The Atlanta Braves (51-68) and the New York Mets (64-55) play the second game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field in Queens is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Braves vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 5-3

New York routed Atlanta 13-5 in Tuesday’s series opener, cashing as a -137 home favorite with the Over (8) easily hitting. 1B Pete Alonso hit 2 homers, including his 253rd to set a new franchise record for the Mets. His third-inning, 2-run shot broke Darryl Strawberry’s record, which had stood since 1988.

Braves 3B Nacho Alvarez Jr. went 2-for-3 with a 2-run double in the fourth inning. Despite missing RF Ronald Acuña Jr. (calf) and 3B Austin Riley (abdominal), Atlanta has won 3 of its last 4 games.

Braves at Mets projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. LHP David Peterson

Carrasco (2-2, 6.18 ERA) makes his ninth start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 43 2/3 innings with the Braves and the New York Yankees.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-6 home victory vs. Miami Marlins ThursdayWas acquired July 28 from YankeesCareer vs. Mets: 1 relief appearance with Cleveland (Sept. 7, 2013), 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 9-4 home victory

Peterson (7-5, 2.98 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 133 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-1 home defeat vs. Cleveland Guardians Wednesday2025 vs. Braves: 1 road start (June 17), no-decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 5-4 setback in 10 innings

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Braves at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Mets -210 (bet $210 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-125) | Mets -1.5 (+105)Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -130)Braves at Mets picks and predictionsPrediction

Mets 6, Braves 4

The Mets (-210) will likely win vs. Carrasco, who has allowed 3 or more ER in back-to-back starts. However, the straddle is too high in this market.

PASS on the moneyline.

Carrasco has allowed 3 or more ER in 7 of his 10 appearances this season and was tagged for 6 runs in his most recent start Thursday against Miami.

While Peterson struggled against Cleveland Wednesday, allowing 4 ER in 6 innings, he had given up 2 or fewer in 5 straight starts entering that outing. With Peterson likely returning to form, the starting pitching discrepancy is too great for this game to stay close.

BET METS -1.5 (+105).

The Over has hit in 6 of the Braves’ last 8 games and in 3 straight for the Mets. New York has scored 7 or more runs in 2 of the last 3 meetings and 6 or more in each of its last 2 games overall.

BET OVER 9 (+100).

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