Dodgers Sweep to World Series GUARANTEES 2027 MLB Lockout?

Here’s Brody Brazil. You know the voicemail line is ready anytime you are. 8334 Brody, that’s the number. If you’ve got a question or a comment or a contribution, I’ll take all of it. I literally listen to all of the messages and then I play back and respond to the very best ones. Hi Brody, my name’s Anthony from Minneapolis. And a few days ago, ESPN put out an article that discusses how the winner of the LCS and now likely the World Series as the Dodgers are currently up 5 nothing in the seventh as I record this could have an impact on the whole salary cap argument that’s going on with the CBA expiration and a lockout on the horizon. Uh the article’s main point is that if the Dodgers win the LCS and by extension the World Series, the league can go see this is why we need the cap. But if someone other than the Dodgers comes out on top, that gives leverage leverage, excuse me, to the players to just go, why do we need a cap when that just happened? I’d love to hear your thoughts on that and any other data points you can find that can either concur or go against the premise of that cake. Love the videos and keep up the good work. Anthony, thank you very much for the call. As you may recognize, this is a quick turnaround. You just left this voicemail. I’m just making this video to have it out ASAP because the Dodgers are in fact headed to the World Series. By the way, shout out to Jeff Passen who wrote that piece at ESPN.com before this series got started. It made that great point that you referenced. We’ve got the small market Milwaukee Brewers in the NLCS against the very big extreme market bigger than we’ve ever seen a team built before, Los Angeles Dodgers. And you know what? It was about as one-sided of a series as you can get a four-game sweep. The Dodgers again headed to the Fall Classic and the Brewers are just going to have to rebuild. Question is, the way the Dodgers spend year after year, can they get back here again to an NLCS again next year? Yeah. Yeah, probably, right? Can the Brewers do that the way they spend and operate? More on that in just a second. And I’ll get into my team thoughts, Dodger thoughts, salary cap thoughts, salary floor thoughts in just a second. Everybody said the Dodgers were ruining baseball and then Dave Roberts got up in the post game and gave his speech and said, “You know what? They said we were ruining baseball. Let’s really ruin it now and win four more games and win the World Series.” But I need to start by focusing on Show Otani. There’s one thing that’s not ruining baseball, it’s Otan’s performance on the diamond. Now, I know you can tell me about his deferred money in the contract. You can tell me about how he kind of started that thing with the Dodgers, even though they were kind of ready to spend already. I’m just talking about a performance in a game that decided whether or not you get to advance to the World Series. Dodgers could have lost a game or two or three and still made it to the series. But this was a clinching game in a clinching game to go to the World Series. Show Otani was the starting pitcher who went six innings, who allowed just two hits, no earned runs. Oh my gosh, he walked three. That’s the big blemish. He walked three, but also struck out 10. Show Otani, did he strike out the first three batters? Struck out the side in the top of the first and then bottom of the first. Oh yeah, he’s the Dodger leadoff hitter. Solo shot to start the game. One of his three home runs in the game. Three for three. He also walked once. Show Otani put on a performance like I don’t know if we’ve ever seen in Major League Baseball in a postseason game, in a a clinching game like this, pitching and hitting like he did. 10 strikeouts, three homers for Shi Otani. But then we really start to digest what’s about to happen here. And the Dodgers sweep, not just their advancing into the World Series. If it was a well-played back and forth series, maybe some arguments both ways could be made about, hey, the the Brewers had a chance and that’s why you play the games and it’s not decided on paper. Or if the Brewers advanced, oh my gosh, anything can happen. And you know what, the Dodgers, the bigger they are, the harder they fall. The thing is, the Dodgers didn’t fall really in the regular season. The Dodgers haven’t fallen in the postseason. and they steamrololled their way through the NLCS. Whoever’s about to face them in the World Series, I mean, what an intimidation factor that’s going to be. But the Dodgers, not just getting to the World Series, but sweeping their way in is going to reignite how people feel about the Dodgers one way or the other. And I’m not here to present the negative light only. I’m just saying that is going to be prominent. I’m looking at this honestly from an objective standpoint here. I’m telling you how people are going to feel. It’s going to reignite their passions and maybe some of their disagreements on how this team was built with the amount of payroll and the way it happened and the deferral of money and how one signing after the next just kept happening and how this team how this team spent $350 million on players salaries this year. But that’s just the tip of the iceberg. They’re also going to spend an estimated $142 million on the luxury tax for paying $350 million to their players this year. That means that the Los Angeles Dodgers are paying more are about to pay more this season on their luxury tax than the Brewers paid on their entire payroll. The Brewers payroll is $121.7 million here in 2025. The Dodgers luxury tax payment alone is 142. I get it. I see how that’s going to be a a conversation piece, a centerpiece, a headline. Like that’s going to be something that’s easy for everybody to see. And there is something to be said, but look, we have a system in place. It’s a soft cap. If teams go over that soft cap, they have to pay. and you’ve got to be really creative if you want to be a team that can afford that. Again, the Dodgers are in a big market. Maybe they’re better positioned with advertising, but they’ve also made a lot of the right moves. I get it. I get why people focus on that. But as much as the focus is going to be at the top of Major League Baseball payrolls, I think as we approach the CBA being renegotiated and potentially uh lockout starting at the 2027 season, I think there also needs to be some attention at the bottom at the very bottom of Major League Baseball payrolls across this league. Teams like the Marlins, the White Socks, the Rays, the Pirates, and oh yeah, those athletics. Historically, teams that have not spent a lot of money in recent years, are they even trying? And should there be a salary floor? As much as there’s already a salary cap, what I think most people don’t even realize they’re asking for is a hard salary cap like you’ve got in the National Hockey League. There’s a number and it goes up year after year, but there’s a number you simply cannot exceed. Baseball, you can exceed it. You just pay for it. But how about a floor number? Hockey has that also. They’ve got a hard floor. Every team needs to spend to a certain amount of money. And actually, if you look if you look at the window between the salary cap and the salary floor in the NHL, historically, it used to be wider. It’s starting to get a lot more narrow. In fact, it’s a lot more narrow than you might think. What if what if all baseball teams had to spend at least $150 million in 2026 and then the Dodgers decided to spend 350 on their own. Okay, but at least that 2:1 ratio doesn’t feel as bad as what’s literally a 3:1 ratio. 350 to 121. I know I’m not doing my math perfectly there, but it’s close to a 3:1 ratio in terms of payroll between the Dodgers and the Brewers. At least if we’re cutting that in half, we’re making baseball theoretically that much more competitive. Owners don’t want to do that to each other. They don’t want to make uh that that limit, that threshold, and say, “Well, everybody’s got to spend to come to this party because enough of them aren’t going to want that. So, where do we even end up here? Players certainly don’t want a salary cap. I don’t think players would be mad at a salary floor because then every team’s got to spend up to a certain amount. that teams don’t want to have a salary floor either because some of them are trying to avoid all of this and not trying to spend and trying to just go through seasons because you know what winning can be expensive. Trying to get back and win year after year and build your team and get more chances at it. That’s expensive. Some teams are really interested in that. Other teams aren’t so interested in that. They want to catch lightning in a bottle and if they if they grab it, great. But that’s it. That was their one chance. Now, I don’t know about the Brewers. They seem to just keep uh regenerating, respawning, if you will. And the Brewers don’t spend a lot, but they seem to get more chances than most other teams. I take it back to something I said earlier in this video. Here’s the difference about spending, right? And this is the argument for the floor versus the cap. The cap is what it is. And sometimes you can be the Mets. Look how much they’ve spent. Look how much the Padres’s have spent in recent years. The Yankees have also been there spending a lot and and not getting everything they want out of it. Spending opens doors for you. It doesn’t guarantee what maybe the Dodgers are trying to do here again. But the question is, the Dodgers are spending like this. Can they get back to to an NLCS in 2026? I believe they’re already the favorites if I’m being honest. Things can happen. It’s sports. that’s why we watch it. But they’ve spent enough to make that way more of a chance and an opportunity. Can the Brewers get back or do they need to have a magical season like they’ve had? Or how about like the Mariners for example? Spending is a little bit different there, but so many things went right for the Mariners on the American League side. Can they get back to an ALCS next year? Does spending, I don’t know, 50 70 million more next year, would that help them out? Sure. And that’s the difference here. So I’m talking about the bottom teams that make it for one year, make it for two years, then you don’t hear from them because they’re not willing to keep their players. Paul Ske, I’ll go back to this one of the Pirates. Is he just going to be a Dodger already someday? Is he watching his future team right now? Because, you know, the Pirates aren’t going to shell out for him, but the Dodgers will. They’ll find a way. And because of all of this, like, and yes, to Jeff Passen’s writing of ESPN.com. Did I mention that by the way at the very beginning? Like Jeff Pass, I say friend of the channel. I’m a I’m a big admirer of his work. We’ve crossed paths before professionally. I’ve told him as much that I think the work uh he does is great. Um I I think he brings up this excellent point that the Brewers were the example of the low-spending team and the Dodgers are the prime example of the high-spending team. And unfortunately what what just played out played right into the narrative that oh well we need a salary cap. Well I mean you should also look at this and say do we need a salary floor? Like again can the Brewers get back? If you think they can then maybe we don’t need a salary floor. But I would suspect most of you think that the Brewers next year will face some huge competition to even get back to an NLCS. And that’s why we need a salary floor. More teams trying, more teams upping what they spend, keeping their players. You know what? How about this? The Dodgers and who’s on their roster. Would they have a chance of keeping all of those player or sorry, would the Dodgers have a chance of signing and acquiring all of those players if those players former teams had kept them? Think about that for a second. 2027 lockout in my opinion because of a lot of different things but even yeah additionally because of this Dodgers Brewers series that just completed I think that lockout is now to Jeff’s point even more likely. Let me know what you think about all this in the comments section below. Also while you’re down there thumbs up on this video helps me the video and the channel. And don’t forget to hit that subscribe button. I would love to see you back here next time.

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The winner of the National League Championship Series could determine whether Major League Baseball is played in 2027.

This might sound far-fetched. It is not. What looks like a best-of-seven baseball series, which starts Monday as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 1, will play out as a proxy of the coming labor war between MLB and the MLB Players Association.

Owners across the game want a salary cap — and if the Dodgers, with their record $500 million-plus payroll, win back-to-back World Series, it will only embolden the league’s push to regulate salaries. The Brewers, consistently a bottom-third payroll team, emerging triumphant would serve as the latest evidence that winners can germinate even in the game’s smallest markets and that the failures of other low-revenue teams have less to do with spending than execution.

Read More: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46576425/mlb-playoffs-2025-dodgers-brewers-nlcs-world-series-passan-labor-battle

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27 comments

  3. But can’t any team do this? You shouldn’t hate on a team playing the game to win 🤷‍♂️ if other teams don’t want to do it that’s on them

  4. A salary cap coming to mlb is much easier said than done! The mlb players association might be the most powerful organization in sports. Much different than the nfl players association! MLB players are much greedier than nfl players, and this has been going on for years. So all you people that are saying that a salary cap is coming might be dreaming.

  6. Winning teams make more money. You need to spend money to win. If you cant afford it, sell your team so the fans of that team can enjoy a winner. Its not the Dodgers fault you are an owner for profit only.

  7. Honestly, I just think banning the deferred money in contracts would help. You want to spend 800 million on a player? He has to cost you 80 million a year on a 10-year contract, not 20. If you want to only pay him 20 the first year, then he'll cost you 200 million the last year (or something like that). It's not like I don't think Ohtani deserves a double-pay contract — he's clearly the best 2-way baseball player, maybe ever, and the first to really be allowed to be that full time.

    I do agree with the salary floor more than a hard salary cap, but I've been against the deferred money since I heard about Bonilla's contract … and I'm not even a Philly fan.

  8. I love that MLB plays favorites. Big cities NYC and LA. They love to ruin themselves MLB. Sorry don’t feel sorry for MLB they are greedy and don’t care about smaller cities or diversity. No more loyalty its about fantasy and gambling.

  9. In my opinion, the Brewers had a magical season. They likely won't even make the playoffs next year.

    I don't see how a salary floor is going to help. Team owners who don't want to spend won't want it. If somehow there's a floor, you need a cap as well and as we know, the rich owners don't want that either.

    You need a rule that says the teams who get competitive balance money to force them to spend that money on players. This is how the Pirates would be more likely to hang on to Skenes. Some bottom teams may not want that. Get rid of this competitive balance pool? Doing so I suppose would get some teams to cry broke and they don't want to get rid of it.

    All this seems to point to an impasse and a 2027 lockout that could threaten the entire season. Could it threaten the existence of MLB itself? If so, could a new league replace it?

  10. Players will never agree to a cap without a floor and if it came out that the reason we lose games in 2027 (potentially) was because the owners didn't want a floor, they'll quickly become the villains of the lockout.

  11. The Major League Baseball union is the strongest union in all of sports. I don’t think the owners have the balls to permanently break this union in relation to guaranteed salaries.

  12. ⚾ Why an MLB Salary Floor Would Create Inflation — Not Parity

    Every few years, the idea of a “salary floor” in Major League Baseball resurfaces as a supposed fix for competitive imbalance. Advocates argue that if every team were forced to spend, say, at least $120 million on player salaries, the league would become more balanced — preventing wealthy franchises from hoarding talent and forcing smaller clubs to invest in their rosters.

    It sounds logical on the surface. But basic economics — and decades of payroll history — suggest the opposite outcome: a salary floor would inflate salaries without improving parity.

    1. A Salary Floor Doesn’t Create More Talent

    A salary floor mandates higher spending, but it doesn’t create more elite players. The supply of major-league-caliber talent is fixed — 30 teams, 26 roster spots each. Raising the minimum spend simply forces teams to pay more for the same number of players.

    In any market where supply is static and minimum expenditure rises, prices inflate. The first ripple effect would be a bidding war for mid-tier or replacement-level players, not better baseball. Agents would capitalize immediately, knowing teams have to hit an artificial number by Opening Day.

    2. Small-Market Teams Would Be Squeezed, Not Strengthened

    Teams like the Pirates, Athletics, and Royals operate on tight margins despite receiving revenue-sharing funds. A salary floor doesn’t magically increase local TV revenue or ticket sales — two areas where large-market clubs hold a massive advantage.

    Forcing those smaller teams to spend more on payroll means they’ll cut costs elsewhere. Scouting departments shrink. Player-development budgets tighten. International signings decline. Ironically, those are the very areas where small-market clubs can compete intelligently with richer franchises.

    A floor would shift spending away from innovation and into mandatory payroll, eroding the few strategic edges these organizations still have.

    3. Big-Market Clubs Will Absorb the Inflation Effortlessly

    Large-market teams already sit comfortably above any realistic salary floor proposal. If average or below-average players suddenly command higher prices, the Dodgers, Yankees, and Mets will simply pay them — along with the top-end stars they already employ.

    Meanwhile, smaller clubs are stretched to their limits just meeting the new minimum. The relative gap between big-spending and budget-constrained teams doesn’t shrink; it widens. Wealthy teams can easily adjust, while smaller ones face financial strain for marginal gains on the field.

    4. Players Benefit Short-Term, but Market Efficiency Declines

    A salary floor would raise wages for a segment of the player pool, mostly veterans and mid-tier free agents. But teams, wary of being locked into inflated contracts, would respond by offering shorter deals or offloading players faster.

    In the long run, the system rewards mediocrity — not merit. Teams are compelled to pay for production that may not exist simply to hit a spending threshold. That distorts payroll structures and undermines the meritocracy baseball’s competitive balance depends on.

    5. The Real Solution Lies in Revenue, Not Payroll

    True competitive balance depends on revenue equality, not mandatory spending. As long as some franchises earn $300 million a year from local TV deals while others scrape together $50 million, no financial rule will fix the imbalance.

    If Major League Baseball wants to help small markets, it should reform the media landscape: pool broadcast revenues more evenly, strengthen revenue sharing, and incentivize player development and retention. These measures address the core issue — unequal income — rather than papering over it with a spending mandate.

    The Bottom Line

    A salary floor might sound like a fair way to force teams to compete, but it’s economically backward. More money will flow into the same limited pool of players, driving inflation rather than improving parity.

    Small-market teams won’t suddenly become contenders — they’ll just become poorer versions of themselves, spending more for the same results. Until baseball addresses the revenue gap, a salary floor is nothing more than a costly illusion of fairness.

  14. Only thing I am not comfortable is with Ohtani's massive deferral, only that is not right as he can rake similar level money from endorsement, but that is somewhat breaking the balance on team spreadsheets(yeah keep telling me every team can convince anyone to do that, I can gurantee "smaller" teams can only pull it of on their face of franchise or they have a Dirk and Cuban situation going), other than that, it is the Nuttings, Fishers and Moreno's need to be get their act of either tightening their pockets or endless meddling together.

  15. I don't watch much baseball, but the playoffs are always compelling. Why doesn't MLB have a hard cap like every other major sport? Wouldn't that make these issues go away? Of course the top players don't want a cap because they are greedy but for the good of competition wouldn't it be better? Also, I wish you had gone into more about the 2027 Lockout, you just mentioned "a lot of other issues" but left it at that. Please do a video on this, thanks.

  16. Want a hard salary cap? then install a hard salary floor AND cut the revenue sharing. Stop making the cheap owners even richer, not only they're not really trying to win but they milk their fans and have the audacity to demand public money for their ballparks or threat to move. That's what's broken in the MLB not the Dodgers and the rest of big spending teams

  18. The problem I have is the Yankees and Red Sox have been buying championships for 100 years. But now that a team out west does it, it's a problem?

    MLB needs a stricter cap FLOOR more then a Cap. All these owners are BILLIONAIRES! The Yankees, Sox, Dodgers, and yes even the Giants not too long ago pay millions in luxory tax. Why aren't these other teams using that tax money? Too many cheap owners just pocket it. Try to compete or SELL THE FUCKING TEAM!

    The Dodgers have made the playoffs 13 years in a row and they've only won TWO World Series in that stretch. People making it sound like they win every year.

    Get rid of shared revenue and I guarantee you these cheap owners will either try to compete or sell the team to someone who will.

  20. Interesting video. Regarding spending, in 2024 the Brewers made close to $350 million in profit. Probably much higher this year. They can spend more. Not sure why baseball wants to punish people for aggressively investing in their product versus people who pocket the profit-sharing

  21. All the Dodgers have done is completely destroy baseball. Their fan base is by far the worst in any sport. Baseball will never touch football again. As far as popularity goes basketball and hockey have caught up or already ahead. Baseball's become a joke and it's because teams like the Dodgers who don't have a salary cap..

  22. You do whatever you can to WIN. The Dodgers are doing what they can to WIN Don't hate the game hate the fat owners who have destroyed baseball.

  23. If we pay players more, are they going to play better? I get paying players more — but what if their talent doesn't really match; or do they instantly get better because we pay them more? Will the pirates, white sox, athletics, etc, suddenly become a better team because the talent they have gets paid more?

  24. I wouldn’t call the MLB luxury tax a soft cap because there is nothing stopping a team from signing certain players if the team is willing to pay the tax.

    The NBA has the soft cap because the teams aren’t allowed to go over the cap unless they meet a list of stipulations, most of which will prevent the team from hogging all the star players even if the team is willing to pay any sort of penalty.

  25. Not only has Baseball has had the most different champions since at least the turn of the century, with nine teams since 2001 winning either their first World Series ever or their first in more than 50 years, but every time we have had small teams in the World Series the ratings have been abysmal; just look at 2023. People don't want parity, they want greatness. The NBA became a juggernaut with Michal Jordan or the Lakers dominating. Even the NFL has had dominating teams with the Steelers in the 70s, the 49ers in the 80s, the Cowboys in the 90s, the Patriots for the first 20 years of the 21st century, and now the Chiefs. Even IF forcing a salary cap brought parity to MLB, it would kill the game.

  26. Believe me, if Guggenheim Trust Inc. had not bought, or were allowed to buy, the Dodgers, they'd not have come close to winning 12 of the last 13 West Division titles. They have nearly half a trillion dollars behind them. By the way, Rogers Communication owns the Blue Jays. They are worth about $70,000,000,000.00 compared to $419,000,000,000.00 of Guggenheim Trust, and are not a multi-national firm. They are also second to the Dodgers in ownership money.

  27. Write this down. There will be NO season 2027. MLPA is incontrovertibly opposed to cap. Owners see their franchises are valued far less than other major sports and they see losing out on $ billions. They will insist on cap. Lock out lasts all season like NHL did to get its cap.

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