The LA Dodgers (26-13) and Arizona Diamondbacks (20-19) play the third game of their 4-game series in Phoenix Saturday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games but have alternated wins and losses in each of their last 7. They lost the series opener 5-3 Thursday and won a wild 14-11 game Friday over the Diamondbacks. They took an 8-3 lead early with a 5-run third inning but then blew the lead, trailing 11-8 heading into the ninth inning. They scored 6 runs in the top of the ninth, capped by DH Shohei Ohtani’s game-winning 3-run home run, his 12th of the season. He had 3 hits and 4 RBIs.

The Diamondbacks have alternated wins and losses in their last 6 games. 2B Ketel Marte homered twice and the Diamondbacks hit 5 dingers as a team, including a grand slam for the second consecutive game. OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit the grand slam, his 11th homer of the season. SP Eduardo Rodriguez was chased after 2 2/3 innings and allowing 8 runs on 9 hits.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Dustin May vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

May (1-2, 4.36 ERA) is making his seventh start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 33 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER. 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 road loss to the Atlanta Braves SundayHas 7.88 ERA over last 3 outings (16 IP, 14 ER)Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 4.42 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 4 starts and 1 relief appearance2025 road stats: 0-2, 6.48 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 3 starts

Burnes (1-1, 3.58 ERA) is making his seventh start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 32 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 4-3 road win over the New York Mets on April 30His regular scheduled start was pushed after suffering shoulder inflammation, but no structural damage was foundCareer vs. Dodgers: 2-3, 5.40 ERA (30 IP, 18 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 6 starts and 2 relief appearances2025 home stats: 0-0, 3.18 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 2 starts

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Dodgers at Diamondbacks nickname odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictionsPrediction

Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4

Both teams have been alternating wins and losses. The Dodgers have not won or lost 2 consecutive games in their last 7 while the Diamondbacks have not in their last 6. Friday’s loss dropped the Diamondbacks under .500 at home (10-11).

Burnes has had extra rest and is coming off his best start of the season. May has been struggling, as noted with the 14 ER allowed in his last 3 starts.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (+100).

Eleven of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 covers have been outright wins.

The Dodgers are 3-11 ATS as road favorites.

You get even-money odds on the moneyline betting the home team instead of -165 to cover the +1.5, a much better value.

PASS.

Eight of Arizona’s last 10 games have not reached 10 total runs.

Six of the Dodgers’ last 8 losses, including the last 4, have not reached 10 total runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-120).

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