Carolina Panthers vs New York Jets Prediction | NFL Week 7 Picks | 10/19/25

Next up for us, 1 pm Eastern. Carolina Panthers being very good to me this year at the New York Jets. Panthers 0 and3 on the road. Jets 0 and4 at home. Jets of course 0 and6 on the year. Metife stadium eastford New Jersey 69 Fahrenheit. Partly sunny 7 mph winds. Let’s take a look at this line history here. We have the Carolina Panthers minus two at minus 110. The look ahead was plus two and a half. It did uh close at plus 2 and a half. It reemerged on Sunday evening 6:54 p.m. at a pickum and the Panthers got up to minus 2 and a half 5 this morning. They’re now minus two. So a very legit move towards the Carolina Panthers. Yeah, the the flipping happened here, right? Jets open favorites from the look ahead, not from the reemergence. It reemerged as a pick them. But from the look ahead, the total here is a 42. The look ahead was 45 and it dropped to 44. Reemerged at 44 and a half and we’ve dropped two and a half points since then. Two and a half points since then. So, let’s roll. Wager detective on the Panthers minus two. I love the sounds of that TJ. Go get it. So, here we go. Let’s talk about the Panthers first. 20th ranked passing offense, second ranked rushing offense, Carolina Panthers. Red zone offense ranked 15th, 63.2% of the time they’re scoring touchdowns. Their third down offense ranked 19th. They’re converting 39.2% of the time. Their passing defense has been a real problem. It’s currently ranked 27th by Pro Football Focus, while their rush defense is being pretty good, ranked ninth. Red zone defense 19th at 60%. Third down defense 12th at 38.2%. And their pass rush has been a problem, ranked 29th in the NFL. Look, I’ve backed them at home. You know, I made the whole point last week how this is this team is undefeated at home and let’s bet them again. But I don’t know who would want them on the road. They come in off an impressive 27-24 victory at home over the Cowboys. The noise canceled score was 3024. The Panthers outgainain the Cowboys 410 to 292. Bryce Young was 17 to 25 for 199 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. Rico Dael was a monster against his former team, but he’s been a monster in back-toback weeks. He has 473 yards from scrimmage over his last two weeks. That’s a franchise record. He also became the seventh NFL player in the last 20 years to post backto back 200 yard games. His 239 yards on Sunday also set a franchise record. It had been 237 set twice by Christian McCaffrey. So now it’s Rico’s. He ran 30 times for 183 yards, led receivers by catching four passes for 56 and a touchdown. The Panthers outgainained the Cowboys on the ground 216-31. But the 29th ranked pass rush was invisible. Zero sacks, two quarterback hits. They did manage to hold the Cowboys to 204 in the red zone and they’re still dealing with injuries. Tyler Taylor Mottton, they’re a great tackle. He is was inactive last week. Chuba Hubard inactive last week. Tight end Sanders and defensive tackle Tan Wharton all were inactive last week. And they’re all listed as questionable this week. Let’s talk about the New York Jets who got us paid last week. I know it was not pretty, but uh they got us paid. Passing offense 17th, rushing offense 24th. You know, I I was certain if I wrote Terrod Taylor into Google, Terrod Taylor starting that I would have articles coming up saying, will the Jets expect to start Trod Taylor? But none of those articles uh menaced when I wrote it into Google. Red zone offense 16th, third down offense second worst in the NFL 30.3% of the time they convert. Their passing defense 28th, rush defense eighth, red zone defense 18th, third down defense ninth. And we did not expect this Jets pass rush to be as weak as it’s been. 22nd ranked pass rush. So they returned from the UK after an ugly 13-11 loss to the Broncos. The noise canceled score was 15-7 Broncos. So they were very fortunate. They averaged 1.4 yards per play. They produced 32 net yards in the first half. That’s the fewest by any any NFL team in the first half this season. Justin Fields was 9 to 17 for 45 yards. That’s it. No touchdowns, no picks. He also ran seven times with 31 yards. It was Josh Reynolds who led receivers with three catches for 25 yards. They finished minus 10 net yards passing. That is the fewest in franchise history. That’s also the fewest the Broncos have ever allowed in their franchise history. It was also the fewest in any NFL game since the Chargers had minus 19 against the Kansas City Chiefs in Ryan Leaf’s third career start in 1998. Wasn’t he the first overall pick? He was. Isn’t that just disturbing numbers here? Uh Bree Hall ran 22 times for 59 yards. The Jets were two of 15 on third down. Did not make it into the red zone. The offensive line could not hold the Broncos back. Denver had nine sacks, but the defense tried to keep the Jets in it. Held Denver to 515 on third down, one or two in the red zone. The pass rush was Meek once again, one sack, two quarterback hits. They have four sacks in their past five games. I did not expect that. And then we have Garrett Wilson now with this hip issue. Uh he was holding his ribs, he was holding his hip. He told reporters it wasn’t his hip, but he wouldn’t provide further details. And then the MRI comes out, hyperextended knee. He’s going to miss a couple weeks. So there’s not going to be Gary Wilson in the lineup. Cam Jones, linebacker, also left with hip injuries. Quarterback Michael Carter was inactive and he’s list as questionable this week. Take it away here for us. Troy Torrance. Panthers haven’t won on the road. Jets haven’t won at home. Haven’t won this year. Who do you like here at Medlife Stadium? I like the Jets. I currently have only moved on them in a teaser and I paired them with the Colts. I got both teams plus eight. But how could you even consider backing the Panthers? I know what we’ve seen from this Jets team leaves a lot to be desired, but this Panthers team, excuse me, excuse me. Big Tatum wants in, man. [Laughter] It’s all good. Uh, but the Jets plus eight, Colts plus eight is the teaser. Yep. Jets plus eight, Colts plus eight is my teaser. Got a minus 120. Got to be betting teas minus 120. Panthers coming off two consecutive home wins. Now they travel. We’ve seen what happens after a win on the traveling. Seen them going to New England Patriots get their faces stomped in. This team is clearly, you’ve mentioned it many times, Panthers is clearly bet on at home and their fate on the road. I got to experience the opposite side of that by getting killed by with the Cowboys. I just don’t think Canales is going to be able to scheme up a way to effectively run the football. 200 plus rushing yards in two in consecutive games against the two worst run defense in the NFL and the Cowboys and the Dolphins. And that’s after the running game was inept in the first three weeks. If the Panthers can’t run the football, I think their offense is going to fall apart. Now, the Jets, they’ve proven a few times that they’re capable of stopping the run. They held Denver to very minimal yards. They held Bucky to under three yards. I think he was at 2.6 yards per carry. Their PFF, the run defense is their strongest suit. They’re ranked 11th. I just don’t think the Panthers are going to be able to run the ball down the Jets throat. That’s going to take away all the things they pivot to in terms of their offensive scheme. The Jets passing defense, I expect to see more man coverage knowing Aaron Glenn and knowing he has sauce and I think that’s perfectly fitting. I mean, who does this, you know, stop the run, put sauce on McMillan, and I think the Jets defense is going to be in good shape. And this is after many weeks of me doubting and saying the Jets are what they put on tape and what they put on paper. which they’ve been terrible. They’ve underperformed for two consecutive years, but this is a perfect match for the chess team at home. I It’s hard to make a case for this offense. I don’t even want to try to make a case for this offense, but I what I will say is I have this line flipping from uh Jets from favorites to dogs. And historically, I’ve talked about this and it it does matter if the home team’s flipping from dog to favorite or favorite to dog. It does make a difference. But I’m just going to talk about when it flips from home favorite to home dog like I’ve seen here like I’m going to document after this game if they do close as dogs home team in non-divisional games non-prime time games flip from dog to favorite or from favorite to dog in this case 10 and four straight up 10 and4 ATS. So I have the market signing off. I see matchups that I like on the field and I want to I think the situation lines up. Jets are have not gotten a win. I think Aaron Glenn is not going to let his team sleep until he gets the win. And uh you know I believe that the Jets get the win here. I haven’t moved on it on the side just stand alone yet, but I’m considering it. I think that we have to play the Panthers as simple as it sounds. Fade them on the road and back them at home. In saying that, you know, TJ’s right when he says, you know, can you believe those stats? And yet, can you imagine those offensive numbers and still covering? But this is a pretty simple, you know, buy the Jets low and sell the Panthers high. The problem is is that’s a pretty legit move. So, I did look at a couple other books and they did open it up with the Jets minus one and now have them plus two. So, it was the pick them where we used to play poker, but some sharp books have done that. I mean, yeah, this has got to be this is this has got to be better. enough. It has to be. I think I now I I’m gonna not bet this tonight. I want to see a sign from the books that they’re a little uncomfortable with some Jets money coming in. So, I’m going to be the one that’s hopping in now here. I’m taking the Jets on the money line. And so, I have the I have the parlay or the teaser with them up to plus eight. And I got the money line and I’m going to get a price right now plus 108. I respect it. I respect it. I’m going to uh keep an eye on it. I I I’m interested in the Jets. I you know, it’s a it’s pretty simple situation for me. I just uh Birdie says, “Isn’t this movement to get Jets money?” Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Probably. Probably. I’d like to see what happens when they get it. Uh if they if this goes to two and a half. I mean, oh wow, it did go through. Okay, man. Bear pig. Sorry, my timing was poor there, fellas. Uh, Jets plus 108 here for Troy. Uh, and TJ says he’s with Troy. He’s on the Jets three different ways. He also said this is a better dream. Biggest bet of the year, Jets. No TJ, did you take an alt? So, he took I’m I’m sure he took like maybe an alt line minus two and a half, minus three and a half. Well, that’s here. Uh I I’m interested in in joining you guys. Um I’m interested in joining you guys, but I’m not going to do it tonight. I I really want to sit with it, but I respect I I find it a there’s a lot of simplistic angles in this game that I really like. Um, when it gets a little more complicated with the X’s nose, there’s obviously concern backing the Jets, but but this should be their first win of the season. It should be, but they are coming back from the UK. But God, how could this not be a buy extremely low spot? So, I’ll study it a little bit more. But we have TJ Big Bet, Troy Torrance moving in two different ways. TJ moving in three different ways on the New York Jets. That concludes 100 p.m. action here. Uh so he bet the minus two and a half on the open, bet the money line at plus 115 and bet them plus two. That’s exciting, but I’m going to need to sit with

Tune in as Jimmy (@JimmyTheBag) and Troy Torrence (@TroyTorrence11) preview and predict the week 7 matchup between the New York Jets and the Carolina Panthers.

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