The New York Yankees (48-37) and Toronto Blue Jays (47-38) clash Wednesday as they continue their 4-game AL East series. The first pitch from Rogers Centre will be at 7:07 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Toronto leads 3-2

New York lost Tuesday’s contest 12-5 after dropping the opener 5-4 on Monday. The Yankees have allowed 5 runs or more in 4 straight games. They have gone 1-3 across the last 4 games.

The Blue Jays have won 3 consecutive games and 5 of their last 6 contests. Since May 20, Toronto has gone 14-4 at home. They trail the first-place Yankees by 1 game.

Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Will Warren vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Warren (5-4, 4.37 ERA) is making his 18th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 80 1/3 innings.

Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 8-0 win vs. A’s FridayHas never faced the Blue JaysOwns a 5.54 ERA on the road vs. a 3.35 ERA at home

Berrios (4-3, 3.26 ERA) is making his 18th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 102 innings.

Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 9-0 win at Boston Red Sox FridayCareer vs. Yankees: 4-8, 4.89 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 84 H, 29 BB, 98 K in 15 startsHas not allowed an ER in 3 of his last 4 startsOwns a 1.66 ERA over his last 6 starts

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Yankees at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Blue Jays +110 (bet $100 to win $110)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-155)Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictionsPrediction

Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3

New York has underplayed its solid offense, defense, and pitching, and its showing in the standings and, in this case, on the odds board. A scoring average of 5.07 runs per game while allowing just 3.84 spells a club playing well over-.600 baseball. And the pitching/defense side of that equation is underpinned by analytics indicating the Yankees can be better still. A 12-17 record in 1-run games is certainly part of the Yanks posting a record paler than it should be.

Warren, who owns a 1.96 ERA over his last 4 starts, has been undone by a .322 batting average on balls in play (.424 BABIP in high-leverage situations). Berrios, on the other hand, has benefited from a .271 overall BABIP and a .214 BABIP in high-leverage situations.

Peg Warren as being undervalued in this match-up, and per ESPN current New York batters own an aggregate .847 OPS against Berrios.

FanDuel SportsbookFanDuel Sportsbook has a value tag here: BACK THE YANKEES (-126).

No interest. PASS.

The Over prevailed in the first 2 games of this set, but look for Thursday’s contest to swing back the other way.

Warren and a rested back end of the New York bullpen tilt the expectation of scoring in a game between 2 good offensive clubs.

TAKE THE UNDER 9 (-115).

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