Tennessee Titans CAN BEAT Houston Texans, but MUST ATTACK Davis Mills & Create Explosives Plays

Tennessee Titans CAN BEAT Houston Texans, but MUST ATTACK Davis Mills & Create Explosives Plays

If the Tennessee Titans want revenge against the Houston Texans, they must attack backup quarterback Davis Mills. I’ll give you the game plan on today’s edition of Locked on Titans. You are Locked on Titans, your daily Tennessee Titans podcast, part of the Locked On Network, your team every day. Welcome to the Locked on Titans podcast, part of the Locked on Podcast Network, the number one sports podcast network. I am your host, Tyler Roland, Titans fans. Today’s edition of the Locked on Titans podcast is brought to you by Game Time. Download the Game Time app, create an account, use the code locked on NFL for $20 off your first purchase. On today’s show, it is a game plan Friday, folks. the Tennessee Titans come out of their by-week and host the Houston Texans. I’m going to tell you exactly how they can get their revenge. We’ll go over my keys to victory on offense and defense. My players to watch on the offense and the defense, and I’ll give you some of my predictions for this game, score, gambling, fantasy, everything you need to know. Before we dive in, do want to thank you for making Locked on Titans your first listen each and every day. Remember, Monday through Friday, Tennessee Titans content all year round, always for free. Make sure that you get subscribed, stay subscribed. It’s your team every day here on the Locked on Titans podcast. Speaking of everyday, shout out to my everydayers out there tuning in Monday through Friday. Couldn’t do it without you guys. If you aren’t an everydayer, now is the perfect time to be one. We got the second half of the season and it is going to be a very, very important off season for the Tennessee Titans. You want to make sure that you’re up to date. You want to make sure that you’re as informed as you could possibly be on all the different possibilities. Again, I am your host, Tyler Roland. 25 years as a Tennessee Titans fanatic, cover the team for Sports Illustrated, USA Today. I’m a film junkie breaking down the tape over at Tic Tac Titans all the time, and I’ve been hosting this podcast now for seven seasons. But with that being said, again, I do think that the Tennessee Titans could keep this close. I think the Tennessee Titans will be within one score by the fourth quarter. And I guess that wouldn’t be too shocking. It was only six to nothing when the fourth quarter started when the Titans played the Texans in week four. And somehow it finished 20-6 or 26 to nothing. Like the Titans were close in that game with the Texans. They were right there. They just couldn’t get anything going on offense. And let’s be honest here. I don’t think that the Tennessee Titans offense is going to put up a bunch of numbers in this game either. You know what I mean? The Texans defense is absolutely incredible. So, what does that mean? It means the Titans defense has to match. That’s why two of my three major keys to victory for this game are on the defensive side of the ball because we know that the offense isn’t going to put up a big day. So, the defense has to do its job. And the Titans defense only gave up six points in three quarters to the Texans in their first meeting on the road in Houston with CJ Strad at quarterback. And now the Texans are going to have Davis Mills at quarterback. And look, Davis Mills has beat the Titans before in Tennessee. You know, it’s not like Davis Mills is bad. Davis Mills is a really good backup. Davis Mills is a competent player. He is capable of beating the Titans. If the Titans can shut down Davis Mills and the Texans offense, it at least gives them a chance. And to do that, they have to stop the run. They must. And whether you watch the tape and believe me or whether you want to look at the numbers, it is clear the Houston Texans in their five losses this year, 114, 84, 87, 56, 77 rushing yards as an offense. in their wins this year. 129, 167, 157, 130 last week. Do you see the difference? In the Texans wins, they average 145 rushing yards a game. In the Texans losses, they average 83.6 yards per game. Now, the Texans offense has been better as of late. And some of those numbers obviously come from the 0 and3 start that they had to the season. The offense has figured it out somewhat. As my guy John Hickman from Locked on Texans talked about in yesterday’s crossover episode. The offensive line has played better. It’s solidified. It’s stabilized. It has played better in Houston. But the Houston Texans don’t have a juggernaut at running back. Woody Marx is a good explosive young player. Nick Chubb isn’t the player that he was, but you know, it’s still Nick Chub. Like, but neither of those guys are Derek Henry, Bjon Robinson, Jamir Gibbs, or something like that. It’s not like it’s overwhelming talent that you’re worried about is just going to destroy you out there. And the offensive line, while being stabilized and being better, it’s not like this Texans offensive line is God’s gift to football. Now, the Titans run defense is despicably bad. No doubt about that. No question about that. No defense there. And we will see if the Titans get Jeffrey Simmons back. We’ll talk a little bit more about the injury updates later in the show, but he didn’t practice on Wednesday. And after his Instagram post, you thought Jeffrey Simmons was going to be back. So, I’m hoping I’m hoping that he is able to get out on the practice field and we get to see Jeffrey Simmons play because he is obviously going to help with the run defense and he’s somebody who can absolutely dominate the Tennessee or the Houston Texans offensive line. So, having Big Jeff and Tavandre Sweat out there that could really help the Tennessee Titans run defense. Although the Titans did give up 129 rushing yards to the Texans the last time they played and you know Big Jeff was out there, but he didn’t have Sweat next to him. So, can we see can we see Jeffrey Simmons and Devandre Sweat on the field together at the same time and what that might do for the Titans run defense? Can we see it? I don’t know. But whether Big Jeff is out there or not, if the Tennessee Titans don’t stop the run, if they give the Texans over a 100red rushing yards, you are just giving Davis Mills easy situations and the Titans offense is not going to have a chance whatsoever to keep it close. Like you’re just going to ruin the whole game if you’re unable to stop the run, which quite frankly, you know, these are issues that the Titans have had all season. Now, building on that, the reason why stopping the run is so important is so that you create third and long situations where you can blitz. The Tennessee Titans need to blitz. Blitz often, blitz heavy, as much as you possibly can. I think they need to blitz on early downs as well to try to help them in run defense. The Titans just being gap solid and gap sound and making sure that they hit their fits and all of that. like that is not that’s not going to work. Okay? They’re they’re not just going to be able to play sound solid defense and do it that way. They’re going to have to put some pressure on the Texans. They’re going to have to get them behind the line of scrimmage. And you know, the Titans only blitzed 21% when they played the Texans last time. I think that needs to be near 30% in this game. They must unleash the dogs. man with no Draymond Jones now if you don’t have Jeffrey Simmons like who’s going to get that pressure who is going to manufacture manufacture that pressure if you’re rushing four and not blitzing the Titans need to blitz Kevin Winston off the edge the Titans need to blitz Marcus Harris off the off the slot the Titans need to blitz Cedric Gray from linebacker the Titans need to get incredibly creative with their pressure packages and they need to blitz Davis Mills because last week. Davis Mills was a totally different player when he was getting blitzed. When he was blitzed, which was 34% by the Jacksonville Jaguars, 34% blitz rate against Davis Mills dropbacks. The Titans need to be around that number. 8 for 17, 151 yards, zero touchdowns, and an interception. If you want to look at just Davis Mills when he’s under pressure, which again, the Titans are only going to be able to get pressure if they blitz. five for 16, 98 yards. So, it wasn’t like Davis Mills was carving up the blitz when they didn’t get to him. And when he did get under pressure, he melted. He melted like the wicked witch of the West. You know what I mean? So, the Titans have to have to have to blitz Davis Mills. And then the final key to victory for me is just pray for the offense. I mean, I’ve said it all week. I’ll say it again. There are some adjustments that the Tennessee Titans need to make on offense. They need to play more out of 12, 13 personnel, which if you don’t know, the first number is running backs. The second number is tight ends. So, you hear people say 11 personnel. That’s one running back, one tight end, which means three wide receivers. You hear people say 12 personnel, that’s one running back, two tight ends. 13, one running back. 22, two running backs, two tight ends. You guys see how this works, okay? And you could do that for anything. It’s four wide receivers. It’s it’s 10 personnel, you know? But the Titans need to play more under center. They need to play more heavy personnel. And and the Texans pass defense is 26. and 26th. There’s a H on that. 26th and expected points added against 13 personnel passes. So, the Texans are one of the worst defenses in the NFL guarding against the pass with three tight ends on the field. Heavy tight ends. They want to be a nickel. And Jaylen Petri, who is on the injury report, may not play in this game. He is their safety nickelback. They want to play in nickel. So if you go to three tight ends, you go two tight ends, two running backs. I think the Titans need to use Julius Chestnut as a fullback in this game. Get Kell Mullings out there as a fullback. Potentially put Chicka Conqua at the fullback spot with a tight end on the field. Like the Titans need to go heavy in this game and get the Texans in their base defense. But with that being said, let’s zoom in. We got three players on offense, three players on defense that I think will slant this game towards the Titans favor if they’re able to play well. And then I’ll give you my predictions for this game as we continue. Do want to let you know that today’s episode is brought to you by prize picks. We all make decisions every single day, but on prize picks, being right on those decisions can get you paid. Don’t miss any of the excitement this sports season. Whether you’re following the NFL, the NBA, or both like me, there’s no better time to jump in on the action. If you haven’t tried it yet, prize pitch is the simplest way to play. You just pick more or less on at least two player stats, and if you get them right, you win. It takes less than 60 seconds to make your lineup, and you can play anywhere. Prize Picks operates, including California, Texas, and Georgia. They have a new stacks feature that’s a gamecher. 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So, we’ll start with the offensive side of the ball when we’re talking about the players to watch. And number one on my list is Calvin Ridley. So, the Texans quarterback group is really good. Okay. Kamari Lacier, Derek Stingley, obviously one of the best quarterbacks in the entire NFL, but their safety group, the Houston Texans safety group, I think is vulnerable. Okay. I think the Titans can attack there, especially especially considering that the Texans have some injuries in the secondary, which my guy John Hickman again talked about yesterday. Jaylen Petri is banged up. They’ve been playing uh, you know, Miles Bryant, they’ve been playing Kaylin Bulock right there. Even Jaylen Reed, a rookie as well. I think the Tennessee Titans can take advantage of the middle field defenders for the Texans. And we talked about this the last time we played. I think the Texans are susceptible at the linebacker level. Aziz Alshshire is an okay player. He’s a an average starting linebacker in the NFL in my opinion, but Henry Toooo Tojo has been vulnerable. EJ Speed, Jake Hansen, like these guys can be taken advantage of over the middle of the field. So, I’m thinking deep crossing routes. I’m thinking deep posts down the middle of the field. Think about the Chim DK route against the New England Patriots that work. The Patriots also have slow safeties who don’t really move that well, who are vulnerable. The Patriots had linebackers who were vulnerable and the Tennessee Titans were able to get some things going over the middle of the field. So, I think Calvin Ridley coming across the field, the intermediate areas in between the hashes, quick drag route, crossing route, deep post route down the field, I think the Tennessee Titans can win over the middle of the field in this game. And quite frankly, they must. They need explosive plays. Here’s the truth, folks. The Titans are not going to be able to go up and down the field consistently with good 10, 12 play drives and sustain drives and do all that. Like, it’s just not going to happen against this defense. What the Titans need to hope for is explosive plays. They need explosive plays that flip the field. They need to hit some 40, 50 yarders. They need a long Taj Spears run. The Titans are not going to be again, they’re not going to be down to down efficient. They’re not going to hit you for a five, six yard run and then a five, six yard pass and then a four yard run and then a five yard run and then a two yard completion and then keep the drive going. They’re not going to do that. They’re not. So, you got to find a way to manufacture some explosive plays. And you do that by putting the the Texans safeties and linebackers in conflict over the middle of the field. And who needs to take advantage of that is Calvin Ridley. You cannot tell me that having Calvin Ridley back in the lineup isn’t going to help somewhat. He may not be as good as he was last year. It may not be going as good as it was last year for him, but Calvin Ridley can still make plays. He’s still an explosive player, and the Titans need him to be. Continuing on offense, you knew it would only be a matter of time. We got to talk about the offensive tackles. And look, I put JC Laam on my players to watch because Laam is supposed to be an elite player. Laam is supposed to be a long-term elite option at right tackle. And this is an elite matchup. So, I want to see what he does. And Laam was on injured reserve when the Titans played the Texans last time. The Titans only gave up two sacks last time they played the Texans. So, it wasn’t quite as bad as it has been for most of the year. You know what I mean? And that was without JC Laam. I thought Ali Udo played really well in that game for the most part. But, but what does that have to do with this week? It’s not going to that’s you can’t carry that over and hope for the same. The Texans have an insane defensive end group. Denil Hunter, Will Anderson Jr., some of the best in the entire NFL. And if the Tennessee Titans starting offensive tackles get bullied, it’s over. It’s over. I mean, it’s already looking bleak for the Titans offense in this matchup just based on the matchup itself. So, if the Titans come out and get demolished like they didn’t last time, then they’re they’re it’s going to be even worse. Now, the final player that I want to mention here is Gunner Helm. Because again, whereas Calvin Ridley can take advantage of the middle of the field in the deeper intermediate areas to the deep areas of the field, Gunner Helm should be able to cook this linebacker group in the short and intermediate areas. Like, if the Texans want to play man on Gunner Helm, I think he can burn any of their linebackers. If the Texans want to go into zone, they need Gunner Helm to sit down in those zones, get opportunities. They have to get Gunner Helm more involved. It was ridiculous. And shout out to Ron Davenport, who uh you know, TD is by far the kindest, nicest beat reporter that I’ve dealt with for the Tennessee Titans. TD is a mentor to me. He’s given me a ton of advice and things like that. Whether I take the advice or not is always um dependent on my stubbornness, but TD is always there to give advice and everything like that. So, shout out to TD. But he asked a great question and kind of peppered Mike McCoy in the press conference on Wednesday and was like, you know, what do you think about Gunnar Helm getting more opportunities? And he was like, yeah, you know, he’s been great. He’s taken advantage. Every time we throw him the ball, he seems to catch it. Blah blah blah. And Terron’s like, well, he got one target last game. Why not throw him the ball more? And Mike McCoy was like, well, sometimes, you know, the play is for Gunner Helm and then we got to go elsewhere because, you know, it’s not, you know, the read isn’t there. he’s not open or whatever. And it’s like that’s nonsense. There is no way that you could tell me that you are making a coordinated effort to get Gunner Helm the ball and he got one target. No chance. That falls on Death here. So, great question by TD. And he followed up to hammer it home again. Like, yeah, Mike McCoy and the offensive staff’s a bunch of bozos, man. that like Gunner Helm has been the most reliable set of hands on the team all year. He’s clearly a better player than the way he’s being used. He’s still not out snapping Chicka Conquo. It’s like, God, you guys don’t know what you’re doing. And and for me, I cover the NFL at large for Locked On. I watch like every game. Last week during the by-week, I have two TVs down in my studio. I have two big flat screens. Yeah, I’m flexing. Call it my mom’s basement. Bang. But either way, I had all eight games up, well, seven games in the early window with red zone in one of the pockets as well, just in case. But like seeing the level of offensive coaching around the NFL and like seeing Packers fans complain about Matt Lafleur, like it makes my eyes twitch, man. Like you guys don’t know how bad it could be. Okay, the Titans offensive coaching staff has no clue what they’re doing. Get Gunner Helm the ball. like and this is a prime matchup for Gunnar Helm to have a breakout performance quite honestly. But he can’t throw himself the ball. He can’t call plays for himself. He can’t you know what can we do? But we all see it, right? We all see that Gunnar Helm is a good player. Right. Right. Right. I’m not going crazy. Okay, great. We move to the defensive side of the ball. I talked about blitzing Davis Mills. I talked about stopping the run. That’s Cedric Gray, folks. Cody Barton ain’t blitzing nobody. He doesn’t have the speed and the aggressiveness and the physicality and the tenaciousness to get downhill. Tenacity. I always want to say tenaciousness, but it’s tenacity. Um the ferocity. Love that word. Very strong aggressive word. But that is Cedric Gray. Cedric Gray is going to get downhill. He’s been a good blitzer this year. We saw him get a sack last week destroying a linebacker or two weeks ago against the Chargers. Like they have to get Cedric Gray involved in the blitz game. And I mean on early downs too to attack the run, not just in the pass rush. Okay, they have to do that. And then my guy John Hickman from yesterday’s crossover, if you guys missed the crossover episode, such good information in there from behind enemy lines, but he talked about how Daltton Schultz has really been good lately. The Texans tight end. So Cedric Gray wiping out the tight end. Cedric Gray blitzing on early downs and passdowns. He’s got to have a big time game. Top five tackler in the NFL right now. really good player, Kevin Winston. Same thing. Let’s see him in man coverage on Daltton Schultz. Let’s see him take him away. And the Texans are probably going to try to attack deep against the Titans like everybody does. And Kevin Winston has to help out the cornerbacks. He has to come downhill and take away passing lanes. He has to knock balls out of wide receivers’s hands when they throw to him and jar the ball loose. Like, he’s got to do a lot here. And not only that, but I talked about blitzing. Blitzing, blitzing. Kevin Winston has been involved in some blitz packages and some rush packages where he is literally functioning as a defensive end, as an edge rusher. I think he’s capable of doing stuff like that. I think that’s a creative way to deal with the Titans lack of talent on the edge right now as well. But I want to see Kevin Winston getting into the back field, knocking the ball loose, just be a playmaker all over the field. And then finally, tore sweat. Self-explanatory here, right? Got to be able to stop the run. gotta collapse the pocket on Davis Mills, a guy who’s not a great runner, who’s not going to get out and get up through the pocket and scramble and get yards with his legs. This is a prime opportunity for Tavandre Sweat to make a major impact stopping the run and pushing the pocket from the interior. I think that would be a massive help to the Tennessee Titans efforts in this game. So, on offense, Calvin Ridley, the offensive tackles, and Gunner Helm. On defense, Cedric Gray, Kevin Winston, Tvandre Sweat. Let me know your guys’s players to watch in this game down below. But now it is time for my score, my gambling, my fantasy predictions for this matchup. Do want to let you guys know that today’s episode is brought to you by Game Time. The NFL season is obviously here. We’re halfway through the year and there’s nothing better than being in the stadium surrounded by fans cheering on your team. But let’s be honest, getting tickets can be a hassle. Between cues, login screens, prices jumping at checkout, it’s frustrating. That’s why I use Game Time, the app that gives the advantage back to the fans. Game time is fast, it’s easy, it’s backed by the Game Time guarantee. You’ll always get 100% authentic tickets delivered on time and at the best price. Plus, all fees are included. So, the price you see is the price that you pay. I pulled up Game Time recently and in just a couple of taps, I saw amazing deals. And I’m talking about your favorite NFL games for as low as $100. And if you want to go see the Titans, you’ll probably find a better deal than even that. Honestly, it’s faster, it’s cheaper, it’s less stressful than any other way I bought tickets. That’s why I bought NFL, NBA, WNBA, MLB concert, and comedy tickets all on Game Time. Download the Game Time app, create an account, use the code locked on NFL for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Again, that’s promo code L O C K E D O N for $20 off. Swipe, tap, ticket, go. Download Game Time today. Titans fans, let’s cap off today’s game plan Friday edition of the Locked on Titans podcast. Went over keys to victory. Went over players to watch. Now I got to get into my predictions. And the first prediction that we go over is my game and score prediction. Before we dive in, thanks again for making Locked on Titans your first listen. And thank you again as well for making the Locked On Network now the number one sports podcast network. But for my prediction, you know, I started looking into some things. I always make a pseudo prediction on the crossover Thursday episode where I’m leaning, what I’m thinking, this and that. But then I have more time to look through film, look through data. You know, Wednesday when when I record the crossover is more of a of a factf finding mission. I want to ask the host of the other team what he thinks about the team and it kind of gives me some leads. You know, I’ve been doing a little more research here on where the Texans vulnerable points are, like we’ve talked about in the keys to victory, and I think the Tennessee Titans keep this closer than I did in the crossover episode. I think I said 23-13, something like that in the crossover episode. I think the Tennessee Titans defense has a better performance than that. Now, I cannot I cannot in good faith I did it with the Chargers. I did it I think the the Colts game or the Texans game originally, one of the two in the first four weeks. I picked the Titans to win. I thought they could get the win. I thought they could upset the Chargers. They only lost by seven. It was right there if the offense could do anything. Like I felt great about the chances that the Titans gave themselves. They played I I just had a feeling the Titans would do some crazy things. a pick six on defense, a kick return. Uh like the Titans would keep it close and pull up an upset and they let me down by seven points and the offense did nothing. So, I can’t I can’t in good faith pick the Titans to win. But I will tell you this, I think this is close and I think the Titans have a chance to win this game. I think they will have a chance to win this game in the fourth quarter. They will be close 16-13. I think the Texans ultimately win. I think the Titans offense just simply cannot do enough, especially late in the game to make it happen. But if the Titans won this game 20-6, 19 to 16, 16-13 themselves, I would not be shocked at all. I do not think this is a blowout. I do not think that the Texans win by double digit points. I think the Tennessee Titans absolutely keep this close, have a chance to win in the fourth quarter. I just can’t bet on this team to get the job done. So, I’m going Texans 16-13. But I do think the Titans will keep it close and have a chance to win. That’s why you look at the line. I know at this point betting on the Titans spread not been great for you. They have not been good against the spread this year. They are getting blasted when they lose. But plus six and a half at home, I’ll take it. I’ll take it. Like again, I think the Titans keep this close with Davis Mills in. The Titans can attack that. I think the Titans do better in run defense in this game than the 129 that they gave up early in the year. I will take the Titans plus 6 and a half. You guys know I hate overunders. I hate overunders. 37 12. I’m calling 1613. So that’s 29 points. So clearly take the under 37 and a half. But I don’t trust it. I never trust it. I don’t like overunders. They’re not for me. But anyway, my beautiful dark twisted fantasy player of the week is Taj Spears. If you need a cheap player in daily fantasy, you got injuries by week stuff like that and seasonl long fantasy, throw Taj Spears in here. I think he makes a ton of sense. I think whether the Titans are in the game or whether the Titans get blown out, there are going to be dump offs to the running backs. They’re going to have to run screens with the pressure that the Texans are going to be able to get. No matter how this game goes, I think Taj Spears will do well in fantasy football. But with that being said, that is going to do it for my game plan edition. Week 11, the Titans host the Houston Texans. Let me know your game and score predictions down below for this one. What do you think the score is going to be? I’ll be back with you guys on Sunday live after the game to break it all down. Tennessee Titans football is back, folks. strap in and get ready for the second half of the season. But that’s going to do it for me today. As always, I am your host, Tyler Roland, and this was Locked on Titans.

The Tennessee Titans come out of the bye week with a home game against the Houston Texans. The Texans shutout the Titans in Week 4, 26-0, but this game should be significantly closer. For that to happen, the Titans must attack backup quarterback Davis Mills. Mills is a fine backup who has beaten the Titans before, but he struggles most under pressure and the Titans can only get that pressure by sending the house. On offense, the Titans must create explosive plays and that will require Calvin Ridley to be good in his return from injury and the Titans offensive tackles to stand on their head. Finally, the Titans probably won’t find a way to win, but the game will be close enough to be won and that means 6.5 points is a winning line!

Tennessee Titans CAN BEAT Houston Texans, but MUST ATTACK Davis Mills & Create Explosives Plays
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