The 2025 New York Mets Had The Biggest In-Season Collapse In MLB History. What Happened?
Your team signs Juan Sodto for $765 million, the biggest contract in sports history, and you start the season 45 and 25 with the best record in baseball. You’ve got 96% playoff odds. It’s a foregone conclusion that you’re not only going to be a postseason team, but a front runner. The best starters, the third best OPS, contributions from up and down the roster. You could probably count the number of critics who question whether this team, the 2025 Mets, were headed for a collapse on one hand, but collapse they would. and in a downright historic fashion so tragic it deserves a deeper look. December 2024, Steve Cohen is done waiting. He’s done being patient. He’s done watching the Dodgers, Phillies, and Yankees compete for championships every year while his Mets sit at home more often than not, even after the most recent unlikely run to the NLCS. So, he does what billionaires do when they want something bad enough. He opens his pocketbook. Juan Sodto, 15 years, $765 million. But Cohen doesn’t care about the money. He cares about winning. He says so over and over. And even better, he just stole Sodto away from the evil Yankee empire across town. That alone makes it worth it for Mets fans. The impending Hall of Fame production is a big bonus, though. The baseball world absolutely freaks out. Experts are calling the Mets a super team before spring training even starts. And on paper, they certainly do look the part. You’ve got Sodto coming to provide elite left-handed power and on base ability. You’ve got Francisco Lindor, who just put up an MVP runner-up season. You’ve got Pete Alonzo who’s one of the most dangerous power hitters in baseball at his best. You’ve got Mark Vientos breaking out as a young star. Francisco Alvarez, Brandon NMO, Kodai Sena. There’s plenty of talent to get excited about. But Cohen isn’t done spending. Not even close. He brings in Klay Holmes, the Yankees former closer with the intention to convert him to a starting pitcher. He signs Frankie Monttos to a two-year deal worth $34 million to add rotation depth. He brings back Shawn Maniah. He adds Griffin Canning. The payroll as a result climbs to over $341 million, second highest in all of baseball. Only the Dodgers are spending more. Mets fans are going crazy. After years of disappointment, this finally feels like their year. Their rotation could be deeper, but with one of the deepest minor league systems when it comes to ARMS, it doesn’t feel especially pressing at the time. Everything seems to be pointed towards October. Super teams work on paper, but real life is much different because buried under all those big names were some problems. The bullpen, for one, looked just okay with guys like AJ Mter and Danny Young already dealing with injuries before the season even started. Defense at key positions was a big question mark. Their lineup was great, but their depth was a little lacking. All this contributed to a margin for error that was probably a little smaller than most people realized. And in baseball, that margin disappears fast. But it wasn’t early. Hold on for one second. I want to ask you a question. Would you like a chance to win two free tickets to your MLB team’s opening day next year? That’s right. Today’s sponsor, Rico, is giving away two tickets worth up to $250 to your MLB team’s first game in 2025. Now, what is Rico? Well, have you ever found yourself watching a YouTube video and thought, “Where can I get that tech or fashion or gadget?” That’s where Rico comes in. It’s a new app that makes videos instantly shoppable. You can tap products directly inside videos and see where to get them. No more searching, no more looking, just instantaneous access. As for the giveaway, all you need to do is download the app via my link in either the pin comment or description. The winner will then be announced on the 1st of December. Thanks again to Rico for sponsoring this video and good luck to everybody that downloads. Opening day arrives and the Mets look exactly like the super team everyone expected. Everything is clicking and they’re maintaining gametoame consistency. April turns to May and the winds keep piling up. The offense is putting up runs in bunches. Some nights they score eight or nine and blow teams out. Other nights, they scratch out three or four, and the starting pitching makes it hold up. The bullpen’s doing their part to lock down leads. By early June, something special is happening in New York. The Mets have the best record in all of baseball. They’re 45 and 25 on June 13th. That’s 20 games over 500, a 96% playoff probability. World Series contender level stuff. There’s not too many teams in modern baseball history that have started a season 45 and 24 or better, and almost all of them made the playoffs. Some won championships. It’s elite company. But here’s the thing nobody wants to talk about. out if you’re a Mets fan. Some of this is undoubtedly smoke and mirrors. Guys are pitching a bit over their heads. The rotation has a 279 ERA after all. How long can that last? They don’t have a certified ace on paper, and injuries have been a big part of most of the guys they’ve been counting on’s careers. Same with the bullpen. Their peripherals suggest regression is probably coming. The Mets are riding high, but the foundation isn’t solid. That’s exactly why they don’t hand out the World Series trophy in midsummer, June 13th, 2025. Remember that date. Lock it in because that’s when everything changes. That’s the peak. That’s the top of the mountain. And they’re about to fall off a cliff. What the Mets didn’t know is that they had just played their best baseball of the entire season by far. And they’re about to play some of the worst baseball in franchise history. The collapse is about to happen so fast, so completely that by September, they’d be fighting just to stay alive in the playoff race, let alone their own division. After June 13th, the Mets go 38 and 54 for the rest of the season. They go from the best squad in baseball to posting a record that rivals teams like the Rockies and Nationals. How does a squad that was seemingly that good become one of the worst teams in the entire sport? How does a roster with this much talent, this much money invested just fall apart this completely? It started with the pitching. The starters who were so solid in April and May began getting rocked. Kotai, who had a 147 RA through June 12th, gets hurt covering first base. When he comes back about a month later, he posts a 590 ERA afterward, literally getting demoted at one point to try to work on some things. Frankie Monttos emerges from injury long enough to post a 668 erra before needing Tommy John surgery. Shawn Maniah posts a 564 in limited time. And when your starters can’t even give you respectable innings, that puts enormous pressure on your bullpen. And that’s where things really start to fall apart. On that fateful date of June 13th, the bullpen gave up six runs in one inning, kicking off a seven-game losing streak. It was the first warning sign. From here, every single game felt like an adventure on the mound. Edwin Diaz was still good as the closer, but getting to him became impossible. And that’s where it got even worse. The Mets go on multiple losing streaks of seven games or more. Seven games in a row multiple times when you’re a supposed super team. You shouldn’t be losing seven straight ever. Probably the lowest point of the season came at the end of June. Three games in Pittsburgh from the 27th through the 29th. And the Pirates, who won’t even win 75 games by year’s end, absolutely demolished the Mets 30-4. Their offense with multiple all-stars and the highest paid player in sports managed four total runs across three games while giving up 30. One of the most lopsided series in franchise history. This isn’t a slump. It’s a complete systems failure. The front office knows they have to do something. David Sterns, the president of baseball operations, starts making calls. The trade deadline is coming and the Mets need help. The Mets go into trade deadline mode with two principal goals. Fix the bullpen and add depth. both of which are supposed to help the team get back on track. Sterns makes his moves. He grabs Cedric Mullins from Baltimore to help in center field. He brings in Tyler Rogers, Gregory Sodto, and Ryan Helsley to bolster the bullpen. On paper, these moves make sense. Mullins has long been a quality center fielder with some pop. Rogers has been a very good reliever. Helsley has been a very good closer at times, and Sodto has done well in his career at times being a late inning depth piece. The Mets give up some prospects, sure, but it takes quality to get quality. This feels like a team going allin to save their season, except almost none of it works. Mullins, who was supposed to fix center field, hits just 182 after the trade. He becomes a liability in the lineup instead of an upgrade. Helsley posts a 720 ERA with three critical losses. He ends up getting demoted to low-leverage situations because nobody can trust him when games are close. Sodto posts an RA of 450 with a whip over 1 and a half. The only quality addition proves to be Rogers, who manages a 230 RA. Here’s the kicker. The one thing the Mets didn’t add was a starting pitcher. They didn’t address their biggest on paper need, which is somebody who could eat innings and give the team a chance to win every fifth day. That decision comes back to haunt them. Instead of stabilizing the team, the deadline seemed to make things worse. New guys came in and didn’t fit. Rolls got shuffled. The clubhouse felt less and less like a team and more and more like a collection of players who happen to wear the same uniform. And the losses kept piling up. By August, the Mets are in a freef fall. And it’s not just that they’re losing, it’s how they’re losing. Starters give up five runs in three innings. Then the bullpen comes in and gives up three more. The offense scratches out two runs and loses eight to two. Or the offense puts up seven runs and the pitching staff gives up 10. There’s no balance, no consistency, just chaos every single night. And here’s the crulest part. Juanto, Pete Alonzo, Francisco Landor, and Mark Ventos all go on late season tears at separate times. It doesn’t matter. The fundamentals fall apart, too. Basic baseball becomes impossible. In late September against the Nationals in a must-win game, they faced Jake Irvin and Mitchell Parker who had the two highest erra in all of baseball among qualified pitchers. Francisco Andor made a throwing error. Petonzo committed a defensive miscue of his own. Cedric Mullins made a base running mistake that got him doubled off. Sloppy play. They ended up scoring just two runs, losing 3 to2 and falling out of a playoff position completely. It was their 11th loss in 15 games. In early September against Philadelphia, the Mets score four runs in the first inning and then proceed to blow the lead. They lose. Earlier that month, rookie Nolan Mlan, who went on to star for the rest of the season, pitched six scoreless innings and left with a two nothing lead. The bullpen immediately coughed it up. Janu reaches near 4040 status after having never stolen more than 12 bases in a season before. And it’s barely even relevant because of how bad they are. The playoff odds that are at 96% in June, keep dropping. By September, the Mets don’t control their own destiny anymore. They need help. They need other teams to lose, and they need to win out. And they were running out of games quick. The season came down to three contests against the Marlins in Miami, a team that, while impressive in many respects, was still going to be sub 500. And they needed some help from the Brewers versus the Reds. But one thing was clear. If they lost the series, they’d be headed to Cancun. Game one sees them score two runs. They gave up six. Brandon Sprro, one of their many shuffled in rookie starters, gives up four in less than five innings. The offense looks downright lost. Everything that plagued them for the last three months shows up in one game. But there are still two contests left. Win both and you’re in. The season is still alive. Game two on Saturday. Klay Holmes takes the mound and delivers the best start of his career. Six scoreless innings on just 78 pitches. Only one hit allowed. The Mets win five to nothing. They’re alive. They control their destiny at this point. Win Sunday and they’re in the playoffs. Game three. Win or go home. This is it. They have to emerge victorious. They don’t. Instead, they drop it without scoring a single run. Four to nothing. The shutout lost in an elimination game across games. 1 and three. The Mets scored just two runs combined while giving up 10 across 18 innings of baseball. Their offense loaded with stars completely disappears when it matters most. The Marlins score all four runs in game three during the fourth inning off the bullpen just to really rub it in. The Mets best chance comes in the fifth with the bases loaded and Pete Alonzo at the plate. He smashes a line drive at 116 mph. His hardest hit ball of the entire season. By all rights, it should have been a double, but Marlins left fielder Javier Samoha playing in the gap tracks it down. Francisco Lindor puts the final nail in the coffin by grounding into a double play in the ninth to end it. The Mets finish 0 for 70 on the season when they trailed after eight innings. And just like that, it’s over. 83 and 79, the same record as the Cincinnati Reds, but with tiebreakers considered, one game worse. Instead of playing in or even hosting a playoff series, they’re watching from their couches. So, how the hell did this happen? How does a team with that much talent, that much money, that much expectation do what they did? Let’s start with the numbers. Through June 12th, the Mets had that affforementioned 279 team erra, best in baseball. After that date, 509, ranked 24th. The bullpin was a disaster. A 405 RA ranked 15th in baseball, which would have been far worse without the excellent, excellent play from Diaz and Rogers. They blew 27 saves and converted only 58.5% of their opportunities. The offense, meanwhile, scored 766 runs, which was good, ranking ninth in all of baseball. But they probably could have been far better, as they left 1,142 runners on base, third most in the sport. And again, because of Bears repeating, they went 0 for 70 in games where they trailed after eight innings. When they needed the clutchest of hits, it never came. Want to know how bad the pressure got? I had to look this up twice because I couldn’t believe it. In August, the Mets scored 177 runs, a franchise record. They hit 53 homers, another record. As a team, they batted .285 with an 866 OPS. Essentially, for a full calendar month, they were all Jose Ramirez. Historic stuff. And you know what their record was during that time? 11 and 16. How is that even possible? The 2025 Mets will be remembered as having one of the biggest collapses in baseball history. They indeed had the best record in baseball deep into the summer. Again, they had a 96% chance of making the playoffs. And boy oh boy, did they miss them at the last moment possible. For NY fans, this is a special kind of pain. It’s one thing to have a bad team that never had a chance, but this this was a team that looked like a champion. This was supposed to be the year. Instead, they got eliminated by a 79 win team on the final day, cementing the third time in the last 20 years the Marlins have ended their season. 2007, 2008, and now this one. However, the Mets won’t be starting over. Wan Sodto was still there for 14 more years. Lindor is still elite. Their young pitching is as good as any in the sport. The core is intact. Steve Cohen isn’t going anywhere, and he’s not done spending. The bullpen certainly needs fixing. The rotation needs depth. Ideally, they’d like to have Pete Alonzo back, but this roster can still compete in 2026. The pieces are there. The money’s there. The question is whether they can avoid another collapse. High payroll certainly doesn’t guarantee championships. That much is clear. The Mets proved that. But talent still matters. And they’ve definitely got plenty of it. Will that translate going forward? I guess we’ll have to see. But on the bright side, at least it can’t get any worse, right? All right, everybody. If you made it this far, I appreciate you watching. And if you did, consider checking out any of these other videos on your screen right now for other content just like this. Also, if you ever see anything you’d like to see me detail in the video, feel free to reach out to my email [email protected]. And if I end up using your idea, I’ll give you a shout out. Thanks for watching. Have a great rest your
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42 comments
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No Juan could have predicted it
I despise the Dodgers with every fiber of my being
At least they didn’t embarrass themselves in the World Series
Wait wait but Soto a mvp finalist 😂
You could've pointed out the Met broadcasters during that first game against Miami, Gary Cohen went off on them. Great video!
"How is this possible!?"
They are the Mets, that's how.
The Mets severely underestimated how much pitching they would need. Their lack of real attention to the entire pitching staff sunk the team.
why hate on a team that spent money?
blame one soto , next time call him half soto !!!
The chosen fall guy….. Pete Alonso…. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Chaos you can count on! They got closer last year with less(BTW Pete was with that team despite down year for him). Fact… Pete Alonso has been the 1/6th the total run production for the Mets… You need to sign Mamdani, he's yo man now!
Maybe it's me, but unless the bullpen is the only, obvious, massive problem "bolstering the bullpen" at the trade deadline feels like a management "we don't know what to do" move. Not that the Mets BP was good but still
It's not always about the money, MTC…
It's about THE METS BABY LOVE THE METS alright baby let's go GET A HOME RUN BABY LOVE THE METS -and they just collapsed.
The soto overpay ruined them. You dhould invest on ace caliber pitchers not one hitter who needs to be drove in by judge 😂
It was wonderful to watch. Go phils
ソトは確かにいい選手だか多くの懸念点がある。
本当にその年齢なのか?守備や態度に問題があり大谷のような商業的価値もない。
As my Tio says “ those vatos are a special case of stupid”
My team opens against the dodgers lmao you can keep them 3:09
More proof that you can't just buy a championship.
The Mets lost relivers Danny Young, Alan Minter, Dedniel Nuñez, Jose Butto, Max Kranick to season ending injuries all by July.
Brooks Raley didn't show up till July.
Sean Manaea was gone until late June.
Frankie Montas was basically hurt the entire year.
Senga was gone for 2 months.
Griffin Canning who pitched well, suffered an Achillies in June.
A bullpen that was heavily leaned on, predictably collapsed.
Especially when over-achieving starters were either getting hurt, or had other guys coming back from injury.
Pitching killed the Mets.
Injuries to the pitching decimated the Mets.
Not the hitting, not Soto's contract.
The Mets have talent, an owner willing to spend, and a good VP in Stearns, who built a perennial playoff team out of the micro-budget Brewers.
They had a gigantic collapse into 83 wins.
A normal season by the players on the team makes the Mets easily a 90+ win team.
But, you can't win when your pitching spends more time in the hospital than on the mound.
Please do one on the Tigers collapse as well… 15.5 game lead
Pride night is where everything went downhill for the Mets
Now this is Metsing
Soto fleeced Steve Cohen. Overpaid for a glorified DH. LOLMETS
What good is Cohen's money when Dumpster Dave is still gonna go diving for pitching in the bargain bin? That staff is basically the Island of Misfit Toys.
I'm using a translator; could you add Spanish audio? I really like your content, but I don't fully understand it because I don't know much English. I would really appreciate it. ❤❤❤
Baseball basics, hire hitters, but INVEST on good, healthy pitchers!
Media calls the Mets the super team.
Whole unpredictable season occurs.
Media: how could this happen???
San Diego is another one with a similar story to the mets
Mets made Soto signing video by themselves shows that they must have been out of their mind back then. Hope they have better years ahead in the remaining 14 years with him.
It's the Mets…..they only surpise us wjen they do anything remotely positive😂
For the fans salty that the Dodgers won with their payroll, this is the other end of the spectrum. Yes, it helps to get talent, but nothing in baseball is ever guaranteed.
I wonder what his teammates think about him. bought with huge money, promised to bring more Ws to the team by his hitting. but now, there is none of that
That’s the life of being a sports fan. 95% of it is total pain. Whenever your team chokes or collapses, just know everyone else has at some point.
"Worse than the White Sox?" They lost 100 games this year. The Mets missed the playoffs by a game.
“As a super team or whatever u said, u shouldn’t be losing 7 in a row”
Buddy, ik as a super team LA wasn’t there but let me tell u about 2013-2020 dodgers
Matter fact
As a die hard dodger fan, let me tell u about my dodgers 😊😅
I sub just cuz I seen you’re a Ducks fan. 🫡
13:16 oh god it’s a major recession indicator
One day
The Mets’ collapse really made me grimace…
Dodgers spent a lot of money on Shohei + Yamamoto 👍
Mets spent a lot of money on Juan Soto 😰
=> Huge difference 🥶
Can the Mets beat the Dodgers in the future?
=> Highly unlikely 😱
; Dodgers will "continue" to win World Series 😀
But at least SOTO got a bigger contract 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂