The Houston Astros (65-52) visit the New York Yankees (62-55) Sunday in the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Astros vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Astros won the series-opening game 5-3 Friday, but lost 5-4 Saturday. They rallied from down 4-2 to tie the game but ultimately came up short. Houston has won 3 of its last 5 contests.

The Yankees were led Saturday by RF Giancarlo Stanton, who went 1-for-2 with 2 RBIs. New York has struggled so far in August, going just 2-6, and have fallen to third place in the AL East.

Astros at Yankees projected starters

RHP Jason Alexander vs. LHP Max Fried

Alexander (2-1, 5.97 ERA) makes his fifth start and ninth appearance. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 31 2/3 innings with the A’s and Astros.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER,37 H, 1 BB, K in 8-2 road win at Miami Marlins Monday2025 road stats: 2-0, 5.40 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 3 relief appearancesCareer vs. Yankees: 0-0, 7.36 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.91 WHIP, 12.3 K/9 in 1 start, a 12-8 home loss on Sept. 18, 2022

Fried (12-4, 2.78 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 139 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 8-5 road defeat at the Texas Rangers Monday2025 home stats: 5-1, 2.29 ERA (59 IP, 15 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 10 startsCareer vs. Astros: 0-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts

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Astros at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)Over/Under (O/U): (O: +100 | U: -120)Astros at Yankees picks and predictionsPrediction

Yankees 6, Astros 4

PASS.

There’s no playable wager here. The Yankees (-200) are far too expensive, while the Astros (+165) are too risky, especially taking on Fried.

BET YANKEES -1.5 (+105).

The Yankees actually rank among the 10 best teams in the league at home. They are 29-29 ATS, tied with the Cincinnati Reds for the ninth-best covering rate at home. Fried has started 10 home games, and the Yankees are 8-2 in those. Seven of those 8 wins came by multiple runs.

Houston has only played on the road this month and is 4-4 ATS in those games. It ranks 17th in MLB with a 31-27 ATS road record. Put it all together and back YANKEES -1.5 (+105).

BET OVER 9 (+100).

Both teams are trending toward the Over here. The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in 5 straight games and are 4-0-1 O/U in their last 5 contests.

The Yankees are 3-2-1 O/U in their last 6 games. They have gone Over in Fried’s last 3 starts and in 5 of his last 6 outings. Back OVER 9 (+100).

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