The Texas Rangers (61-61) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (71-51) for the opener of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rangers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays beat the Chicago Cubs 2-1 Thursday and won 2 of 3 games in that series after dropping 2 of 3 to the LA Dodgers in the series prior. Toronto is MLB’s second-best team at home at 40-20 (Milwaukee Brewers at 42-20).

The Rangers are free-falling. They are coming off a 6-4 home loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday, losing 2 of 3 games in that series. Texas is just 1-6 over its last 7 contests and has dropped to third in the AL West. It is 24-35 on the road.

Rangers at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

deGrom (10-5, 2.86 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 135 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-2 home defeat vs. Philadelphia Phillies Saturday2025 road stats: 4-2, 3.73 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 11 startsCareer vs. Blue Jays: 1-1, 2.38 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Bassitt (11-6, 4.17 ERA) makes his 25th start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 133 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-1 road defeat at the Dodgers Saturday2025 home stats: 8-0, 2.56 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 13 startsCareer vs. Rangers: 5-3, 3.66 ERA (71 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 16 appearances (12 starts)

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Rangers at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:56 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers -1.5 (+145) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Rangers at Blue Jays picks and predictionsPrediction

Blue Jays 3, Rangers 2

BET BLUE JAYS (+100).

Despite deGrom having put together a strong CY Young case this season, Texas has lost his last 3 starts and have given up 14 total runs in those 3 games. Texas is just 2-5 in its last 7 road games.

The Blue Jays are surging and are 8-4 in their last 12 home games. The AL East leaders have scored at least 4 runs in 7 of their last 11 contests, showing some offensive consistency.

Considering the ways each team is trending, back BLUE JAYS (+100).

PASS.

There’s no playable wager on the spread. The Rangers (+145) have some value as the run-line favorite, but ultimately aren’t worth the risk. Similarly, the Blue Jays (-175) are too expensive to take here.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

Both teams have been trending toward the Under as of late. The Rangers are 3-5 O/U in their last 8 games, scoring 2 or fewer in 6 of those contests. The Blue Jays, who have scored 3 runs combined in their last 2 games, are 1-4-1 O/U in their last 6 contests. They are 3-5-1 O/U in their last 9 games at home.

Back UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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