NFL Week 11 Predictions: Chiefs-Broncos, Lions-Eagles, Seahawks-Rams, Bucs-Bills | Nick Wright

NFL Week 11 Predictions: Chiefs-Broncos, Lions-Eagles, Seahawks-Rams, Bucs-Bills | Nick Wright

Welcome in. What’s driving the grind? Episode 392, our week 11 NFL gambling show. And this episode is brought to you by our friends at Boost Mobile who also bring you straight to voicemail, but we don’t do that during the gambling show, but give them a shout out anyway. And also shout out our friends at Hard Rock Bet because they provide all the lines we are going to be discussing here. And shout out all of you who have liked, rated, and subscribed to the pod. Please continue subscribing to the pod uh on uh YouTube and iTunes and Spotify and all of that. And for our Spotify listeners, our you know biggest Spotify listeners should be getting a nice little Spotify wrapped video from me here in a few weeks. All right. Last week we needed to go three and two to be at an even 500. We thought we had the three and two locked up. Sadly the Jags with an all-time gag job. So, we’ll go over it now. Atlanta plus 6 1/2 against Indie. They could have, maybe should have won. They lose by six in overtime. That’s a winner. Tampa minus 2 and a half against New England. And by the way, let me say one thing about Atlanta versus Indie first. If you remember, part of my handicap on that game was this was Indie minus 5 a half and then they traded for sauce. It moved to 6 and 1/2 and I said no corner is worth a point and that point ended up being the difference between a win and a loss. Just saying. Tampa minus 2 and a2 against New England was on the wrong side of that. That’s a loser. Jacksonville minus one at Houston. They’re up 19 against Davis Mills in the fourth quarter. They somehow lose. Just pathetic. Chicago minus three and a half against the Giants. Maybe a little lucky. They were down 10 late. They came back to win. And Pittsburgh plus three against the Chargers. That was a bad pick. So, two and three, two games under again, trudging along, need to get hot, but this is similar to last year, and last year we finished redhot, so I’m not worried. Today’s show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. That time of year and every day feels like a big game day. Pro football, college football, NBA, college hoops, it’s all happening. And all on Hard Rock Bet, there’s always something to bet on. If you haven’t tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet yet, still time for you to get $150 in bonus bets. If you win, just place a $5 bet. And if it hits, you get not only your winnings, but $150 in extra bonus bets. And if you’re not sure what to place your first bet on, check out the Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub. It’s loaded with trends, streaks, and stats to help guide your picks. Numbers don’t lie, and neither does the data in there. Here are some that stood out to me. Travis Kelce has gone for at least 45 yards receiving in seven straight divisional games. His total is set at 43 and a half this week against the Broncos. And the Seahawks have won 10 straight on the road. They’re underdogs in LA against the Rams this week. Check out the stats hub now. Get the edge and bet with confidence. Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sports bet book when you’re in Florida and it’s also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado. Coming soon to more states as well. Plus, Hard Rock Bet offers new promos every single day. So, whenever you’re listening, just open the app and check out what you’ve got any day of the week. Download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit. All right, going to quickly run through the stayaways since Damont is not here. Today will be a a quicker show. Chargers at Jacksonville. Jacksonville getting two and a half. I think the Chargers win. However, that banged up Chargers O line coming off a great game against the Jags defense gave me just enough pause to stay away even though the Jags have looked just so bad ever since they beat Kansas City. So, I’m staying away there. If I was going to go with my lean would be the Chargers, Houston at the Titans. The Titans getting 6 and a half. I It’s I cannot lay a touchdown with Davis Mills. I also can’t bet the Titans getting less than a touchdown. Uh and so that’s just stay away. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh laying five points. We love Pittsburgh as a divisional dog. We really like Pittsburgh laying less than three points in divisional games. We don’t so much love them laying five, so we’re staying away there. Carolina at Atlanta. Atlanta laying three and a half at home. Atlanta’s I watched Atlanta for all 60 minutes last weekend and it was just such a pathetic game plan that even though Carolina’s been a really bad road team, I just don’t feel comfortable rolling with the Falcons. So that’s a stay away. Green Bay at the Giants. The Giants getting seven at home. I Green Bay’s offense has been so bad against bad teams that you feel like you should just take the seven points with the Giants. The problem is the boom bust potential of Jamus makes it scary. I know they fired the coach, so sometimes you get a fired coach bounce. I just feel like a Jamus pick six to ruin a potential cover is too painful. So, I’m staying away. Seattle at the Rams. The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three. So, the line is perfect. There’s no value there. Both of these teams, by the way, are seven-2 straight up and 7-2 against the spread. I’ll stay away there. Baltimore at Cleveland plus 7 and a half. If I had more when we’re recording this, there’s still a little bit of question about Lamar’s health. So therefore, I can’t bet Baltimore. I would never bet Dylan Gabriel getting, you know, barely more than a touchdown against a good team. And Baltimore’s a good team now, but because I don’t know if what Lamar what’s going on with Lamar, stay away there. Detroit at Philly. Philly two and a half point favorites. I stared long and hard at Detroit. If at any point this line moves to three, I will jump on Detroit. But at two and a half, it’s just not I I feel like fading the Eagles right now and getting less than a field goal in Philly, particularly with potential bad weather being a part of that game and what that does to golf, that concerns me too much. But at three, I’d bet Detroit. And then Dallas at the Raiders, the Raiders getting three and a half, just a gross Monday Night Football game. I I I like Dallas, but Dallas also doesn’t des betting on laying more than a field goal on the road with the Cowboys is more respect than that team deserves. The Colts and Saints are on a buy and that leaves us these five picks. I liked Miami minus 2 and a half against Washington when I briefly thought the game was in Washington. I love it when it’s on a neutral site in Madrid. I think Washington is just flatly too injured. uh quarterback out, a half dozen defensive players out. The Washington is so banged up. Miami all of a sudden sneaky good vibes. I know Tua has not done well in his international starts, but one of those was against the Chiefs. I’ll throw that one out. Uh I think Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back and I’m laying less than a field goal. So, I’ll take Miami minus two and a half from Madrid. Chicago getting three at Minnesota. I didn’t know this, but this is crazy. The Vikings are 0 and6 against the spread after facing the Lions under Kevin O’Connell. That one I mean that’s that’s it’s not nothing. It the that that applied to last week’s game against the Ravens. So maybe I wish I knew it then. I I thought Minnesota had a lot of opportunities against Baltimore. I didn’t think Baltimore played that well and they just couldn’t make the most of them. I think Chicago likely wins this game outright and I’m getting three points. Also, I like getting that all of a sudden very explosive Chicago offense in a dome. So, Chicago getting a full three at Minnesota. When I think Chicago can win outright, I’ll roll with them. Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo. I just don’t know that right now Buffalo deserves to be laying more than three and a half against any really good team. And I think Tampa’s a really good team. They’re also, this will be the first game maybe all year where Tampa is the healthier team. They might have Bucky Irving back. They might have Chris Godwin back at Buffalo, meanwhile, is super banged up. I don’t need Tampa to win outright, even though I think they could. I just need them to keep it, you know, manageable. And they’re healthier. And Buffalo, I think, has some soularching to do. Tampa plus five and a half. probably my I’m not going to call it my favorite, but I like this a lot even though all the trends are against me because Shanahan has not covered against the Cardinals and Arizona is pretty good as a covering team coming off a loss, but San Francisco minus 2 and a half at Arizona. I think Arizona’s a bit of a mess. We just saw them get absolutely demolished this past weekend. San Francisco rec should have Pery back. Now, I don’t think there’s a big difference between Perie and M. Jones at this point, but they should have Perty back. and they are they they understand that it’s going to be between them and Chicago for that final playoff spot. This is a game you’ve got to take care of business. I love that I don’t have to lay three and a half. Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points and I’m only laying the two and a half. So, I’ll take San Francisco minus the two and a half. And last but not least, the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. Obvious, if you got this right when it opened at three, good for you. I may have gotten it right when it opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half. I just do not think Bo Knicks can get this Broncos deep offense to more than 17 points. So then the question is, do I think the Chiefs can score 21? Even against that Denver defense, I think they can. My real analysis of this game and everything about it, you can hear on yesterday’s pod, uh, you know, around the 10-minute mark. We get into it if you want to hear more there. So, our five picks this week are Miami -2 1/2 in at Madrid against Washington, Chicago plus three at Minnesota, Tampa + 5 1/2 at Buffalo, San Francisco minus 2 and a half at Arizona, and Kansas City minus 3 and a half at Denver. Before we get to Deontay’s teaser, which we will give you even though he’s not here and even though he is ice cold, you ever notice how everything keeps going up? Rents going up, streaming services going up, your favorite burrito spot thinks salsa should cost extra. Not with Boost Mobile. With Boost Mobile, you and your phone bill don’t have to play the will this go up soon game. Why? Because Boost Mobile has an unlimited talk, text, and data plan at a price that’ll never go up. In fact, it’s the same price you’ll pay for life. So, switch now for an unlimited wireless at a price that’ll never go up, only on Boost Mobile. After 30 gigs, customers may experience slower speeds. Customers will pay $20 per month as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right. I told Deontz last week he had a bad teaser. He didn’t listen to me. His record falls to four and six. He had Buffalo minus one teased through the zero or not through the zero. Um, yeah, hold on. Yeah, teased not through the zero. He teased Cleveland through the zero at plus six. Those both lost and he had Philly plus 10 this week. Deonz is once again I am Listen, he’s got baby brain. Uh I’ll let you guys hear it. Here’s Deontz with his week 11 teaser. Hello what’s right team. I just wanted to say thank you from the bottom of my heart for the uh the warm congratulations and the welcoming of Mila. You guys are all awesome and I’m sorry if I didn’t get back to anybody, but is greatly appreciated. And um I can’t wait to talk to you guys in a couple weeks here. I hope everybody’s doing good. But the week 11 teaser, eight-pointer, three-teamer per usual, Texans up to plus one 12. We’re going to tease the Dolphins up to plus 5 1/2 and tease the Bucks up to plus 13. I know it’s been a while since I won one of these, but I feel like I have luck on my side. and uh yeah, just ride with me. So, this is the week 11 teaser. Texans one and a half, Dolphins plus five and a half, Bucks to plus 13. Let’s ride. All right, so he’s actually going to get uh 13 12 on the Bucks because when he called it in, they were five. They’re now five and a half. I the these are I mean we’re just what have I we’re teasing through the zero with Miami and get not getting key numbers. We’re teasing through the zero with Houston and not getting I again he’s been focused on more important things but fair is fair. Deontay’s first teaser as a father gets an F. I’m rooting for you, son. But that gets an F. Touchdown Genie time. Last week I went off the board and said, “Give me Kyle Manungai.” And he scored immediately. Immediately Kyle Manungai scored. We stay lifetime undefeated on Touchdown. Genie, I said to the group today, “Hey, I really like Josh Jacobs against the Giants to get a touchdown.” And they said to me, “Yeah, so does the whole world. He’s minus 300.” I said, “God dog it.” So, I’m going to do something we haven’t done before. Touchdown Genie Parlay, Josh Jacobs, and Christian McCaffrey parlayed together minus 122. cash that in. We don’t do it every week, but I’m feeling hot on Touchdown Genie now. The group has an offer for me. We last week, I think we had Jonathan Taylor and Bejian Robinson to both score a touchdown, but the Falcons instead just gave Tyler Algier Bean’s red zone touches, so it did not hit. This week the offer is Trevor and Jamus to throw a pick plus 136 or plus 140. Sadly, I’ll take it. That seems Trevor to throw a pick against the Chargers. Jamus to throw a pick against the Packers. Sadly, two number one picks to throw picks. I’ll take it. Like, rate, subscribe, review. Thank you to Monz. Thank you, Blue Duck. Thank you, Volume. Shout out Hard Rock Bet Boost and of course our friends at Zen. Enjoy an amazing weekend of football. Talk to you guys on Tuesday. What’s right? [Music] [Music]

Nick Wright shares his predictions for Week 11 of the NFL season. The show starts with Nick’s “Stay Away” games including Jared Goff’s Detroit Lions taking on Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football. Next are “Nick’s Picks” including Caleb Williams’ Chicago Bears rematch with JJ McCarthy and the Minnesota Vikings, Baker Mayfield’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers battling Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills, and Patrick Mahomes’ Kansas City Chiefs matchup with Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. Later on comes Damonza’s Teaser, Nick’s Touchdown Genie, and The Offer from the producers!

All lines provided by @hardrockbet

Timeline:
00:00 – Introduction
00:42 – Week 10 Recap
03:39 – Stay Aways
07:24 – Nick’s Picks
13:16 – Damonza’s Teaser
15:27 – Touchdown Genie
16:18 – The Offer

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