JJ Gabriel’s desire to leave Manchester United, communicated formally to the club on Monday via a letter requesting de-registration, has sent shockwaves through the game, prompting all manner of commentary.

The 15-year-old forward, long regarded as one of the most talented young players in Europe, is poised to end his relationship with a club he has been involved with since the age of nine — and several of the continent’s biggest hitters are trying to sign him.

Real Madrid are well-positioned as they work on a deal, while Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich are also making overtures.

United had hoped Gabriel would continue his career with them, and strong efforts are underway to convince him to stay, but the direction of travel is clear. Gabriel has not been seen at Carrington, their training complex, since he scored a hat-trick for the under-19s in the UEFA Youth League last Thursday, and as things stand there is no expectation of a return.

Given the regard in which Gabriel is held, some in the industry speculate United are seeing a future £100million ($135m) player slip through their fingers.

Reporters at The Athletic have spoken to people on all sides of this story to try to provide the fullest account and answer key questions. Some sources agreed to speak on the condition of anonymity, to protect relationships.

Did this news come out of the blue?

There had been indications an issue was brewing last Thursday, when Gabriel was selected to play for United Under-19s against their counterparts from Azerbaijan’s Sabah at Leigh Sports Village, rather than being named in the senior squad to face the same opposition’s first team in the Champions League at Old Trafford later that day.

He scored three goals for Adam Lawrence’s side in that match, but the club knew he and his family wanted a first taste of Champions League football. This was a definitive moment, and afterwards United were informed of a plan for change.

That Saturday, when Gabriel was due to train with coach Michael Carrick’s first-team squad, he stayed away from Carrington in a major sign that all was not well. Subsequently, every single post was removed from his Instagram page, as well as any mention of United in his bio.

United were handed a letter asking for de-registration on Monday. Some still thought Gabriel would train with a first-team group on Tuesday, but he did not. United intended to include him in the squad for the home Carabao Cup loss against Brighton & Hove Albion last night (Wednesday).

Gabriel taking a formal step to try to leave United stunned people at the club, and the ramifications are still being felt. Chief executive Omar Berrada is involved and co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe is also aware of developments.

United are trying to salvage the situation but there is an appreciation it may be irretrievable amid such a public split.

What would Madrid’s plan be for Gabriel?

Although it has flown under the radar until this week, Real Madrid have been working on the potential signing of Gabriel for months.

The mooted deal has always been viewed as a sensitive matter because it involves a minor — a situation in which the Spanish club have taken particular care and exercised great caution, following the sanctions imposed on several European teams years ago, and FIFA rules governing transfers involving players under the age of 18.

That is why relevant people at Madrid’s offices have tried to handle everything with the utmost discretion, with very few people aware of the matter. Potentially signing Gabriel is considered a strategic move that goes beyond his current academy level.

Something similar happened with Abdellah Ouazane, a now 17-year-old Ajax midfielder with whom an agreement was reached in summer 2025, although it ultimately fell through after a medical. Madrid’s plan was for Ouazane to initially join their under-19 side, with a view to him gradually integrating into Real Madrid Castilla, the reserve team who play in Spain’s third tier with a squad mostly made up of academy graduates.

Having been born in October 2010, Gabriel is a year younger than Ouazane was when Madrid explored that signing but a similar path is being prepared for him. Sources say Madrid want him to play for Castilla, and that he would also be involved in the UEFA Youth League with their under-19s. However, he is clearly seen as a future first-team talent.

That hat-trick for United in their Youth League win against Sabah last week was closely followed and celebrated by those around the club who were already aware of Madrid’s pursuit.

What are the rules? Can he simply walk away?

Gabriel has a superb record in Manchester United’s youth teams (Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

United will not grant Gabriel’s request that his contract be torn up, which would ordinarily mean he has to honour its terms until the deal expires next summer.

In that case, clear-the-air talks would be expected to try to find a resolution in the short term, because he loves football too much to go without playing for the best part of a year.

However, if Gabriel has, or obtains, a European Union passport, then he could move to a club on the continent when he turns 16 on Tuesday, October 6 — less than three weeks from now. United are exploring whether he holds such documentation from Ireland or Cyprus. His father Joe O’Cearuill, who came through at Arsenal having been born in London, won two caps for the Republic of Ireland, and his mother has Cypriot heritage.

United may also have less control of the situation than they’d like because he is homeschooled and not yet on scholar terms, so is not part of their full-time academy model.

Several industry sources speculate Gabriel would not make such a radical move without a clear path ahead being lined up.

Some people at United think he may need FIFA dispensation to leave the club. According to the world football governing body’s regulations, players can also move countries at his age if their parents relocate for non-footballing reasons.

It is believed he could leave in exchange for a fee representing ‘training compensation’. According to FIFA’s calculator, that would be worth north of £100,000 ($134,000) to United.

How highly rated is he?

Gabriel drew comparisons with Lionel Messi when he first appeared on a YouTube channel at the age of nine, but his favourite player is Neymar, and his style for close control, sharp turns and accurate finishing off either foot is similar to that of the Brazilian forward.

He has taken part in many first-team training sessions at United, dating back to last year, and did not look out of place despite his age. Indeed, he has impressed senior players with his ability, to the point that some feel he was already among the club’s best technicians.

Unsurprisingly for someone his age, Gabriel can be eased off the ball by opponents much more physically developed than him, but given his inherent skill, his career trajectory is seen by many in the game as one day placing him among the very best in the world.

He became the youngest player to feature for United in the FA Youth Cup, and score, when he played at Old Trafford last December, and across that campaign into this one has 31 goals and six assists in 34 games at youth level, though he’s often been playing against bigger boys.

Would there be a first-team pathway if he stays at United?

United have a proud history of promoting young players into the first team. Their legendary manager Sir Matt Busby famously said “If you’re good enough, you’re old enough”, while the Class of ’92 famously went on to be a core part of the club’s successes for more than a decade.

Gabriel appeared to be positioned to be the next off a long and storied production line.

An appearance against Brighton last night, for example, would have made him the youngest senior player in United’s history, and the opportunities would have been expected to keep coming after that.

But his level of involvement in the senior side’s pre-season this summer had spread some scepticism around his chances.

He got eight minutes in the August 1 friendly against Atletico Madrid, being sent on to play in the middle of the pitch rather than out wide, up against 31-year-old, 99-cap Uruguay international Jose Maria Jimenez, but had no involvement in the remaining three matches. New signing Tynan Thompson, 18, was given 45 minutes on the left wing, thought to be Gabriel’s preferred position, against Leeds United in Dublin on August 12. Gabriel was an unused substitute that night.

Then Gabriel was left out of United’s Champions League A-list squad, where the full 25-man complement was taken up. They did include midfielder Manuel Ugarte, who is rehabilitating a serious knee injury and is expected to be out until early 2027 at least, when clubs can change their listed players for the knockout phase.

Those on the B-list of homegrown players must be at least 16, meaning Gabriel was ineligible to feature against Sabah at Old Trafford last week. Had he made his debut in the Carabao Cup tie with Brighton, United planned to add him to the B-list so he would be available for their next Champions League game, away to Atletico, on October 13.

Last season, Arsenal named Max Dowman to their A list at age 15, enabling him to break records. In this way, Gabriel is thought to want a moment on the pitch that demonstrates United’s backing of him, rather than regular first-team minutes.

Given he was too young to play in the Premier League last season, the FA Cup third-round tie at home to Brighton in January presented a chance for Gabriel to be included in a senior squad for the first time, but caretaker manager Darren Fletcher, during his brief spell at the controls after the sacking of Ruben Amorim, opted for other players. Fletcher had a good relationship with Gabriel as he was his United under-18s head coach, reaching the finals of the FA Youth Cup and Premier League Cup and finishing second in their league.

Another Arsenal teenager, Ethan Nwaneri (now on loan to Borussia Dortmund for the rest of the season), was given his Premier League debut by Mikel Arteta in a game at Brentford in September 2022 when he was 15 — a clear indication from the club that a pathway existed for him. Nwaneri, now 19, subsequently signed a new contract.

Over the past year, United have set up meetings with then head coach Amorim, while Gabriel also spoke with the club’s former manager Sir Alex Ferguson. He has been coached by Carrick and given a first-team squad number — No 77. United feel they have done all they can to show Gabriel and his camp how highly they value him.

He aspires to the highest honours and accolades, however, and there are questions around whether he can truly fulfil those ambitions if he stays at United.

Is there Premier League interest in him?

Manchester City felt they were set to sign Gabriel last summer, before United’s director of football Jason Wilcox and director of negotiations Matt Hargreaves intervened.

Any approach by City is doubtful now, and the same goes for Chelsea. A transfer to another Premier League side would be very complicated due to the regulations in place and the time Gabriel might have to wait to complete the move.

So what happens next?

Meetings are currently taking place at United to work out how to handle this matter.

The club were preparing to offer Gabriel a scholar contract on his 16th birthday next month, including a commitment to sign him on professional terms when he turns 17. United feel they would not be beaten by anyone in terms of a financial commitment to the player.

But Gabriel’s intentions seem clear, so in that sense United must play a waiting game.

They are due to formally respond to the de-registration letter by Friday.