UPDATED 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers Record Prediction After 3-1 Start Heading Into The Bye

UPDATED 2025 Pittsburgh Steelers Record Prediction After 3-1 Start Heading Into The Bye

[Music] Welcome in to Steelers Talk. I’m your host, Jack Sperry. Today I am updating my Steelers record prediction after their threein-one start to the 2025 NFL campaign. Of course, we kind of have a better feel for this schedule now that we’ve seen all these teams play a month of football here, including the Pittsburgh Steelers and all of their opponents. So today I’m going to be updating my record prediction. I’ll let you guys know whether I think the Steelers can win the the AFC North here in 2025. But before we get into my updated record prediction here today, make sure you guys click that thumbs up icon if you believe in this year’s squad. If you think that this year’s Steelers team is different from years past and you think that this team has a good shot at winning a playoff game for the first time in a very long time, make sure you guys click that thumbs up icon if you haven’t already. And with that, let’s start here with what the Steelers have done to this point in the 2025 NFL season. They start their year 3-1 and first place in the AFC North. Uh they started their season with a very uh you know uh encouraging win offensively versus the New York Jets on the road being able to score 34 points and still win the ball game there. Then you lose a very disappointing game uh at home in the home opener there versus the Seattle Seahawks. Some really bad mistakes uh late in that game. Caleb Johnson giving up a touchdown. Calvin Austin sacrificing another touchdown by tipping that ball up into the air in that scramble drill. Um, and that’s really the the difference there in that football game. All right, that’s 14 point difference in that game and those two plays cost you 14 points. So maybe if those two things don’t happen, we’re sitting here at 4-0 because in week three, you get a 21 to4 victory. clutch performance there getting the last second a last minute touchdown drive to Calvin Austin the third and then uh you really play your best game of the season versus the Minnesota Vikings and you hold on at the end for a final score of 24-21. So you’re sitting at 3-1. You’re sitting in a pretty darn good spot right now heading into the bye-week. But now let’s talk about what the Steelers have ahead of them as the season goes on. We’ll start here in week six and I think that the Steelers will fill up the win column yet again here with a win over the Browns. Uh they’re going to be having Dylan Gabriel out there who is the size of Kyler Murray with the arm strength of Tua Tonga Valoa. I don’t think he’s going to be very good this year, guys. And then you take into account that Mike Tomlin is excellent against rookie quarterbacks. He’s excellent coming off of a buy and the Steelers are going to be home trying to get their first win at Acer Stadium this season. I think they’re going to be playing very inspired football. They’re going to be fresh uh coming off the buy. I think that that is a victory for the Pittsburgh Steelers. And then I also have them beating uh the Cincinnati Bengals. I really like the matchup between the Steelers and the Bengals this year. I think the jumbo formations and the run game that the Steelers have is going to absolutely run through the Cincinnati Bengals defense. They have some of the worst linebacker play that I have seen on film in the NFL in a very long time. That defense is not fixed and they don’t have Joe Burrow. So, the offense is is probably not going to be able to uh keep up. That is of course going to be the prime time debut for the Pittsburgh Steelers and I think they’re going to impress a lot of people uh with a pretty uh convincing victory in week seven. But then in week eight, I think it’s going to be a very competitive game. Of course, you’re wearing those uh ugly alternates. I’m sorry, guys. I don’t like those. I like the helmets. I don’t like the jerseys, but you’re going to be wearing those alternates at home on prime time football versus the Green Bay Packers. I think Matt Lafleur uh is going to have a really good game plan. I think that defense and that pass rush in particular. I think Brick Jones will probably struggle to protect Aaron Rodgers. Um, and I think that although I think the Steelers will be competitive in that ball game, I think the Packers probably win a close one there uh for the next time I expect the Steelers to lose a football game. And then unfortunately, another guy that seems to have Mike Tomlin’s number is Shane Stiken, who has beaten, uh, you know, Mike Tomlin and has put up big numbers with quarterbacks that haven’t played as well as Daniel Jones has through the first few weeks of the season. I think the Colts are one of the more wellbalanced teams in the National Football League right now. They got a good run game. They got good weapons, um, good pass protection, a a good defense that is actually really underrated. And then I think Shane Styen is one of the best offensive play callers in football. Unfortunately, I have the Steelers losing that game as well at home. And then I’m going to have them lose week 10 as well versus the Los Angeles Chargers. Um, and you know, the Chargers are a very well-run football team with John Harbaugh. They’re going to have Joe Alt back at that point. Um, you know, that defense is a really good team as well. That’s a tough place uh to play there on the road. I know the Steelers fans are going to be uh definitely filling up Sofi Stadium as they usually do when they go to LA. I certainly think the Steelers can pull out that victory, but I’m being a little bit conservative here. I’m going to have them lose versus the Chargers cuz Justin Herbert is an awesome quarterback. Might win MVP this year. And then week 11, I’m going to have them beat the Cincinnati Bengals and sweep the Pussycats this year. Like I said, I really like the matchup between the Steelers and Cincinnati this year. I think they’re going to be able to run the football extremely effectively against that football team this year. And even in years past when their offenses haven’t been as good as this year’s Steelers team, they were still able to put up 30 plus points pretty consistently against Cincinnati. So, I feel good about the sweep there for the Pittsburgh Steelers. And coming up here on today’s show, I’m going to be uh predicting the final stretch here. How many of these uh final games do I think that the Steelers can win? Do I think they can beat the Bills? Do I think they can beat the Ravens? Let me I’ll let you guys know the answers to those questions here in just one moment. But first, let’s have a word from our sponsor today at Prize Picks. You and I, we both make decisions every single day. But on Prize Picks, being right can actually get you paid. Don’t miss any of the excitement this football season on Prize Picks, where it’s good to be right. Football season is finally here, and you better believe I’m going to be getting my prize pick lineups in all season long. Prize Pick is super simple to play. You just pick more than or less than on two to six player staff projections. And if you get your picks right, you could cash in. Price Pix also puts their users first, so all withdrawals are fast, safe, and secure. Prico offers Venmo, Apple Pay, Mastercard, and more for quick and easy deposits into your account this football season. And a new feature from Prize Pix that I absolutely love is injury reboots. If one of your players leaves the game in the first half and doesn’t return, Prize Picks will not count that as a loss. So you guys can take a look here at my week five of projection here for professional football. I’m going to take the more on passing yards for Justin Herbert, the more on receiving yards for Quinton Johnston, and the more on receiving yards for Zack Ers. So you guys can download the app today for free and use code CLNS to get $50 in lineups after you play your first $5 lineup today. That’s code CLNS to get $50 in lineups after you play your first $5 lineup on the Prize Pick app today. Prize Pick, it’s good to be right. All right, now the home stretch here, ladies and gentlemen. I’m going to have Aaron Rogers beat uh the Chicago Bears uh at Soldier Field for probably the last time in his uh NFL career here. Uh he owns the Chicago Bears. He’s played awesome at Soldierfield his entire career. I think that trend continues and I think Caleb Williams has a difficult time uh playing against this Steelers defense. But then in week 13, once again, I think the Steelers can be competitive against the Buffalo Bills, but Josh Allen is Josh Allen. And you know, I think that this game uh could be a tossup by the time we get to week 13 and the Steelers are playing good football, but if I have to bet my life on it right now, I will take the Buffalo Bills to take that football game. Uh they’re the favorites right now to be the number one seed in the AFC, frankly, by far. Um so it’s going to be if the Steelers can win that game, I think that that will be a true litmus test as to just how competitive they can be in the AFC this season. Then I’m going to have them win a very impressive win on the road versus the Baltimore Ravens. I expect the Ravens will be better at that point in the season. Lamar Jackson will be fully back. Um, you know, I expect the a lot of the injuries that they have on defense will be better. I think their defense will be better than what it is right now. If you don’t know, the Ravens actually have are dead last in scoring defense through the first four weeks of the season. It’s been a terrible defense. Um, but I think that they’re going to be playing better football down the stretch, but I like the Steelers matchup versus the Baltimore Ravens this year. Going to have them win in Baltimore in week 14. Then in week 15, I’m going to have them dominate the Miami Dolphins. I think at that point, Mike McDaniel probably be fired. Um, and of course, they don’t have Tyreek Hill. I think that, you know, that’s going to be a cold weather game at Akasher Stadium late in the season. Don’t really see the Dolphins uh going into Pittsburgh and winning that one. But then I’m going to have them lose to the Detroit Lions on the road. That’s a tough place to play. Um, that’s a good offense that can run the football, has a really good offensive line. Um, I think that that is a good Detroit Lions football club, uh, that is well coached and I think that the Steelers unfortunately probably take the loss there in week 16. But then, uh, in week 17, I’m going to have them sweep the Cleveland Browns, uh, going to Cleveland. And at that point, Dylan Gabriel or Shadur Sanders, whoever’s starting for them at that point, it’s probably going to be a little bit more settled in than what they’re what we’re going to see from these guys in week six. But again, uh, Mike Tomlin is excellent against rookie quarterbacks. I think that this offense is good enough to, you know, put up enough points to win versus Cleveland’s pretty darn good defense. Um, and this is one is a little one that I’m a little bit worried about because, you know, I because plain simply, guys, I’m I’m having them completely sweep the AFC North this year with the Baltimore Ravens in week 18. Like I said, I like the matchup that the Steelers have uh with the Ravens this year. Uh usually they play very well against Lamar Jackson typically and because the Ravens defense this year is so much worse than it’s been in previous seasons. I think it provides a great opportunity uh for the Steelers to really run ramshot over the AFC North. And of course uh with my updated record prediction here, I have the Steelers finishing with an 11 and6 record. Um and obviously that’s the best record that they have had in quite a while if that’s if that’s what they’re able to do. And honestly, I’m being a little conservative here guys. I think they could beat the Bills. I think they could beat the Los Angeles Chargers. I think they could beat the Green Bay Packers. So, they could, you know, fill up the wid column even more here. Um, but I think 11 wins should be enough to win this division this season. All right. The Baltimore Ravens have started their year off one and three. And now Lamar Jackson might miss a game or two over the next few weeks. And if they lose those games, uh, and they continue to lose ball games, you know, it’s just going to be more and more difficult for the Ravens to bounce back. uh with Joe Burrow out for multiple months and the defense looking as bad as it is in Cincinnati. I think they might even finish last in this division. It’s not out of the question because Cleveland’s defense is pretty good and I think Dylan Gabriel uh might play well enough to get them at least a couple of victories. Uh but plain simply guys, this is not a good division outside of the Pittsburgh Steelers. I think this is clearly the most well-balanced football team in the division. And as long as the Steelers can keep it up, as long as they can stay healthy, all those things, um, I think they should be heavy favorites to win the AFC North this year. Terms of the range, I could see them getting up as high as like 12 wins. Um, you know, I think that they could maybe add a win between uh the games of Green Bay, Los Angeles, Buffalo, those types of games. I think they could probably probably win one of those games. Um, but probably not multiple of them. Uh, just being a little bit conservative there. and then uh the floor. You know, it’s still possible that, you know, injuries happen. It’s still possible that, you know, maybe the offense, you know, just completely uh collapses. You know, maybe the the coverage issues we’ve seen on the Steelers defense continue and that ends up uh being the demise of the Pittsburgh Steelers. But what’s crazy, guys, is nine wins still might win the division. If the Ravens lose these next two games and they start one and five heading into their by-week, um you know, nine wins might be something that still puts you in contention by the end of the season for the division. So, um, that’s kind of crazy to say because I think a lot of people expected this division to be quite good this year, but, uh, playing simply outside of the Pittsburgh Steelers, uh, it’s not looking too great for the rest of the AFC North. And honestly, guys, a home playoff game would be huge for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their quest to finally win a playoff game. They haven’t done that uh, obviously since 2016, the 2016 season when they went to the AFC Championship game. And they’ve lost a bunch of games in a row in the playoffs. And part of the reason for that is, you know, you you’ve had to travel to teams like Kansas City and you had to travel to Buffalo and you had to travel to Baltimore, but you also lost a couple of uh of home playoff games as well. That is completely unacceptable. But I think this year’s team, all right, guys, is best set up probably since 2017 to win a playoff game. You got a really great uh game manager type quarterback that is still an all-time great guy that can throw the ball with supreme arm talent and accuracy. I think you I think this team has really found something with these jumbo personnel looks in the run game. Um that I think is going to really be the identity of this offense. I think it’s going to open up the deep passing game as well for Rogers and company. And I think this defense, the more they play with each other is going to get better and better as the season goes on. So, I think by season’s end, if you can have uh, you know, an 11 win record, maybe a 12- win record, you get that AFC North championship, you get that playoff game at Acer Stadium, it increases the chances that you win one playoff game. And if you can win one playoff game, guys, as I say, you can go on a run. So, predict it for me down there in the comments section. Is this the year that the Steelers finally win a playoff game? Give me a yes or a no down there in the comments section. I believe this is a year where they can win a playoff game, guys. Let me know what you guys think down there in the comments section. And that’ll be it for today’s edition of Steelers Talk. Make sure you click that subscribe button if you haven’t already for more in-depth Steelers coverage just like we did today every single day on this channel. [Music]

Steelers Nation, the Pittsburgh Steelers are off to a hot 3-1 start, but how will the rest of the 2025 season play out? Visit https://prizepicks.onelink.me/LME0/CLNS and use code CLNS and get $50 in lineups when you play your first $5 lineup!

Jack Sperry delivers his updated Steelers record prediction heading into the bye week, breaking down key AFC North matchups, tough road games, and what Pittsburgh’s ceiling and floor could be this year. With Kenny Pickett and Mike Tomlin leading the charge, can the Steelers reach 11 wins and secure the AFC North crown? Stay locked in with all the latest Pittsburgh Steelers news, rumors, and predictions — and SUBSCRIBE to Steelers Talk on YouTube for nonstop Steelers coverage all season long!

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Steelers’ Season Results So Far:
– Week 1 at New York Jets: W (34-32)
– Week 2 vs. Seattle Seahawks: L (31-17)
– Week 3 at New England Patriots: W (21-14)
– Week 4 vs. Minnesota Vikings: W (24-21)

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AFC North Standings:
#1: Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)
#2: Cincinnati Bengals (2-2)
T-3: Baltimore Ravens (1-3)
T-3: Cleveland Browns (1-3)

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