Rankings RISERS & FALLERS! Are Home Runs Down in Baseball!? | Fantasy Baseball Advice

Rankings RISERS & FALLERS! Are Home Runs Down in Baseball!? | Fantasy Baseball Advice

Michael King how could you do this to us welcome into fantasy baseball today on Thursday May 16th I am Frank stanel joined by Scott White and today on the show we have rankings risers and fallers the Brewers offense went off lots of interesting waiver names and much more let’s jump in get up get out of here gone we will get to the Brewers offense in just a bit five home runs they clobbered Martin Perez but none those are the players of the day Scott we’re going in a different direction sticking in the NL Central who you got yes yes I’m I’m going with a somebody who pitched well from the NL Central and that is Javier Assad shut down the Braves lineup over six Innings uh struck out seven walked one only had six whiffs six swinging strikes on 86 pitches but that’s kind of been the norm for him he has a a swinging strike rate of only about 6.5 bottom of the barrel stuff there for Javier Assad and yet with this performance at Atlanta he now has a 149 erra on the year it’s I I keep waiting for the regression to come and instead he just keeps delivering good results despite giving up a lot of contact and I will point out it’s it’s not like he excels in in terms of getting weak contact it’s not like that’s the trick he’s pulling here he’s you know kind of middle of the road and in terms of average EXs of velocity he also tends to allow a lot of fly balls um so when you’re not missing bats you’re giving up decent contact in the air uh you you would expect that’s a recipe for failure and and for some trouble with the ra and not a 149 ra this deep into the season so is it all just good luck is it going to come crashing down here for Javier Assad well I’m still not inclined to rank him especially high but I think he is emblematic of what’s going on across the league yes League Trends we haven’t had this conversation much um but you may have heard Rumblings elsewhere about how the ball isn’t carrying very well and certainly seems to be true now obviously we we we talk about the juice ball era sometimes that was roughly 2016 through 2021 and then came the 2022 season two years ago where uh home runs became much harder to hit we we were talking we were referring to the dead ball that year the deadened baseball um for for a few different re we had a few different reasons for it MLB tightening up its it’s uh its parameters for how how a ball could be the characteristics on a ball the the specs for how balls are manufactured and also the humidors being introduced to all the ballparks and it just seemed like we were going to enter a year an era of suppressed offense that was in 2022 then 2023 it all seemed kind of Fine Again in terms of home runs so we we were we were dismissing it as a one-year blip that 2022 season well in that 2022 season the league home run to flyball rate was 11.4% so that’s the you know the percentage of of fly balls that turned into home runs 11.4% in the 2022 season the Bad season last year it was up over 12% and that was pretty close to what we seen before 2022 this year so yeah again 11.4% in 2022 this year so far 10.8% fly balls are for for really as long as anybody playing fantasy can remember are turning into home runs less now is that going to be something that sustains over the full season I have my doubts there were April is always the worst month for out offense in general and home runs and all of that and as the weather heats up uh especially with the effect of of humidors being Universal now uh it seemed like it Amplified that effect in 2022 where as the weather heated up we saw home runs increase and I think that’ll happen this year to what extent uh I I can’t really say for sure I mean will this end up being a worse home run year than even 2022 was it may be certainly it’s trending that way so far and if if that’s the case then a pitcher like Javier Assad who doesn’t miss a lot of bats and gives up a fly a lot of fly balls could remain a useful fantasy option all season long I’m not willing to bet that he will but I’m open to the idea that he will and in fact a lot of the pitchers that I’ve talked about to this point I I’ve I’ve referred to it is oh he’s had good home run luck so far he’s only allowed two home runs or whatever it is there’s a few pitcher in in the notes today who I’m inclined to say that about maybe it’s not just good home run luck maybe it’s just the league isn’t conducive to allowing home runs at a rate we’re used to right now and specifically for Javier Assad I know you just kind of threw the number out there but he has only allowed two home runs this season with a 3.8% home run to flyball ratio last year that was 12.3% for Javier Assad did want to point out that uh with the exception of his cutter I looked into all of his pitches just to see if he’s doing anything differently not really but he is getting great results on balls in play so far this season Javier Assad is with the exception of that cutter so I did want to point out he’s not getting whiffs but you know he’s doing something right with these pitches and so far he’s allowed two earn runs or less in all nine of his starts Javier Assad down to a 149 ER and a 103 Whip and uh we will include him in our waiver wire discussion later on you know in some shallower leagues he could be out there in like 10 10 Team league something like that 78% rostered is Javier Assad might be in line for two starts next week but again we will get to that again a little bit later on my player of the night for all the wrong reasons Scott Michael King all you can do is laugh all you can do is laugh Scott because if not you might go crazy trying to figure out might cry what do you do with Michael King when do I start this guy when do I bench this guy no Rhyme or Reason no one has any idea what’s going on last week he threw seven shutout Innings with 11 strikeouts against the Dodgers and he did that on almost everybody’s bench this week he gets the Rockies in San Diego great matchup and he gets knocked around he allowed six earned runs over five in the third Innings he gave up eight hits still had seven uh strikeouts 13 swinging strikes in this one for Michael King you know the crazy part Scott under the hood in this specific start it was actually pretty good he didn’t give up much hard contact only three hard hits allowed he had those 13 swinging strikes you know he allowed a homer but he had a 438 B up against so I think he was a little bit unlucky in this start but this has kind of just pinned the problem all season with Michael King it’s a 431 ra it’s a 136 whip the Home Run rate is very high the walks are very high as well so far this season he’s still 91% rostered he’s 74% started and he might be a two star pitcher next week at home against the Yankees Revenge game and in Cincinatti where obviously the ball flies quite well what do we do with Michael King next week uh probably just start him in points leagues and sit him everywhere else I think he risks doing too much harm to your erra and whip and categories leagues d the damage there potentially with two starts I don’t know I’m I’m I’m at a loss here I was pretty much writing off Michael King prior to that awesome start against the Dodgers and well I wasn’t totally back on board after that I was I was thinking okay maybe I maybe I was too quick to write him off and in fact in the one League where I have him I started him for this Rocky start of course um same in that Dodger start the the main thing I noticed that was different was the movement on all of his pitches was up two to three inches and so I I don’t know I mean maybe that was just a one-off he happened to have a great field he talked after the game about how his mechanics he felt like they were in a good place finally and uh he gave some reasons why it could be that the movement of his pitches was up a and then he comes back with this start and it seems pretty much back to normal so um in a year where n many pitchers are giving up home runs Michael King has given up the most home runs of any starting pitcher I know you say he gave up only one in this start but that it’s it’s it’s been it’s been a contributing factor to his struggles he’s given up a lot of home runs he’s walking a lot of batters there is a lot in his stat line that is just really ugly um to the point that it’s it’s kind of to his credit he only has a 431 ER and 136 whip but I don’t have a lot of trust in him right now I’d I’d say sell high but I I don’t I don’t know just you’re selling on name value basically and the fact that he dominated the Dodgers two years ago because I don’t think two last week two yeah his previous start yeah um yeah I I don’t think I you know in shallower leagues where you’re looking for a pitcher to pick up i’ i’ I’d be willing to drop King if if there was somebody interesting enough who did we talk about yesterday Rees Olsen yeah I dropped Michael King for ree Olsen would you do do it for Javier Assad if he was still out there how available is Assad I’m actually curious 78% so yeah I’m sure I have him ranked lower than King so probably not but in the shallow League where the consequences for that are low you know the consequences for giving up King aren’t that big of a deal because there are constantly new pitcher options emerging on the waiver wire I don’t I’m not gonna tell somebody they can’t I think they’re close enough in the rankings that I wouldn’t have a problem with it all right again that was Michael King who let us down in a big way I agree I in a categories League I know it’s a Revenge game against the Yankees next week Yad y two star pitcher but I don’t think I could RI uh risk the ratios the way that Michael King has pitched so far this season want to give an honorable mention to that Brewers offense they blasted five home runs as a team William contras went three for five with his sixth home run he added four RBI this statline Scott is unbelievable for a catcher he is batting 359 with six homers 39 runs scored 34 RBI three steals a 987 Ops William contas entered Wednesday as the ninth overall player in rodo according to the CBS you know scoring system algorithm whatever you want to call it it doesn’t M like top 10 player right now as a catcher it’s William Contreras has been amazing uh Jackson Trio one day after we throw him on the dropo meter a much needed two for four with his fifth home run it was a monster Homer 107.8 exit velocity 441 ft uh Slugger that’s right Slugger South Frick three for four with his second home run in as many days he is now betting 257 you know maybe he’s tweaked something figured something out a little bit could tap into the power a little bit more that’s what we’ve seen the past couple days from South Relic uh two names that could be out there in deeper leagues K you tell me if you have any interest in either one of these Joey Ortiz went one for two with two walks in his fourth home run he has started six of the past seven games he’s batting 277 with an 895 Ops he’s walking a ton uh for walk rate for Joey Ortiz he profiles at someone that would play well in like a deeper OBP League I I just don’t know how likely those are or how many people actually playing those uh and then Gary Sanchez went two for five with his sixth home run he is batting 243 with an 844 Ops has started six of the past 10 games and this is another one deeper two catcher leagues uh but any interest in a joey Ortiz or a Gary Sanchez what they’re doing right now well I think I I think more so Ortiz if you’re in the kind of League where Sanchez is a value then you you probably know it it’s probably a deep two catcher league and that’s if he if he’s worth picking up it’s pretty clear he’s the best that’s available in Ortiz’s case though I think we are maybe about to see his fantasy value Skyrocket actually if he gets in the lineup more consistently because that has been my biggest objection to him all along is that it doesn’t seem like the Brewers are playing him all that regularly well they’ve started to play him a little more regularly in fact he started eight of their last 10 games the slash line is 277 384 511 think everybody would like that you point out the walk rate the strikeout rate is very good too um his max exit velocity which I think is a better indicator of of power potential than average exit velocity uh Joey ort is Max exit velocity 84th percentile the average is a little on the low side but like he’s capable of hitting the ball very hard his pull rate is good too which would set him up for good power production the problem is Joey Ortiz has a ground ball rate over 50% which is not so good but that is like the one knock on his whole batted ball profile it’s just he’s putting the ball on the ground too much and you know a hitter can be pretty good in spite of that and also that could improve with more regular opportunities especially so there’s a lot to like here for Joey Ortiz good Sprint speed I think it’s 71st percenti he has only one stolen base so far but I think if he was playing more consistently there would be the potential for him to steal some bags too dual eligible second and third base I think on some sites he might be shortstop eligible too so if if Joey or he’s is trending toward being an everyday player for the Brewers then I think he’s trending toward being certainly a roto League pickup and maybe he has the upside to contribute beyond that too who was the poor soul on the other side of this the pitcher who started for the Pirates Martin Perez he allowed nine earned runs over five innings he gave up all five of the home runs in this outing 38% rostered I think we we had our fun with Martin Perez but ah even if you have in a deeper League I think you could probably find somebody with more upside than a Martin Perez quick reminder to sign up for the fantasy baseball today newsletter if you haven’t already you can do so at cbssports.com newsletters if you’re watching on YouTube you scan that QR code that will take you right to the website you click on the fbt logo punch in your email address it’s easy as that it’s free it gets delivered to your inbox every single day well every single weekday let’s take our first break when we return the news and notes right after after this the PBR World Finals continue Saturday on CBS Sports [Music] Network welcome back in and let’s talk news and notes grick Cole threw approximately 36 pitches in a bullpen on Tuesday and uh he set 89 miles per hour with his fast ball which might sound bad it’s nowhere near where he normally pitches uh but pitchers usually throw with less velocity early on in their ramp up so hopefully he continues to build and it sounds like if all goes well maybe about a month from now we could see G Cole in the middle of June Trey Turner went through agility drills and fielded grounders on Wednesday he’s less than two weeks removed from that hamstring hamstring injury uh so perhaps he’ll be able to beat the initial six week timeline again that was Trey Turner Austin Riley has now missed three straight with left side inflammation Joe musk threw a light Bullpen on Monday his first time since going uh on the I with right elbow inflammation I did see a follow-up report that he’s trying to return this weekend so if Joe Musgrove bounces back well and the arm is all right then we could see him as soon as Sunday uh Josh Young played catch on the field Wednesday his first baseball activity since he had wrist surgery back on April 2nd Max Sherer was transferred to the 60-day iil he’s been dealing with a thumb injury that will now keep him out until June at the earliest Nick Lolo was randomly placed in the with a left groin strain the hope is he’ll only require the minimum 15 days Lane Thomas ran the bases on Wednesday his first time doing so since being diagnosed with a grade two MCL sprain in his left knee Nico Herer has missed two straight with left hamstring tightness Ronald Blanco will not appeal his 10 game suspension which began here on Wednesday Ronaldo Lopez who left his last start with back tightness has been cleared to pitch this Sunday against the Padres the Orioles shook up their uh lineup against Lefty us Kikuchi on Wednesday Jordan Westberg was moved up to leadoff and gunar Henderson was batting cleanup Westberg responded by going two for five with his seventh Home Run gunar Henderson 0 for three and has struggled quite a bit here in May JP Crawford is likely to rejoin the Mariners this weekend in Baltimore uh manager Kevin cash said Brandon La will rejoin the team in Tampa uh and will resume swinging the bat before heading out on a rehab assignment he recently dealt with renewed soreness in his right oblique DJ lahu is expect but he’s he he did see a specialist about that renewed soreness and he was cleared to continue like it it still it seems like it’s on the right track was the specialist conclusion and he didn’t shut him down from rehabing further so it sounds like it’s sounds like Brandon laau is in the clear though I’d rather him not be feeling any soreness in there at all DJ lahu is expected to resume his rehab assignment on Thursday or Friday he’s missed the entire season with a right foot injury Scott are you looking to stash DJ lahu at all he’s 22% rostered I get a 15 team Roto League I could see it at the time he went down he was in line to be the Yankees lead off hitter batting ahead of Juan SoDo and Aaron judge so that alone you would think would give him some value I don’t know if he’s gonna displace Anthony vulpi in that leadoff spot now I I would I would guess not but it is it is something that we at least have to consider uh Tyler Mill will return to the Mets rotation either on Sunday in Miami or Monday in Cleveland Jose BAU did indeed get the boot o from the rotation and was optioned back to Triple A Alex Wood was placed on the ilil with left rotator cuff to denitis and a prospect update Junior cero we’re all waiting for made his first start of the Season at second base at Triple A on Tuesday a position he has not played since 2022 Scott what do you make of this is it just the Rays trying to enhance position flexibility for junior cero or do you think maybe he’s been so bad a third that they’re just trying to find somewhere where Camero can just be serviceable because at this point it kind of feels like defense is the reason why he hasn’t been called up yet it’s clearly not the bat in my opinion I I think the reason he hasn’t been called up is because they haven’t had an opening for him uh let me look at some of the defensive numbers for him in the miners because I haven’t had heard any reports of bad defense I saw an article from Mark J topkin Who covers the team it was more I couldn’t read it it was whatever it was like behind a pay wall or whatever but the main point or like the headline was that cero has been struggling on defense and blah blah blah okay yeah I mean his fielding percentages low that’s that’s the only thing I’m able to to look up but that’s that’s not good you don’t want your third basem committing errors I think more it’s just the Ray’s way of always trying to get maximum versatility out of every player and and obviously if if Camero shows he can handle second base then that’s one another potential opening for him I still don’t see it happening imminently because Brandon Lao is about to come back to play second base and Jonathan Ronda just got activated he started at second base so yes clearly junior konero is blocked at the corners with isach Peres and yand yandi Perez but he’s he’s blocked at second base pretty thoroughly too especially now now that everybody’s getting healthy so I don’t know what it’s going to take I mean if ESO Petes were to get hurt tomorrow God forbid then I imagine we’ll see Petes getting I mean then I imagine we’ll see commero get called up it it’s always one potential Avenue is just an injury to the right player but I see that as kono’s only Avenue right now and one last dat that I just saw uh Jeffrey Springs is beginning a rehab assignment in the Florida complex league on uh May 20th so yeah that’s coming up uh at the start of next week kind of feel soon I know I know he had Tommy John actually I can’t confirm that was it Tommy John or or the other I know he had elbow surgery I just don’t know if it was actually Tommy John or or the other one yeah I think I think it was Tommy John that seems kind of soon though uh because he had it in April of last year I mean typically it’s like 12 to 14 months until we see guys you know back in in Major League action so uh it’s a little surprising but getting a rehab assignment when May 20th so like in four days you would think he’d rehab for at least a month probably at least he’s gotta go through a whole ramp up the max is what 30 days right I think you could do a rehab assignment for yeah are you looking at stash Jeffrey Springs he was awesome last year before he got hurt uh sure I I Pro I just came out with il stash rankings on Tuesday I probably should have had him higher because I mean late June that’s you know only a couple weeks Beyond when we’re expecting Garett Cole and Max sherzer now it’s possible Springs could get pushed back as those two have but the the timelines are are beginning to sink up more or less all right again that is Jeffree Springs let’s get into some of the waiver wire pitchers and we had a pitchers duel between Andrew Abbott and Brandon F here on Wednesday Abbott uh was at the Dbacks seven Innings one run four strikeouts had 11 swinging strikes in this one he’s allowed two earned runs or less in eight of nine starts but not really completing six Innings all that often so in Leagues with quality starts uh look Andrew Abbott he’s got a 306 a 114 whip the underlying numbers are not buying it but I will point out out expected ER according to statcast really likes Andrew Abbott and he’s a flyball pitcher so maybe it goes back to what you were saying Scott about fly balls this year are just not going over the fence as often as they normally are yep yep I I mean his expected ER is below three yeah so um and and the flyball rat’s very high the strikeout rat’s very low there’s he Andrew Abbott looks like a pitcher I wouldn’t like at all and yet the stack cast readings do like him now it could change very quickly and and I I want to bring up this point sometimes people laugh when I make this point I guess because I I don’t know just the the the unpredictability of it they find disconcerting but it is absolutely true that the range of outcomes allowed for a ball specifications in terms of seam height and weight and all of that it’s a it’s fairly wide that range of what’s allowed and all those balls are stitched by hand so there is going to be a lot of variation within different batches of balls and a new batch of balls could enter the like maybe maybe they’ve just been a lot of loosely wound balls relatively speaking so far and that’s why home runs aren’t carrying why bad why fly balls aren’t carrying as well if we get a more tightly wound batch of balls introduced throughout the league then the ball could start carrying a lot better and suddenly your investment in Andrew Abbot isn’t paying off as nicely anymore so it’s I hate that it is that way but it is legitimately that way and unless MLB is gonna crack down harder in in in how the the and what the what specs for a ball are allowed or unless they’re going to stop having them stitch by hand I don’t know what the alternative is but they are all Stitch by hand so you have to imagine there’s a great deal of variability that comes with that on the other side of Andrew Abbott was Brandon fought who allowed just one run over seven Innings he had nine strikeouts uh just eight swinging strikes on 93 pitches uh I noticed that he has turned in four straight quality starts and that the home run rate is down considerably this year I mean last year it was a huge problem for Brandon fought over two home runs per nine this year he is right exactly at one home run per nine doing a better job limiting hard contact and barrels a 417 ra doesn’t look great but it’s a 336 FIP and a 358 x FIP with great control so under the hood Scott I kind of like what we’re seeing from Brandon F right now who would you rather have between these two fought or Andrew Abbot they’re kind of in the same class for me and that you know I I like bat misss Brandon fock got nine strikeouts in this but he had only eight swinging strikes that is weird you don’t see that a lot that that is like stuff Mitch Keller does and nobody else basically and a lot of people doubt Mitch Keller can continue to do that sort of thing have more strikeouts than swinging strikes so I don’t I don’t have a lot of confidence in Brandon F being another exception in that way um I think mostly he dominated because the Red’s lineup is is struggling that much I I think think he could be a useful streamer type but I I think there are going to be some really bad starts for fat for fought and with the exception of this one the good starts aren’t going to be quite good enough to make up for them we’ll point out that brandan F’s X ER was a 337 entering the start 11% swinging strike rate is fine that’s obviously going to go down a little bit after this one I’m a little bit more hopeful uh and between those two I would take Brandon fought ahead of Andrew Abbott other way I would too yeah guess I didn’t actually answer the question but I think they’re both like right around a 100 than my starting pitcher ranking so not must roster by any stretch I had Brandon fought at 75 and he is part of a pretty interesting group here from 71 through 76 John Gray Rees Olen Taj Bradley Zack latel Brandon fought and Eric fetty really yeah I have all those others ranked in that same range but not fought M all right uh well some other waver wire pitchers just check to see if they’re out there in shallower leagues I realize they probably aren’t but this gives us a reason to talk about them uh Brian woo 77% rostered he pitched well against Kansas City five in the third Innings one run five strikeouts had 13 swinging strikes on 79 pitches he’s doing a lot of what he did last year he was relying heavily on a four seam and a sinker like many of the other um Mariners pitchers do as well but so far so good for Brian woo Assuming he’s healthy Taj Bradley was solid at the Red Sox five innings two runs six strikeouts 12 swinging strikes on 83 pitches I noticed that the velocity that was way up in his first start the fast ball not up as much it was uh 95.3 miles per hour in this one it was 97 in his first outing and Taj Bradley might be a two star pitcher next week against the Red Sox and the Royals uh we spoke about Javier Assad a little bit earlier Scott how would you rank those three Brian woo Taj Bradley Javier Assad woo Bradley Assad uh I want to point out for Bradley that yes the velocities weren’t up like they were in his first start when I think maybe he had a lot of adrenaline going but specifically on the cutter and what was it the cutter and the splitter for Taj br Bradley they were both still up one mile per hour for last year it was closer to two in that first start but it was still up one and looking at the velocities he was reaching in the minors that cutter especially was up from last year so it it does seem like he’s throwing a harder cutter this year and maybe that’s going to help him take a step forward here in year two still pretty high on him in terms of upside TSH Bradley and that’s why I prefer him to Assad though Assad keeps making me look dumb for the opinions I express about him I was gonna mention with Assad every year there are a few pitchers that just defy what the underlying numbers say and the analytics and there look we’re going to be wrong about things Javier Assad might just be one of those pitchers that we are just uh consistently wrong about this year because he’s he’s doing a great job with um balls and play uh but I refer again to the the cautionary tale of Bryce Elder last year where he kept it going for three months into July he still had an erra in the low twos and he made the All-Star team and there were articles coming out about oh how he’s just his Sinker is just so extra special and that’s why he’s able to dominate like he is and then he crat thereafter so he faked us out for half a season just long enough for me to buy into it and made me look like a fool on both ends you know for first for denying him for so long and then for embracing him at exactly the wrong time and I just I’m I’m just I don’t want to fall into that same trap here with Javier Assad not that you can’t use them in the meantime just don’t just don’t get too comfortable that’s all I’m saying this next group of waiver wire waiver wire pitchers Casey M turned in a quality start against the Marlins uh six Innings two runs six strikeouts for him his velocity was down quite a bit in this start between one and a half and two miles per hour on basically all of his pitches but Casey M has allowed two earned runs or less in six of his past seven starts getting ground balls he’s doing something right uh Robert Gasser pitched well in his second start this one was against the Pirates five innings one run two strikeouts had eight swinging strikes on 82 pitches and I noticed that he threw he threw a cutter in this start Robert Gasser 17% yep he did not use it in his first start so just kind of interesting showing us a little bit of a different look there Alec Marsh pitched well at the Mariners five innings two runs one of those earned seven strikeouts 16 swinging strikes got nine of those on his fast ball which does have a surprisingly High whiff rate for a it’s not like an overpowering fast ball but it’s doing a great job and Griffin canning has now turned in three solid starts in a row he was up against the Cardinals six Innings one run five strikeouts in this one Scott how would you rank this group canning Marsh Gasser and Casey M I don’t like any of them that much I I guess Gasser would be number one just because I’m I’m not really sure who he is yet but there haven’t been a lot of whiffs through the first two starts the the cutter usage that you referred to came most ly at the expense of his sweeper he he went from throwing that sweeper 46% of the time in his first start to uh I think it was around 25 so the usage cut down on the usage and it’s it’s quite a bit and it’s not like it’s not like Robert Gasser actually throws gas and has a great fast ball so I think he’s going to have to like the path to success for him is heavy use of the secondaries and um I don’t really like the way it trended in this second start and I’m saying he’s my favorite of the group Alec Marsh i’ I’ve been kind of intrigued by Alec Marsh in part because I know he had some big whiff games last year and this was a big whiff game for him here Wednesday at Seattle but you know if you just look at the full season numbers for Alec Marsh of course the ra is good but he entered this start with 6.8k per nine a 10o six% swinging strike rate which isn’t very good uh he’s another example Alec Marsh sort of like Javier Assad how does he have such a low erra oh he’s allowed only two home runs likely is that to continue uh oh yeah it’s time Rob Scott for robo Scott I was just thinking like we made it we we’ve we’ve made it so far without uh Robos Scot making an appearance but I think they’ve pushed it back to it was 105 now it’s 1:30 that’s when things kind of yeah I told them you know 10:05 a. is a problem they’re like okay we’ll just delay it half an hour it’ll be fine they should be done podcasting by then nope ah yeah Alec Marsh to what extent do you think he can keep preventing home runs I I think it’s just a a sample small sample early season fluke but maybe the league Trends if they continue uh then Alec Marsh can continue to defy expectations in that way it’s just what’s your leaning as far as that goes my leaning is more normalization across the league and for Alec Marsh especially so I’m G to remain skeptical of him like I am skeptical of Javier Assad all right and then we have two names in deeper leagues Trevor Rogers pitched well at the Tigers he threw five shutout with 11 strikeouts and Austin gomber who is still on the Rockies if you remember is uh lowkey pitching well he’s got a 302 ER he’s got a 118 whip he was at the Padres he threw six shutout Innings with five strikeouts deep League stuff’s got any interest here in Trevor Rogers or Austin gomber not really I mean Trevor Rogers have been so awful Austin gomber has had stretches like this before but seems to come crashing down every time any pitches for the Rockies anyway they’ve had one good fantasy pitcher ever at least as far as at least by my standard if what makes a good fantasy pitcher they’ve had one good fantasy pitcher ever ubal Jimenez that’s it and so you oh man he’s back one 30 my goodness you start making faces and I know even before Robo Scott appears Robo Scott Robo Scott the only way like I’m glad there’s a bit now because that’s the only way to make this tolerable I know um yeah Rocky’s pitch stink the end yep that’s the end let’s take our final break and when we return hopefully Scott’s connection is better we’ll talk waiver wire hitters and rankings risers and fallers we’ll do that right after this we need your sports news anywhere we’ve got breaking news to bring you then get your sports anytime you want them big trade news overnight to discuss because we know you need Sports all the time a lot of movement in the rankings this week a legend adds to their legacy we’re bringing you that breaking news right here on HQ CBS Sports HQ anywhere anytime all the time welcome back in let’s talk waiver wire hitters and this is your last reminder to add JD Martinez while you still can two for five with his second home run his last seven games he’s betting 321 with both of his homers he’s hitting the ball hard he’s barreling it up and obviously we know how good JD Martinez can be he’s still only 57% rostered on CBS Scott here is a different question uh and maybe you want to pull up your Outfield rankings so you can have a reference point but some have asked in leagues where JD Martinez still has Outfield eligibility where would he rank in our Outfield rankings and for me I I think it would be in the 40 to 45 range which uh is currently Colton cower Wyatt Langford jerks and profar Alex Verdugo and Andy pz so I think right around profar and Verdugo in a points league is where I would have JD Martin oh in a points League yeah why why are we specifying points League I that’s just what I pulled up first in a categories League I I think it would yeah it would still be the same so I proar Adele and Brian De Cruz as 43 44 and 45 in Roto categories and I think I would have JD Martinez like right around profar probably so I think our ranges are a little different okay uh I think I have some of those players higher than you some a little lower which makes sense because we’re that range of the Outfield rankings it just feels like nobody’s good and you’re just kind of you’re just kind of guessing who’s gonna take a step forward yeah I thought you were reacting because my internet was messing up again no no no I would that was like a disgusted G like ranking outfielders there stinks yeah there’s a lot of things that stink um I think I could get him in the top 35 Frank JD Martinez it’s an outfielder because like yeah it’s not crazy I actually think he’s going to be good little worried about the strikeouts but he’s JD Martinez yeah no I totally get that so uh there you go another reminder to add JD Martinez while you still can uh this or that I’ve got a couple of players here would you rather have this player or that player and first up Willie arbu making some noise again one for four with his fourth home run he has homered twice in the past five games he’s 62% rostered could be out there in some shallower formats Brenton Doyle one for four with his fifth home run he also has eight Steals on the season and uh Doyle is 57% rostered Scott I know you haven’t done your uh your hitter team rankings yet for next week I think the Rockies are going to be up there because they have three games at Oakland against their pitchers and then they have three games at home next week so sounds pretty good for the Rockies who would you rather have willier Bru or Brenton Doyle you’re you’re talking about forever more that you’re not talking about for next week right like sure you’re you’re saying saying we’re we’re marrying this guy um I’d rather have a Bru in points and you know what I’d rather have a Bru either way I I I wish he was starting more regularly but I think he’s good and I think he’s going to force the issue there with the playing time eventually this or that would you rather have H Mike talkman who went two for five with his fourth home run he has started 25 straight games for the Cubs or Jordan Beck who just had his first the first huge game of his career he went three for four with his first career home run he added a double and five RBI has a modest five game hitting streak he also has a 39% strikeout rate yeah in five outfi leagues SC who would you rather have Mike talkman or Jordan Beck if I have to start him right now talkman because I don’t have any faith in what Beck’s going to do tomorrow I’m glad he finally had a good game hopefully there are many more to come if it’s if it’s to just have on your bench I I I’ll take the upside of of Beck because I don’t think there is much upside for talkman I like that he’s hitting lead off most of the time for the Cubs maybe he can be a run scoring specialist because he’s always had good on base skills but the power production’s gonna be little doesn’t steal bases batting average might be a light benefit there but not much so I think there’s really limited potential there for talkman all right Zack Netto is quietly just doing his thing last 22 games batting 329 with four home runs two steals lots of line drives and barrels during this recent stretch for Zack Netto Scott we spoke about Joey Ortiz up top doing some interesting things who you rather speculate on as a middle infielder right now Zack Netto or or Joey Ortiz I have have have been the low guy on Zack Netto all along and I just see a lot more to get excited about in Joey Ortiz’s profile I understand he is not an everyday player quite well Netto is but I still think I’d rather have Ortiz in deeper leagues I’ve got five names here do any of them matter Andrew MCC is picking things up three for four with his fifth home run over his last five games he has eight hits two homers six runs scored Cory Lee continues to hit for the white socks three for three with an RBI and his second stolen base he has started four of the past six games Luke rley is picking things up for the Mariners he went two for four with the RBI and his third stolen base and so far in 11 games in the month of May Luke Ry batting 375 three homers two Steals and 1132 Ops my man Willie Calhoun all he does is hit three for four with two doubles two runs and an RBI and I I don’t think this one matters what year is it Kevin polar is just doing things I don’t know how he’s doing this or why he’s doing this but two for three with his fourth stolen base he’s played 27 games with the angels Kevin polar is betting 328 with four homers four seals and an Ops over a thousand do with that what you will Scott do any of these names matter in deeper leagues polar Calhoun rayy Cory Lee and Andrew McCutchen well how deep of a league are we talking aln all only of course they all matter uh but anything shallower than that I’m not especially motivated to to make a play for them I think the most interesting would be Corey Lee for those two catcher leagues I think he’s performed well enough that he belongs in the two catcher conversation he’s batting over 300 and with a much improved strikeout rate from the Cory Lee we’ve seen in the past it’s around 20% versus 29% last year um would you rather have Cory Lee or Gary Sanchez I’d rather have Cory Lee okay yeah anything else I I didn’t I might have cut you off there no no I think yeah I don’t I don’t I don’t think they’re going to improve any of these other players are going to improve their standing much just because they’re producing on some level now I mean they’re always gonna produce on some level right uh we’ll just quickly show everybody This Magnificent piece of memorabilia that I have if you’re watching on YouTube this is a Willie Calhoun Game of Thrones Edition bobblehead calhon Drogo that’s what it says there on the bottom uh he’s dressed up like a doth racky just in case you uh you thought I wasn’t a true Willie Calhoun fan one of my buddies got that for my birthday he just he knows I’m crazy and I it’s amazing it’s it’s awesome it is I I just finished a rewatch of Game of Thrones just this weekend actually was Willie coun in it Willie coun was not in it Noah card was in it but I guess that was always true um I wanted to say yeah I I forgot Willie Calhoun was one you mentioned here I I am actually pretty interested in what Willie Calhoun’s doing dhing every day for the Angels striking out like 11% of the time uh his expected batting average is like 320 he got a bunch of doubles good Fly ball rate wish he was pulling the ball more I’m not I’m not sure the home runs are going to be there the the biggest issue with Willie coun is that he’s DH only in most leagues and that’s a really hard fit particularly for a player who’s not like JD Martinez right but uh but I I I I think I think Willie Calhoun could turn into something potentially and in deeper leagues I might put in a put in a claim for him just in case he does all right let’s talk rankings risers and fallers got this a little bit later than I would like to so we might have to move uh quickly through this but Scott who are some of the rankings risers for you this week all right I’ve moved down Paul goldshmid again I think that’s the third time I’ve made reference to that in this segment this year I the latest move puts him behind Alec bow and ESO Petes at first base I think 15th is where he is now and I know he’s been kind of hot lately two home runs in his past five games but he also has 12 strikeouts during that time so I’m I’m not sure I’m not sure he’s really coming around I remain concerned about him more upside I would say than peret is and Bone but as we talked about yesterday getting close to dropping goldmit and shallower leagues uh I’ve moved yoan donon down a bit behind Ryan Hesley and Robert Suarez and Mason Miller actually because it looks like Rocko baldelli is doing this leverage thing and having Don work the eighth inning a bunch and it’s going to lead to fewer if it continues given Bal deli’s history it may well continue little concerned about that I like you I’m just giving you a bunch of ups and downs I’m not giving you all normally we divide the segment by risers and then fallers and I’m just kind of all over the place so I was I was gonna say I I threw it to you for risers and first you were fallers yeah we can’t we can’t we can’t spend the time breaking it up sorry ahead of Ronald dunia in points leagues is that a problem I think you’re back ah I moved mookie bets ahead of Ronald aunia in points leagues as you did Frank yes with aunia strikeout rate way up this year I may regret it but bets is so good for that format especially since he hardly ever strikes out uh let’s see what else we got here I moved Dylan CE into my top 10 at starting pitcher oh yeah oh yeah oh an ace among Aces Dylan ceas so that that puts him ahead of like uh I don’t know why I reacted so crazy I moved him up to 12 so we that puts him ahead of like Kevin gsman and uh who else is that it moves him ahead of George doesn’t move him ahead of George Kirby you have him just ahead of gallon Reagan’s Gosman there you go Dylan CE I moved Chris Sail into the top 15 at starting pitcher ahead of Freddy Peralta because it’s not like Freddy Peralta say is uh you know Mr durable himself I moved shoda imanaga into the top 20 just behind Max freed um Bryce Miller is up to 26 Ranger Suarez is up to 37 ahead of Tanner Hal and cutter Crawford Suarez actually has a better cap per nine rate than both of those guys W uh I’ve moved down Reed demmer’s out of the top 50 no surprise there Christian Javier I’ve moved down behind names like Zack latel ree Olsen John Gray raldo Lopez Seth Lugo Eric fetty Lou and confidence and Javier clearly not that you know some of those other guys obviously need to move up but Javier moving down and let’s see anyone else interesting here I moved Jason Dominguez up about 25 spots he’s now in the top 70 in the Outfield with him going on a rehab assignment probably got a month of rehab ahead of him but uh but he could be highly productive once he’s ready to go and I guess one more here Jake burger and Michael Bush both of them burger and Bush two guys I’ve been high on at times this year both of them falling in my rankings behind Ryan Mount Castle Nate low and Anthony Rizzo at first base yes uh I had a lot of the same moves I I moved Jake Berger down to um 22nd at at let’s see uh 20 21st at third base and 23rd at first base so outside of the top 20 at each position Michael Bush is down for me uh glaver Torres I moved outside of my top 10 at second base he is my 11th ranked second baseman now at this point a couple pitchers Walker bu I moved him down to uh sp58 it it’s kind of twofold it’s the fact that he hasn’t looked good so far and other pitchers have looked really good so I you know just a Confluence of events there with Walker ber uh Reed Demmer is outside of my top 60 starting pitchers he’s down to sp63 and I did move Craig Kimbrell down to my 20th ranked reliever just because his role is kind of in flux I I think if I thought he was completely out his closer he would I would just you know he probably wouldn’t be in my top 40 but the fact that I still have him 20th means I I I think he will regain this but because his you know things are in flux right now that’s why I moved the Kimbrell down uh to rp2 did want to mention some of the risers Bryson stot obviously I mean the guy is on fire right now he is inside of my top eight at second base in both formats in head to and in Roto so second base has been pretty weak so maybe I shouldn’t say wow but yeah I I have him one spot I moved Jordan Westberg up as well but STD is one spot ahead of him so I think you have start ahead of Westberg interesting because I moved Westberg into my top eight I think last week I believes stot ranks higher in both points and in Roto as of now so it’s just yeah because of this recent stretch he is stot has just been awesome recently Brent Rooker probably the biggest Riser of all he’s inside of my top 40 ranked outfielders now he’s up to yeah 36th in the Outfield rankings and it might just be a hot stretch but he is crushing the ball and his Zone contact is way up this year the expected stats are amazing for Brent Rooker so I as bad as that position has been he definitely is worthy of being ranked as a top 40 outfielder right now uh that is Brent Rooker jerks and profar continues to hit I moved him way up he’s uh outfielder 43 us Kikuchi who didn’t have his most efficient start here on Wednesday uh he was at the Orioles four in the third Innings one run had nine strikeouts it’s a 260 ra a 110 whip I have moved kuchi up to my 40th ranked starting pitcher on the season uh Seth Lugo inside of the top 60 start he’s at sp59 uh I have a new number one closer that is Emanuel Class A he’s the top rank closer for me now at this point yeah I’ve been tempted to do that too because my actual top two Edwin Diaz Josh hater have like yeah done very little so far um but I do I do think their talent level is what we know it to be and I’ve I’ve I’ve been doing this long enough to know that closers especially they can go on these runs where they get a bunch of saves in a short period of time and the rankings change very quickly and so I’m I’m I’m I’m keeping the faith on them they have very secure roles they still get a ton of strikeouts and I think in the long run they’re going to be more valuable than Emanuel Class A but uh it’s the longer this goes on the harder it is to say that yeah with me Class A is just we’ve seen him be the best closer in fantasy before and it seems like he’s recaptured formed so far this season and Edwin Diaz I mean I’m not worried because he’s still my second ranked closer but he hasn’t looked exactly the same coming back from that knee injury from last year so just the slightest bit of Doubt moves him down to number two behind Emanuel class and I wanted to point out Klay Holmes I’ve moved uh way up he is now my seventh ranked closer Mason Miller at six Klay holes at seven so didn’t think that’s how it would be here in the middle of May but I believe clay Holmes has not allowed single run uh single earned run so far this season and the Yankees are top five in save opportunities so there you go that gets Klay Holmes inside the top seven closers one thing for you say Kikuchi there real quick who is you know performing well and I think is going to be a must roster player moving forward but his home run per nine rate this year is7 his career home run per nine rate is 1 .6 and it was high last year too it was basically double last year what it is now so I I don’t think anything has changed for Kikuchi that would lead to him allowing fewer home runs except that it’s a different home run environment or at least it has been so far so something to watch out for him he may have some regression coming with the home runs or he may not the only thing I would add to that is kakuchi has a 44% ground ball rate this year so that is up uh compared to last season and his Barrel rate uh is was 6.7% entering Wednesday’s start and it was 9% last year so sure he’s doing a better job limiting barrels and and he’s getting a few more Crown balls so yeah yeah okay but that is you Kikuchi let’s move on and wrap up with the leftovers here from Wednesday’s action and we’ll start with the pitchers this first group includes framber Valdez turned in one of his best starts of the Season he was up against Oakland he threw seven shutout Innings with eight strikeouts and 13 swinging strikes he threw a few more curveballs a lot more change UPS in this start and it’s just been a weird year for Valdez so far spending some time on the Isle with left elbow inflammation fast ball velocity well Sinker for him Sinker vo not as high as it was last season uh but regardless it’s back back-to-back seven inning quality starts for Valdez Logan web back-to-back quality starts for him he was facing the Dodgers six shutout Innings three hits three walks five strikeouts only five swinging strikes once again for Logan web and he changed up his pitch mix in this start he led with the Sinker he uh obviously threw it more he threw more fouram fast balls and he faded his change up now that might scare people kind of scares me but I have a theory about Logan Webb in this start he has struggled against the Dodgers mightily in his career and he’s faced them a lot he’s going to continue to face them a lot I think he actively wanted to change his pitch mixup just to throw a different look at them that’s my working Theory here on Logan web against the Dodgers uh G crochet was solid against the Nationals he threw five shoutout Innings with six strikeouts in that one uh and Marcus strowman he was fine whatever blah blah blah six shut out Innings three walks two strikeouts anything to add Scott on strowman crochet Logan Webb and framber Valdez yeah gar crochet has been good lately obviously but he’s kind of doing a weird thing with this pitch selection too where three of his last four starts including this one the slider use has been way down uh and that’s his best swing and Miss pitch at least in in terms of percentages uh so I have noticed his swinging strike rate overall trending down in spite of the success it’s not a trend I like I’m not about to dismiss Garrett crochet over it or anything like that but it is is something to keep an eye on I I think I think in the long run we prefer to see him throw more sliders than he’s been throwing lately two quick follow-ups gar crochet is now the time to not just sell but sell High capitalize on his value coming off this four start stretch with the 123 ER and Marcus strowman is still 87% rostered he has 15 walks over his last four starts can you drop Marcus strowman yeah I think in shadower League strowman’s droppable he’s he’s been overrated in fantasy for a long time I feel like not that he’s useless but he’s just he’s just streamer level basically the Whip’s GNA be high and the innings are generally going to be low yeah he’s he’s pretty replaceable I would say strowman is especially in this pitching environment crochet is it a good time to trade him yeah maybe he’s one three straight starts that’s not going to happen often with the white socks so his his recent Point production if you’re in a points League looks good I have him outside of my top 40 rest of season so if you can trade him like he’s a top 25 pitcher I I don’t know if that’s realistic or not but it’s it’s worth looking into sure pitching leftovers part two Pablo Lopez turned in a quality start barely against the Yankees six in the third Innings 10 hits three runs only three strikeouts in that one and John Gray continues to pitch well this time against the Guardians six and a third shutout uh two walks three strikeouts 11 swinging strikes for John Gray allowed a lot of hard contact in this one didn’t seem like he had his best stuff and he still managed a great start I I think that gives you a little perspective into how well John Gray is really pitching right now and as soon as we talk about moving Charlie Morton up in the ranking Scott I moved him inside of my top 70 he has a rough start three Innings four runs allowed three walks the you know CP back up here anything to add on Morton gray and Pablo Lopez I I watched this Morton start and he wasn’t it like there was a lot of like weekly hit ground balls to nobody and I know the average ex velocity against him was low and so the inning the first inning especially just kind of unraveled on him I I don’t know that I I think it’s reason to I wouldn’t say it’s reason to abandon Charli Morton this start is it likely that he regresses to his the walk rates we’ve seen him from him the previous two years that made him a pretty middling at best fantasy option yeah I’d say that’s the most likely outcome but he’s still a good strikeout pitcher on a great offense so if there’s a chance that he can keep those walk that walk rate down then I think I think it’s worth uh you know I I think it’s worth keeping an open mind as far as that goes all right some hitting leftovers Bo bashet might be turning the corner his last six games he’s got 10 hits one Homer four RBI and one stolen base adley Rutman has found the power stroke recently he went two for four with his ninth home run it was a walk-off shot in the ninth inning he has four homers over his past three games and I noticed adley Rutman has been much more aggressive this season his swing rate is way up his Chase rate is way up uh it has affected his walk rate but has not affected his strikeouts so I I think adley Rutman is just trying to to swing for more power and and it’s working uh Bryce Harper looks to be all the way back after a bit of a slow start he went three for five with his 10th home run of the Season speaking of being back Aaron judge gosh he just needed the month to flip to May apparently four for four with his 11th home run and in 13 May games Aaron Judes is batting 378 with five home runs and a 1367 Ops adus Garcia is turning things back on he’s homered in back-to-back games and Taylor Ward quietly having a strong season two for four with his eighth home run and the expected numbers look great for Taylor Ward anything to add on some of these hitting leftovers Scott well I don’t know if I’m glitching at the moment oh yeah looks like it is for my end okay yeah sure are yeah Taylor Taylor Ward was slumping and so it’s nice to see a good game from him even the underlying numbers look great as you say but we’ve been down this road a few times before with Taylor Ward where we thought he was turning into this awesome mustar player and then he would come back back down to earth so uh his previous 24 games he had hit just 224 with a 636 Ops hopefully he’s coming out of it all right some Bullpen updates for the Blue Jays Jordan Romano got nth with a one-run lead he gave up a two-run homer to adley Rutman took his first blown save and first loss of the season for the Marlins Tanner Scott got the ninth with a two-run lead he allowed two hits but picked up his fifth save for the white socks Michael copc got the ninth with a two-run lead he walked two but picked up his fifth save Michael copc 34% rostered Scott how would you rank Trevor Mcgill copc and Jason Foley in a league with saves well cop’s definitely last he’s gotten three saves in in the last week so that’s good but it’s going to be really sporadic as the closer for the White Soxs and not even the for sure closer for the white socks kind of a at least Pedro Graal hasn’t declared him that um and he’s used him in the eighth inning at times so yeah copc definitely third between the other two Mill and and who is the other one Jason Jason Foley I’ll go Foley over Migel I think Mill’s better but you know you’re working with just a what TW month window with him and then Devin Williams should be back in closing obviously so for that reason I’ll take fley over Miguel all right for the Mariners Andres Munoz got the final five outs three via the strikeout for his seventh save for the Rays Pete Fairbanks got the eighth with a one-run lead facing four five and six in the Red Sox lineup he struck out two it was Kevin Kelly who got the ninth and he struck out two for his first save owning p fairb this year Scott has been a headache nothing short of a headache yeah and I’ll point out he’s still only hitting he’s still only averaging 97 on his fast ball which sounds very high but last year it was averaging more like 99 so I don’t know uh he’s still the reliever to own from the Rays but I don’t feel totally at ease with Pete Fairbanks for the Astros with Josh ha Ryan Presley and Brian Abu all unavailable it was Seth Martinez who pitched two scoreless innings for his first save and for the Giants Camilo Deval picked up his seventh save of the season to stream or not to stream on Thursday short slate not great and if I had to choose one I I would say Clark Schmidt at the twins I believe yesterday you said Cooper Criswell against the Rays yep and then on Friday let’s see anything interesting here Cole Irving against the Mariners could work out sure I don’t mind it and Kyle Gibson against Boston he’s he’s he’s been pitching well lately but that that can go downhill fast for Kyle Gibson if history is any indication if you’re chasing the matchups Kyle Hendricks against the Pirates or Ryan Nelson against the Tigers but there’s no way I’m starting Kyle Hendrick I don’t blame you uh yeah I don’t love Friday I mean Jake Irving has pitched well but he’s at the Phillies their lineup is a juggernaut right now yeah I think Cole Irv and Kyle Gibson are the only two I would consider if you’re forcing me to pick a third maybe Tyler Anderson just hoping that that magic he’s had continues but he’s at Texas so it’s it’s another dangerous one all right we’re gonna wrap there for Scott I am Frank thanks as always for tuning in to Fantasy Baseball today please make sure to follow and leave a f-star rating on Apple or Spotify and we will be back again tomorrow bye-bye

Frank Stampfl and Scott White recap Wednesday’s action and reveal our latest rankings risers and fallers in Fantasy Baseball!

0:00- Intro
0:40- Javier Assad
6:48- Michael King
11:36- Brewers blast five homers
16:43- News: Gerrit Cole update
24:25- Waiver wire pitchers
38:49- Waiver wire hitters
48:14- Rankings risers/fallers
57:43- Leftovers, bullpens, streamers

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ABOUT THE SHOW: It’s the most comprehensive Fantasy Baseball Podcast you’ll find. Frank Stampfl, Scott White and Chris Towers are dedicated to helping you win your league while keeping you entertained at the same time. Find out who to add, drop, start and sit while getting the best advice every day..
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