Say what you want about analytics, they’re definitely not the end all be all but they do hold some merit. This is just absolutely embarrassing. 10.4 difference between us and the next rank.

17 comments
  1. Next rank being Vancouver…

    Well we’re seeing a live showing of this with the 3 posts on several high danger chances.

  2. Keefe system, Fitz acquisitions are ham fisted with the puck, plus a dash of bad luck.

  3. Here are some players’ shooting percentages coming into this season:

    * Bratt – 12.2%
    * Hamilton – 6.3%
    * Hischier – 13.3%
    * Hughes – 11.1%
    * Meier – 10.9%
    * Mercer – 14.1%

    Here are their shooting percentages this season:

    * Bratt – 9.7% (-2.5%)
    * Hamilton – 5.5% (-0.8%)
    * Hischier – 12.6% (-0.7%)
    * Hughes – 10.2% (-0.9%)
    * Meier – 8.1% (-2.8%)
    * Mercer – 12.6% (-1.5%)

    I’m pretty sure Cody Glass and Connor Brown are somehow the only players shooting over their career shooting percentage this year. Everyone else is just missing the net more than usual and it’s clearly adding up, especially with Bratt and Meier.

    At career SPCT Bratt should have 4 more goals and Meier should have 6 more goals. That’s one third of the -30 shown in this graphic. But even then we’d still be in last place lol.

    Usually shooting percentage declines are due to age or luck. But for a whole team to suddenly decline like this, while two grinders improve (it’s not all grinders by the way, Cotter is down, and before his injury Noesen was shooting at like 5% compared to a career 10% average).

    Is this coaching? It’s hard to believe Keefe is somehow coaching them to hit posts or shoot it into the breadbasket. Is it low quality chances? That’s definitely a possibility that I’m sure some analytics people could figure out but that’s partly what xGF is supposed to incorporate so somehow I don’t think so.

    Maybe it’s just bad luck?

  4. Year 2 of Keefe’s system has been a massive failure. Gets to a point where you are what you are. He couldn’t get it done with all that talent in Toronto, and it looks like this team is headed in the same direction.

  5. Management is dog shit, and this ownership are typical elitist cucks who focus only on active profit. What’s worse is, I have little faith in improvements next year, I hate not looking forward to a fresh new season once ours is over.  So upsetting honestly. 

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