Miami Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa 2025 Expectations!

Miami Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa 2025 Expectations!

Here we are. Talk about Tua. An entire video dedicated to Tua Tonga. Dedic to Yep. dated to my thoughts and opinions and premonition of Tula Tonga. Are you going to listen to this whole thing? Are you going to hear me out? Or are you just going to take bits and pieces of this and run with it? Let’s find out. [Music] What is up Finn fans? Yesterday we broke down the expectations for the team going into 2025. Now I am specifically honing in on Tua Tonga Valoa. What do I expect out of this man going into 2025? Now I have done this for the past however many years. I think I’ve done this for all the quarterbacks. And here’s my thing that makes me laugh. I say these things and I mention these things and and all of this and then people just ignore it. There’s people on the internet that want me to either say he sucks or he’s elite. That’s not how life works. It’s not black or white. It’s gray. The world is a big old gray blob floating through space. I don’t care that people think it’s blue marble. So people are going just listen to what I have to say. You know, back in 2024, I was talking about him. Actually, I think it was 2023. No, it was 2024. I was talking about his contract. I said, “You know what? Have him play on the fifth because I don’t know. He stayed healthy for one year. Cool. Whatever. I need to see him do it again. I need to see him get over that hurdle. That’s what I said. But people still get on me. People still hate me. People still to an ear and you’re two and on and two of this and two of that. All because I point out stupid arguments. Well, in this video or on this podcast, depending on how you’re seeing it or hearing it, if you want to listen, link is below. I’m going to go so far in depth on my thoughts of Tua Tongabaloa. so far in depth on my thoughts of what I expect from him in 2025. So far in depth of what I will or won’t do depending on how he plays that there can be no person who who sat here and listened to me talk and be confused by my thoughts on it. I’ve been saying that I’ve been saying my thoughts on this man for years and no one listens to not no one. I apologize. There’s a a loud major majority minority that doesn’t listen to me. Let’s see if they listen today. And if you don’t and you comment something, I’m just replying busted. Busted. You didn’t listen, you busted. Okay, so let’s go into this. We’re going to look at some stats. We’re going to look at some things about two and then, you know, we’ll go from there. So 2023 was his best year. He played all 17 games. fantastic. The man played 17 games. He led the NFL in passing yards. He uh 69.3 uh completion percentage, was number five in the NFL. Uh number fifth in in a passer rating, 101.1, fifth in touchdowns, 29. This is what you get if two plays the full year, right? You get a good quarterback. You get an above average quarterback. Now, I’m not saying he’s elite. Never on this channel once I say he’s elite. I say he has traits that are, but that doesn’t make you elite if you have elite traits. Picking up what I’m putting down. Last year, he played 11 games. Technically, he got knocked out of one of them, but he played like a good three quarters of it. 2,867 yards, which was 21st in the NFL. He still had a 72.9 completion percentage, which is number one in the NFL, but again, they weren’t really throwing the ball down the field. He was still ninth in the NFL in uh passer rating with a 101.4 and 19th with 19 touchdowns. I will say this and I will throw this out there because sometimes I do like to rile some people up. Sorry I keep clearing my throat. Jaylen Herz played four more games into a tongue and he only threw for 36 more yards. What does that tell you? What does that tell you? I’ll say it one more time. Tutonoa played 11 games last year. Jaylen Herz played 15 games last year. Jaylen Herz only threw for 36 more yards than to a Tonga Valoa. 36 more yards. Meaning if Tua probably didn’t get knocked out of that Bills game, he would have thrown for more yards than Jaylen Herz and have played less games. I just want you to just, you know, stew on that. Let it let it compress. So obviously the biggest thing with Joton Valoa is his health. That is something that I have been talking about. That is something that I have been harping on. That is something I have talked about before the man was even drafted in 2020. You can go back and watch my prospect video where I said that hip injury scares the crap out of me and if the Miami Dolphins do not drift to a because of the hip injury, I am fine with that because I don’t know how that hip is going to hold up over the years. Saw what happened. Took a hit and knocked him out. Even though he played the next game, still knocked him out. So, there’s that. Right. I I his injury history is not something new and it’s something that to me during the draft has been a big fat red flag. And a lot of people are like, “Hey, dog, if you could go back, would you take Justin Herbert?” No, I take Tristan Worfs. I would take a tackle at five. And you might say to yourself, “Well, that’s just because you hate Justin Herbert.” No, Justin Herbert hasn’t done anything either. Justin Herbert choked in the playoffs two times. Justin Herbert has fantastic physical traits. He’s not great in other aspects of his game. You know, a lot of people want to look at two. They’re both in the same situation where neither one of them after five years in the NFL have won a playoff game. Jordan Love has won playoff games. Joe Burrow has won playoff games. Jaylen Herz has won playoff games. Justin Herbert and Tuongello have not won a playoff game. One of them had a big lead, blew it. The other one blew it. The other one blew it a second time. So, if I had to go back in time, umpire, I’m taking Justin Worfs, right? That’s that’s what I’m doing. And then I’m taking Jordan Love at the back end of the first. That’s what I would do if I went back in time. It’d be Tristan Wors, it would be Justin Jefferson, it would be Jordan Love. Those are my one, two, three, or Jaylen Herz. But that’s if I’m redoing 2020. Boop. That’s how I’m doing it. So, no, I’m not taking Justin Herbert because I didn’t like Justin Herbert during the draft and I still kind of don’t like Justin Herbert now, if I’m being 100% honest with you. People just love hanging their hat on. Oh, his rookie year he had all these numbers. Second in the NFL and and Yak. That’s all I’m going to leave that one at. So, Tua can’t stay healthy. The man can’t stay healthy. He did a one year and they rewarded that one year. And that’s something the Dolphins need to stop doing with certain players is reward one year of productivity or reward one year of showing health. You got to give me multiples. Like I love Jaylen Phillips. He’s probably one of my favorite players on this team right now. Um and I defend him till my face is blue. Like if you really want to come after me for being a stand of somebody, it’s Jaylen Phillips. Like I’m constantly like, “Well, look at Jason Taylor’s numbers and he didn’t do great blah blah blah.” Like I do it for Jaylen Phillips. Um if Jaylen Phillips goes off this year and gets 15 and a half sacks, let’s say I’m not paying Jaylen Phillips. No, because have we not learned that we need to see it more than once? So no, I’m not paying Jaylen Phillips. I would like to keep him and I would like to give him some type of contract. I don’t think anyone would pay him. Just like if to a tongue of Aloe in 2024 the Dolphins couldn’t come to some understanding and then they were like he’s like well whatever I’m leaving or I’m standing out or whatever happens he wouldn’t get that money in the open market because just one year of it shouldn’t warrant a contract. See what I’m saying? And I’ve been saying this. This is what drives me nuts. I’ve been saying this for years and I said it last year. I’ve been saying it. I’m not crying. My eyes itchy. Um so there’s that. the hump that I’m talking about. Tua talking about Loa getting over that hump. Tua gets a bad rap for not being able to beat teams over 500, right? Because apparently there’s 11 Tuas on offense. And you know, certain aspects of the game only warrant excuses for other guys. They don’t warrant excuses for Tua, right? Because like you look at the Super Bowl, this past Super Bowl. Hey, why did Joe Burrow, and I’m not comparing the two, why did Joe Burrow lose? Well, just because his offensive line was crap and he got dominated by the Eagles uh defense teams, right? You need a team. There’s a reason why the Buffalo Bills have not been to the playoff to the Super Bowl with Josh Allen. It’s because there’s a certain aspect or part of the team every AFC Championship game that just crumbles and you can’t put it on Josh Allen. Now, I’m not saying there aren’t games where Tua hasn’t crapped the bed. Look at the Houston Texans game last year. Like, give me a break to it. You got to do much better than that. Holy moly, did you get baited by two interceptions and then you throw a 50/50 ball to uh Tyreek Hill, which if you led him, it’s a touchdown. Like, there’s so much we can go into. But he needs to get over that hurdle. He needs to play more consistent. That is my biggest knock. If I’m going to sit here and give you critique, an honest critique, my thoughts on Tua’s problem, he can’t stay healthy, can’t get over the hump, and he can’t play at a high level consistently. There are people, and this is where again I get lumped into, well, you defend him at every blah blah blah, because people say dumb things. And I have this tick in the back of my head that when someone says something factually wrong and somebody says something stupid, I have to correct them. I’ve been getting better at it, but it’s like it’s it’s a tick I have. So when people say Tua can’t do something, and I obviously watch every single game, I live stream it. And then every Monday after the game, I break down film, which is me watching it again another four times. And when people say he can’t do something and as I’m sitting there watching an hour and a half of footage watching him do what they just said he can’t do in one game I see him do it five times I’m like can you just like not be a butt? You know what I’m saying? So that’s what drives me nuts. Now if people said things like I need him to do this more consistent. I need to see him do or he can’t do it consistently. I you I would probably shake your hand be like, “Yeah, man.” Because that’s my biggest problem with him. I think too is an above average quarterback. And my criteria is bad, below average, average, above average, elite. And then you could say like godworthy or goat, whatever you want to say. I think he’s an above average quarterback. I’d put him in the same like am I going to do this right now? Probably not because I can’t. My brain’s not working. But I think he’s an above average quarterback. don’t think he’s elite and I just put him right outside the top 10 if I had to list him uh where I’d put him probably in between like 12 and 14 uh when I would rank him among quarterbacks. Uh if he consistently stayed healthy as we saw in 2023 where he led the NFL in passing yards, he’d be a top 10 quarterback if injuries weren’t his problem. But injuries are his problem. So that’s why it knocks him out of that top 11 for me because he can’t stay healthy. Um, but he is a good quarterback. He just isn’t consistent cuz we see him, right? We’ve seen him time and time again go into certain aspects of the games, certain teams he faces and he does so well. Like 2020, let’s go to 2022 because we’ll talk about the past three years because Mike McDaniel, you got the Baltimore Ravens game. No one can sit here and diminish that Baltimore Ravens game. They’ll try to. Oh, the secondary sucks and oh this and that. Oh that you you’re at that point you’re just hating because even some of the biggest haters, you know for a fact after we won that Ravens game, you sat back and go, is he turning the table? Is he turning the corner here? Like is Mike McDaniel the one that really is going to help us? Then you look at the Buffalo Bills game that following week. Um he didn’t do much. 13 uh eight 13 for 18. Um he threw for 186 yards, one touchdown. He had 123.8 passer rating. That’s not a lot, but there was instances in the game that he stepped up and made the plays that we needed to to keep us in the game and to help us win those games. Case in point, it’s third and like 15 or third and 24 or something like that. And he throws a dot to Jaylen Wadd down the seam on two defenders, which then puts us in range to score points to keep us in the lead and then forces Buffalo to do more. If he doesn’t do that, that safety probably loses us the game where we kicked it into the butt of our own um blocker. So, like this is what I’m talking about when people just look at stats and say like, he didn’t even do anything that game. Like, why is he getting credit for D when you don’t look at instances in that game, and this is when he came back out after everyone thought he had a concussion. Again, jury’s out on that, even though technically isn’t. There was an investigation. So, and then obviously he had the stretch against Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland, Houston. and those teams weren’t great, but he came out, especially Chicago where he had to go tit fortat with uh Chicago and Justin Fields because our defense didn’t want to show up. Same with Detroit and he put up great numbers, right? He he helped this team win those games. And then you have 2023 where he again came out and he did the things that he did and he played really well in certain circumstances. Obviously, we’ve talked about the Kansas City Chiefs game at Nauseium, not in the playoffs, but in Germany where with the, you know, obviously blame him for missing um Wilson, Cedric Wilson. Blame him for the botch snap, but don’t forget about the stuff that happened beforehand. Don’t forget about two rushes getting down to the 31 yardd line and throwing it four times. Tyreek Hill fumbling the ball, Tyreek Hill dropping a touchdown, Jaylen Wadd, like let’s not forget about other things when it comes to that. but obviously poops the bed against the Baltimore Ravens. Really poops the bed against the Buffalo Bills. And then last year, well, even in 2022 goes into Buffalo 29 for 32. No, that’s not it. Is that it? That is it. Uh 29 for uh 32. That’s the team, Doug. Geez Louise. I’m like, what am I looking at right now? Um, he anyway, this is pointless because I’m talking about 2025. My point is he goes into certain instances like Buffalo in 2022, Buffalo last year. He plays really well. He helps the team stay within points and then obviously either a pass interference, the Bills win, another uh unnecessary roughness, Bills kick a 61 yard field goal, win the game, and he gets blamed for those losses. You see what I’m saying? And that’s my point. So, when I’m looking at Tua and my expectation for Tua going into 2025, I need to see him for one, and obviously this is the biggest thing that everyone needs to see, he has to play all 17 games. Has to, if he gets injured once, I don’t care what the injury is. A twist ankle, uh, a stubbed toe, turf toe, ingrown toenail, ingrown fingernail, stubbed finger, sprained elbow, ear infection, pink eye. I don’t care if he misses two games this year. It’s time to move on. You cannot win games if your starting quarterback is consistently missing games and then your backups are not good. That’s not to his fault that the backups aren’t good. Again, he beat out a guy to take his job in Alabama with a hard-nosed head coach as Nick Sin. I’m going to go off on a little tangent that people need to like take a second and take a beat. So many people who don’t like Tua, and there are some that are just plain hate him, um, love to think that he’s weak-minded and he’s weak. And because of the Brian Flores situation and what Brian Flores did to him, no quarterback in the NFL has taken. And I’ve seen John Gruden berade Chris Sims cuz he couldn’t get the play call out. Right. Come on, get it. Come on, get it. Get it. Get it. Go watch it. And then Chris Sims is standing on the sideline and John and Har, not Harbaugh, Gruden goes over to him and he says, “Did I scare you? Are you scared of me?” And Chris Sims goes, “No, no, no, no. I I just I’m in my head.” He’s like, “All right, well, let me know.” That is the difference between hard coaching, but also teaching and just not wanting this guy ever here and belittling him to get him out of here. Do you see what I’m saying? This man’s father took his dominant arm and tied it behind his back and forced him to learn how to throw the ball lefty. His father would tell him, “We’re going to go to the beach.” And he thinks, “Oh, cool. We’re going to go to the beach. I’m going to relax.” No, they would do football drills. So, if you’re going to sit here and tell me that this man is weak-minded and he can’t take hard coaching, especially with Nick Sabin being his head coach, you’re just hating because you’re not taking a look at everything. Anyway, back to my point. He has to stay healthy. That is the big and most important thing. The man has to stay healthy. He also has to play more consistently. Has to. We are in a point where, and this is what’s the difference between above average quarterbacks and elite quarterbacks. Elite quarterbacks will kind of hide the deficiency of the team, right? We don’t have that in Tua. We don’t have an elite quarterback in Tua who can hide the deficiencies of the team. We have a very good quarterback, like I said, above average quarterback into who can help us win, but we can’t make mistakes. Case in point, Tennessee Titan game. Case in point, Cardinals game. You, we need you. My voice is going to be gone soon. We need him to do what he does best, right? Arizona Cardinals game, you know, he would he I think he left the field and we were winning by like however many points. But the Tennessee Titan game, he had two opportunities to either get a first down or whatever and he couldn’t do it. Now, obviously allowing the opponent to score 15 points in two and a half minutes is garbage and that should be on the defense. But if we had an elite quarterback, if we had Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, you know, whoever you think is an elite quarterback, Lamar Jackson, we’re getting a first down or we’re winning the game, right? or we’re getting into field goal range to put the game out of reach. Prime example is the last game of the season 2023 where he threw the interception regardless if it’s a lazy route, which it was. We’re getting there, but we don’t have that because Tua doesn’t do that consistently. You see what I’m saying? We have parts of our team that aren’t good and we don’t have that quarterback to hide those. Stew needs to play better and he needs to play at that level more consistently. Is it fair? No. It’s not fair for him to look over in Philadelphia and see Jaylen Herz win a Super Bowl on an all Madden team where your running back is the best in the NFL. Your wide receivers are the best in the NFL. Your tight end is the best in the NFL. The offensive line in front of you is the best in the NFL. Your defense is the best in the NFL. All you got to do is just play ball again. He only threw for 36 more yards than Tua and he played four more games. Like he doesn’t have that. He has a GM in Chris Greer who does not know how to build a team. So he has to play smart football. He has to be a field manager and not throw the stupid interceptions. Aka Buffalo, what was that? Week three last year. I guess he’s trying to get it. Throw it out. and he throws a pick six, like just take the sack. Again, these are the things he needs to work on. Don’t play hero ball. Take the sack. Don’t try to run. Learn to slide. All of these things. If he just hone them in, which he’s saying he has, he he can help us win. Whenever two is healthy, we win. Like all honesty, and I’m spoiling the um prediction video, if Tua stays healthy and plays 17 games, I could see us definitely winning 10 games because he can help us win. But he also needs to take that next step and help us win against the good teams, help us win in those shutouts, help us, you know, not get a field goal, instead score a touchdown, right? Because there are those games where Buffalo last year was a perfect example of him doing it. We needed to score a touchdown to tie the game. He marches down the field. Last play, evades pressure, extends the play, hits Jaylen Wadd, touchdown, we tie the game. Right. Did it perfectly. But there are times where if we get a touchdown, we’re up by four. We don’t get the touchdown, we have to kick a field goal. Again, it’s not fair to him, but that’s kind of what we need out of him. We need him to take that next step. We need him to make the smart throws and the smart decisions because he is incredibly accurate. Like you can hate him all you want, but he is incredibly accurate. He is a smart quarterback who knows how to read the defenses. How many times has he baited safeties by looking one way, throwing another, looking, bringing the safety over knowing he wants to get like he is smart. He just doesn’t do these things consistently. And that’s what I need to see out of him in 2025. And that is my expectations of him in 2025. Stay healthy, play at a high level consistently, get over that hump because if he doesn’t, and if this team yet again, regardless if he gets injured or whatever, can’t do what they need to do, I don’t see him on the team in 2026. The Dolphins could save a lot of money moving on from him. Prejune 1st they save 11 million from moving on from him in a trade and post June 1st they could save around 40 million moving on from him in a trade. So there’s a lot riding on Tua like there there’s certain aspects if you took a step back and kind of looked every year Tua does his Tua Foundation luau thing. Did you notice there wasn’t one this year? Did you notice they didn’t, you know, take his um his clause or his e exercise his, you know, his option in his bonus and give him, you know, give him the bonus and take 19 million? Do you don’t think we could have used that 19 million to s, you know, structure the secondary and do there’s a reason why the Dolphins are just not bothering Tua. It’s because he’s probably not going to be here in 2026 if he can’t get over that hump. So, looking at Tua, I I expect 2023, right? 17 games, give me around 4,500 yards. I’d like a little bit more touchdowns. He had 29. Give me around 35 and less interceptions. Give me around 10 interceptions. And I’d be happy. I’d be really happy. That’s my expectations of Tua. Are they unfair? Are they fair? Comment below. Let me know. But this is it. This is it. And again, people heard Chris Greer say um a reset or whatever. He could say whatever he wants. I honestly will be shocked if this team wins eight games or this team doesn’t make the playoffs and he’s still the GM at the end of the year. Now, does that mean he gets fired? Probably not. He probably they do what they did with Mike Tannon. People don’t realize that Mike Tannibal was still with the Dolphins. They just stashed him away somewhere. Like, you have no control over the football. None. we’re gonna bring in whoever, you know, Chris Greer’s now the your the head GM, whatever. They’re gonna do that with him. Like, if they don’t want to fire him, they’re just gonna be like, “All right, you’re just gonna go over here. All right, let’s hire GM. Let’s get a coach in here. You decide what you want to do with Tulua. You want to decide D.” I’m telling you, the writing’s on the wall. Everyone heard Chris Greer say reset and everyone thinks, “Oh, he’s safe.” He’s not safe. I’m telling you. And if he is safe and if the team falls flat on their face and then they fire Mike McDaniel and Chris Greer stays on, you will get you’ll have to turn the volume down on this video. I will just tell you that. But I am like so secure in the thought that no, that’s not happening. So this is it. This is it for McDaniel. This is it for Greer. This is it for Tua. Tua’s backs against the wall now. He need to stay the the biggest thing and the number one thing is he has to stay healthy because when he stays healthy like even not healthy 2024 number four in EPA is number three in success. 2023 number two in EPA number two in success. 2022 number two in EPA number five in uh success. Only quarterback in the NFL to rank top five in both EPA and success in each of the last three years. Out of the 64 quarterbacks with 200 plus plus attempts, two are ranks third in NPA, third in success rate, second in yards per attempt, second in completion rate, and second in 15 plus yard explosive rate. He’s a good quarterback. He’s above average quarterback, but it’s not going to cut it. It’s not going to cut it. Especially with the team that has been dying to win a playoff game and especially with the team that is looking at 2026 and how nice that draft looks. That’s all I’m saying because I saw someone mock that the Dolphins were picking third. If the Dolphins are so bad they’re picking third. Whoa is not the quarterback and they are taking a quarterback. I am telling you that right now. And you can say to me, well, who who what are we going to who are we going to uh trade him to? No one’s going to take him. You’ll be surprised. I heard the same thing about Ryan Tanahill. And we got a fourth because we have to pay a little bit more money. You don’t think they’ll pay a little bit more money? I’m telling you. Telling you. But comment below. Let me know what you guys think. What’s your expectations of Tua? Are you in the same boat as me that this is it? He really, this is his last harrah. He has to show that he’s gotten over the hump and he could stay healthy or do you think regardless he’ll be on the team in 2026? Comment below. Let me know. I will see you tomorrow. I think tomorrow we will do why to be optimistic for 2025. Got a lot a lot of videos planned for you guys. But like usual, stay classy and fins out.

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