Mariners vs Blue Jays GAME 7 Predictions | ALCS Betting Preview | 10/20/25
You got Kirby for Seattle who absolutely got shelled last start, but he was decent the previous two starts. I went back and looked kind of 50/50 how he rebounds. He’s done okay after a bad start, but a lot of pressure here. And then you got Bieber for Toronto. 8.2 innings pitched in the playoffs. He’s only allowed four earned runs. You got Toronto as a favorite. Not surprising. They they they have the momentum if you believe in momentum coming into the game. Big game. How do you break this one down? Well, I was kind of hoping I didn’t have anything last night, but I was kind of hoping Seattle would close it out so we could talk about World Series instead of game seven here because it’s hard not to like the Dodgers first of all in the World Series and uh there are some advanced prices by the way. Um they have the matchups for both series at bet online and Dodgers are minus 245 against either Seattle or Toronto of FanDuel’s got a much better price on the futures. They’ve got the Dodgers at – 210 overall, minus 215 against the Blue Jays, – 200 against the Mariners. I guess the thought there is if Seattle pulls the upset here in game seven, they’re a slightly stronger opponent. But this is going to be one of the biggest mismatches we’ve seen in the World Series. And I’m actually shocked that we can get the Dodgers at like minus 210 right now. So, I will say despite whoever wins this game tonight, go ahead and lock in the Dodgers at minus 210. Uh, one of the best teams in baseball ever coming into the season, they underachieved quite a bit. Uh, but as my Dodger insider and the great American Justin Briskkey keeps pointing out to me, they are on a roll. He looked it up and said it was the best lowest erra in the history of September ever for a team. I haven’t looked that far, but they were pretty damn good. And now that Otani is available to pitch as we saw in game four the other night, better look out. As far as this game goes tonight, game seven, once again, I feel like these two teams are playing for runner up, but they want to win the American League Championship Series. And I’m not a conspiracy guy, but if I was, I’d have to say MLB probably wants a Canadian USA matchup. I can’t imagine they want Seattle LA. Toronto LA is a huge matchup. I’m not going to say they’re going to get some beneficial calls, but the Blue Jays are favored for a reason, and that’s also because they’ve had a strong home field. Both these teams have had losing records in the regular season on the road, and they both were like 40 games above 500 combined at home. So, of course, what happened? Well, the road team won the first four games in this series, but we have seen things get back to normal a little bit uh the last few games. Toronto won game um actually, I’m sorry, Seattle won game five at home. Toronto won game six um at home last night, of course. So the home team is now two and0 after going 0 and4. I think that continues. If you’re going to play this, you want to lay with the Blue Jays. The big concern for Toronto and the reason they’ve had to go to a game seven here in their 10 playoff games, their bullpin has been horrendous so far this postseason. And it’s really remarkable they’re even in a spot to play in the World Series. They’re just 5 and five straight up in the 10 playoff games. And they have a bullpen RA of over 6.0 in the postseason. Um Seattle 3.97. Not great, but their whip is 1.18. Toronto’s is 1.59 which is a terrible whip. So you could hedge the Blue Jays a little bit with the over tonight over seven and a half over eight. Uh we’re not getting that key number of seven though. As far as the pitchers in this game, uh George Kirby as Andy Lang mentioned is coming off a terrible start giving up eight runs in just four innings. Pretty solid before that. Something I point out a lot in my late season baseball videos and analysis. I like to look at pitch count or most more importantly innings pitched at this point because some of these guys have never gone this deep into a season. Uh Kirby last year in the regular season went 191 innings. Went 190 the year before that. This year in the regular season he only pitched 126. So I do think he’ll probably have a decent outing tonight. And then Shane Bieber 12 innings last year and only 40 this year after coming back from the injury when he had 128 innings in 2023. So, I’m a little lukewarm in the over for that reason because I think both pitchers have solid outings here tonight. Therefore, I would rather have the side in this game and I just feel like Toronto is going to advance. And while homefield advantage in baseball might be a little overrated, it’s really about batting ninth, batting last in the ninth strategically, there will be a little bit of a crowd element. And those of you that are old enough to remember the early 90s, I remember the old Sky Dome, Joe Carter and company. That place was rocking and I think it will be a substantial homefield advantage tonight in game seven. plus the strategic edge of batting last in what could be a tight game. If you’re going to play it, I would lay it with the Toronto Blue Jays minus A125 minus A130. But bigger picture, lay it with the Dodgers minus 210 to win the whole thing. I thought that price was going to be 3 or 4 to one. By the way, real quick, if you’re liking these videos, thumbs up, like if you’re liking the shows, thumbs up like, subscribe. Over 226,000 subscribers to Wager Talk TV. Can’t be wrong. And click that bell for an instant alert. I’ve got a double Monday Night Football video up here. Gave you both the Niners and the under and Sunday night for free. We cashed again on Thursday with the Bengals Steelers easy over. Now 7 and one on the Thursday Night Prime videos. 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⚾️ Get the best MLB Playoff picks for Mariners vs Blue Jays Game 7 from MLB betting expert Ross Benjamin as he runs through two of today’s best baseball matchups from a betting perspective including MLB predictions.
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⚾️ Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays | ALCS Game 7 – Monday, October 20 2025
📍 Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
⏰ First Pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET / 5:08 p.m. PT
📺 Broadcast & Streaming Info
TV (U.S.): Game 7 airs on FOX Sports.
Streaming / Online: Available via FOX’s digital platforms and major live-TV services (e.g., fuboTV, YouTube TV) for U.S. viewers.
Radio / Audio:
• U.S. national Radio: ESPN Radio carries postseason audio coverage.
• Canadian & local radio feeds: The Blue Jays’ radio network and Mariners’ audio affiliates provide local calls.
📊 Betting Snapshot: Spread & Total
Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays approx. –130; Mariners approx. +109.
Total Runs (Over/Under): Around 7.5 runs.
Run Line / Spread Context: Toronto listed at –1.5 under the run line in certain markets.
🔍 Key Facts & Storylines
The Mariners are playing in their first ever Game 7 in franchise history, still seeking their first AL pennant.
The Blue Jays haven’t reached the World Series since their 1993 championship season and are pressing to return to baseball’s Fall Classic.
The venue, Rogers Centre, offers home-field for Toronto, which can matter in decisive postseason showdowns.
Defensive and pitching performance are in the spotlight: Toronto earlier forced three inning-ending double-plays with the bases loaded in Game 6, highlighting their postseason poise.
#SeattleMariners vs #TorontoBlueJays
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18 comments
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🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for MLB today? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Me and my brother got Dodgers -150 in Alberta Canada. Kinda feels like stealing 😂
Steve, another good analysis on the home team advantage. Any little edge helps me make a decision
Good luck tonight everyone… enjoy ALCS Game 7… and best of luck!
I like Blue Jays and I also bet O7.5.
Let’s cash tn !!🎉
I took the over 7.5.
Game 7 fk finals. Take a game 7 any sport over finals. Game 7 nhl finals is ultimate fun.
What a stooge saying home advantage in baseball is over rated. Only 2 teams in entire league won over 42 games on road and only 3 over 41. Basically entire league is under 500, including elite teams. With Basically couple exceptions that are like a game or two over. A playoff series with a handful of games where tiny sample works out other way is an anamoly, not the norm.
Cal Reliegh don't play. You ain't heard…Seattle & Over will be at the ticket window…😊
Jays are scrappy AF and are mental at home.
EyeTest tells me Toronto but the Analytics scream Mariners & or the OVER.
I kind of like the over. Possibly Jorge Kirby outs recorded under (possibly Ks under too) because Toronto has hit Kirby well and Seattle may pull him early.
Blue jays total runs over 3.5 is my bet good luck with your bets
Jays will win because they have to payoff some of those tariff debts. Toronto Tariffs at home will win 5-2.
The Dodgers are where they’re at with the -210 because of their bullpen absolutely horrible
JAYS 🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦🐦
Am a rangers fan Kirby is like 9-0 against us , so I want him to lose blue jays 6-4