The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-54) battle the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-62) in the final game of their 3-game series Sunday afternoon at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 3-2

Arizona has dropped 4 of its last 5 games after losing 2-0 against Pittsburgh Saturday and failing to cover as a -145 road favorite. The Diamondbacks were held to just 4 hits.

Pittsburgh has won 4 of its last 5 games after Saturday’s win as a +133 home underdog. Both of the Pirates’ runs came in the second inning on CF Oneil Cruz’s 2-run homer.

Diamondbacks at Pirates projected starters

RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Paul Skenes

Gallen (7-11, 5.58 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 121 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-3 home loss vs. Houston Astros MondayCareer vs. Pirates: 3-3, 4.15 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 6 starts

Skenes (5-8, 1.91 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 127 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-0 home win vs. Detroit Tigers MondayCareer vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 2 starts

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Diamondbacks at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Pirates -155 (bet $155 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) | Pirates -1.5 (+140)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Diamondbacks at Pirates picks and predictionsPrediction

Pirates 4, Diamondbacks 3

BET PIRATES (-155).

The Pirates have hit a hot streak recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games, while Skenes remains one of the top pitchers in the MLB. He has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 19 of his 21 outings this season, while the Pirates are 5-3 in his last 8 starts.

Arizona has lost 4 of its last 5 games — the lone win was 1-0 in 11 inning in Friday’s opener –while Gallen has allowed 4 or more ER in 6 of his last 8 outings, including 6 ER in each of his last 2 starts.

PASS.

While Skenes is outstanding at keeping batters off base, the Pirates tend to lose control of games in the later innings, taking away value from the run line in this matchup.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Diamondbacks have hit the Under in 6 their last 10 games. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games while holding opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games.

The Pirates have also hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games, including 5 of their last 6 contests. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 while allowing 1 or fewer run in 4 of their last 5.

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