FanGraphs 2025 Playoff Odds are live — Giants given 28% playoff odds and 81-81 projected record
February 5, 2025
FanGraphs 2025 Playoff Odds are live — Giants given 28% playoff odds and 81-81 projected record
17 comments
Sounds about right. Mid team does mid things
Checks out. We gained at shortstop but projection think Ramos and Fitz will be about average (I think one will excel and the other will fail, personally) and outside of Webb we aren’t projected to have good starting pitching. 500 or a bit below seems about right
*sigh*
This is functionally the same projection as the Brewers and Padres, which I think will come as a surprise to a lot of people around here.
More than I expect
I’m optimistic. We are young and have potential to grow. I look at San Diego as old, stale, and looking to cut salary. We can overtake them this year and then it’s us vs Arizona for 2nd and a wild card spot.
I BELIEVE*
*subject to change
Hello .500 my old friend
.500!
Since they call hitting .200 or below the Mendoza Line, since most of Farhan’s tenure was at, or near, .500, 81-81 should be called the Farhan Line.
Ownership will be happy about breaking even.
I’m fine with whatever the result so long as we don’t trade away top prospects.
Thank god for the broadcast team, at least. lol
Sweet sweet mediocrity
Prior to the 2021 season the Giants were projected to win 74 games. Just a thought.
>Finally, our projections see the Giants as competent bordering on good. I was surprised to see them so close to San Diego in playoff odds, and if you’ll remember from up above, these BaseRuns-based odds don’t take framing into account. The Giants have the best receiver in baseball in Patrick Bailey, while the Padres alternate between two stone-handed options. I’m not surprised by the top or bottom of the NL West – but the middle three are all intriguing in their own right.
17 comments
Sounds about right. Mid team does mid things
Checks out. We gained at shortstop but projection think Ramos and Fitz will be about average (I think one will excel and the other will fail, personally) and outside of Webb we aren’t projected to have good starting pitching. 500 or a bit below seems about right
*sigh*
This is functionally the same projection as the Brewers and Padres, which I think will come as a surprise to a lot of people around here.
More than I expect
I’m optimistic. We are young and have potential to grow. I look at San Diego as old, stale, and looking to cut salary. We can overtake them this year and then it’s us vs Arizona for 2nd and a wild card spot.
I BELIEVE*
*subject to change
Hello .500 my old friend
.500!
Since they call hitting .200 or below the Mendoza Line, since most of Farhan’s tenure was at, or near, .500, 81-81 should be called the Farhan Line.
Ownership will be happy about breaking even.
I’m fine with whatever the result so long as we don’t trade away top prospects.
Thank god for the broadcast team, at least. lol
Sweet sweet mediocrity
Prior to the 2021 season the Giants were projected to win 74 games. Just a thought.
As is tradition
Ben Clemens talks about FanGraphs Playoff odds in [Six Takeaways From Our 2025 Playoff Odds Release](https://blogs.fangraphs.com/six-takeaways-from-our-2025-playoff-odds-release/). In regards to Giants:
>Finally, our projections see the Giants as competent bordering on good. I was surprised to see them so close to San Diego in playoff odds, and if you’ll remember from up above, these BaseRuns-based odds don’t take framing into account. The Giants have the best receiver in baseball in Patrick Bailey, while the Padres alternate between two stone-handed options. I’m not surprised by the top or bottom of the NL West – but the middle three are all intriguing in their own right.
So you’re saying we have a chance !?