The Toronto Blue Jays (63-42) and Detroit Tigers (60-46) wrap up their 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Comerica Park in Detroit is set for 1:40 p.m. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Blue Jays vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 4-2
The Blue Jays continued their post-break surge with a 6-1 win over the Tigers on Saturday, securing a third straight win in the series (11-4 Thursday, 6-2 Friday). Listed as +151 road underdogs, Toronto broke a scoreless tie with 2 runs in the eighth inning and 4 runs in the ninth. DH George Springer went 3-for-5 with a home run. 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and OF Nathan Lukes added home runs as well. The AL East-leading Blue Jays have won 8 of 9 games since the All-Star break.
The Tigers dropped their sixth straight game Saturday, wasting a dominant outing from reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal (6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K). Detroit’s only offense came from an RBI groundout by LF Riley Greene. The Al Central leaders look to avoid a 4-game sweep on Sunday.
Blue Jays at Tigers projected starters
RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Jack Flaherty
Scherzer (1-0, 5.14 ERA) is making his seventh start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 28 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-4 home loss against New York Yankees Tuesday2025 road stats: 1-0, 4.91 ERA (11 IP, 6 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 2 startsCareer vs. Tigers: 2-2, 3.20 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 14.9 K/9 in 4 starts; last faced them in 2023
Flaherty (5-10, 4.77 ERA) is making his 21st start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 103 2/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 3-0 road loss against Pittsburgh Pirates Monday2025 home stats: 3-5, 3.71 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 11 startsLast start vs. Blue Jays: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-4 road victory May 16Career vs. Blue Jays: 4-1, 2.51 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 5 starts
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Blue Jays at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Tigers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+165) | Tigers +1.5 (-200)Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Blue Jays at Tigers picks and predictionsPrediction
Tigers 5, Blue Jays 4
BET TIGERS (-120).
I like the Tigers to finally snap out of their post-All-Star Game slump and avoid the 4-game sweep on Sunday. Yes, the Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball, but this is a favorable spot for Detroit with Flaherty on the mound. Flaherty has had consistent success against Toronto, allowing just 8 ER over his last 4 starts against them. On the other side, Scherzer hasn’t gone deep into games and has allowed at least 2 ER in every start this season.
The Tigers’ bats are due for a breakout, averaging only 1.8 runs per game since the break. Despite their struggles, Detroit has still played well at Comerica Park with a 32-21 record. Something has to give—and I believe it will be Toronto’s win streak. Take the Tigers to salvage the series finale.
PASS.
I’m not playing around with the run line on Sunday, I like taking the safer bet with the Tigers on moneyline.
PASS.
I’m staying away from the total in this one. With these 2 pitchers on the mound, it could turn into a low-scoring duel—or just as easily turn into a shootout. There’s no strong trend either, as the total is 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. Too unpredictable to play.
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