s no games going on. Uh, but no, we have we have tons of stuff for you coming up. I know Christian has a couple videos. I got a couple videos. This will be my first of two recordings I’m gonna make right now. So, we got stuff, but I miss I miss game recaps. They’re fun. I had it down to a science. It was good. Uh, and then not going to name names, but some people had to ruin it for us. You know who. Anyways, no negativity or negativity aside, I should say. Uh, before anything, as always, please subscribe. We’re getting close to 2750. Me and Christian can do a nice little co-host collab video. And like I said, already had an idea for that. So, be on the lookout for that. Uh, but today we’re talking about something simple, arbitration. If you guys don’t know what arbitration is, I’ll explain it in just a second. But basically, we’re going to need to spend about 26 $25 million if we want to keep everyone who is arbitration eligible, which are these players, V7. So that number in the parenthesis, that is their service time. So like how many years they’ve been playing basically. And the number next to it is how much they are projected to make. This is according to MLB trade rumors. We’ll get into it with some slides. It’s from this article, of course, and the MLB trade rumors website. So, a little combination of both. But let’s start with this, an introduction to it. So, seven Padres’s are arbitration eligible in 2026 and are projected to earn a combined $24.4 million. Arbitration is the process by which players with sufficient service time, but not yet free agency negotiate salaries, usually 3 to six years in the major. These projections shape how much money San Diego must commit internally before adding new players. So basically, if a player is in arbitration, they say, “Hey, this is how much I think I’m worth.” And then the team is like, “Hey, this is how much we think you’re worth.” And most of the time they’re two completely different numbers. Uh, and if it ever gets to a point, I think the deadline’s in February or something like that. If they don’t make it, if they don’t agree on a deal by that deadline, an arbitrator comes in and he’s like, “Well, let’s see. Do I agree with the player for what he’s worth or the team for what he’s worth? Uh, and then yeah, whichever one he decides is the amount he’ll make the next year. So, it’s it’s an oversimplification obviously, but that’s the basis of it, right? And we’ll talk about a little bit more in a sec, but like I showed you, uh, here are the seven players. I got their service time, Jason Adam, 5 years, 1.32. This is his last eligible year. He’s going to make projected 6.8 million. And you see in his stats this year, very good. 1.93 erra, 70 strikeouts, four saves, 2.8 war for him, wins above replacement. Uh Adrien again on his last year of service time, he should be making around 3.6 million and you saw him pitch obviously 208 RA 70K 2.4 WAR and yeah, Jason Adams should be back uh for the start of the next year based off his injury and based off reports, but he’ll be back next year for the majority of the year at least. Gavin Sheets, who we saw and love, like watched him like we loved watching him grow uh into a good solid hitter. He has four years service time. Uh that’s around 4.3 million for his projected salary. And again, he’s not like league amazing or anything like that, but I feel like he’s an underrated name at least. 19 home runs, 71 RBI’s. Uh and then JP Sears, three years, uh projected salary, 3.5, not so great, but we’ve seen flashes of goodness from him, right? Like he has been good before. Uh, and then Campy, of course, you’ve seen Campy. He’ll probably make a million. He played horribly in the majors, but he was one of the best hitters in the minor leagues last year in AAA. So, hopefully this offseason gives him a chance to revamp because we’re probably going to use him as our backup and have a Fetamine Kusano uh back stop catching duo. I don’t know if Diaz will come back. He’s a free agent or he has an option, I think. But whatever. Besides the point. And then on the bottom, it says super two for those two players. I’ll explain super two in just a second, but Mason Miller, Freddy Fedmine, both with around two uh yeah, it’s around two years service time. Uh Miller could make about 3.4 million. Federamine about 1.8 million. And you’ve seen their stats. You saw how Mason Miller pitches. You’ve seen how Freddy and Fermine catches and has some good clutch hitting. Uh one of the few good hitters during the playoffs this year. So obviously we’re keeping both. But let me explain to you what Super Two is. To be honest, I actually didn’t I’ve never heard about Super Two until this year. I don’t know if that was a new thing or not, but yeah, I’ve never heard of it, but yeah. Uh, I lost it. There we go. So, Super Two Explained. Super Two players are those with two to three years of service time who rank among the top 22% of that class. They gain early arbitration eligibility, meaning one extra arbitration year compared to peers. So, Miller and Federmine will get four arbitration years instead of three, giving them more salary leverage earlier. Uh so basically it’s like these players are good and they play a lot of games. Uh and so you have like a rookie contract, right? And that’s like three four years I think. But basically they would take away one rookie year contract and give them an extra year of arbitration. So that basically they would make more money, right? So why that matters? First of all, just to be clear, this is not a Padres’s choice. This is the MLB MLB players association. They’re the one who decide to super two. So we don’t assign them super two. They are given super two. Does that make sense? So basically it just a gets them more money, right? You’re we still get the same control over them, but they get more money out of us, which you might think is a bad thing. It’s good for them, bad for us maybe, I don’t know. But it’s it’s a thing and it’s been a thing for a while and I’ve never heard about it until right now. So I I I’ve learned something new from this job. But yeah, Freddy Fmine, Mason Miller, they’re going to be our super two most likely. Uh, so yeah, expect them to make more money eventually, but for right now, I think we’ll be okay with what we have. And then just the last little thing, the front office approach approach. I can read. Uh, the Padres’s last went into arbitration hearing in 2014 with Andrew Kashner. They prefer to settle early. AJ Peller typically comes to an agreement before formal figure exchange deadlines, so he usually avoids arbitration by getting a good deal for most players. Uh in 2025, Michael King’s case almost pushed the hearings but was settled later. And this approach avoids distractions, keeps relationships healthy, and gives contract clarity soon. But the big thing obviously is Peter Sidler was a part of a lot of those and he would he’d like to spend money. Let’s put it that way. So it was much easier to avoid arbitration if you were willing to pony up more cash. Like for example, we gave uh we gave Juan Sto like what 30 million or something like that that one year. I don’t even remember, but I know we gave Josh Hater like 15 million when he was arbitration eligible. So, we weren’t afraid to spend then, but now that we’re in a different ownership group, spending may not be the same as what it was. So, will we enter into arbitration? I don’t know. But like I said, AJ Peller doesn’t really like doing all that. He he’s he’s a settler and he’s a good negotiator. So, what does this mean for the team? Basically, it means arbitration budget is going to affect who we can afford in free agency and who we can bring back and who we can sign. So, we don’t want anything too high, but we want to make sure we can secure players like these because these are some of our best players on our team. Mason Miller, Fedine, Adam, and even Sheets. Like, this is the kind of thing you want to make sure you secure before you go out and sign, you know, massive, massive contracts that keep you from signing these arbitrational arbitrational, is that a word? arbitration eligible players. But yeah, just some numbers stuff if you’re not super huge into baseball. I hope this was a enlightening video for you, let’s say. But yeah, who do you guys want? Also, please apply. But out of this list, who do you guys want to resign? Do you want to resign everybody? Do you think we should just let JP Sears go because we don’t have to sign him. If they don’t sign him, they’ll just be I think it’s a restricted free agent, I’m pretty sure, or unrestricted. I’m not really sure to be honest. I’m so sorry. I I forgot. I forget things. I am sorry. Okay, I just want to be clear. I had to re-record this real quick. Uh, they would become it’d be called non-tender. So, if you non-tender a contract to an arbitration eligible player, they would then become a unrestricted free agent, which means they can hit the open market. Uh, don’t know why I screwed that up or I forgot that. My bad. But yeah, just to be clear, restricted free agents are not a thing in baseball. They would be non-tendered and they’d become open market free agents. Just want to clarify that. Uh, but who do you guys want to resign? Do you think we should resign everybody or do you think we should let people go? And how do you feel about this the budget? How do you how much would you be willing to spend on them for arbitration? And yeah, how do you guys feel about everything? Just let me know. Thank you guys so much for watching. Please subscribe as always and have a fantastic rest of your day. Uh and go Padres. Please, please be better. You’re hurting me, but please be better. Thank you guys. Goodbye.
Today, Andrew McFarland talks about MONEY with y’all as we dive into the topic of arbitration and what Padres will be a part of the process this offseason…
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7 comments
jettison arraez, cronenworth and bogaerts. trade tatis for a couple double A middle relievers and a bucket of balls.
Sheets is a bum ..don't give him a big contract
Give Laureno a 3 year deal. Get rid of Tatis Cringworth Bogarts
Miller should be out next closer. Get rid of Suarez he's a bum.
They also gotta pay manny and pivetta more this year. Idk how it works on the books perse but more cash is being used which is unfortunate
Give sears to the dodgers for free
Get rid of Bogy, Cronenworth, Sears. Keep Arais, keep our starting lineup in pitching.