Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers Best Picks & Predictions

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers Best Picks & Predictions

Monday Night Football. The Carolina Panthers are on the road to take on the San Francisco 49ers. My best plays are on the way. As always, my name is Austin. Thank you for tuning in. In this video, I have two of my favorite player props. We have a plus 1,000 parlay. And then, of course, we’ll wrap up the video with my favorite pick on this game. But without further ado, let’s dive into things. And first, we begin with a recap of how we did on Sunday. And I’ll be honest with you, I wish I was one of those channels that could just speed past it because it was not a good Sunday for us. Let’s talk about it. Overall, we went down two and a half units. Now, I’d argue based on my picks and how bad some of them were, we should have been down like five or seven units. I mean, we were terrible. The only really thing that saved us was actually my two VIP plays, which I hate to even recap for you guys that tailed the video plays because they weren’t good. Our only really video play that hit was Gent over in rush attempts and man, he should have had the 18 plus, but Gino Smith is terrible. But other than that, every other pick was just bad. St. Brown did drop a a first quarter catch that would have cashed that parlay, but Lamar didn’t even have a pass touchdown. Uh Chase Brown went nuclear. Mark Andrews was terrible. Michael Wilson, I mean everything. And then a VIP L’s I put in there. We did have some uh long shots on Lamb and Winston that did not come through. But either way, not a great he’s a weak force, but you know what? We can bounce back today. As you see, we’re still up 23 units on the season. Been a little downturn the last few days, but a few, you know, week or two, but you know, it is the NFL. You’re going to have some good weeks and have some bad ones. Let’s hope we can at least end week 12 strong cash in some of our plays. At the end of this video, I will have a chalkboard entry. If you have no idea what Chalkboard is, well, they’re one of the better daily fantasy apps out there. You guys know I use it pretty much every single week. You can sign up right now using my code COS or the link down below. They’re going to give you a Brock Pretty free pick. You can use it however you want. They basically give you a payout. Uh they’ll also double your first deposit up to 100 bucks. So doubling it. If you deposit $20, they give you an extra 20. Use that and then every single morning at like I think 10 a.m. or 11, uh they give you a free like a little odds boost kind of thing. So it’s pretty cool. Take advantage code or the link down below. Let’s dive into the picks. Let’s start with the first one. Christian McCaffrey over 43 and a half receiving yards minus 114 on FanDuel. Just sticking to a halfun. Like I said, I like doing these halfunit plays. When it’s something I really, really, really like, I make it a one two unit play. If it’s just, you know, not medium like because I’m not putting out something I don’t love. But again, it is a receiving guards prop on a running back. They can have some volatility there. But I think CMC’s in for a great match up here against the Panthers. Just form a ball club. Now, you could back him in rushing plus receiving yards. I don’t hate it, but CMC’s really not been great on the ground. I think he’s actually a big- time receiver here. Now, we know CMC is arguably the best, not not arguably, I would say he is by far the best wide uh running back, you know, pass catching in the NFL, and he has shown that so far this season. If you look at how he has been doing, the man has been absolutely torching opposing defenses regardless of who’s been under center. You look at it, he’s over this line in nine of 11 games. Pretty dang good. And in fact, his two misses, he had 43 and 40. So, he’s been right there. Uh he has had 60 or more in seven of the games. Why 60? Stay tuned for that in just a moment. But the real reason I like it is this matchup. Now you’ll look at how he runs his routes and where he performs the best. You see by far against zone coverage, 2.51 yards per route run compared to 1.61. Not double, but pretty dang almost double. And wouldn’t you know, the Panthers run 85% zone, second highest frequency. What the Panthers defense does, it’s a hey, we’re going to let you move the ball down the field. We’re not going to let you get big plays. You’re gonna have to dink and dunk down the field and then when you get to the red zone, we’re going to try to stuff you there. That’s where we’ve seen them be top 10 red zone uh defense. So again, I think CMC has a big day in the air. We’ve seen Bejian, you see him, he had, you know, n 39 receiving yards, Kamara 32. Like those guys are not nearly the pass catcher or the the way that they use CMC. Bean’s been pretty good this season, but again, I think this is an A+ matchup for CMC. I really like it. So I like his over in receiving yards. I think him and Brock Perie find some a good connection here. Wouldn’t be shocked if he also gets a wheel route in here and that’s a big play where it’s like a 25 plus yard catch. Would not shock me at all. My next play though, it’s going to be a rush yards prop. It’s not on CMC, it’s on the other side. Let’s talk about Rico Dael. Now, I know he has been down the last few games, but and not down in terms of out and injured, but he hasn’t been great recently, but I think it’s an A+ bounceback spot for him. Love is over 70 and a half rush yards. I’d played up to 76 and a half, spoiler alert. in the long shot parlay. I have him for a 100 plus. So, I’m really comfortable with him at any line playing it for a half unit because he is a seven and a half point underdog on the road. But if you know anything about the Panthers and you’ve watched them recently, this team, even when trailing, they will still commit to the ground game. Now, if it gets out of control, they’re down three, four plus touchdowns, sure, fine. We’ll abandon it. But long as the game’s within, you know, twoish scores, they’re going to still continue to pound the rock because that’s the identity of this offense. Now, as we’ve talked about, Rico Dao has been really good. When he was in for Chuba Hubard, then Chuba Hubard came back. It was kind of like that. All right, Chuba Hubard stinks. Let’s keep giving Rico Dao the ball. And, you know, they’re kind of starting to do that. Now, like I said, the hit rate isn’t going to look great here, but these are the games when we finally saw him starting to take off. You know, the 206, the 183, 79 was I’m not even playing 50% of snaps. Now, since here the Packers game, they gave him almost all the touches there at 130 yards, but then he had back-to-back bad games against the Falcons and the uh uh the 40 Saints here. So, again, we need him to bounce back here. And I think this is the perfect spot because you look at how and where and what runs he really specializes in. A lot of man concept runs. And you see the 49ers twink 27th defensively there. Now you can look at some running backs haven’t necessarily had a ton of success. But if you look at like De Marcado and Bam Knight, they were down 100 points early, but Blake Corm and Kairen Williams had pretty good games. The Giants, they were getting blown out. So again, not a lot there. And then Chuba Hubard and Woody Marks had good games there. So I think there’s upside here for a guy. I mean, Bean and his team got smoked as well. So it’s going to we’re going to need the Panthers to be a little bit competitive here, but I don’t know if they really run into a beast that like this uh this Panthers rushing attack. I don’t think they understand how good I think this attack is. Rico Dattle is going to get the ball. He has 18 and a half rush attempts line. The last two weeks, he’s only had long carries of 14 and six yards. I think he could realistically pop off some big ones here. And I think this is a good spot for him to bounce back after a couple down weeks. I mean, heck, you flash back just a couple weeks ago, Rico D’s rush yards prop was almost 100. So, again, they have high expectations for him in this offense. I think he gets back going here. a little bit of a longer week to get prepared for this game. Obviously, the Panthers, they need these wins. They’re trying to battle for a playoff spot. They’re going to take this game seriously on the road and it would be shocking if they were like, you know what, what’s our game plan? Let’s throw it a ton. No, not on the road. You probably want to establish the ground game. I think Rico Da has a pretty good game. Love his over in rushing yards. And then my third play and then we’ll get into the game picks is that I am actually running a long shot parlay. It involves a little bit of a ladder for both fellas. Dowel for 100 plus rush yards and CMC for 60 plus receiving yards. A twole same game parlay. It is plus 1,000 on bet 365. Playing it for a quarter unit. So if it hits, we do win back two point uh 2.5 units. We’d obviously already cash the other regular plays for them. That’d be pretty electric. Uh I’d play this down to about plus 700. I think every book that I looked at was around plus 8 to plus a,000. Obviously bet 365 was the one I found the best value. But anything lower than plus 700, I’m probably not doing it. But again, already talked about CMC 60 plus in seven of 11 games. I think it’s a great spot for him. And like I said, Dowel, this was a guy like I said just two weeks ago. The line guy’s line was 90. I think I think uh this site has it. We might not have a closing line for NFL, but again, he’s I think he’s really good. And if he finds success, they’re going to pound that rock. And I think that they want to pound it here. So, I do like Rico Dao. I like CMC. I’ll take a chance on this. Plus a thousand. Sure. I have lost a quarter unit on dumber things. I think they got a chance. Now, before I get into my chalkboard slip, I’ll give you my lean on the game. I actually don’t have a great lean on the side, but I do really like the under 49 and a half points. I can’t remember the last time we had a good prime time game. Gez, man. And I’m recording this before the Rams Bucks game. Maybe I jinxed that into a good game there. But man, we’ve had some brutal prime time games. And as I talked about, the Panthers defense isn’t the best in the world. But like I said, top 10 in red zone scoring defense. They let you get down there. They force you to kick field goals. So if you’re looking for a player prop, actually was going to take the 49ers field goal kicker, but pretty sure Panero just went on to uh not IR, but he’s out for this game. So didn’t have any props up, but I do think they kicked two field goals here because the Panthers are good at li making you kick field goals. 49ers, their red the red zone defense hasn’t been great this season. in. They’re about middle of the pack, but again, I don’t know if I have a ton of faith in the Panthers continuously punching it in in the red zone. If they are, it’s probably because Rico D’s having a pretty good game, but outside of that, not a lot of pass catchers in that red zone offense besides T McMillan that can go up and make plays or make contested catches. So, again, I think it’s a field goals type game. There’ll be touchdowns for sure, but I think it’s 50 points is not easy to come to in an NFL game, especially two teams that do want to run the football. And while I am on a CMC receiving yards prop, it’s not like he’s not getting the rock on the ground. I just think he’s a better matchup in the air. So, I do like the under there. Finally, I wrap up with the chalkboard slip and then get on out of here. Reminder, Chalkboard, best DFS app out there if you want to sign up. You can use my code COS, get the free pick, get the deposit match, get all those profit boosts. They’re dropping to you daily. Um, here’s what I’m rolling. CMC for 40 plus receiving yards. Look, you can take them down there. Obviously, I would have taken 40 plus, but I was like minus 145. I’m not laying juice on that, but that’s hitting every single game of the season. George KD a rare less than for me. It actually is plus money for his less than four and a half receptions. Sometimes I feel like KD, he has some good when he has a couple good games, you start to have faith in him. Boom, he hits you with like a two reception game for 18 yards. They’re like, why? Why? Um, and the Panthers have not been a bad team against defenses. Uh, tight ends. We saw Trey McBride face them earlier this year. He only had six receptions. Trey McBride’s been getting so many more targets than George KD. Like I said, I think it’s a CMC receiving game. Like the under and obviously I like Rico Dattles more than there. So, $25 and that puppy with the boost turned almost 240. As I said, let me know your favorite picks down below. Do me a favor, hit that like button, drop that hit that subscribe button if you are new. Let’s have a great end to week 12. I know the last few weeks, two weeks to be specific, have not been great up to caliber. We’ve obviously had a great start to the season. Maybe it’s a little bit of an evening out. Maybe I just need to get back in the lab and just find some more winners. Simple as that. And I think we will do that tonight and then continue that onto Thanksgiving and we will uh hopefully get back into the winning column and go on a heater to end the season. Typically in years past, I’ve actually really struggled up until about Thanksgiving and then we’ve hit a year where we’ve turned like since I think Thanksgiving on last year, we’re up like 25 units or something like that. Would be nice to do that again. We’ll see if we can. But either way, I’m out of here. Have a great day. See you in the next one. Let’s cash all these plays. Peace.

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers Best Picks: Monday, November 24th

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