How To Bet The Monday Night Football Doubleheader! Jets vs. Dolphins & Bengals vs. Broncos Picks

Let’s keep rolling here. We’ve got two Monday night football games. We’re going to start with the Jets and the Dolphins. Uh I will shut up for a second and let Brandon talk to give some bets and then I will give you some uh thoughts myself. Brandon, Jets, Dolphins. Can’t believe we’re watching this one in prime time. This game stinks. Like that. This game is not This is not fun. These are my 27th and 28th power rated teams. They’re almost dead even on my chart. So I think this line is basically about right. Somehow we’re in a world that the Dolphins who like cannot get off the field or fire the coach fast enough are favored and then still favored next week against the Panthers also correctly so I think like it’s crazy that the Dolphins keep being favored. So couple stats if you want a trend to bet on. If you want to bet on Miami, here’s one. Eight of 10 games against the Jets, the Dolphins have won, including they’ve won nine in a row against the Jets in Miami. So there’s your Miami trend. If you want to bet against Miami, here’s your trend. Week four over the last decade, the Dolphins are 0 and10 ATS 0 and10 straight up. Does that mean anything? Absolutely not. But there’s your trend if you want to bet them. Here’s my bet. I’m going to take the under. Under 45 and a half at DraftKings, prime time unders, not counting Thursday games since 2019. 61% 17% ROI. We know about the prime time unders. Monday night unders in division games 57% ATS or not ATS obviously but 57% of the under the last couple decades and then Nick Gifin in the luck rankings has this as a strong luck under also these defensive allowed 190 points so it doesn’t seem like you want an under that should be more like an expected 166 points so I think that’s kind of baked in here uh we’re getting some variance on the number as well at books I see 45 44 44 and a those numbers are are kind of right in the range where they matter too. So that’s it for me on this one. Just give me an under and uh hopefully I can ignore it as much as possible. Yeah, I I’ll do the I I’ll do the Brandon and I’ll give you one good stat and one bad stat. So the good Tua is he’s 5-0 straight up against the Jets in his career as a starter, winning by 14.2 points per game. Ridiculous. He’s beaten four different Jets quarterbacks, which is actually pretty funny. Flaco, Zach Wilson, Rogers, and Tim Bole. uh a an amazing trio there or I’m sorry, four quarterbacks. But uh the other stat that’s ridiculous, so dating back to 2019, we talked about this last week, Jets and Giants one and 16 straight up on the road in prime time. Uh so that now travels down to Miami, one and 16 feels fake. Uh and the other angle, which I’m actually going to take an actionable angle on, so Miami is 0 and3 second half ATS this year. feel like a Miami first half Jets full game uh is an interesting angle to take in a lower scoring game. Maybe you get like 1310 going into the half or something like that and then you can have it flipped. So I think that’s one interesting angle. I had a difficult time trying to come up with too much uh like official play actionable here. Uh the two rushing plays I thought were intriguing. Balik Washington over six and a half rushing yards. I wanted it a little shorter because I feel like that could come down to one rush, but I think he gets there. And Ali Gordon, I saw the low line at 20 and a half. Uh other books get to 23 and 24. So thought that was an interesting snipe. Uh this was a special I want I was curious about your thought on this special on DraftKings, which is I think this is a decent matchup for Garrett Wilson and I think this is a time where Tyreek could get some work. So they have these specials of five yards and 10 yards in each quarter for both guys. 14 to1 at five and 50 to1 at 10. Feel like this is a game where like some of those guys might get some work. I got one more bet, but what’s your thought there? Yeah, I get suckered into those like every game or every quarter type bets and the the problem is just it’s it’s you’re parlaying all like you’re parlaying eight outcomes. you’re parlaying four quarters for each guys and it just seems like oh it’s only five yards. How hard can it be? But for starters it’s at least four catches, one in each quarter. So just that alone like it’s it’s a fun bet. It’s a fun bet that you can bet a couple bucks on. It’s not a bet that you should expect to cash for you. There’s a reason those are available at every book every time. But they’re fun. They’re fun to root for and you’re probably just going to get one quarter that screws you. that, you know, it’s a it’s a fun one to have on a game that’s not fun in any other way. So, the reason but I’ll say this, the reason I like it and this is the bet I think that’s more actionable and better is I like Garrett Wilson. Uh he’s minus 110 and I like Bree Hall plus 225 to get a catch on the first Jets drive. Uh Garrett Wilson this year 10 targets in the first quarter uh which is you know top eight or so in the NFL. And Bree went two for two on target receptions versus Tampa Bay last week. So, I feel like the Jets might come out a little aggressive, a little different, especially with field starting. I think those guys get in re I think the way I would do it is like half unit on Garrett, quarter unit on Bree, and you end up cashing with either. Something of that nature would be the way I would play it. Yeah, I mean, you got you did better than I did. I came up with an under. So, that’s I look I wore my Dolphins shirt. It’s the best I can do for this game. Don’t worry, I have a little bit less on the next one. All right, so Cincinnati and Denver is the second Monday Night Football game right now. That line is 7 and a half for Denver, 44 a half. Uh I said it earlier, but Denver is 0 and3 against the spread. The last undefeated or winless ATS team so far this season. Feel like the stat you almost have to continue to say when it comes to Zack Taylor. 4532-1 straight up at Burrow. eight and 23 when he doesn’t have Burrow under center. Uh obviously seven and a half points a lot different than the uh than the straight up line here. But what are your thoughts on this matchup? Because I only have like one or two bets. Yeah, I just think seven and a half is is too much respect for Denver. That that that’s going off of last year’s Denver respect and I don’t know that they have earned that this year. So I’m going to take the Bengals just in in a bo spot. You can’t get much uglier than what the Bengals did last week. They are bottom three in offensive DVA coming this weekend. Offense uh passing and rushing bottom three. The line is terrible. Chase Brown for the season, 47 rushes for 93 yards. What in the world? Like that has been a disaster. But Denver not really that overwhelming. Like outside top 10 passing and running on defense. This was supposed to be everyone’s number one defense. I was skeptical and I don’t think that they’ve been anything close to that this year. Bo Nicks was last among all qualified quarterbacks in the PFF grade coming this weekend as well. So, I don’t really know what Denver has done to earn the respect of being over a touchdown favorite. And historically, when the Bengals or any team play as bad as they did last week, that’s usually a good time to buy low on them. So, just a couple trends here. Week three or later, underdogs that are coming off a loss of 35 or more points, which the Bengals sure as heck are, 69% cover rate in that following game. It’s you’re inflating the line. And that’s what’s happening here past the key number road teams off a 24 point loss against the spread 62% ATS the following week. teams that have won 60% or more of their games, which the Bengals have right now coming off a 20 point loss or worse, 64% ATS. And that one just road teams 4013 and1 ATS, 76% hit rate. I don’t think those trends are totally fair because they’re assuming the the Bengals are actually good in that last one, which we know they’re not really a twoin-one team without Joe Burrow. But it’s just a lot of trends that tell me the same thing by low on a team that really can’t be as bad as it looked last week. So, I’m look, I’m not super excited about either one of these games in the double header. These are probably like half unit plays for me. I’m not like jumping all in on these, but I do think Bo spot on the Bengals just coming off an awful game where it’s got to get better. Uh yeah, this one’s tough. Uh I have Bengals tracked in the app actually at seven and a half. I like that number. Uh you said every reason why I feel like that number is a little inflated even with Jake Browning back there. And it’s going to be tough to watch, but it is what it is. So that’s one of my bets. I think the other bet and I feel like we’re all on this from Kerner, but he likes Tanner Hudson score a touchdown as a long long shot in this one. Noah Fant on Cincinnati’s side. Cassiki obviously the man, but Hudson kind of moves into that role and we love ourselves a backup tight end almost in any scenario. So, that feels like the right move to me. I’ll probably sprinkle on first team touchdown, which is going to be shorter than first touchdown because I just want that sucker to kind of live for a quarter or so. So, we will see how that goes. If you want to tail some of the bets that we gave out today for Monday night’s game, make sure to look for the quickslip link in the podcast video description or go to actionhour.com/bnow. You can also find those quicks slips in the live YouTube chat if you’re still hanging out with us.

Well not exactly the hottest Monday Night Football games but that’s why we have BETTING! Brandon Anderson and Evan Abrams breakdown the games and give out their picks for Bengals vs. Broncos and Jets vs. Dolphins.

Wanna tail their picks? Head to http://actionnetwork.com/betnow

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