That’s interesting, one place we certainly need help so lets hope the numbers hold
Are these stats from last year? It’s definitely something they struggled with but how does analytics account for that? Sometimes it’s just statistical anomaly in a given season.
Bichette would have been perfect on the 2022 Mets. He fouls off a ton of pitches and then gets either a pesky hit or rips a double.
He’s led MLB in foul balls in multiple seasons, and has the highest known total of foul balls in a single season (over 600 in 2021).
Bichette is the only one I’m fully convinced on as a hitter. Even if he’s a bottom 1/3rd percentile fielding 3rd baseman his bat is worth it. I think fans will love him this year because we haven’t had a player of his level who hits to that ability for a bit. Closest comparison would be Starling in 2022, but Bichette’s younger and ceiling even higher than that.
Semien and Polanco are more boom/bust given their career trajectories to this point. I expect Semien to be closer to what he was in 2025 at the plate, than prior years, and more bullish on Polanco being productive at the plate, but frustrating in the field. Semien is going to be great at 2nd regardless for that stuff.
Also important is:
Semien, Bichette, Polanco – **$84.5m** in 2026 salary
Alonso, McNeil, Nimmo – **$67m** in 2026 salary
I think he holds a record for getting a hit in NINE STRAIGHT ABs. We need guys that can HIT and bring in runs, not just HR or bust guys that some of our fanbase desperately misses.
The guy extends ABs and won’t just have 3-pitch ABs. He’s gonna fight every time at that plate. Heart and grit and players that grind out ABs is what we need on this team
I know clutch is a thing but the math side of me says this doesn’t matter. If someone hits better in RISP I like to chock it down to coincidence. If he’s a .300 hitter he’s a .300 hitter, RISP or not.
How do all 3 of those guys play 2nd base at the same time?
Not arguing the stats but McNeil coming up with RISP made my pp very soft
*should*
This could easily be reordered to have three check marks lol
This was part of my frustration with the core we had. I never felt confident that they would get the big hit….the amount of times Alonso or Nimmo struck out with a man on 3rd we less than 2 outs felt absurd
Same type of thing with strikeout to walk ratio. Alonso and Nimmo were between 2.5:1. Bichette, Polanco and Semien are around 2:1 and 1.5:1.
There’s no evidence that hitting with RISP is a skill that translates with year-to-year consistency. It’s not really, like, a talent. Hitting itself is a talent. Situational hitting is a strategy. Hitting with RISP is more or less luck.
This is just randomness. Some years you hit good with RISP and sometimes you don’t.
I’m just glad i dont have to see Nimmo stare at a meatball in the heart of the zone, NOT swing, and march back to the dugout like a toy soldier. I loved the guy, but that shit was getting old
It’s weird seeing Alonso, Nimmo, and McNeil in other hats.
It’s been a rumor for two years. And probably won’t happen. But I’d love to see the Mets trade for Yandy Diaz.
Call my old fashion, but let’s get some high BA guys in this lineup and try to string more than three hits together in 2026.
It was time for a change. The core really had no accountability aside from Lindor.
This stat has 0 predictive power beyond regular hitting stats. Bichette hits well with RISP because he’s just a good hitter and has always hit for a high average so he also hits for a high average with RISP. He also hits well in every other situation. Over large enough samples these guys would all regress to their means.
If you look at year to year leaders in this shit it’s mostly random fuckers. The year Jesse Winker hit under .200 he led the league because all his hits came with RISP lmao. Brandon Drury also recently led the league.
I really like these moves so far. This team is going to be fun to watch.
Taking injury risk out of the equation yes….but there will be alot of lost games there
I mean, could it get any worse?
Hitting with RISP is not a repeatable skill and is mostly driven by luck and small sample size. Case in point Soto’s last 4 season he hit 204, 299, 345 and 238 with risp
So does this sub now believe that hitting with RISP is an actual thing now that it’s convenient in order to support moves made by the team? Because the advanced stats folks have repeated over and over how it isn’t real.
Chasing RISP is the dumbest thing. Hasn’t it been shown it’s completely stochastic and low / high RISP compared to overall stats is just natural statistical variance?
Anyone who has played baseball knows certain players are just better in the clutch (w/ RISP)
People can try and blame 2025’s faults all on the pitching which was obviously a major flaw but there’s no way you can’t tell me the offense & everyday players shouldn’t get blamed as well for constantly coming up small in clutch situations. 0 9th inning comebacks in a 162 game season is inexcusable. The book has been out on our former core for some time now either get them behind early or in pressure situations and watch them fold more times than not. Once Nimmo couldn’t get that bases loaded run against the Nats with even just a SAC fly knew right then it would be the final nail in the coffin
Any time Nimmo or McNeil came up to bat with RISP and 2 outs, I might as well have gotten up to go to the bathroom, inning is over. Everyone knew it as soon as they stepped into the batter’s box.
Career numbers are deceiving without more context… but regardless I think it will improve based on Bichette and Polanco alone.
Eye test. More people should trust it/use it.
Feel like every teams fans complains about hitting in RISP. Is this stat useful for prediction other than serving as a metric of just how bad/good you are?
May be true but put Soto in there too.
I’ll give ya McNeil. Nimmo washes with Simeon and as far as Alonso I’ll take 35 + Hr guy and 100+ rbi any day
Isnt that IG page one of the accounts that got triggered over pride night and dudes dancing?
33 comments
That’s interesting, one place we certainly need help so lets hope the numbers hold
Are these stats from last year? It’s definitely something they struggled with but how does analytics account for that? Sometimes it’s just statistical anomaly in a given season.
Bichette would have been perfect on the 2022 Mets. He fouls off a ton of pitches and then gets either a pesky hit or rips a double.
He’s led MLB in foul balls in multiple seasons, and has the highest known total of foul balls in a single season (over 600 in 2021).
Bichette is the only one I’m fully convinced on as a hitter. Even if he’s a bottom 1/3rd percentile fielding 3rd baseman his bat is worth it. I think fans will love him this year because we haven’t had a player of his level who hits to that ability for a bit. Closest comparison would be Starling in 2022, but Bichette’s younger and ceiling even higher than that.
Semien and Polanco are more boom/bust given their career trajectories to this point. I expect Semien to be closer to what he was in 2025 at the plate, than prior years, and more bullish on Polanco being productive at the plate, but frustrating in the field. Semien is going to be great at 2nd regardless for that stuff.
Also important is:
Semien, Bichette, Polanco – **$84.5m** in 2026 salary
Alonso, McNeil, Nimmo – **$67m** in 2026 salary
I think he holds a record for getting a hit in NINE STRAIGHT ABs. We need guys that can HIT and bring in runs, not just HR or bust guys that some of our fanbase desperately misses.
The guy extends ABs and won’t just have 3-pitch ABs. He’s gonna fight every time at that plate. Heart and grit and players that grind out ABs is what we need on this team
I know clutch is a thing but the math side of me says this doesn’t matter. If someone hits better in RISP I like to chock it down to coincidence. If he’s a .300 hitter he’s a .300 hitter, RISP or not.
How do all 3 of those guys play 2nd base at the same time?
Not arguing the stats but McNeil coming up with RISP made my pp very soft
*should*
This could easily be reordered to have three check marks lol
This was part of my frustration with the core we had. I never felt confident that they would get the big hit….the amount of times Alonso or Nimmo struck out with a man on 3rd we less than 2 outs felt absurd
Same type of thing with strikeout to walk ratio. Alonso and Nimmo were between 2.5:1. Bichette, Polanco and Semien are around 2:1 and 1.5:1.
There’s no evidence that hitting with RISP is a skill that translates with year-to-year consistency. It’s not really, like, a talent. Hitting itself is a talent. Situational hitting is a strategy. Hitting with RISP is more or less luck.
This is just randomness. Some years you hit good with RISP and sometimes you don’t.
I’m just glad i dont have to see Nimmo stare at a meatball in the heart of the zone, NOT swing, and march back to the dugout like a toy soldier. I loved the guy, but that shit was getting old
It’s weird seeing Alonso, Nimmo, and McNeil in other hats.
It’s been a rumor for two years. And probably won’t happen. But I’d love to see the Mets trade for Yandy Diaz.
Call my old fashion, but let’s get some high BA guys in this lineup and try to string more than three hits together in 2026.
It was time for a change. The core really had no accountability aside from Lindor.
This stat has 0 predictive power beyond regular hitting stats. Bichette hits well with RISP because he’s just a good hitter and has always hit for a high average so he also hits for a high average with RISP. He also hits well in every other situation. Over large enough samples these guys would all regress to their means.
If you look at year to year leaders in this shit it’s mostly random fuckers. The year Jesse Winker hit under .200 he led the league because all his hits came with RISP lmao. Brandon Drury also recently led the league.
I really like these moves so far. This team is going to be fun to watch.
Taking injury risk out of the equation yes….but there will be alot of lost games there
I mean, could it get any worse?
Hitting with RISP is not a repeatable skill and is mostly driven by luck and small sample size. Case in point Soto’s last 4 season he hit 204, 299, 345 and 238 with risp
So does this sub now believe that hitting with RISP is an actual thing now that it’s convenient in order to support moves made by the team? Because the advanced stats folks have repeated over and over how it isn’t real.
Chasing RISP is the dumbest thing. Hasn’t it been shown it’s completely stochastic and low / high RISP compared to overall stats is just natural statistical variance?
Anyone who has played baseball knows certain players are just better in the clutch (w/ RISP)
People can try and blame 2025’s faults all on the pitching which was obviously a major flaw but there’s no way you can’t tell me the offense & everyday players shouldn’t get blamed as well for constantly coming up small in clutch situations. 0 9th inning comebacks in a 162 game season is inexcusable. The book has been out on our former core for some time now either get them behind early or in pressure situations and watch them fold more times than not. Once Nimmo couldn’t get that bases loaded run against the Nats with even just a SAC fly knew right then it would be the final nail in the coffin
Any time Nimmo or McNeil came up to bat with RISP and 2 outs, I might as well have gotten up to go to the bathroom, inning is over. Everyone knew it as soon as they stepped into the batter’s box.
Career numbers are deceiving without more context… but regardless I think it will improve based on Bichette and Polanco alone.
Eye test. More people should trust it/use it.
Feel like every teams fans complains about hitting in RISP. Is this stat useful for prediction other than serving as a metric of just how bad/good you are?
May be true but put Soto in there too.
I’ll give ya McNeil. Nimmo washes with Simeon and as far as Alonso I’ll take 35 + Hr guy and 100+ rbi any day
Isnt that IG page one of the accounts that got triggered over pride night and dudes dancing?