Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday’s WNBA game between the Liberty and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty an 83% chance of defeating the Mystics.

According to our model, the Liberty (-5.5) have a 66% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 64% chance of staying under.

 

Liberty vs. Mystics odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Liberty
Mystics

Spread
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-106)

Moneyline
-225
+198

Total
o164.5 (-106)
u164.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Liberty vs. Mystics picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type
Pick
Bet Now

Spread
Liberty -5.5
-110

Moneyline
Liberty
-225

Total
Under 164.5
-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liberty to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Liberty vs. Mystics player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the New York vs. Washington matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team’s leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 22 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kiki Iriafen is projected to have 16 points, 11 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mystics.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today’s WNBA first basket picks.

Liberty prediction

Our model’s projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player
PTS
REB
AST
3PM
DFS

Breanna Stewart
22
7
3
1
43

Jonquel Jones
15
8
3
2
35

Han Xu
11
4
1
1
21

Betnijah Laney
10
3
3
1
22

Marine Johannes
8
3
2
2
19

Mystics prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:

Player
PTS
REB
AST
3PM
DFS

Kiki Iriafen
16
11
2
0
37

Sonia Citron
15
4
2
2
29

Shakira Austin
14
8
2
0
34

Lauren Betts
13
7
3
0
30

Georgia Amoore
11
3
3
1
24

Liberty vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details

Sunday’s game between the Mystics and Liberty at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Sunday’s WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.