Texas Rangers trade Marcus Semien to New York Mets for Brandon Nimmo in deeply confusing deal

Texas Rangers trade Marcus Semien to New York Mets for Brandon Nimmo in deeply confusing deal

The Rangers just traded Marcus Simeon for Brandon NMO. What? You are Locked On Rangers, your daily Texas Rangers podcast, part of the Locked On podcast network. Your team every day. You are locked onto the Texas Rangers, the first and best daily Rangers podcast. I’m Bryce Patrick, a crippling addicted Texas Rangers fan. Come to this team for 12 seasons, including all seven as the founder and host of this podcast. Thank you all so much for making locked on Rangers your first listen every single day. Part of the Lock on Podcast Network, the number one sports podcast network. You can follow me on Twitter at Bryce Patrick. You can follow the show at Lockdown Ranger. Hit subscribe on your favorite podcasting platform and on YouTube where the best way you can help grow the show to comment nearly any single thing below. Now, on today’s show, this emergency episode of Locked on Rangers, we are talking about the Rangers trading Marcus Simeon to the New York Mets for outfielder Brandon Nemo. And why this completely caught me offguard. Before we get into all that, today’s episode is brought to you by FanDuel. Right now, new customers can bet just $5. And if your bet wins, you’ll get $300 in bonus bets to use across the app. Download the FanDuel app today. Now, just mere moments ago, I was recording what I thought was going to be my Monday episode of Locked on Rangers, talking about the aftermath of losing Adola Garcia and Jodahheim and all of that stuff. And I said on that show multiple times that I thought, well, this is not just an indicator, especially with the Jacob Web cutting him to save about a million and a third dollars. I thought this is not the last cost cutting move that the Rangers make. And this definitely falls in the kind of costcutting move, but also not cost cutting move. The Rangers are sending Marcus Simeon, their former captain, their World Series champion, franchise cornerstone, the half a billion dollar infield is gone. And the all that remains is Cory Seager. Off to New York Mets for outfielder Brandon Nemo, who is fine. He’s just fine. If Fine was a player, Fine would be Brandon Nemo. And this is confusing for one main reason. Not Not just roster construction wise, it makes a little bit of sense. Josh Smith will probably move to be the everyday second baseman, unless they feel really great about Cody Freeman filling in that role. I I’m not sure that I would quite go there with Cody Freeman. It moves Bren Nemo out there to right field. So, the everyday outfield is probably be something like Adolas or excuse me, no longer Adolas Garcia. Wyatt Langford in left field, Evan Carter in center, Brandon Nemo in right field. Maybe you swap corners and put Wyatt in in right and Nemo in left. I don’t know exactly how that’s going to go down, but because moving off of a contract that’s three years, $75 million or so that are left heading into his age extending through his age 37 season for Marcus Simeon. That that was owed. is going to make $26 million next year. But all this counts as $25 million on the luxury tax, which is really the only number that the Rangers particularly care about is getting under that luxury tax and not having to be anywhere near that self-imposed barrier for spending more money. And then he’ll make $26 million next year. And then he’ll make $20 million in terms of just cash payroll in the final year of that deal in 2028. So, three more seasons for an average of about $24 million per all of those three seasons heading into age 37 season. For a guy who just won a gold glove offensively is not anywhere near what he was in 2023, but they trade him for a guy who has five years left on his deal and will be 37 at the end of that deal. NMO is just a fine player heading into his age 33 season. coming off of a year where he had 25 home runs with the Mets, a 760 OPS, a 114 OPS plus, he was he’s fine. He was a fine player offensively and above average bat, a 114 ops plus. So, a little bit a little bit above fine out there. Defensively, he’s about average. I mean, you look at his baseball, Savant Page, and uh that that’s a whole lot of gray. Everything’s about fine. Like, everything is truly just kind of okay. It’s fine. It is a fine player. I don’t know how many more times I can say fine here, but there’s five years and $100 million left on Brandon Nemo’s deal. Overall, the Rangers are taking on more money in this deal. Although in the aggregate, in the interim, for the next three years, it will be less money per year. It’s about 20.5 million. So basically, the Rangers are saving $5 million per year on their payroll to take on eventually another $25 million of overall value. But this this just really deeply confuses me as to why the Rangers made this move. Marcus Simeon was aging a little bit, but still offensively he wasn’t, you know, horrendous. He was a little bit below average offensively. Overall, the numbers don’t look particularly great. a 669 OPS is not necessarily nice, but still was a 3.3 baseball reference for a player this year. I mean, in like three quarters of a season. This is the most time that Marcus Simeon has missed. This is the first time he’s really missed any extended parts of time since 2017 back in Oakland. In Oakland, that was now four teams ago because he is now a member of the New York Mets. was an all-star in 2024 and in 2023. He was a nearly six win player his first year in Texas despite that awful start to the season, but overall an OPS plus of 97, 3% worse than League average and still a gold glover. This is a guy who has won some kind of hardware three the four years he’s been in Texas. The one year that he didn’t do that, he had a 106 OPS plus and a 5.7 baseball reference season. He’s average being a five win player with the Rangers. more than a five- win player with the Texas Rangers. It is just truly wild that this is the move that they make and this is the how they choose to make it. I don’t think that this means that the Rangers are going to just trade off every veteran that’s making any extended amount of money. He’s already in the top 20, nearly the top 20. It was very close to being in the top 20 of baseball reference board players for the career as a member of the Texas Raiders. One more average season would have jumped him ahead of the likes of Josh Hamilton, of Rusty Greer, of maybe A-Rod, maybe A-Rod, maybe maybe he would have gotten close to Michael Young as well. But, uh, this is just a very surprising move because I didn’t think that Marcus Simeon would be traded this also. I I just didn’t see a scenario where that happened. Not because I thought the Rangers loved him and thought he was the greatest and they were very happy with everything that was going on with Marcus Simeon and the value that he was providing, but it’s more I just thought nobody’s going to take that contract. Nobody’s going to take an extra $75 million for a guy who’s in his mid-30s already showing signs of offensive decline even though the value is still there defensively. And if you view view second base as a premium defensive position, then you know Marcus Simeon is a valuable guy. He’s still got some value on the base pass. He’s not, you know, aging in the way that you think, oh, this is going to be a very very fast fall off and immediately he’s going to be just not a good player. That that’s not what I thought was happening at all. But I just didn’t see someone saying yes to going, “Yeah, let’s let’s go ahead and get $75 million um from from a guy who it was great in 2022 and in 2020 or in 2023 and in 2021. in 2022. Like this is a guy who had been awesome in many of these odd years. I I thought that this is going to be the odd year resurgence of Marcus Smi because in odd years he had had his best career seasons. 2019 that was when he finished third in MVP voting back with Oakland had a eight and a half win season. In 2021 with Toronto he set the record for the most home runs by a primary second baseman with 45 home runs. Then in 2023, he set the record for the most played appearances combined for a regular season and postseason with 753 played appearances in that regular season, leading off every single day being a seven and a half war player, finishing third in MVP voting. Literally all three of those years in 2019, 2021, and in 2023, he finished third in AL MVP voting. And in several of those seasons it was he only reason he didn’t win is because well Shiotani was doing Shoani things in in two of those three seasons. The Shoani was the one who ended up coming home with the crown. And in 2021 he finished um he finished third and second place was his teammate that year. It was Vlatty Guerrero Jr. in 2021. And then 2023 he finished third and second place was also his teammate in Corey Seager. But this deal just completely confuses me because of what the Rangers got back. What did the Raiders get back in Brandon Nemo? And why did they trade Marcus Simeon for this guy who’s just fine? Talk about all that and more right after this. This show is brought to you by FanDuel. The NBA is back and there’s no better place to get in on the action than FanDuel, the official sports betting partner of the NBA. Even if you start missed the start of the game or you want to ride the hot hand, FanDuel has live bets on everything from who will score next to fourth quarter comebacks. Let’s look at some of these FanDuel odds for the 2026 World Series if they have changed in the last I think hour uh since I did this show. No, I don’t know that they have. Um New York Mets are still the fourth favorite tied with the Seattle Mariners at plus 1100 to win the World Series in 2026. For league winners, let’s see. The New York Mets are uh third favorite to win the National League behind the Dodgers favorite at plus 185. Phillies at plus 500. The Rangers to win the American League. They are down there behind the likes of the Baltimore Orioles, the Kansas City Royals. Uh somehow ahead of the Rays, and uh yeah, the teams who the Rangers are ahead of winning the AL are the Rays, the Twins, the A’s, the Angels, and the White Socks. That’s not a particularly great look for these Texas Ranger. But right now, FNO is giving new customers $300 in bonus bets when your first $5 bet wins. So head to fol.com to sign up and play your game with FanDuel, the official sports betting partner of the NBA. Shout out to the making locked on your first every single day. On Tuesday’s show, I’ll be back and I have already recorded that episode. So, I will be putting a disclaimer at the start of it because I literally finished recording about a minute before, maybe a minute before Adulas car or not Marcus Simeon was trained. I’m losing track of how many different World Series champions for the Texas Rangers are gone because it is almost all of them. It feels like there are two pitchers remaining and I think now five or six hitters remaining from that World Series roster. So things are changing very very rapidly but that will be on tomorrow’s episode of locked on rangers and I said on that episode that this was not these Adoulles Garcia DFAS all of these designated for assignments for Jonahheim for Jacob Webb for Josh spores for Garcia those were not the last cost cutting moves that the Texas range would make and lo and behold it took about 3 seconds for me to be proven very very right but this feels a little bit shortsighted but let’s get into who Brandon Nemo is as a player. He is an outfielder. He has spent the entirety of his major league career with the Mets. A former first round pick back in 2011 out of East High School in Cheyenne, Wyoming. One of the very few Wyoming natives to make it all the way to the big leagues. For his career, he has been about an 800 OPS player. He has spent 10 seasons in the big leagues. And one of the things that Brandon Nmo has done well over the last couple of seasons is he posts. He and I don’t mean on Twitter online. I I mean that he posts up. He shows up two games. He stays healthy. He has not missed that much time in the last four seasons. Last year played 155 games. The year before that 151, 152, 151. In the other seasons before that, he has been about a 4ish win player for per 162 games for his career. Last year was a little bit below that, a 2.9 win player, 25 homers. He’s a average about 20-ish homers per season. Spent time a little bit in center field, spent more time recently in a corner outfield slot. The Mets were really enthralled with him. And Mets fans, uh, one of the Mets fans that I talked to right after this news broke said, “Hey, we were very, very surprised by this because Brandon Nemo was possibly going to be the Mets captain next year, which I don’t think is going to happen now that he is not a member of the New York Mets. I thought that might be a role more suited to Francisco Lindor. Um, but hey, this is this is where we are. This has been a guy who has just been a little bit above average. He does everything kind of okay defensively. He’s fine. He’s not particularly fast anymore. Doesn’t have a whole lot of arm strength. Doesn’t strike out a whole lot. Doesn’t walk a whole bunch. Doesn’t chase all that much either. his hard hit rate and his average exit VO. Those are the only baseball Savant sliders that are in the bright red. He also has a chase rate in right around the top quarter of baseball. So has a good knowledge of the strike zone. But this is yet another lefty, but he’s not someone who at least last year hit lefties particularly poorly. I mean, for a lefty, he was much better than most lefties are against left-handed bats, which is big because a large portion of this Rangers lineup is going to be very left-handed. And they just got even more left-handed with this move because Josh Smith is going to be coming in and hitting left-handed and probably playing every day at second base where Marcus Simeon was one of the few righties the Rangers had left. Moving on from Edles Garcia means that in right field the Rangers are probably going to have a left-handed hitter. In center field is probably going to be Evan Carter who is also a left-handed hitter who has been pretty poor against lefties. The everyday DH is going to be Jock Peterson who is also a left-handed hitter. So you can see and Corey Seager at shortstop also a left-handed hitter. So the Rangers really are going to need some kind of right-handed bat who crushes left-handed pitching uh because they they are going to need that kind of platoon splits. But last year a 732 OPS against left-handed pitching. He had eight home runs in 204 played appearances against lefties. tells me that not only was he starting against lefties, he was not just a platoon only guy. Maybe occasionally he would get the platoon off, but when you’re playing, you know, all but like seven games out of the year, you’re going to start against lefties, you’re going to start against righties, and that’s what Brandon NMO did. And he did a fine job at it. I mean, he was a lot his best career season, the season, I believe that was right before he got paid was in 2022. He is on a a very very long contract that is just a bit more than I would have paid. A bit more than I I really wanted. The first year of this deal was 2023. Heading into that season, an 8-year $162 million deal. He has played three seasons of that deal. So, he still has five years and averaging 20.5 million for the rest of this contract. is the luxury tax. It you got a4 million off the $20.5 million that he is making this year. So, not exactly a whole lot of savings and a longer contract. And in the overall picture, the Rangers are adding $25 million for what seems like a restructuring payroll cutting kind of a deal. You look at every single beat writer who was tweeting about this deal. They’re saying, “Look at the money that the Rangers are saving. They’re they’re saving $5 million a year for the next three years, and then they’re adding $20.5 million for for several years after that or two years after that. So overall, the Raiders aren’t even saving money. They’re saving money for the right now, which just feels incredibly weird. just being this specifically hyperfocused on saving money in 2023 when you still have guys like Cory Seager in their prime making a lot of money. You still have Jacob Deg Grom in his prime making a lot of money. You still have Nathan Ealdi in his prime making a lot of money. And you also have these pre-arbitration guys, these two very three very good players that are pre-arbitration that are succeeding and not costing you a whole lot of money to kind of give you that roster flexibility to go and spend money elsewhere. guys like Evan Carter, like Wyatt Langford, like Jack Lighter, all those guys, very talented, very high impact guys that are all pre-arbitration and are not particularly close to arbitration at this point. Where if you’ve got guys that are like Wyatt Langford, a like five and a half win player who is still not yet arbitration eligible, you should not be crying poor in ways like this. It is just a really fascinating exciting and and NMO was a guy who I looked at a lot in that off seasonason heading into that a that 2023 season. I thought, okay, the Rangers were definitely tied to Brandon NMO. They I’m sure were asking about him, but eight years was a whole lot of money. It was a Steve Cohen level of money for a guy who has never been, you know, that particularly great. He has never made an all-star team. He has never won a gold glove. He has never won a silver slugger. I mean, he has just been fine. He’s been okay. And to be honest, that is kind of what the Rangers needed offensively. They needed some help in the outfield. Do Garcia was not what the Rangers wanted to be. And this is a this is an offensive upgrade. If you just look at the overall value upgrade, the Raiders do get a little bit better in right field by putting Brandon Nemo out there instead of Adolles Garcia. But where you lose me is what else this means for this reindeer squad. Where the ripple effects are from not only bringing on Brandon NMO, but what is Brandon Nemo going to look like in the future? This is what he is right now, but is this a deal that could go south later on? Talk about why that may or may not be true right after this. Now, I don’t normally love doing player comps more for for prospects, but I feel more okay with it for established big league stars because big leaguers already have the value. They don’t have the pressure on them to kind of be like some player that you’ve never seen before. They they can kind of stand more on their own. But when I see Brandon Nemo, I think very much about a guy who is going to be on on the Hall of Fame uh voting block this year, the ballot this year. It’s Shinsuchu. That is a very similar type of player. A guy who is um knows the strike zone very well who works a decent number of walks. NMO has not been quite as proficient at having a high on base percentage the last couple years as he had in years past. His career OBP is in the 360s. Last year it was 324. The year before that it was 329 uh or 327. And the sol percentage is right around the, you know, low 400s. It was at 436 last year. The year before that it was in at below just one point below 400. So this is a guy who is going to give you about 20 to 25 homers. The on base hopefully it bounces back closer to where it’ been in season’s past. And in the years let leading up to this contract. I mean he had a an on base above 400. He’s done that three times in his career. He did it in 2020. He did it in 2021. He also did it in 2018 as well. This has been a very high on base guy and last year it really was not as much a high on base guy. I mean in 2024 his walk rate was in the top 10% of baseball. So he’s been that in the past and he’s done a good job of hitting the ball particularly hard. Uh the launch angle sweet spot. That’s something that he definitely needs to work on. The chase rate has always been particularly good and the strikeout rate has been, you know, about fine. At times he’s been a good defender out there in a corner outfield spot. At times he’s been a little bit subpar. He was definitely subpar in center field. I don’t anticipate the Rangers asking him to be an everyday center fielder. He might occasionally play out there, but for the most part I think that other guys are going to go that way. But I I think where this starts to confuse me the most is that not only the Rangers are taking on more money. But this says the Rangers have a lot of confidence in what they’re going to get out of Josh Smith next year, what they’re going to get possibly out of Sam Hagerty, out of possibly Zeke Durant, out of Cody Freeman next year. And I I just feel like that’s it’s asking a lot. It’s asking a lot of these guys that they haven’t really been able to do. I mean, Josh Smith the last couple years has been has been pretty good, but you look at the splits, the drop off, the tremendous drop off from the first half to the second half, and it’s worrying. It’s really worrying. In the first half last year, he had a 769 OPS. It dropped off nearly 200 points to below 600 in the second half. He did the exact same thing in 2024, but it was even worse. his OPS was north of 850 in that first half of 2020 in 2024 and then it dropped off pretty substantially at 861 OPS in the first half of 2024 the year where he should have been an all-star it wasn’t and then in the second half it dropped off nearly 300 points to 565 this tells a tale of a guy who is a first half player and I hope that’s not the case I don’t know why it was the case in both of these years. In the first year, in 2024, the first year, he was really an everyday starter. I thought, okay, it’s because the workload’s a bit much. This is a a lot that the Rangers are asking of him. There’s a lot of games. There is some wear and tear on your body, and you start to get exhausted when you’re not used to being built up to playing that many games. And in this case, this is going to be asking a lot of him and of Cody Freeman and of Sam Hagerty. Sam Hagerty was was good when the Rangers were were playing him when he was playing, but he played in 64 games last year. He didn’t get called up until around Mayish of last year. And then he missed basically half the season with an ankle injury. And for a guy that has a lot of his value, not all of it, but a decent chunk of his value in being a very fast player and a very good base runner, that that scares me a little bit for a guy who’s heading into his age 32 season. Zeke Durant was pretty awful offensively last year. Defensively, very valuable. You could play 18 different positions. um basically everywhere but catcher because he pitched, he played shortstop, he played second, he played center, he played right, he played left, he played first base, he played third base. He played literally everywhere but catcher last year, but offensively he did not provide a whole lot of value. And overall, this could be a good move for the Rangers because Brandon Emmo is at least a league average bat. And last year, the Rangers did not have all that many of those guys who were staying in there consistent consistently. Evan Carter was above league average bat, but he only played in 63 games last year. Dwight Langford well above league average bat. He missed 30 games. Josh Young was about league averageish. Marcus Simeon was below league average. Jake Burgerer a little bit below league average. Jonah was was pretty awful offensively. Smith was fine, but if you’re going out there with Ozuna as your everyday guy, I just did not see that as a winning strategy. And with this, the Raiders are not at least not going to be relying on Alejandra Ozuna to be an everyday player. I I I don’t mean to just harp on Ozuna specifically, but he’s not an everyday player at this point. Last year, the underlying data said he’s he should be better than the 591 OPS that he was running, but I don’t know how much better he was really going to be than that. I think eventually Ozuna might be an everyday corner outfielder. He He might be. And you know what? If that’s what he ends up being, that is a huge jump from what the Rangers expected when they signed him out of Mexico for around 10 grand 5 years ago. That that is a lot better than what any of the highest expectations for Al Alejandro Ozuna’s professional career could be. but relying on him to be an everyday starter on a team that for all intents and purposes, for all what they’re saying with their mouths, not with their dollars and with their actions, but with their mouths, the Rangers are saying, “Hey, this is a team that wants to compete for a championship in 2026.” I don’t know that I buy it with some of these hugely cost cutting moves, but they’re at least saying that with their words. And so, bringing in Brandon Emmo is a boost to that. It is a boost to this offense. is a guy who can bring you some really quality at bats like an Evan Carter. I mean, offensively, their profiles are are kind of similar defensively. I I think Evan Carter is miles better than what we’ve seen from Brandon Emmo. Even Brandon Emmo at his peak was was never had the defensive value that Evan Carter had. But that, you know, pesky atbat, that working count, that left-handed on base heavy bat with a a decent amount of pop every once in a while. I think that could be the kind of value that Brandon Emmo is providing. And just adding one more decent bat in their lineup could be what they needed. I think it’s what they needed last year. You look at what their projected opening day lineup is going to look like next year and how many of these guys are average bats. I think it’s a a better percentage of the than it was last year. Brandon Emmo projected to be the leadoff guy than Wyatt Langford hitting second. Seager third. Peterson in the cleanup hole. Maybe that ends up being okay. Pushes Jake Burgerer down to hitting fifth. Evan Carter hitting sixth somewhere in there. I think that’s fine. Josh Smith being your everyday third baseman hitting seventh. Josh Smith as your eighth hole hitter. If Josh Smith is your eight-hole hitter, I think that’s a pretty decent lineup. And then you put Higgy in there in the nine-hole. And I think that’s an overall at least average lineup next year. Maybe this makes them a lot better. They still have some work to do on the bullpen side. I still think they should go sign a good closer. Even if it costs a pretty penny, go cut corners in the mid-range of your bullpen. Don’t cut corners at the back end of the bullpen. I think that’s the lesson that Chris Young learned this past year. But he he’s shown an ability to go and get some of those really good deals on guys that are buying low on bullpen guys like what he did last year. Look at the likes of Shawn Armstrong, how good he was for basically a million and a quarter dollars. They’ll get how good Hobie Milner was for the first half of the year until he got overused and overexposed and and really struggled down the stretch for $2.5 million. Like look what they got from Chris Martin whenever he was out there on a a team friendly deal as well. I mean some of these other guys as well. There are some other moves to be made. I’m a little surprised they weren’t able to get any kind of value from Adel Garcia. I talked about that. I guess I will talk about that technically as you’re as you listen to it as they will be in the future on Tuesday’s show talking about how the Rangers were were crying poor so much about Adulus that no team thought oh uh why why every team thought hey why would we trade assets to go get it Garcia when we can just wait for you to cryore and and just cut him and sign him for only money as opposed to also giving up a prospect but this is just a very confusing deal out of left field this is also Chris Young’s Mo as a GM, as a POBO, a as a person in charge of baseball operations for the Texas Rangers to just have these deals come out of nowhere. He he’s a little bit in that Braves model of you don’t really figure out what’s happening. There are no leaks about, oh, the Rangers are looking to do this, that, and the other until it already happened. It does not really give you reason to to suspect something’s happening. It just ends up happening. But this is also just a a sad move for those who’ve loved watching Marcus Simeon play. I mean, I really loved watching Marcus Simeon play defense. And this is sad. This is honestly really sad. And it’s a sad message to send to potential future free agents of, hey, this is a guy who was supposed to be the bedrock, the cornerstone of this franchise. This is a guy who was the Rangers captain. He was their emotional leader, that workhorse in the clubhouse, the guy who set the culture for the first championship team in franchise history. And what, four years after he ended up signing that deal to become one of the faces of the franchise of the Texas Tech Strangers, boom, he’s gone because he has slightly underperformed for two seasons. That is not a good look to send to future stars that might want to sign with your team. But honestly, the Rangers are crying so poor. They they’re not going to sign any stars anyway. This is just a deeply confusing move that I think makes them better, but just makes me scratch my head as to the rationale of why this way, why is this the move that’s happening? And what are the ripple effects going that are going to come of this kind of a trade, not just for this year, but for years to come for this Texas Rangers franchise? I am just flat out confused. I have no more analysis. I am just simply confused and I will need to sit on this for a minute to figure out what the ripple effects are going to be and what more details are going to come out. Is this the last big blockbuster move the Rangers are going to make this off seasonason? Is this the one big move for this off season? I don’t know because clearly I don’t know anything about what Chris Young is going to do next. That’s going to do it for today’s show. Thank you all so much for listening and subscribing and until next time, don’t forget to enjoy baseball.

The Texas Rangers traded multi-time all-star and World Series winner Marcus Semien just four years into his seven year contract, barely two years removed from the first title in franchise history. The New York Mets sent outfielder Brandon Nimmo to Texas in exchange for Semien.

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