Should The Tigers Trade Tarik Skubal

Baseball is so fun because two years ago, TK Scubble could have walked by you. In fact, he probably did and you thought nothing. Bro went from a walking NPC to the final boss battle. It’s weird to think he had four seasons of major league experience before 2024 when he won his first Sai Young award. Like, it’s trippy looking at those seasons. From 2020 to 2023, 20% of me believes this isn’t even actually him or he took some super serum after 2023. No, but you could actually see the improvements like clearly as the years went before Scooble became what he is now. It’s like he was slowly charging up his powers to unleash starting in 2024. I could already see it like a Marvel postredit scene after the 2023 season. It’s actually really satisfying to see how his career has gone from a chronological perspective. Like his number, specifically his ERA have improved every year. In 2020, Scuba had a 5.6 ERA. 2021 it was 4.3. 2022 3.5 2023 2.8 2024 2.39 2025 2.21 He’s getting more powerful as he ages. The Tigers obviously have a special guy on their hands. So naturally, of course, as we all would, they want to tell him to get out. Okay, maybe not exactly that, but in a way it’s kind of getting to that point. So, thank you for being here, subscribed or not. And if you have enjoyed the 49% elite humans, consider hitting that button if you like the videos. As the better Scoo’s been getting the last 2 years, of course, the higher his price tag gets when he reaches free agency, which is in just one year. And what we’re looking at with Scubble is possibly the biggest pitching contract ever. It probably will be. In fact, he’s projected to blow by what the current richest contract is, which is Yamamoto at 325 million. Garrett Cole is right behind him at 324. If you want to go per year, Cole is getting more because his contract is 9 years. Yamamoto’s is 12. But you get the point. Well, Scubble is projected to get at least $400 million. $400 million right away. Just knowing that on its own makes it very hard to see the Tigers keeping him forever. I highly doubt they’re going to pay that. And we already have reports almost confirming that. How impossible that seems. There was this report a few weeks ago that he and the Tigers were $250 million apart in negotiations. $250 million. That’s insane. What that means is either the Tigers are really lowballing Scooble or Scooble’s asking for $600 million. And I’m going to go more with the first one. I mean, think about it. If Scoo’s projected to get about $400 million, that could mean the Tigers offered him 150 million, which is insane. That’s crazy. I mean, I guess it’s worth a shot. What if he said yes? I mean, theoretically, he could say yes to 1 million. You never know. Obviously, I don’t know the details, but that big of a gap between the two sides practically screams Scubble’s Tigers days are limited. How could it not? It practically roars it. I get it cuz tigers and I’m not even saying that means a trade is 100%. More so that it seems inevitable the most Scuba will be a tiger is one more year at the absolute most. Like I I really don’t see another scenario unless he it takes $150 million. So in that case, wouldn’t a trade also seem inevitable? Because the worst thing to happen, at least theoretically, would be letting Scooble go in free agency without getting any value for him. I mean, the best outcome for that scenario obviously would be if you win a World Series. Like if the Tigers won at all next year with the help of Scooble, him leaving wouldn’t hurt as bad. Obviously, you don’t want to see him leave, but it would it would not hurt nearly as bad considering you got the ultimate achievement you play this game for to begin with. So, there’s two ways of looking at it. Either you feel it’s better to keep him, even if it’s only for one more year, because he can help you win in 2026, and that’s worth more than what you can get in a trade, or you of course trade him while you still can get value and hope you can win without him. Usually, when a team operates, they’re not thinking about the fans. And that sounds effed up, but most of the time, not all of the time, but most of the time, that’s actually how it needs to be. Like, imagine if a team’s general manager was chronically online worrying about what the fans are saying, and it actually affected how he made decisions. That’d be so bad at that point. Just have Twitter or Reddit run the team. It’d be a disaster. You need to stay focused and trust in their decision-m, trust in the reason that they have the job to begin with, because a lot of the time, the people with those jobs do know better than us fans. But there are certain situations where I actually do think the human element of it. Like the fan perspective does matter and should be heavily considered before making a move. It’s kind of like how the Dodgers were pretty instantly out on signing Carlos Koreah a couple years ago when he was a free agent because of how the fans would probably look at that since they [ __ ] hate him. Like imagine Dodger fans are all Jews and Koreah is Hitler or they’re all Christians and Koreah is Stalin. I don’t know. Pick your poison. That’s basically what that relationship looks like. Now, some people may say, “Who cares? He makes the team better, even if he was our enemy.” And I’ve seen that in other ways, too. People who say they don’t care if they have a serial killer on their team. It could be John Wayne Gasey himself at first base and R. Kelly on the mount, and as long as they get 40 home runs and a Sai Young award out of it, they don’t care. But I think that’s a dumb way to look at it. Obviously, no team’s going to have a serial killer on their team. But you get what I’m saying. I do think the character of the player matters, at least to an extent. Like there should be some pride in having good guys on your team. Like the emotional aspect of things I think matters. Carlos Koreah, as talented as he can be, he’s still one guy and the Dodgers don’t need him. They can very well find a way to win without bringing in a player the fan base hates. And well, yeah, how does backtoback championship sound? I’m getting off on a tangent here, but my point is with the Scooble thing, something the Tigers front office should also factor in is how the fan base will take a trade. Like how they’ll react to it. Like yes, he’s likely gone anyway if he’s going to require $400 million to keep it. And I don’t think the fans would necessarily hate the team for not paying him that. But think about how trading Scubble, I mean, the man just dragged his balls across opposing hitters faces the last two years like it was nothing. He won two straight SI Young Awards. Think about how the fans will take you then turning around and trading him without getting a proper goodbye. Again, that can’t be the only reason you don’t trade him. The emotional aspect of it. You got to factor in if it’s logically the best thing to do. And if it is, then you do it. But I think you do have to factor in like how the fans would feel. Like would it really be worth doing? And I think trading him, at least in the off season, is not the smartest thing to do. At the end of the day, it really just depends on the return. The return has to be elite. Now, regardless, it can only be so great of a return because he does only have one year left. So even someone as good as school can only get you so much with just one year of control. Which then brings you back to the thought of well at that point you might as well just keep them and get as much of them left while you still can if a return can’t be that great. The only way the Tigers should trade school this off season is if the return from a team almost seems too good to be true. Like to the point they have to ask a couple times to make sure they heard it right. Because there’s a chance that if they actually waited until the trade deadline, even though Scoo would have even less guaranteed time than he already has, wherever he’s traded to, there’s a chance you could actually get more then than you would now in November or December just because of the context. Like teams tend to be more desperate around that time. So, they might actually give up more. I also don’t think if I’m looking at this from another team’s perspective, I don’t know if I’d want to trade for school. Like even if you’re a team like the Mets or the Yankees or the Dodgers or maybe the Red Sox, they want to pay him. Like you might as well just wait at that point. Why give up so many I said this with the Sodto thing too when he was traded Juan Sto like why not just wait and then pay him rather than give up as prospects for him and value and then pay him? Like wouldn’t you rather just do one? If you’re going to have to sacrifice something, why not lessen it and just give up money rather than money and other value to get that player. Unless I had $400 million waiting for him. Like I’m not I don’t want to trade for him and then have him hit free agency. Feels like that’s kind of counterintuit like I’d rather just wait and then pay him. So even if I’m another team looking at it from that perspective, I don’t think I’d want to trade for him unless it was not that big of a return I’d have to give up. And then on that point on going back to the Tigers perspective, obviously they’re not going to want to do that. They’d rather just keep him at that point. So overall, I think the Tigers just probably won’t trade him. I don’t think they should trade him. And if the Tigers, let’s say they waited until the trade deadline to get a better return, that would also mean the Tigers have to be out of it, too. Like if you’re in the middle of another playoff chase, you’re not trading away TK. So, I feel like this all leads back to the fact that it’s probably best to just not trade him at all if you’re the Tigers, unless either you get a ridiculous offer or you’re out of it by the trade deadline next year. And either of things could happen like they’re very realistic, but it feels like they’re the only scenarios in which a trade works. And again, even looking at it from another team’s perspective, would it be worth giving up that much just for a year? And you’re not guaranteed to have them for that long. I’d rather just wait. So, for the Tigers, do you have arguably the best pitcher in baseball on your team? Yeah, you’re probably not going to resign him, but while you still have them, you might as well try and run it back with him one more time. So, that’s it for now. Love you. Bye.

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21 comments
  1. If you trade for him you have a first mover advantage especially if you have the money to pay him and he gets the experience of playing for you and loves it there. Also, if you want to win NOW and desperately need pitching, then there's another advantage even if you only bave him 1 year rental.

  2. Yup the owners be like "yeah we could have kept the guy if we had offered money but we'd pretend he didn't accept it cause he wanted to be a Dodger as they ruin baseball by signing future HOF guys we let go cause we wanna keep the money and blame that blue team"

  3. No they should make a run they have a good team. If it doesn’t work out trade him at the deadline even a two month rental will fetch a great price as he is a game changer for any contender

  4. I mean the only benefit I see if the Tigers keep him is they can get a compensation pick for him if he leaves because he’ll decline the qualifying offer. This is the only reasonable thinking I could think of to keep him otherwise trading him makes a ton of sense if there not going to pay him

  5. Mr I is rolling in his grave. If he was alive he would've sign him to extension. Current ownership doesn't seem to have desire to build a winning team.

    If I recall after that 119 loss season after 2003 he gave then GM Dave Dombrowski the green light to spend.

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