NFL Monday Night Football Bets & Player Props | Jets vs. Dolphins + Bengals vs. Broncos (Week 4)

NFL Monday Night Football Bets & Player Props | Jets vs. Dolphins + Bengals vs. Broncos (Week 4)

Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It’s time to place your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe Papia and this is BP NFL. It’s time to look ahead to Monday Night Football. Why? Because we’ve got a double header. So, we figured out a heck with Sunday night. Let’s talk about Monday because there’s more to talk about. And to help us get through those bets, of course, my best friend Scott Bogman here on the channel. Make sure you subscribe, drop the comments below, ring the bell till it goes ding, all that jazz. Scott Bogman. Monday night double headers are fun. So if one game is not really entertaining, you can always flip back to the other. You get the split screen as options. I like that. As much as I like watching the standalone prime time game, sometimes it’s nice to have a little bit of variety. What do you think about the double Monday nighter we’ve got coming up in week four? I mean, honestly, I like it better than Thursday night football, right? Like uh Thursday night football is guys on short rest typically. Uh you don’t have enough time to get over an injury and all that stuff. I’d rather put two games on Monday and have a late game and an early game. But uh not a lot of people are night owls like I am. So that 9:00 start or 10:00 start on the East Coast uh is not very popular. So I understand that as well. Yeah. Well, luckily with these the the start times are actually a little bit better. So that that’s nice. They’re they’re almost like an hour or so apart. So that’s a little bit better at this time of year. I like that. But because you know old man Joe is in bed by about 10:30, 11 o’clock. He’s just not making it. He’s just not making it. It’s a full day. So um I’m usually awake when you get up. That’s the best part is like I will wake up to text from Bogman about and about the games for the night before and things and then he will wake up to things that I said in the morning. So there you go. Perfect reply, perfect friendship. That’s why we’ve been friends for so long. Uh by the way, it’s your last chance, literally your last chance to win the Alvin Camarra signed helmet from pristine auction.com. So go to bettingpros.com/contest. Complete the form. Download the betting pros app. Leave a review of the betting pros podcast. Subscribe to the social media channels on betting pros onx on Tik Tok and betting pros NFL on the IG. The more actions you complete, the more entries you’ll receive and we’ll be announcing the winner right here on the channel. So make sure you flip those notifications on. Ring that bell till it goes ding so you can claim your prize from pristine auction.com. The Alvin Chimera signed helmet giveaway that’s going to be given away next week. Very exciting times. All right, let’s break down these games here. We’ve got the New York Jets uh winless. The Miami Dolphins winless. Uh right now the way this one’s looking is plus three at BP minus 2 and a half on the Miami Dolphins side. Plus three for the Jets. 44 and a half is the best over 45 and a half the best under plus 144 on the Jets money line which Joey P likes. I like it a lot. I’m not going to hold it back. I’ve already made it clear my best bets. It’s my upsets upset special of the week. I’m so excited I could barely talk about it. But yeah, uh Justin Fields seems like as of us recording this here, seems like he’s trending in the right direction to play. But even with Taylor, I’m confident the Jets can find a way to win this game because I think the Dolphins can find a way to lose this game. This is what they do. So, let’s talk about this one first. What are your thoughts on Jets? Dolphins, are you involved in this? You staying away? How are you approaching the games and the lines here on this first game on Monday night? Yeah, I think I’m going to stay away. I I’m with you in my lean is towards the Jets. like just give me points between two miserable teams, right? So, I’ll just take points in that one. I money line play is okay. I don’t love that it’s on the road. Um, and Miami has played much better the last two weeks, so I think there’s a little bit there. They have extra time to prep as well. So, it’s not my favorite game to bet, but my lean would be towards the Jets because I just think with Justin Fields, this is a much better team. And you know, while Miami has been doing some stuff on offense, the defense is still really really bad. So, I’m just uh not the biggest fan of betting this game, but my lean would be towards the Jets. I just feel like the the Jets are an 0 and3 team. They’re starting to figure it out. They’re starting to feel themselves. The head coach is excited. They he knows they almost won with Tyrod last week. So, they know he knows this team is playing better football and they’re starting to figure out who they are. And I think that’s much better. And the fact that I’m laying it out here for the Jets, you know how far I have to go for me to lay it out there on the line for the Jets. Very far. So, we’ll see. I could be miserable all next week if I don’t hit this. Uh, next game here and the final one for Monday night. Cincinnati two- one taking on Denver who’s one and two start. A game they should have had last week but they didn’t have last week. I still bitter about that one. Uh, the Denver Broncos at home minus seven favorites. You’re getting plus 7 and a half for the Cincinnati Bengals. 43 and a half for the over, 44 and a half for the under, plus 310 for the upset special on the Cincinnati Bengals, which I’m not taking. Look, in theory, Denver should handle their business here, and this seven should be comfortable. I, on the other hand, I’m just going to take the over 43 and a half in this contest. I do think there’s more points. I do think here we get Cincinnati to have a better showing than they had last week. Can’t get much worse than they did against the Minnesota Vikings. So, I’m just sticking with the over for this game. Bogs, do you have any feels on this one? Yeah, hard pass on this one, right? Like I just No. Well, the other one like I’ll lean and if my bets hit on Sunday, I’ll chase a little into Monday if I’m up money, right? Like I’ll put some money on the Jets at that point if Fields is playing. This game I don’t care if I was 8 and0 on Sunday. No, thank you. I am fine. I think Jake Browning is better than what he showed last week, but based on what games from two years ago, there’s definitely a chance he has regressed. I don’t think we’ve seen the Broncos defense play as well as possible yet. I still think they’re one of the better defenses and they haven’t been showing it. And Bo Knicks has been off. Shawn Peyton even said like, “We need to keep slinging it. We need to keep throwing it through these struggles that Bo Nicks has had.” Uh, so, you know, I think they’re going to do that against Cincinnati. is a good team to get on the right track offensively against, right? Their defense is real bad, but mistakes turn into points and Jake Browning is a veteran at this point, so I expect fewer mistakes from him. But this is a hard game on the road at elevation for Cincy. There’s no way I would ever bet Cincy. My lean is going to be towards the Broncos. If this comes back down under a touchdown, then maybe I’ll get involved. All right, we’re going to turn our attention to the props here in just a moment. Before we do, we want to acknowledge the sponsor of today’s show, and that is Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook. Download the app today. Enroll with Hard Rock Bet this season. Sign up with Hard Rock Bet today. Place your first bet for five bucks. If it wins, you’ll collect 150 and bonus bets, plus all those winnings you’re going to get. That’s just one more reason to check out the Hard Rock Bet app right now and see why it gets so many five-star reviews and such great ratings everywhere. And on our uh show here leading up to Monday Night Football, too. If you’re looking for more insights on what you can bet, check out the Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub. It’s right there. Jaylen Herz has reached the end zone in six consecutive games. Uh Miami has won nine home games in a row against the Jets. Not anymore. That’s right. That streak ends as far as I’m concerned, but it’s a streak nonetheless. And these are important things to pay attention to. Uh and Hard Rock Bet’s going to help you do all that. And you can profit boost for football parlays every single Monday back to college football all the way on Saturday. And plus, you get a profit boost for the Sunday games and Monday nights. So, there’s so much going on in Hard Rock Bet. Download the app today. New promos every day, new opportunities every day. So, download the app, make your first deposit at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook. Okay, let’s get to JK Dobbins. That’s where I want to start because I want all the overs on JK Dobbins. Hard Rock’s got him at 62 and a half. I’m smashing this over Bogs. Yeah, it’s 62 and a half and this is raised five yards from an hour ago. So, uh I think this one is just going to head up. But Cincy, their offense is 30th in time of possession. Dobbins has hit this total in all three games so far. And you know, as you and I have stated, this uh game script looks to be a lot of running in the third and fourth quarter for Denver as they should be up on a hurt Bengals team here that has not looked good yet. So, I think that JK Dobbins is going to have uh a lot of rush attempts in this game and I think he clears this one fairly easily. What about the 10 and a half receiving yards? Would you take the over or the under on that just because you’re already going all in for the rushing? I think I’m going to go under on this one. Number one, if they are up big and that’s the way it goes, then I don’t think they’re going to pass the ball a lot specifically in the second half. So, Dobbins has like a half to get this and he hasn’t hit this in a game yet. He has two yards per game so far. He has 14 total receiving yards. He’s only been targeted on 14.7% of his routes. and uh they literally have the wor he has the worst pass blocking grade of all running backs on this team. So I I don’t know if you keep him out there. Now the Broncos did go down from adding Baddy in there or Bedet, however we’re saying his name. Uh uh he he didn’t really see the field that much last week. So they have gone down to two, which should mean a couple more snaps for Dobbins. But this is the type of game that if it gets away, let’s have the kid run. Let’s have RJ Harvey in the second half. Let’s use him on third downs a little bit more. Let’s get him involved, right? And I think that’s going to be part of the plan this week as well. And it doesn’t really matter because part of the plan is not throwing the ball to JK Doppins. It just hasn’t happened really. He has uh six catches and 14 or I believe five catches and 14 yards receiving this year. I don’t realize or I don’t know if you realize how prolific you are because you just created a new stat. You met yards and targets together and you made them. Jar, if you realize it. Jars. I like it. I would like to bet on Jargets. You see that? Yards and targets combined. Why not? It sounds like some Polish meal. I know. The Jargets family actually live down the block from the Jargets. Okay. Yeah. Yeah. Lovely family. I bring them Christmas cookies every year. They’re so They’re so nice. Uh, all right. Let’s talk about some more running backs here. Bruce Hall against the Miami defense. That seems like a pretty good wager, too. 49 and a half is the number. Can we get this over, Bogs? I think this is way too low. Uh 19 for 107 in week one with Justin Fields healthy. Right. Then they only had 2139 possession uh against Buffalo, 2749 against Tampa Bay, all with Terod. The Dolphins have allowed the fifth most rushing yards this season and currently grade 28th in run defense according to Pro Football Focus. So, uh, I just think that this is an easy one for Briefs to clear and they’re not involving Brilan Allen and Isaiah Davis in enough to take away from him. And if Fields is in there, those RPOS’s just work way way better. So, give me give me all the Bree Hall overs. Yeah. Uh, DRO I know is very into Breece Hall, too, this week. We spoke about him on the FP liveream a lot uh last couple days. All right, let’s talk about somebody also we spoke a lot of uh on the fancy bro side. He’s the most traded player this week. Chase Brown. Everybody’s giving up hope. The number’s 50 and a half. Should we give up hope for that one as well? I mean, I think for this week, I do think it is a buy low opportunity on Chase Brown and I think it could be even better uh you know, after this week the by low because facing a Denver defense on the road is really tough for this offense. Top 10 rund graded by PFF against a 32nd graded run blocking offensive line. Dead last are the Cincinnati Bengals. And I think in the second half we’re going to see more passing uh for Cincy than we are running. So uh I the one caveat to this is he should see more snaps I think maybe because some peran’s down but they involved Taj Brooks and I think he’s a very good rookie running back here and Chase Brown just has not been effective quite yet. I think a lot of it’s because of the line not so much because of Chase Brown but now you go on the road to Denver. Good luck with that. So, I’m going to take the under on Chase Brown. All right, let’s move on to the last of the five props here. T. Higgins, 15 and a half receiving yards against the Denver Broncos secondary. Again, I just don’t know if there’s enough to go around in this passing game the way it’s constructed for Jamar Chase and T. Higgins to both eat. This is not the Joe Burrow Bengals anymore. Yeah, that that’s really the thing. It’s not the Joe Burrow Bengals. And who is going to get the targets if given the choice? It’s definitely Jamar Chase. So, with this one, let’s wait because I think this number is only going to go up because I think the the thought process in this game is going to be Denver wins going away. So, Cincy needs to pass in the third and fourth quarter and that way we have some extra garbage yards for these guys at the end. Uh, so that could happen with T. Higgins, but I think because that is the initial thought process for most people going into this game, I think these yards are going to rise. I think people are going to bet the more people bet overs anyway. So, let’s wait until 10 minutes before kickoff to take this number, right? Like I think this is going to get up to 56, 57 yards, something like that. So, let’s just hold on it and wait. But, I think, you know, like you said, Higgins is uh second to Chase. Also, Denver not very good against tight ends. So, I think the tight ends could potentially be involved as well. Um, so yeah, I just for me I’m gonna be I’m gonna be low on Bengals overall here that aren’t named Jamar Chase with good reason I think too. And of course if you need more help betting the props prop bet cheat sheet always there at betting pros download the betting pros app or go to bettingpros.com/props. You’ll see all the passing, the rushing, the receiving stat categories, everything there with the best projections and the best lines so you can maximize all of your bets with the prop bet cheat sheet. All right, SGP Joey P. So here we go. Let’s uh take JK Dobbins anytime touchdown minus 150 and we’re going to take JK Dobbins with the over 62 and a half rushing yards. We’re going to put those two things together and we’re going to get plus 315 for Monday night. That’s what we’re looking at. So 3 to one, just two legs. If you want to take the Denver Broncos to win the game outright on the money line, you can push this up a little bit more. That’s fine. You want to be a little greedy. I’m okay with that third leg there. I don’t think the Bengals I beat the the Denver Broncos at home, but uh even if they became a little bit knocking on wood over there somewhere, Joey, come on. Well, look, I just look even if they challenge him, I think the other day Denver would find a way to win this football game. Me, too. Especially in their building. If it wasn’t Cincinnati, maybe I’m a little less confident of it. Maybe that line’s not quite as big, but Denver money line on top of is already heavily. So, you’re only going to push Well, if you’re push 315 to 330 or something like that, but that’s okay. You want to added more variance, knock yourself out. I’m taking the two legs. I’ve learned my lesson. Thursday Night Football, two legs. Monday Night Football, two legs. We’ll see on next week whether or not I was right or wrong on these. And of course, same game parlay tool also available on Betting Pros, too, to make all those correlation bets, help you find a way to get the SGPs that you need. And uh it’s time to call some touchdowns, bog. So, I’m going to go with Courtland Sutton plus 135 against that Bengals defense. I think Sutton’s due for a big game. I think he has it here. Garrett Wilson has been a touchdown machine. Doesn’t matter who’s throwing the football. I don’t care. Fields, Taylor, doesn’t matter. Joe Nameoth comes back. Maybe we get Browning Nagel to throw a football. Who knows? But give me Garrett Wilson plus 155. Bogs, who are your touchdowns for Monday Night Football? I’m taking the coward’s way out here. Uh, look, I I gave I gave you a fun one for for Thursday. But, uh, Bree Hall plus 100, even money on Bree. I think if anybody scores in this game, Bree is the most likely. So, let’s go with him at even money. I think that’s nice. And Jamar Chase plus 150. I mean, I know Patrick Certain all of that, but if you get down there, you know, I I think I think you draw something up for Jamar. So, uh, if I’m getting one and a half for the two most likely players to get a touchdown, I’m taking that. So, uh, I like both of those this week. All right, everybody. There you have it. Go win that Alvin Kamar helmet again. bettingros.com/contest. Download the Hard Rock Sportsbook app right now and uh of course subscribe to the feed here uh on the Betting Pros channel. Trying to get to 100,000 subscribers this year. We can do it with your help. Do it and drop your touchdown calls in the comments. We like hearing your TV calls. That’ll do it for us. But the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman. I’m Joey P. We’ll see you next time, kids. Enjoy your Monday Night Football.

Get down on a double-header! Join Joe Pisapia and Scott Bogman for their Week 4 Monday Night Football bets and player props for the New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins and the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos.

Will the New York Jets (+132) pull off the upset in South Beach? Can Denver Broncos RB J.K. Dobbins (-110) go over 62.5 rushing yards at home? Plus, does Cincinnati Bengals RB Chase Brown (-110) continue to struggle, going under 50.5 rushing yards?

The Pros prepare to split screens!

Timestamps:
Introduction – 0:00:00
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins – 0:02:14
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos – 0:04:14
J.K. Dobbins Over 62.5 Rushing Yards & Under 10.5 Receiving Yards – 0:07:23
Breece Hall Over 49.5 Rushing Yards – 0:09:54
Chase Brown Under 50.5 Rushing Yards – 0:10:49
Tee Higgins Under 50.5 Receiving Yards – 0:11:53
Same Game Parlay – 0:13:30
Joe’s TD Call: Courtland Sutton (+135) & Garrett Wilson (+155) – 00:14:48
Bogman’s TD Call: Breece Hall (+100) & Ja’Marr Chase (+150) – 00:15:07
Outro – 00:15:46

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