The Philadelphia Phillies (23-16) are -170 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Cleveland Guardians (23-16) Sunday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Guardians are listed with +140 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Zack Wheeler will get the ball for Philadelphia while Cleveland will counter with Luis Ortiz.
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Phillies vs. Guardians Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
Favorite: Phillies
Favorite Moneyline: -170
Underdog Moneyline: +140
Moneyline Pick: Phillies
Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Guardians 5
Moneyline InsightsPhiladelphia has been favored on the moneyline 30 total times this season. It’ve finished 19-11 in those games.This season, Cleveland has been the underdog 23 times and won 11, or 47.8%, of those games.In games they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -170 or shorter, the Phillies have a record of 9-3 (75%).The Guardians have a record of 2-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +140 or more by sportsbooks this season.Based on this game’s moneyline, Philadelphia has an implied win probability of 63%.
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Total Odds & Pick
Total: 8
Over Total Odds: +100
Under Total Odds: -120
Over/Under Pick: Over 8
Total InsightsGames involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 39 chances this season.Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.The Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to eclipse the total three times.
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How to Watch Phillies vs. GuardiansDate: Sunday, May 11, 2025Time: 7:10 p.m. ETTV: ESPNLocation: Cleveland, OhioVenue: Progressive FieldLive Stream: Watch on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)Phillies vs. Guardians Probable Starting PitchersPhillies: Zack WheelerWheeler (3-1) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his ninth start of the season.The 34-year-old has pitched to a 3.35 ERA this season with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.6 walks per nine across eight games.The Phillies have a 5-2 record in Wheeler’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.Wheeler’s team has put together a 5-3 record over his eight starts.Wheeler has had eight starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.Guardians: Luis OrtizOrtiz (2-3) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his eighth start of the season.The 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.30 and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .234 in seven games this season.His team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline underdog with a record of 1-2.In games Ortiz has started, his team is 3-4.In games Ortiz has started this season, the teams are 4-3-0 at hitting the over.
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Phillies vs. Guardians Stats
Phillies
Guardians
4.8
Runs Scored (PG)
4.2
8
MLB Rank (RPG)
18
4.3
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.6
15
MLB Rank (RAPG)
23
.259
Batting AVG
.237
5
MLB Rank (BA)
20
.248
Batting AVG Against
.261
20
MLB Rank (BAA)
25
40
Home Runs
45
16
MLB Rank (HR)
11
40
Home Runs Allowed
43
14
MLB Rank (HRA)
16
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