9 comments
  1. seems reasonable enough. Sanford rated well in Keith Law’s writeup too. i’ve heard of him but this is significant buzz at this point.

    i have a feeling about Termarr Johnson this year. Altoona is a really tough place to hit, and Johnson has always been young for his level. I think we see a AAA breakout.

  2. I think a lot of people are calling Termarr a bust when that’s pretty unfair imo. I know his OPS hasn’t been great but his OBP has ALWAYS been strong even as an 18 year old. I still think that’s a very encouraging sign and one of the main reasons I think he can still turn it around.

    That being said, this might be a make it or break it year for him development wise.

  3. Password has dropped in every ranking. I guess those strikeout numbers in Triple A are a red flag. Makes me doubt if that was a good trade if the guy is essentially a long shot.

  4. Not sure the state of the league, but based on where Griffin and Chandler are, they have probably the best top 4 prospects in the league. As for the back half of their top-10, it’s an okay mixture of profiles. Couple of guys that have made it to the majors (Flores, Barco, Garcia), couple that have had some success in higher levels (Johnson and Valdez) and a prep pick with upside (Sanford).

    Sanford could still breakout and be considered a top prospect, but this is why prospect lists need to be understood for what they are. Doesn’t matter where those older guys are ranked on these lists, they will never be considered top prospects. There’s a window to achieve that (like Griffin achieved), then it’s just about their individual development as opposed to being noticed by prospect ranking outlets.

    For instance, if Valdez or Johnson take that step forward this year, they aren’t going to be recognized as top prospects, they are going to be promoted to the major leagues, and whether any of those outlets accurately predicted his actual future value or not is meaningless. It’s point in time stuff, and they aren’t great at prognosticating whether a guy is going to improve (they have some methods and some of them like to fashion themselves as scouts), but they are just matching their tools grades with output and performance. A lot of simple “if this, then that” scouting, if prospect X improves stat X, then he can succeed at the next step.

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