[Gleeman] FanGraphs’ updated ZiPS projections have the Twins at 77 wins and fourth place in the AL Central. Twins are projected to be the 11th-best team in the 15-team American League, with a 19% chance of making the playoffs
January 29, 2026
[Gleeman] FanGraphs’ updated ZiPS projections have the Twins at 77 wins and fourth place in the AL Central. Twins are projected to be the 11th-best team in the 15-team American League, with a 19% chance of making the playoffs
20 comments
Unsure if it was Fangraphs who initially projected us at 82-80 at the start of the offseason
Falvey, Zoll and Pohlad all used that projection as a talking point for why this team could be competitive. Whilst i imagine Falvey misspoke, this was also used to explain why the Twins didnt trade Lopez/Ryan
Given the 70 win season, and under 60 win pace post deadline. 77 still feels like it could be optimistic given our lack of movement
Ill take the under on that all day

Too high
Well at least we’re off the hook before we get our hopes up.
This sounds about right barring any type of miracle. Low expectations but hey, ya never know
Is it odd to think our hockey, basketball or football teams could play better baseball then our baseball team.
Can’t read it right now. Does this project for everyone being healthy, or does the AI take a stab at how many games Buxton loses to a rib injury?
Putting my life savings on the under
77? I’m sorry but I am taking the Under.
More ambitious than our ownership.
Sounds more realistic but curious why they dropped us
77 more than what I am anticipating
77 feels optimistic, but theoretically possible.
It’s a stretch goal!
(I’m feeling hopeful today)
Am I crazy for thinking we’ll be more around 50-60? Plus you have to factor in that we’re going to trade Joe Ryan and Pablo at the deadline for cash considerations so the Pohlads can save a little more money
55-107
Think 77 wins is generous for this current group.
Like the optimism.
lol
Now when we salary dump Pablo for a 30 year old reliever at the break? Bump that down to 71.
20 comments
Unsure if it was Fangraphs who initially projected us at 82-80 at the start of the offseason
Falvey, Zoll and Pohlad all used that projection as a talking point for why this team could be competitive. Whilst i imagine Falvey misspoke, this was also used to explain why the Twins didnt trade Lopez/Ryan
Given the 70 win season, and under 60 win pace post deadline. 77 still feels like it could be optimistic given our lack of movement
Ill take the under on that all day

Too high
Well at least we’re off the hook before we get our hopes up.
This sounds about right barring any type of miracle. Low expectations but hey, ya never know
Is it odd to think our hockey, basketball or football teams could play better baseball then our baseball team.
Can’t read it right now. Does this project for everyone being healthy, or does the AI take a stab at how many games Buxton loses to a rib injury?
Putting my life savings on the under
77? I’m sorry but I am taking the Under.
More ambitious than our ownership.
Sounds more realistic but curious why they dropped us
77 more than what I am anticipating
77 feels optimistic, but theoretically possible.
It’s a stretch goal!
(I’m feeling hopeful today)
Am I crazy for thinking we’ll be more around 50-60? Plus you have to factor in that we’re going to trade Joe Ryan and Pablo at the deadline for cash considerations so the Pohlads can save a little more money
55-107
Think 77 wins is generous for this current group.
Like the optimism.
lol
Now when we salary dump Pablo for a 30 year old reliever at the break? Bump that down to 71.