After listening to Goodman and Beck's interview on MLB Central where they talk about the challenge of going between home/road series, I wanted to see if the numbers backed it up. It may even be worse than they were letting on…
https://purpleberry.substack.com/p/beating-the-split-breaking-down-the?r=71c9wg
2 comments
Great analysis, I enjoyed reading your article
Hello! Love your deep dives. Also a fellow sports writer.
I tend to look at this from the opposite angle. Like elevation and playing at altitude have effects on play but they aren’t dramatic. Like the altitude adjustments of baseball are enough to make a difference but not enough to start a trend.
I think we have to be super careful comparing data from the last 3 years when trying to extrapolate or experiment with the altitude problem. The talent and team is total shit. That’s why the OPS is off.
My problem with the Rockies have always been they buy into the altitude excuse way to much. It’s the reason why they don’t do this or spend that or had analytics. It was dicks scapegoat for so fucking long
Respectfully, I think the value of a in division opponents splits in OPS would be way more valuable. Like a properly ran franchise and how they handle Coors. Our data samples for the past 3 years have been with truly AAA talent and I think that amplifies the altitude and / or home or away splits.
I think competitive baseball is possible in Denver. I also don’t think the altitude contributes to that large of a gap. See savants HR in different parks metric. OBP etc. I think our talent and players are so bad it’s been amplifying the altitude effect.