by Data Skrive

May 11, 2025 10:10 PM

The Washington Nationals (17-24) will try to end their five-game losing streak when they visit the Atlanta Braves (19-21) on Monday at 7:15 p.m. ET on FDSSO and MASN. Sportsbooks consider the Braves to be -170 favorites for the contest, while the Nationals are +140 underdogs looking for the upset. Grant Holmes gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Jake Irvin is Washington’s starter for the contest.

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Braves vs. Nationals Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick
Favorite: Braves
Favorite Moneyline: -170
Underdog Moneyline: +140
Moneyline Pick: Braves
Score Prediction: Braves 5, Nationals 4
Moneyline InsightsAtlanta has won 16 of the 30 games it was favored on the moneyline this season (53.3%).This season, Washington has won 13 out of the 29 games, or 44.8%, in which it has been the underdog.When they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -170 or shorter, the Braves have gone 8-4 (66.7%).The Nationals are 6-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +140 or more on the moneyline.Based on this contest’s moneyline, Atlanta has an implied win probability of 63%.

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Total Odds & Pick
Total: 9
Over Total Odds: -102
Under Total Odds: -118
Over/Under Pick: Under 9
Total InsightsGames involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 40 chances this season.Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of its 40 opportunities.The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.When it comes to the over/under, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games.

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How to Watch Braves vs. NationalsDate: Monday, May 12, 2025Time: 7:15 p.m. ETTV: FDSSO and MASNLocation: Atlanta, GeorgiaVenue: Truist ParkLive Stream: Watch on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)Braves vs. Nationals Probable Starting PitchersBraves: Grant HolmesThe Braves will send Holmes (2-3) to the mound for his eighth start this season.The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.58 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .207 in eight games this season.The Braves have been the moneyline favorite in four of Holmes’ starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.Holmes’ team has won three of his seven starts.Holmes’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of seven contests.Nationals: Jake IrvinIrvin (2-1) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his ninth start of the season.The 28-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 3.94 and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .227.His team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline underdog with a record of 2-4.Irvin’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season. Games started by Irvin have a 5-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.

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Braves vs. Nationals Stats

Braves

Nationals

3.9
Runs Scored (PG)
4.2

21
MLB Rank (RPG)
16

4.0
Runs Allowed (PG)
5.5

9
MLB Rank (RAPG)
28

.237
Batting AVG
.239

21
MLB Rank (BA)
18

.233
Batting AVG Against
.265

10
MLB Rank (BAA)
26

42
Home Runs
40

13
MLB Rank (HR)
18

47
Home Runs Allowed
42

21
MLB Rank (HRA)
14

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