The Kansas City Royals (58-59) visit the Minnesota Twins (55-61) Sunday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Royals vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 3-2
The Royals, who sit third in the AL Central, beat the Twins 2-0 Saturday after losing the series-opening game 9-4 Friday. They were led by 3B Maikel Garcia went 2-for-4 with 1 RBI. Kansas City has spent its last 3 series on the road, going 4-4 in those games.
The Twins had their 3-game winning streak snapped with the loss Saturday. Despite that streak, they have largely struggled over the last few weeks, posting a 4-6 record in their last 10 contests. The Twins are led by OF Byron Buxton, who has 23 HRs and 59 RBIs.
Royals at Twins projected starters
RHP Ryan Bergert vs. RHP Jose Urena
Bergert (1-1, 2.83 ERA) makes his ninth start and 13th career appearance. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 41 1/3 innings.
Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 6-2 road loss vs. Boston Red Sox Tuesday2025 road stats: 1-1, 2.20 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.91 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances25-year-old rookie facing Twins for first time
Urena (0-0, 5.24 ERA) makes his fourth start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 22 1/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-4 road win vs. the Cleveland Guardians last Sunday2025 home stats: 0-0, 3.38 ERA (8 IP, 3 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 5 relief appearancesCareer vs. Royals: 1-0, 4.97 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 1.4 K/9 in 4 appearances (1 start)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Royals at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:09 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Royals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-160)Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Royals at Twins picks and predictionsPrediction
Royals 6, Twins 4
BET ROYALS (-125).
Bergert has had a strong rookie campaign so far, giving them an advantage on the mound. KC has won 3 straight games as a favorite and are among the best road teams (30-31, sitting 11th-best in the majors).
The Twins have struggled to keep batters off the bases and have allowed at least 4 runs in 5 of their last 7 games. They rank as the sixth-worst team following a loss at 27-33 as well.
Take ROYALS (-125).
PASS.
There’s no playable wager on the run line. The Royals (+135) are too risky and have better odds to win outright. Similarly, the Twins (-160) are too expensive.
BET OVER 9.5 (-115).
Both teams are trending toward the Over, making it the play here. The Royals are 5-1 O/U in their last 6 contests, scoring 13 runs over their last 4 games. The Twins are 6-1 O/U in their last 7 games, tallying at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 4 performances. Back OVER 9.5 (-115).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.