Minnesota Twins PLOTTING Roster Overhaul | Trent Grisham & Ryan O’Hearn to Lead?

Minnesota Twins PLOTTING Roster Overhaul | Trent Grisham & Ryan O’Hearn to Lead?

Jim Bowen dropped his top 50 free agent list and fits on Monday and we’re here to break it down where he thinks the Twins landed on the list, where I think the Twins land on the list. So, let’s get going. Get strapped in. Let’s get locked on Twins. You are Locked on Twins. Your daily Minnesota Twins podcast, part of the Locked On podcast network, your team every day. Well, hello again and welcome back to another edition of Locked On Twins. I’m your host, Brandon Warren. I have been watching the Twins for 30 plus years, covering them for about half that long in some form or fashion, via print, digital, you name it, I’ve done it. Thank you for making Lockdown Twins your first listen every day. It’s free and available wherever you get your podcast as well as on YouTube. And of course, it’s part of the Lockdown Podcast Network. We are your team Everyday. If you are an everydayer, we love to hear from you. Love that you’re checking out Rational Twins Talk. We’ll hang out with you in the comments on YouTube. Love to get five stars, a thumbs up, a subscribe, a like. All that stuff is great for the show. If you are looking for anything else that I do, I also do some writing on the Access Twins newsletter and on the Daily Norseman. On today’s episode, Ralph Jim Bowen has put out his best fits for the top 50 MLB free agents, and we’re going to break them down. He’s got three players he thought were fits for the Twins. A left-handed outfielder. I wonder if the Twins have ever had any of those. A left-handed first base/outfielder. more first base than anything and a pitcher who’s kind of a swingman type in his mid third. We we’ll talk about all of it here. But first, before we get to any of that, today’s episode is brought to you by Game Time. Download the Game Time app, create an account, and use code lockdown MLB for 20 bucks off your first purchase. So dropping on Monday, Jim Bowen here to ref here for to be refu referenced as Ralph dropped his list of uh the top 50 free agents and where he thinks their best fits are and what he thinks those contracts will look like. Twins in a tricky spot for this off season. Uh at least as far as we know. We don’t know how the Twins view themselves. I know how I view the Twins. I view the Twins as a team that can still be decent with the right moves this off seasonason. And decent is enough to compete in the AL Central. The Guardians have lost one of their very important coaches. Craig Albernaz has been hired to manage the Orioles. They’re going to be same as it ever was in a period of transition putting a team around Jose Ramirez who may be getting increasingly discontent at how they’re building a team. The Tigers are coming off a solid season but a pretty big drop off at the end. Jack Flity is a free agent. They’ve got some questions of if they will keep TK Scubble. If you don’t keep trick school, I don’t know what you’re even doing if you’re the Detroit Tigers. But this is not locked on Tigers. Go talk to someone else about that. Um, so I think the Twins can still compete. Yes, I saw how they played in the second half. Yes, I saw they traded 40% of their roster at the trade deadline. I don’t care. Keep Joe Ryan. Keep Pablo Lopez. Keep Bayley Ober. I don’t I have no problem with that. I I don’t know that that’s that controversial. Maybe it is, maybe it isn’t. But when I look at this Twins roster, I see enough payroll space to do enough to make this team respectable next year with some room to maybe overachieve. The three players that Jim Bowen has the twins going after are, and I’ll I’ll tell them to you in um in in order. First, Bowen has the fit, the Twins as a fit for outfielder Trent Gisham, the number 24 free agent on the top 50 list, followed by number 27 Ryan O’Harn, and finally number 39, Nick Martinez. That’s uh formerly of Jeff Carr’s Cincinnati Reds. So, talk to Jeff Carr a little bit about Nick Martinez and and we’ll get into those comments too here in a little bit. But Gisham, left-handed outfielder, has played almost exclusively center field in his big league career. Certainly wouldn’t be the case in Minnesota, but turns 29 on Saturday, so the day after Halloween. Um, not not a surprise too that Bowen does not have the Twins as a fit for any of the top 23 free agents, top 20, top whatever top list you want to do. Based on what we don’t what we know and don’t know uh budget-wise, it’s really hard to say, oh yeah, the the Twins are going to be in play for someone like Zack Gallon. We don’t know if the Twins want to trade Pablo Lopez, trade Joe Ryan, or keep those guys. If you keep those guys, do you really have room for one of those guys like Zack Gallon in the first place? Do you want to take the risk on the money because the projected money is absolutely bananas for Gallon? Um, there’s just a lot of questions that we can’t really answer right now. So, I think the prudent approach that I I’ll give Bowen credit for is having the Twins shopping more to the mid middle of the the pack towards the back of the pack. Now, middle of the top 50. It’s still middle of a list of capable, competent big league players. So, I don’t want to downplay the fact that they would be targeting a guy like Tran Gisham who had a really, really nice 2025 season. Ryan O’Harn was an all-star. Nick Martinez has been pretty dang solid for the Reds, uh, and pretty pretty dang solid in general since coming back from Japan a few years ago. So Gisham, the projected contract that Ralph has for him is two years 30 million. Now it’s two years for Gisham, two years for O’Harn, and one year for Martinez. Martinez is 35. So not shocking he gets one year. Um, that’s going to be that’s kind of the sweet spot for for Derek Falv operations. They they like their guys on shorter term, less risky deals. an age 29 center fielder for two years at 15 million per coming off hitting 34 homers, taking a bunch of walks, and being a three- win player, no matter which war you prefer. I mean, that’s a that’s a pretty dang solid concept. I don’t know that the Twins need another left-handed outfielder. He is, though better than Trevor Lick. could be probably is better than Matt Walner. He’s been a capable slashp pretty dang good defensive center fielder. And again, if you move him to a corner, he’s probably going to be I think in due time, you know, give him some time to learn whether it’s the right field overhang or just left field in general at target field. I think you’d be looking at a very nice, very solid corner outfield option. Maybe not quite gold glove, but certainly not cover your eyes bad. And then you have built-in insurance against anything with Buckton. You’d still have the ability to roster someone like Austin Martin, who also is good for fourth outfielder/builtin centerfield insurance. Um, some other Gisham stuff that I pulled, uh, he’s kind of a victim of the Yankees wanting to always aim higher. Gisham, perfectly great player that teams should want. Meanwhile, the Yankees are going to be looking to bring back Cody Bellinger, go get Kyle Tucker, something like that. I think that that’s like the Dodgers, now this is a it’s different, but understand that like instead of just giving James Outman a second season to show what he was capable of, the the Dodgers are always looking to make improvements everywhere. And I mean, frankly, that’s a a way to operate. and they’re in the World Series and they’re up a game. So, it’s not any shade, but there are teams who can be opportunistic on the back side of that and that’s what I think the Twins need to be. Um, I’ve seen some talk of, oh, Gisham’s a platoon outfielder. Well, he’s hit lefties in the past. Um, not insanely so, but he’s not completely embarrassingly bad against them. Um, slashed 235, 348, 464. So he’s kind of like that 100 point on base between the on base and and batting average kind of guy. 12% career walk rate. Career hitter is 218 321400. So he had a 129 weighted runs created plus in 2025. He was going backwards 93 89 and 83 in previous years. that is I mean he’s he’s ebbed and flowed. He’s had some good years and some bad with bad in the middle which you know always is kind of tricky to analyze. Uh career strikeout rate sorry strikeout rate this year I believe. Uh 25.8% so a little over average but nothing too insane. Um but yeah plenty of pop in the bat. you put him in a corner and if he’s capable defensively, you’ve got a really nice player for two years at 15 million per. I think that those three years before 2025 are what keep his years down. But this is the kind of play the Twins need to make if they want to get an impact player, potential impact player in their budget. This to me kind of is giving me vibes of like Marcus Semian before he hit free agency and went to the Blue Jays. Now, the Blue Jays, he only got um I think it was a one-year deal and then he went to Texas. This is going to be a shorter term deal for for Gisham to, you know, if he puts two together two more years like this one and hits free agency at age 31, then suddenly you’re looking at a five-year deal probably in the $80 million range or something like that, maybe more. Um, and maybe he doesn’t want to go play a corner outfield spot to build value, but I think if there’s anything he can do, um, I think the sooner he gets off center field, maybe the better, just cuz with the drop off this year, it makes you wonder a little bit. With that said, uh this to me would be a very good signing and uh you know, honestly, kudos, hats off to Jim Bowen because usually I don’t really love his analysis, but this time I got to say, nice job. All right, let’s take a quick pause. When we come back, we will talk about Ryan O’Harn all-star last year for the very very disappointing Orioles and then got flipped at the deadline to the Padres’s. Did not hit for as much power over there, but a good on base guy and uh let’s just see what’s under the hood with Ryan O’Harn. But we’ll be right back. The NBA is back and there’s no better place to get in on the action than at FanDuel, the official sports betting partner of the NBA. Even if you miss the start of the game or you want to ride the hot hand, FanDuel has live bets on everything from who will score next to fourth quarter comebacks. Didn’t have one in the bag for the Wolves against Denver. But if you think you see one coming, hey, get some of that action on FanDuel. Plus, you can even combine your live bets into a same game parlay. If you’ve seen people talk about SGPS, that’s what they’re talking about. And you can get a shot at a bigger payout. Keeps every game exciting, especially when it’s your team making that late game push. Right now, FanDuel is giving new customers $300 in bonus bets when your first $5 bet hits. So, head to fanduel.com to sign up and play your game with FanDuel, the official sports betting partner of the NBA. Oh boy, caught a little coughing fit during the break there, but uh I promise you we’re doing okay. Lockdown twins rolling again for segment number two. We’re talking Jim Bowden, top 50 free agents and their fits. Trent Gisham, number uh 24 overall free agent. So, right in the middle of the pack, he’s got the Twins as a fit for Gisham at two years and 30 million. Thumbs up. Two thumbs up there. I do think the Twins are are fairly flush with right, excuse me, left-handed outfielders. And they do have Emanuel Rodriguez coming up and they do have Walker Jenkins coming up. But if we’ve learned anything, it’s that depth is important and you don’t want to force these kids out there just to play and sink or swim if you have any sort of aspirations of uh contending. We don’t know that the Twins have that. I still think they should. I don’t really see any reason to going to next season not putting together a team that can that can compete. So second on the list, first base outfield hybrid, Ryan O’Harn, number 27. They slash B. He has two years, 24 million. It’s a left-handed hitting first base outfield type. Not a great defender at either spot. But we did hear that about Ty France, too. And Ty France had a pretty nice season. I think he’s uh finalist for that glove with a gold on it. So maybe there’s something that could be worked on there. O’ oh turned 32 in July. Was 2.4 baseball reference wore 3.0 on fan graphs. Has had some platoon stuff in his past, but had higher left-handed uh ops against left-handed pitching this year than righty. So again, just not a complete zero. I think you have to be careful not to build a roster that’s so intricately designed on platooning guys because when one guy gets hurt the other guy gets forced into action. So while I think it’s yeah sensible to have two guys to help fill a role and if you deploy it properly it can be very very good there is still a lot of risk that maybe is not calculated into it when you know we’re thinking of it um as fans. So 281 366 437 for O’Harn. So, not a ton of power, but this is basically what like this would be like top end Ty France production from a few years ago. One I think I had a 129 weighted runs created plus. I I didn’t have it written down, but he’s got three straight years over a 100red. You may remember him coming up with the the Royals, I don’t know, five, six years ago. Had a I thought he had a good look good looking swing and just never really never really put it all together there. went to Baltimore. A lot of guys offensively had put it together in Baltimore in uh in the past and so Walker rate 10.5% for his career, 10.7% this season. He did have though kind of a weird like three-year lull in the middle of his career where it was like four or five%. Like half what it is now and still well below league average. So, I don’t know if I think the walk rate at 10%. You know, this is the kind of guy where on a given day you could hit anywhere from first to eighth really. If you have a really good offense and you’ve got a guy like Ryan O’Harn hitting seventh, there’s no shame in that whatsoever. And in an ideal 100th percentile world, you’d hope that the Twins had enough hitting to do that. But maybe this is also too what you’d hope becomes offensively. So, um I I I just think they they do need an answer at first base, and I don’t know if Rhoden is the answer. I think he could be an answer, but again, all of I mean, this whole exercise blows up if the Twins just say we’re not spending any money and we’re trading everybody that’s not nailed down. I’m choosing to operate under the assumption that that would be egregiously disrespectful to Byron Buckton and that the Twins won’t do that. So Ryan O’Harn first base he have an outfield glove in his bag if you ever need him out in right field or whatever. two years 24 million. I think that’s another very very good value signing. The kind of thing where even if your season goes poorly, you can trade a guy like that making that kind of money and it has not completely ruined your window as far as uh budget and that sort of thing. So I think Ryan O’Harn and Trent Gisham both fit, excuse me, the Twins window right now. Finally, he had uh Jim Bowden had Nick Martinez at number 39. Excuse me. Uh, one year 11 million. Martinez had uh 2.3 baseball reference war and 2.1 Fangrass war last season. He turned 35 on August 5th. Feels to me a little like a little more expensive Michael Laorenzan. The strikeouts weren’t really there. Really dropped off. Um, but as a swingman, you know, I I don’t know though, 11 million if he’s going to start for you 11 million, okay, but then what did you do to the rest of your rotation? If you trade Joe Ryan or Pablo, then it makes little to no sense to go get Nick Martinez to me. Um, with that said, um, you know, Jeff Caret, uh, good leader, good clubhouse guy, and Twins certainly need some veteran leadership. They’re going to be a young team. Just what what role does Martinez fill at that price? It it doesn’t really work for me. If that’s the price, Zack Lattell is the same guy but younger. They have Zack Latell, I believe. at uh same number. Oh, one year 10 million is what bowed in head. So uh I would take Latell at that number. I don’t know if Latell still has any ill will towards the Twins or if that was a overblown thing. However, Bowen also has Brandon Woodruff and Jack Flity at two years 22 million. So the same cost but with a second year. Jose Canana at five million for one year. Twins don’t really need a three or four starter at that cost, do they? Maybe a swing man. But again, I just think I I’m not really seeing it. He’s got a really good change up. 112 stuff plus last year. Fast balls not that great. not particularly un you know we love a a post Japan success story but um you know the erra too was a little bit misleading on Martinez it was well over four fip and everything else were kind of like not that bad I don’t know I mean I think there’s value I think Martinez would be a great signing for somebody just not sure it’s the twins again I think at similar money at like Woodruff or Flity even if you got to give him a second year. Otherwise, what are you doing? Are you pushing Zebie or Simeon Woods Richardson out of your rotation? I just I don’t see the I don’t see the value there. So, that one’s more of a thumbs down. We’ll uh we’ll give one thumbs down, but I still am all systems go on the two offensive players that uh that Bowen is suggesting. All right, let’s take our final pause. Hopefully I can get my cough under control. And then I want to go over some of the guys I was looking at and then we’ll talk about some of the relievers and if they make sense at the numbers that uh that they’re listed. NFL season is back and honestly there’s nothing better than being in the stadium surrounded by fans cheering on your team. But let’s be honest, getting tickets can be a hassle. between the cues, the login screens, and the prices jumping at checkout. It’s super frustrating. That is why I use Game Time, the app that gives the advantage back to fans like you and me. 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Terms do apply, but again, create an account and use promo code lockdown MLB for 20 bucks off. Swipe, tap, ticket, go. Download Game Time today. Yeah, just a pro tip. Do not swallow wrong when you are rolling solo on a podcast. But locked on twins back for the third segment. Trying to hold it together here. We talked about Jim Bowden Bowen Ralph suggesting that the Twins were good fits for outfielder Trent Gisham. Thumbs up. First base outfielder Ryan O’Harn, thumbs up. Nick Martinez, probably thumbs down. My list from the top 50. I started at the bottom. Paul Goldman at one year and 10 million. Leadership, right-handed hitting, good defense. You could do worse. I I don’t know that that would be a fit he’d be looking for or the Twins, but I would definitely make the call. Miguel Andahar, number 47. I don’t know if I said Goldie was 49. Miguel Andar, one year, five and a half million. Andar, right-handed hitting lefty masher. Um, there’s going to be enough left-handed hitters in the Twins lineup that Andar would have a role as the counterbalance to that. Not a not a standout fielder by any means, but third base, left field, DH. And you do have the secret that if you need to trade him, the Yankees have locked in that you can trade him for anybody in baseball. Remember, it’s Frasier and Andahar get you whatever you want. Kidding aside, um Andar as a righty mashing lefties, I could see it. Number 29, Luis Arise. Two years 30 million. I don’t I don’t see the twins being a buyer at that price. But one year 12 to 14, give me a reunion with Luis Arise as a first baseman, leadoff batter. Um someone to get on base so that Byron Buckton has someone to drive in. Arise and Buckton one, two would be a phenomenally fun top of the order. The vibes would be good. Big man upstairs knows the twins need vibes. So Luis Arise not at two and 30 I don’t think but in something like that for one year you know per that that AAB of 15 I I could see it again a lot of this comes down to if they’re going to spend money. Number 16 Shane Bieber they have him getting three and 75 with an opt out after each year. So, the Sunny Gray contract, Beaieber is 30. If you were going to try get another stalwart pitcher, the the answer is is in these next three guys. Bieber, three and 75. Michael King, who’s number 13 on the list. Same deal, no optouts. And number 11, Zack Gallon, who they have five for 135. After last year, I don’t know that I see that. I know this Twins front office has long liked Zack Gallon. He’s coming off a down year. But if you could sign any of those three guys to the Sunny Gray contract that he got from the Cardinals, that does shake your rotation out into I mean, a phenomenal one, two, three with Lopez, Ryan, and whoever. Your last two spots are going to be filled by your best young guys. And then your bullpen is going to be filled by guys who didn’t make it as starters, but will be you’d think really really good as relievers. Zebie, Fesa, Sim, um the the the list is actually fairly sizable and that’s before you consider any sort of secondyear leap from a Travis Adams or someone like that. So, I’m not opposed to the idea of spending some money and some good money on a starting pitcher. It just Nick Martinez does not land for me. Not in any way, shape, or form. So, if you can shop ace caliber pitchers with some risk for 25 million a year, I’d do it. I definitely would. Um, I don’t know who my favorite would be of those. I mean, Bieber pitching for the Twins and beating Cleveland would be probably pretty sweet. King is a phenomenal pitcher. Just health risk. And Gallon, you know, if if Gallon had just a one-year lull and comes back as good as he was, someone may get just an incredible deal on him. May as well be you, right? So, Goldie, Andahar, Arise, Bieber King, and Gallon were my kind of list of the the other guys. Um, again, thumbs up on on Gisham, thumbs up on O’Harn, thumbs downish on Martinez. Again, not opposed to Martinez in general, but I just don’t know that there’s a fit. You know, do the Twins need a swing man? never can hurt, you know, the Jesse Chavez type of guy, but I just I don’t know what that fit looks like. All right, before we get out of here, I want to thank you for making lockdown twins your first listen every day. For your second listen, check out Lockdown MLB game night, every game, every night until a World Series champion is crowned or every morning because it got pretty late for game three. But we’re rolling that until the World Series winner is crowned. Get local analysis on a national scale. Find MLB Game Night on Locked on MLB on YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts. All right. Elephant in the room is that the twins are going to need relief help. Some of it mo most of it, maybe all of it will come internally, but if they look externally, here are the relievers that were in the top 50 with if I think they could be a fit. This is the number they were at. Your mileage may vary, but relievers are tricky. I would hope the Twins are in the market for even if it’s someone like Taylor Rogers, you know, just a veteran, durable guy come in and and uh take some of the pressure off a Pearson or a Travis Adams. Kyle Finnegan was near the bottom 6.25 million. Sure. Uh the Twins don’t necessarily have uh a closer. I don’t know if they’re going to want necessarily care to name one, but if that’s the case, you could do worse than Finnegan on a one-year deal. Drew Pomearan’s one year on 5 mil, you know, lefty with some good stuff. Got to see if he can stay healthy. If you want to go with more of a firm closer, closer closer, Ryan Helley bowed in head at one year and 10 million. Luke Weaver as a buy uh buy low 2 and 20 million total. I could see that. Uh there’s some relievers that are as good as him getting or at least one reliever that is as good as him getting a lot more than that. If you think Weaver was tipping in October, then you really would love him at 2 and 20 million because non-tipping Weaver is a fantastic reliever. So, um someone to consider. Devin Williams at 10 million for a year. Again, no no gripes with that. Brad Keller two years 15 million. sign me up. Emilio Pagan, two and 22. Again, no real problem. He was very, very good for the Reds. Um, Ryell Glacius, two for 24. Sure thing. I mean, it’s really hard to say no to a reliever when you look at the state of the Twins bullpen. And I’m generally not in favor of spending a lot of money on relievers, but you have to build from the back forward, I think, with a a solid bridge. You know, the solid bridge has to have uh all the pieces connected, but you got to start somewhere. Excuse me. I’m so sorry. The last two, Tyler Rogers. Boy, um Tyler Rogers is getting a lot of love out there and I love Tyler Rogers. I just don’t know. Like, I guess it’s low veloing for one year. It’s $15 million though. And Tyler Rogers is a very, very good reliever. I don’t know if I want to give him $15 million. Maybe then I just I’m not in the the market for a Tyler Rogers. And that’s fine, but I’d probably be out on Tyler at 15 and in on Taylor at something like five. And then finally, uh, the best of the best. And, uh, he’ll save the rest. Edwin Diaz. Four years, 88 million. Absolutely not. No matter what team I’m at, I’m not giving $22 million to my closer for four years. So any of those relievers, sure, I doubt you’d sign two. But again, if you get one or two big league caliber relievers, like nobody’s a safe reliever, but a solid reliever. If you get one or two of those, suddenly, you know, you’re cycling through Cody Thunderberg as, you know, not your best guy, but your third, fourth, fifth best guy or whatever. You’re not going to get back to where you were a year ago, but you’ve started the process and that’s I think going to be key with this team. I think they have enough pitching. They could use a little more offense, starting pitching I should say. And so bullpen and free agency, that’s a very very um cringe combination because spending a lot of money on the bullpen and free agency is very very risky. But if you can find the right guys like Luke Weaver, buy low on him. two and 20 for how good he can be would be a phenomenal deal. With that said, yeah, uh two of those guys, one of those guys or one of those guys and then one that’s a little further down like Cayla Rogers and uh you know, maybe you got a stew going like Carl Weather said. So I think in general I think the Twins can do this if if you assume that they can spend anywhere from 30 to 40 million which you know you cut the Koreah money out of the budget and a few other guys who are going to be dipping off the 40man roster. It’s still doable. It’s still definitely doable to be a team much better than this last year. Um, sheer attrition would help, you know, just because so many things went wrong last year that shouldn’t have. All right. Well, what do you think? Do you think that Ryan O’Harn makes sense? Do you think Trent Gisham makes sense? Nick Martinez or my list, Goldie, Andahar, Arise, Bieber, King, Gallon, any of those relievers? I want to hear from you. Make sure you post in the comments. Let me know where you stand on all of this. But for now, this is me saying I appreciate you greatly for hanging out. I appreciate you greatly for listen every day. I’m Brandon Warren signing off saying thank you so much or better yet we will see you tomorrow night.

MLB free agency frenzy: Which stars could land with the Minnesota Twins?

Host Brandon Warne dissects Jim Bowden’s top 50 free agent list, exploring potential targets for the Minnesota Twins. From outfielder Trent Grisham to first baseman Ryan O’Hearn, Warne analyzes how these players could impact the Twins’ roster. The discussion covers pitching options, bullpen reinforcements, and strategies to keep the Twins competitive in the AL Central.

Tune in for expert insights on the Twins’ offseason moves and how they might reshape the team’s future.

0:00 Jim Bowden’s top 50 free agents
5:14 Trent Grisham as potential Twins fit
11:51 Ryan O’Hearn: All-Star first baseman option
18:00 Nick Martinez: Potential swing man for Twins
23:10 Other free agent options for Twins
28:57 Analyzing relief pitcher options for Twins

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