If history is any indication, the Detroit Pistons‘ odds of overcoming a 3-1 series deficit are pretty low.

But they’re not at zero.

The 1-seed Pistons find themselves down 3-1 vs the Orlando Magic in the first-round series, one loss away from a historic defeat to the 8-seed Magic.

Advertisement

There have been 298 NBA teams to own a 3-1 series lead, with 285 of them (95.6%) winning the series, entering these playoffs.

Detroit lost 94-88 on Monday in Game 4 at Orlando.

Thirteen teams (4.4%) that were down 3-1 in a series ended up winning, with four happening since 2016 (though none since 2020). Those aren’t great odds for the 2026 Pistons.

However, a 1-seed Pistons team in the same exact situation as this year’s Pistons pulled off one of

Here is the list of the 13 teams who overcame the odds.

List of NBA teams who won playoff series after being down 3-1

2020: (3) Denver Nuggets beat (6) Utah Jazz, West first round.

1995: (6) Houston Rockets beat (2) Phoenix Suns, West semifinals.

1970: (2) Los Angeles Lakers beat (4) Phoenix Suns, Western Division semifinals.

1968: (2) Boston Celtics beat (1) Philadelphia 76ers, Eastern Division finals.

The 2003 Pistons are the only 1-seed to have ever overcome a 3-1 deficit against an 8-seed, doing it against the Magic.

Advertisement

The 2020 Denver Nuggets are the only team to have won two series in the same playoffs after being down 3-1 in both series.

No NBA playoff team has ever won a series after being down 3-0.

Need to catch up on the news during your lunch break? Sign up for our Sports Briefing newsletter to get daily summaries of Detroit sports! 

You can reach Christian at cromo@freepress.com.

This article originally appeared on Detroit Free Press: Detroit Pistons’ odds of down 3-1 comeback vs Magic in NBA playoffs