The Atlanta Braves (35-41) and New York Mets (46-31) clash Monday, as they swing into a 4-game series in Flushing, New York. The first pitch from Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 3-0
The Braves are continuing a road trip that opened with the club dropping 2 of 3 games at the Miami Marlins over the weekend. Atlanta is just 4-10 across its last 14 games away from home.
The Mets, who dropped three straight at Atlanta last Tuesday-Thursday, have won just once since June 13. And that’s on the heels of going 15-3 from May 24-June 12. Since July 27 last season, New York is 1-7 against the Braves and has been outscored 45-16 over those 8 meetings.
Braves at Mets projected starters
RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. RHP Paul Blackburn
Schwellenbach (5-4, 3.26 ERA) is making his 16th start. He owns a 1.01 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 96 2/3 innings.
Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 win vs. Mets TuesdayCareer vs. Mets: 2-0, 1.93 ERA (28 IP, 6 ER), 15 H, 3 BB, 28 K in 4 startsHas struck out 43 batters against just 4 walks over his last 5 starts
Blackburn (0-1, 6.92 ERA) is making his third start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 13 IP in 4 games (2 starts).
Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-0 loss at Atlanta Braves WednesdayCareer vs. Braves: 0-1, 2.63 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 12 K in 3 startsHas allowed 11R (10 ER) across his last 8 IP
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Braves at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Braves -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Braves at Mets picks and predictionsPrediction
Braves 6, Mets 4
No interest. PASS.
The Braves’ 7-1 mark against New York since last July includes 6 wins by margins of 3 runs or more. In going 1-8 since June 13, the Mets have been outscored 62-28.
Atlanta has had New York’s number in recent meetings. Schwellenbach has had New York’s number as well. Per ESPN, current Mets batters own an aggregate .551 OPS against him. And overall, Atlanta has underplayed its run-scoring (4.20 runs per game) and run-prevention (3.87 RPG) numbers.
Both sides have some expected-vs.-actual scoring numbers that indicate high scoring games on the horizon.
TAKE THE BRAVES -1.5 (+135).
The Over is 6-3 in the Mets’ last 9 games.
Both clubs saw these starters last week. Both bullpens could use an off day. On a warmed-up, wind-out evening in Flushing, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-115).
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