The LA Dodgers (60-43) and Boston Red Sox (55-49) begin a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Fenway Park in Boston is set for 7:10 p.m (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won all 3 matchups in 2024

The Dodgers capped a series win with a 4-3 victory over the Minnesota Twins on Thursday and now begin a 9-game road trip. Los Angeles leads the NL West by 5 games over the San Diego Padres and carries momentum winning their last 2 on the road. The Dodgers are 25-22 away from home.

The Red Sox avoided a sweep in Philadelphia with a 9-8 extra-inning win over the Phillies on Wednesday. Despite the victory, Boston has dropped 4 of its first 6 games since the All-Star break. They currently hold the final AL Wild Card spot by just 1 1/2 games over Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers. Nine of their next 12 games will be at Fenway Park..

Dodgers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Emmet Sheehan vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Sheehan (1-1, 4.41 ERA) is making his fifth appearance and fourth start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 16 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB in 8-7 home loss against Milwaukee Brewers Saturday2025 road stats: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1 appearanceActivated from the 60-day IL on June 18 after missing all of 2024 following Tommy John surgeryHas never faced the Red Sox

Bello (6-4, 3.23 ERA) is making his 18th appearance and 17th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 97 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-0 loss at Chicago Cubs Saturday2025 home stats: 5-2, 3.20 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 64 H, 26 BB, 54 K in 12 appearances (11 starts)Only start vs. Dodgers: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-6 road loss July 20, 2024

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Dodgers at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Red Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Red Sox +1.5 (-150)Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)Dodgers at Red Sox picks and predictionsPrediction

Red Sox 5, Dodgers 4

BET RED SOX (+100).

I like the Red Sox to take the series opener at Fenway Park on Friday night. Sheehan is making his first road start since September 2023, and pitching at Fenway is never easy for a visitor. Bello has been solid at home, going 3-1 over his last 5 starts with just 9 earned runs allowed across 34 2/3 innings. The Red Sox had won 7 straight at home heading into the All-Star break, fueled by a team batting average of .267 at Fenway—third-best in the majors. The Dodgers begin a long East Coast road trip and have dropped 4 of their last 6 games away from Dodger Stadium. With momentum on their side at home, Boston is well-positioned to start this series with a win.

PASS.

I’m keeping my focus on the moneyline with those plus odds, no need to mess with the run line.

BET UNDER 10 (-115).

The Under looks like the right play Friday night at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are 7-2-1 to the Under in their last 10 games, and Bello has stayed Under in 4 of his last 6 starts. The Dodgers have also hit the Under in 5 of their last 8. 10 runs feels too high.

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